Judicious-Whack — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$120

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.2%

Resolved

Trades

125

lifetime

Volume

$5.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$47

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 05-11 07:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Sports

67% 69% +$159

Crypto

30% 48% $-39

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians	6	$558	635	466	+170	Minnesota Twins	+$58	05-10 03:44
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies	2	$319	214	214	+0	No	+$105	05-09 22:49
Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds	4	$299	337	337	+0	Cincinnati Reds	+$11	05-09 21:39
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals	2	$296	209	209	+0	Detroit Tigers	+$121	05-11 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	7	$233	227	181	+47	Down	$-17	05-11 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$208	189	189	+0	Up	+$8	05-10 10:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$206	256	256	+0	Down	+$6	05-10 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	6	$196	400	255	+144	Up	$-4	05-10 03:02
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)	2	$163	108	108	+0	Milwaukee Brewers	+$49	05-10 02:25
New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	2	$156	102	102	+0	Arizona Diamondbacks	+$46	05-10 01:50
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres	2	$155	102	102	+0	San Diego Padres	+$31	05-10 01:56
Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies	2	$152	97	97	+0	open	—	05-03 00:54
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	4	$151	190	190	+0	open	—	05-02 18:36
Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies	2	$151	104	104	+0	Philadelphia Phillies	+$43	05-09 23:33
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays	1	$150	283	0	+283	Yes	$-150	05-10 09:38
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)	2	$139	89	89	+0	Philadelphia Phillies	+$39	05-10 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	3	$137	98	98	+0	Up	+$37	05-10 08:48
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins	2	$134	240	240	+0	open	—	05-03 19:03
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)	2	$118	77	77	+0	open	—	05-02 02:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	4	$117	106	106	+0	Down	+$17	05-11 06:47
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres	2	$114	74	74	+0	open	—	05-03 00:54
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	1	$105	190	0	+190	Yes	$-105	05-10 17:33
Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies	2	$99	63	63	+0	open	—	05-02 03:14
Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics	1	$90	180	0	+180	open	—	04-30 19:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	7	$88	59	59	+0	Down	+$28	05-10 08:59
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)	2	$86	61	61	+0	open	—	05-02 03:12
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins	2	$84	55	55	+0	open	—	05-02 20:34
Utah vs. Golden Knights	2	$70	200	200	+0	open	—	04-30 04:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	4	$70	83	50	+33	Down	+$33	05-10 08:39
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs	1	$68	113	0	+113	open	—	05-01 10:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 07:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	45	39¢	$18	0x06572e…
05-11 07:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xcdd294…
05-11 07:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	69	35¢	$24	0x4c9b75…
05-11 07:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	19	39¢	$7	0x35bdd5…
05-11 07:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x0eed6e…
05-11 07:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xb1dbed…
05-11 07:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x095685…
05-11 06:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x9eec07…
05-11 06:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	94	51¢	$48	0xd6375d…
05-11 06:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xf34a03…
05-11 06:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x455867…
05-11 06:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	86	70¢	$60	0xb75788…
05-11 06:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x46ca29…
05-11 06:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x01da86…
05-11 06:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x694de9…
05-11 06:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	56	73¢	$41	0x03f6d9…
05-11 06:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0xc103ca…
05-11 06:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0xfd5737…
05-11 06:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x2af398…
05-11 06:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xbddcec…
05-11 06:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	40	65¢	$26	0x064599…
05-11 06:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x8bc48c…
05-11 02:44:16	Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals	Detroit Tigers	SELL	209	100¢	$208	0x8d7640…
05-10 23:31:32	Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals	Detroit Tigers	BUY	209	42¢	$88	0xeb5ee5…
05-10 23:29:22	Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)	Philadelphia Phillies	SELL	89	100¢	$89	0x375952…
05-10 17:33:15	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	No	BUY	190	55¢	$105	0x39474d…
05-10 10:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	256	41¢	$106	0xee8699…
05-10 10:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x3b69ee…
05-10 10:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	189	57¢	$108	0x44b8f8…
05-10 10:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x0b9be2…
05-10 10:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xa4ef70…
05-10 10:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x99f50f…
05-10 10:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0xc2fa11…
05-10 09:38:49	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays	No	BUY	283	53¢	$150	0x252e84…
05-10 09:35:56	Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x54fc0e…
05-10 09:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x0a3877…
05-10 09:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x0d19b0…
05-10 09:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x5a0e45…
05-10 09:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x34ba94…
05-10 08:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	59	98¢	$58	0x53d58c…
05-10 08:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1767a8…
05-10 08:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf79285…
05-10 08:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa54fe2…
05-10 08:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4db9b6…
05-10 08:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1faced…
05-10 08:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x10700f…
05-10 08:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1e9a13…
05-10 08:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb8ae1d…
05-10 08:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x88f958…
05-10 08:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xfa9551…
05-10 08:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	98	89¢	$87	0x1cb8d1…
05-10 08:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x6c2337…
05-10 08:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x8803ed…
05-10 08:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	227	11¢	$25	0x7d4c75…
05-10 08:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	56	17¢	$9	0xf8d3d7…
05-10 08:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0xbb21a2…
05-10 08:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xc792b9…
05-10 08:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x815f84…
05-10 08:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0x9c1761…
05-10 08:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xea5067…
05-10 03:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x64d1f2…
05-10 03:44:06	Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	SELL	60	1¢	$1	0x3aa6b8…
05-10 03:33:15	Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	230	37¢	$85	0x2137c2…
05-10 03:32:43	Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians	Minnesota Twins	SELL	132	65¢	$86	0x73fa90…
05-10 03:22:38	Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians	Minnesota Twins	BUY	132	19¢	$25	0x7649a9…
05-10 03:18:24	Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	SELL	274	81¢	$222	0x6a2bb9…
05-10 03:11:10	Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	274	51¢	$140	0x89d62f…
05-10 03:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0x0baee6…
05-10 03:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	144	17¢	$25	0xbde401…
05-10 03:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	81	48¢	$38	0x1929cd…
05-10 03:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0x89458e…
05-10 03:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	175	33¢	$58	0xa36fce…
05-10 03:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	97	26¢	$25	0x6d3787…
05-10 03:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0xd01a07…
05-10 02:27:23	Spread: Thunder (-8.5)	Lakers	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0x5a24eb…
05-10 02:25:40	Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	108	99¢	$106	0xdc1613…
05-10 01:56:42	St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	SELL	102	91¢	$93	0x1d723f…
05-10 01:50:16	New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	102	99¢	$101	0xcfc360…
05-10 01:49:48	Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	102	11¢	$11	0xe2e7bc…
05-10 01:38:46	Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0xf68ef4…
05-10 01:24:36	Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	108	53¢	$57	0xac285a…
05-09 23:34:56	St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	BUY	102	61¢	$62	0xe2cc52…
05-09 23:34:36	New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	102	54¢	$55	0x03498a…
05-09 23:33:56	Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	SELL	104	93¢	$97	0xd67f08…
05-09 22:53:59	Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	104	52¢	$54	0x22b8c1…
05-09 22:49:43	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies	No	SELL	214	99¢	$212	0xcb78c4…
05-09 21:57:55	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies	No	BUY	214	50¢	$107	0x1e7a76…
05-09 21:39:31	Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds	Houston Astros	SELL	80	14¢	$11	0x2e0f9b…
05-09 21:21:47	Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds	Houston Astros	BUY	80	55¢	$44	0x6a2905…
05-09 21:13:16	Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds	Houston Astros	SELL	256	56¢	$144	0x1d6287…
05-09 20:49:30	Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds	Houston Astros	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0xc9313d…
05-03 19:03:18	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins	Toronto Blue Jays	SELL	240	6¢	$14	0x8fb159…
05-03 05:02:36	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	240	50¢	$120	0xada22f…
05-03 04:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	86	3¢	$3	0xaa7c98…
05-03 04:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x177dc6…
05-03 01:00:52	Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	62	55¢	$34	0xb6a1fa…
05-03 00:57:18	Spread: 76ers (-6.5)	Celtics	BUY	71	56¢	$40	0x22fe59…
05-03 00:54:50	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres	No	SELL	74	100¢	$74	0x944b36…
05-03 00:54:44	Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies	Atlanta Braves	SELL	97	88¢	$85	0xe0786e…
05-03 00:54:38	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	88	10¢	$9	0xca79c0…