Respectful-Beyond — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.49K

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

43.6%

Resolved

10,321

Trades

64,170

lifetime

Volume

$396.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$297

8 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 11-03 02:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 145 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 47% -$1,493

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 606 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	No	+224	$179	80¢	$180	+$1	10-31 08:52
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	Yes	+224	$48	20¢	$44	-$4	10-31 08:22
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	+40	$31	60¢	$24	-$7	11-03 02:19
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026?	No	+20	$17	84¢	$17	+$0	11-02 01:52
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+40	$13	40¢	$16	+$3	11-03 01:19
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	+13	$10	78¢	$10	+$0	11-01 04:06
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+20	$4	16¢	$3	-$1	11-01 23:42
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+13	$6	22¢	$3	-$3	11-01 05:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:35 UTC	48	$320	320	320	+0	Up	$0	06-12 13:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 11:25 UTC	11	$292	300	300	+0	Down	-$1	07-28 11:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 08:30 UTC	21	$274	272	272	+0	Down	+$0	07-31 08:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 19:40 UTC	28	$250	250	250	+0	Up	-$1	07-04 19:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 16:40 UTC	10	$248	250	250	+0	Up	$0	07-15 16:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 13:00 UTC	39	$245	245	245	+0	Up	$0	06-30 12:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 10:45 UTC	32	$230	231	231	+0	Down	-$1	07-06 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	52	$229	234	221	+13	Up	+$5	05-31 16:35
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	11	$227	448	0	+448	open	—	10-31 08:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	35	$222	221	221	+0	Down	+$1	06-02 14:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 16:55 UTC	20	$220	223	223	+0	Up	+$0	07-10 16:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	19	$215	215	215	+0	Down	+$1	07-24 08:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 13:10 UTC	24	$214	216	216	+0	Up	-$1	08-06 13:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 17:40 UTC	18	$211	232	232	+0	Up	-$2	07-13 17:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 12:25 UTC	30	$209	208	208	+0	Up	$0	06-29 12:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 05:45 UTC	33	$208	208	208	+0	Down	-$2	07-10 05:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 02:30 UTC	34	$208	208	208	+0	Down	-$1	07-09 02:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 12:20 UTC	17	$208	199	199	+0	Up	-$1	07-24 12:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 09:35 UTC	25	$203	202	202	+0	Down	-$3	07-08 09:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 12:45 UTC	13	$202	200	200	+0	Down	-$2	07-24 12:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 16:05 UTC	12	$201	200	200	+0	Up	+$0	07-30 16:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 11:40 UTC	22	$201	200	200	+0	Up	$0	07-17 11:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 14:55 UTC	15	$200	200	200	+0	Up	-$1	07-09 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	36	$197	188	188	+0	Down	+$9	05-19 13:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 13:15 UTC	29	$197	196	196	+0	Up	-$1	06-24 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	44	$196	190	190	+0	Up	+$4	05-22 21:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 19:55 UTC	38	$195	208	189	+19	Up	-$9	06-03 19:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 12:45 UTC	20	$195	194	194	+0	Down	$0	07-06 12:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 11:45 UTC	14	$195	200	200	+0	Up	+$1	07-20 11:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	36	$193	207	174	+33	Down	+$17	05-22 19:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 02:19:25	Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	77¢	$31	0xc98c0e…
11-03 01:19:24	Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x79bf5c…
11-03 01:19:24	Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x7590c5…
11-03 01:19:24	Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x2bc250…
11-02 13:17:51	Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x5cb6cf…
11-02 13:17:40	Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0x948e5d…
11-02 01:52:43	Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x10f9db…
11-01 23:42:48	Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xbb57bf…
11-01 12:32:42	Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$14	0x990f96…
11-01 11:16:00	OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution?	Anthropic	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xcf0ec9…
11-01 05:43:24	Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	43¢	$6	0x30084d…
11-01 04:06:40	Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xfb1d64…
11-01 00:22:22	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x660d8e…
10-31 22:22:22	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x8a4487…
10-31 22:22:21	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xebb22f…
10-31 20:56:51	Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x8fc07e…
10-31 17:20:13	Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x68f468…
10-31 13:33:07	Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x4363ad…
10-31 08:52:13	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	No	BUY	27	78¢	$21	0xed0d38…
10-31 08:22:06	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	Yes	BUY	27	25¢	$7	0x8c89b7…
10-31 08:00:51	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	Yes	BUY	47	22¢	$10	0xa8ca23…
10-31 07:53:57	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	No	BUY	47	79¢	$38	0xbd69dc…
10-31 02:17:22	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0xb3d1eb…
10-31 02:12:21	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	No	BUY	29	80¢	$23	0xe6aa4a…
10-31 02:12:21	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	No	BUY	21	80¢	$17	0x762103…
10-30 20:30:12	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x12743f…
10-30 18:18:15	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	No	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x67743e…
10-30 18:09:58	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	No	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x08aa76…
10-30 18:08:13	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x488c1c…
10-29 16:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	43¢	$6	0x22dc53…
10-29 16:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0xb188d7…
10-29 16:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	63¢	$12	0x5f2f43…
10-29 16:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x62b001…
10-29 16:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0xc36d07…
10-29 16:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0xcf2d5d…
10-29 15:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x50cf73…
10-29 15:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0xa1386c…
10-29 15:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0xe2bc13…
10-29 15:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0x9c15a8…
10-29 15:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$2	0x10cf9c…
10-29 12:40:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x9813c1…
10-29 12:40:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe654c7…
10-29 10:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	58¢	$13	0xfe31de…
10-29 10:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	24	52¢	$12	0x1a3566…
10-29 09:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0xd8a9a2…
10-29 09:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	62	66¢	$41	0x6ed154…
10-29 07:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	53	75¢	$40	0x687a47…
10-29 03:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	26	33¢	$8	0x322fbc…
10-29 00:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	54	45¢	$24	0x6cef70…
10-29 00:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	56	43¢	$25	0x98b1eb…
10-29 00:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	87	41¢	$36	0x96bcdc…
10-29 00:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x4e9266…
10-29 00:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xeaa7f8…
10-29 00:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x56570c…
10-28 23:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	46	50¢	$23	0xc2c8ec…
10-28 21:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	89¢	$10	0x717361…
10-28 21:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x6a0ec1…
10-28 16:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x28f9f8…
10-28 16:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x84fc42…
10-28 10:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xf81469…
10-28 07:28:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x11bad6…
10-28 07:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0xa0811c…
10-28 07:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	52	32¢	$17	0xf8a670…
10-28 07:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x0d71d6…
10-28 06:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x1470b8…
10-28 06:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	37¢	$8	0xa88b88…
10-28 06:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	26	53¢	$14	0x88ce43…
10-28 06:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x02d645…
10-28 05:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	26¢	$1	0x496ff0…
10-28 05:13:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xe84e54…
10-28 05:12:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9d85b1…
10-28 03:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x4369a2…
10-28 03:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	29¢	$3	0x89c4a1…
10-28 03:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0xb50187…
10-28 03:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xdeb88f…
10-28 02:27:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x8b14c9…
10-28 01:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0xfaaa68…
10-28 01:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	42	69¢	$29	0x12bbb8…
10-28 00:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	119	46¢	$55	0xcc6d5b…
10-28 00:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0xf1885d…
10-28 00:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0xb62ef6…
10-28 00:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xf0689e…
10-28 00:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	118	45¢	$53	0x05f326…
10-27 23:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	45	50¢	$22	0x527c7c…
10-27 23:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0x541b3c…
10-27 23:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	67	89¢	$60	0x52b627…
10-27 22:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	85	39¢	$33	0xf915ee…
10-27 18:42:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	79¢	$5	0x953c7b…
10-27 17:12:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xfb7fe2…
10-27 17:11:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x5709de…
10-27 17:11:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	34	48¢	$16	0xa08df1…
10-27 11:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$2	0x5b03a9…
10-27 11:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xa556d7…
10-27 06:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	28	52¢	$15	0x315385…
10-27 06:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x6e3959…
10-27 06:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xfbce8e…
10-27 06:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	60	76¢	$45	0x8440ff…
10-27 06:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xe074b3…
10-27 04:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd03262…
10-27 04:13:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x4248de…