Necessary-Picturesque — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$219

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

30.7%

Resolved

196

Trades

303

lifetime

Volume

$7.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 10-25 03:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 47% -$229

Sports

1% 67% +$5

Other

1% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 70k on april 17	2	$1.5K	760	760	+1	Yes	-$1	04-16 05:21
ethereum above 2100 on april 17	2	$1.1K	561	561	+0	Yes	-$2	04-16 04:05
bitcoin above 64k on april 19	2	$1.1K	552	552	+0	Yes	-$3	04-16 03:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 14:00 UTC	2	$82	54	53	+1	Up	+$23	02-22 14:16
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 01:30 UTC	3	$82	53	53	+1	Down	+$23	03-30 01:44
XRP Up or Down - April 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	3	$54	37	36	+1	Down	+$15	04-28 04:24
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	2	$54	40	39	+1	Up	+$15	04-25 03:06
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	2	$54	34	34	+0	Down	+$14	04-29 13:24
XRP Up or Down - April 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	2	$54	38	37	+1	Down	+$15	04-28 08:07
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	6	$54	37	35	+1	Down	+$15	04-27 01:25
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	2	$53	35	35	+0	Up	+$13	04-29 15:26
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	5	$53	35	35	+0	Up	+$13	04-29 15:26
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	2	$53	36	35	+1	Down	+$14	04-25 09:00
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	2	$53	35	35	+0	Down	+$13	04-29 02:27
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	2	$52	38	38	+0	Up	+$12	04-30 02:02
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	2	$52	38	37	+1	Down	+$13	04-27 09:22
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	4	$51	54	37	+16	Down	-$3	04-28 14:02
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	3	$47	31	31	+0	Up	+$11	04-29 12:59
XRP Up or Down - April 25, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	2	$47	39	37	+1	Down	+$8	04-25 08:07
xrp up or down on february 23	2	$44	59	59	+0	Down	+$24	02-23 11:26
solana up or down on february 23	3	$37	486	0	+486	Down	-$37	02-23 05:12
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$36	39	38	+1	Down	-$4	04-27 10:47
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	2	$31	21	21	+0	Down	+$7	04-29 23:20
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 05:30 UTC	1	$31	58	0	+58	Up	-$31	02-23 05:27
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 14:30 UTC	1	$30	57	0	+57	Down	+$27	02-22 14:23
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 00:45 UTC	1	$30	58	0	+58	Down	-$30	02-23 00:33
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 07:00 UTC	1	$30	55	0	+55	Up	-$30	02-23 06:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 00:45 UTC	1	$30	58	0	+58	Down	-$30	02-23 00:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 14:45 UTC	1	$30	55	0	+55	Up	+$25	02-22 14:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 04:45 UTC	1	$30	55	0	+55	Up	-$30	03-30 04:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 03:06:12	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xa207a0…
10-25 03:05:47	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	No	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0x6803ee…
10-15 22:00:12	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xa3017e…
10-07 10:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x08dfe3…
09-28 01:16:48	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x590beb…
09-20 04:11:46	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 04:00 UTC	Down	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x894b92…
09-20 03:47:28	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9a4381…
09-20 00:30:06	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xcae5bf…
09-13 06:14:06	Solana Up or Down - September 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xb91bad…
09-13 06:14:06	Solana Up or Down - September 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x307123…
09-13 06:14:03	Solana Up or Down - September 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x5c181c…
09-13 05:49:21	Solana Up or Down - September 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x18ee3f…
09-08 05:13:37	XRP Up or Down - September 8, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf1e5ee…
08-28 23:11:55	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 23:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x677c0f…
08-28 23:09:10	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 23:00 UTC	Down	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x63bae0…
08-28 22:43:27	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0e2cde…
08-21 01:35:07	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf1b116…
08-14 02:02:36	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-14 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x235b2d…
08-05 03:59:42	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x6c7c45…
07-29 06:23:23	Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x372e8b…
07-22 03:22:04	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 03:15 UTC	Up	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xd20e1a…
07-22 03:22:04	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 03:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xc5f90c…
07-22 03:22:03	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 03:15 UTC	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xef8918…
07-22 03:21:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 03:15 UTC	Up	SELL	8	97¢	$7	0x493c3c…
07-22 03:21:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 03:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x75c758…
07-22 03:21:43	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 03:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x76054e…
07-22 03:21:43	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 03:15 UTC	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6eb8f7…
07-22 03:11:07	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x4adf05…
07-22 03:09:52	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x0bd0e4…
07-22 03:00:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xcd9d4c…
07-22 02:59:55	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 02:45 UTC	Up	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xd8fa1e…
07-22 02:59:55	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 02:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x5beec9…
07-22 02:59:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x97791c…
07-22 02:42:13	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x1f890e…
07-22 02:41:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xd5373b…
07-22 01:50:15	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 01:45 UTC	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xb297e6…
07-22 01:50:07	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 01:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xae60f3…
07-22 01:50:07	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 01:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x857bcb…
07-22 01:40:45	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 01:30 UTC	Up	SELL	9	95¢	$8	0x72f757…
07-22 01:40:43	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 01:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x42d18f…
07-22 01:30:10	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc0c5d3…
07-22 01:29:13	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb99e36…
07-22 01:00:00	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 00:45 UTC	Down	SELL	12	98¢	$11	0x0e5919…
07-22 00:45:33	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x2cca4b…
07-22 00:29:01	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0x33d6e5…
07-21 23:59:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3391e4…
07-21 23:58:10	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x793dbd…
07-21 23:27:31	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 23:15 UTC	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$9	0x854d2e…
07-21 23:13:24	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa960f5…
07-21 20:13:42	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd3a1d2…
07-21 20:12:51	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x0d8cf8…
07-21 10:30:51	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xf96274…
07-21 10:28:16	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x31aada…
07-21 08:58:28	Solana Up or Down - July 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0xf2bcde…
07-21 08:45:19	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x85d63c…
07-21 08:13:55	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x9ecb5e…
07-21 07:19:19	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x29a97d…
07-21 06:29:46	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x980b15…
07-21 05:58:28	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x98ba92…
07-21 05:57:57	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xfdebd6…
07-21 04:07:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x155df5…
07-21 03:48:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x6ee0c9…
07-21 03:25:10	Solana Up or Down - July 20, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0x4b9275…
07-21 03:11:58	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x4832cf…
07-21 03:10:25	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x343325…
07-21 02:34:27	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 02:30 UTC	Up	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xfa5b1a…
07-21 02:27:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x042c3a…
07-19 20:30:18	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xc85326…
07-19 20:29:48	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf2dc55…
07-19 13:00:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9bc1d4…
07-19 12:56:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 12:45 UTC	Up	SELL	8	93¢	$8	0xe05898…
07-19 12:56:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 12:45 UTC	Up	SELL	8	93¢	$8	0x649c08…
07-19 12:46:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x392bd1…
07-15 04:14:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-15 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb4a71e…
07-11 10:15:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-11 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xfd7b8c…
06-30 21:32:08	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xfffd6b…
06-30 21:32:08	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1cbcd2…
06-26 15:41:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd8db62…
06-26 14:36:20	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 14:30 UTC	Down	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x83ea4a…
06-26 14:21:07	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x708ca4…
06-24 02:24:55	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1c4daf…
06-21 02:18:50	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x941a9f…
06-16 07:14:33	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 07:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$4	0x778f98…
06-16 07:14:31	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 07:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x94986f…
06-16 06:43:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd0f672…
06-16 06:42:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x2cf9d9…
06-13 01:16:45	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-13 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xb8295b…
06-08 00:14:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$9	0x131f6e…
06-08 00:13:10	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0x69ae37…
06-08 00:12:06	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xd7231e…
06-08 00:11:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7d0b40…
06-07 23:55:46	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xbfbba9…
06-07 23:55:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd1ecd1…
05-30 07:12:21	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xde3358…
05-21 07:46:25	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x0cef4c…
05-21 07:38:05	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x185bb9…
05-21 07:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0xf00974…
05-21 07:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x4a4efb…
05-21 05:41:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xfba4c1…
05-21 03:42:37	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xd98bb8…