Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$141

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.7%

Resolved

1,328

Trades

3,125

lifetime

Volume

$9.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 03-21 22:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 97 days

Categories

Other

48% 76% +$79

Politics

36% 70% -$201

Crypto

12% 77% -$19

Tech

3% 60% +$3

Sports

0% 80% -$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-21).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	58	$587	330	305	+26	No	+$26	01-31 22:36
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	32	$474	263	274	-11	No	+$23	03-12 14:18
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	48	$431	242	242	+0	No	+$24	01-30 20:49
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	33	$309	168	168	+0	No	+$17	01-26 19:24
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	16	$246	131	133	-2	No	+$8	03-03 22:50
iran strike on israel by february 28	23	$147	247	0	+247	Yes	-$147	02-28 07:32
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	16	$146	80	80	+0	Yes	+$8	03-01 09:42
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	11	$113	56	74	-18	Yes	-$3	03-01 09:43
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	20	$113	61	66	-5	Yes	+$11	02-16 12:13
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?	18	$101	55	55	+0	No	+$5	01-22 12:41
us evacuates baghdad embassy by february 28	14	$99	54	54	+0	No	+$3	02-10 18:39
will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	21	$93	53	52	+0	No	+$6	02-09 14:09
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	17	$79	44	44	+0	Yes	+$3	02-15 23:34
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	20	$77	96	65	+32	Yes	-$15	02-14 22:42
will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	12	$71	44	44	+0	No	+$9	03-18 15:35
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	26	$66	241	0	+241	Yes	-$66	02-28 20:08
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by march 31 117 352	16	$64	35	38	-4	No	+$3	03-05 14:33
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	12	$63	39	32	+7	No	+$3	01-31 21:09
will khamenei leave iran by friday	7	$58	30	30	+0	No	+$1	01-09 05:05
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	13	$54	31	33	-1	Yes	+$3	01-27 15:15
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	21	$53	54	22	+31	No	+$14	01-17 19:47
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by january 31	17	$53	26	35	-9	No	+$0	01-20 11:21
masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	11	$50	31	31	+0	No	+$7	02-03 21:28
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	5	$48	26	26	+0	No	+$2	03-12 17:32
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	4	$46	25	25	+0	No	+$2	02-20 05:49
us downs another iranian drone by february 28	7	$42	24	24	+0	Yes	+$2	02-26 15:46
will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by january 31 2026 147	7	$41	22	22	+0	No	+$3	01-31 22:34
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	11	$41	58	0	+58	Yes	-$41	02-27 17:58
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$40	22	22	+0	No	$0	03-21 16:54
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 500 519	18	$39	22	21	+1	Yes	+$1	01-02 16:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-21 22:01:31	US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	No	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0xa73be9…
03-21 19:18:03	will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	Yes	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0x3955a8…
03-21 17:09:53	Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	Yes	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x2a4221…
03-21 17:09:41	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x6caa27…
03-21 17:08:51	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1360 1399	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x9dcbbc…
03-21 17:08:47	Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0x354e53…
03-21 17:08:27	will trump say hottest nation in march	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x74a14e…
03-21 17:08:07	will russia capture sofiivka by march 31	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x596f34…
03-21 17:07:19	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x890459…
03-21 17:05:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0xb99ab4…
03-21 16:55:05	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x1a14e8…
03-21 16:54:55	will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1bbee3…
03-21 16:54:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	22	87¢	$20	0x5c9566…
03-21 16:53:11	Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by April 30?	No	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x99f2fb…
03-21 16:52:09	us evacuates baghdad embassy by march 31	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x502758…
03-21 16:44:59	will russia enter shevchenko by march 31	No	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x0907a7…
03-21 16:44:57	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	62¢	$5	0x064e14…
03-21 16:44:53	us forces seize another oil tanker by march 31	No	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xee5a99…
03-20 19:23:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x6eebed…
03-20 10:55:11	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x95c7e9…
03-20 10:51:45	us forces seize another oil tanker by march 31	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xf94443…
03-20 10:30:43	us forces seize another oil tanker by march 31	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xb3db89…
03-20 10:29:25	will russia enter shevchenko by march 31	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xfec940…
03-20 10:29:09	will russia capture sofiivka by march 31	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xd89e0c…
03-20 10:20:25	Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by April 30?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x677614…
03-20 10:17:55	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x3c7f48…
03-19 18:24:37	US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0xd215bc…
03-19 16:42:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x258e5e…
03-19 16:42:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x85b8e4…
03-19 15:36:59	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x458633…
03-19 04:44:43	us evacuates baghdad embassy by march 31	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xe310cb…
03-18 19:20:47	hezbollah military action against israel by march 20	Yes	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x727851…
03-18 17:37:45	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x236c3d…
03-18 17:36:57	US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x8e1851…
03-18 17:35:07	will trump say hottest nation in march	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xdc0000…
03-18 17:35:03	will trump say hottest nation in march	No	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xfc7fcd…
03-18 17:30:33	hezbollah military action against israel by march 20	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xf81c27…
03-18 17:29:07	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xec219f…
03-18 17:19:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa85bc2…
03-18 16:53:53	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x6d3def…
03-18 16:52:21	us announces military support of iran oppostion by march 31	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x8bcc41…
03-18 16:21:59	will russia enter khatnie by march 31 2026	No	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0x0ac17a…
03-18 16:04:51	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xcfd557…
03-18 16:04:47	will trump issue a gold card by march 31	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xd7a033…
03-18 16:04:45	will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xed2e88…
03-18 16:04:41	will microstrategy be delisted from the msci index by march 31	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x658102…
03-18 15:35:35	will trump meet with delcy rodrguez by march 31 446	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x708018…
03-18 15:35:29	will trump declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x98df1c…
03-18 15:35:23	will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	No	SELL	23	97¢	$22	0x2e221c…
03-15 13:49:21	US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xd1132f…
03-13 13:16:49	will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x2145de…
03-12 18:52:45	elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 140 164	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x3c2716…
03-12 17:40:01	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x6ddda9…
03-12 17:36:45	elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 140 164	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb10657…
03-12 17:35:59	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x898093…
03-12 17:35:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xffd271…
03-12 17:35:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x2ebcc7…
03-12 17:34:53	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	SELL	14	95¢	$14	0x95476f…
03-12 17:32:33	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	26	98¢	$25	0xcf76a9…
03-12 14:18:37	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	98	95¢	$93	0xea14f8…
03-10 10:32:47	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xcec987…
03-09 06:25:49	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0xe19d19…
03-06 22:10:53	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	48	90¢	$43	0x152ff5…
03-06 19:36:07	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x0fa858…
03-05 14:33:05	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by march 31 117 352	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x120825…
03-05 13:27:35	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xecdd7e…
03-05 13:27:29	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xa9365d…
03-05 13:27:21	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x89a8b0…
03-05 13:27:21	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x8887a6…
03-04 07:25:35	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x27e0b5…
03-04 07:25:31	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x6a56cf…
03-04 07:25:23	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x80a007…
03-04 07:25:23	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x423baa…
03-04 06:20:57	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 4 2026	No	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x3cd388…
03-03 22:55:35	will iran strike israel on march 10	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x733a84…
03-03 22:53:49	us announces military support of iran oppostion by march 31	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x7b7114…
03-03 22:53:27	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x0e5c61…
03-03 22:52:01	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 4 2026	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xe406f5…
03-03 22:50:27	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	SELL	103	96¢	$98	0x02d4fc…
03-02 21:34:27	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	25	39¢	$10	0x7b5704…
03-02 15:32:37	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by march 31 117 352	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x036e34…
03-02 15:32:25	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xac9b67…
03-01 22:33:57	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x329fec…
03-01 22:33:47	lal gir cel 2026 03 01 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x88f10f…
03-01 20:06:47	lal bet sev 2026 03 01 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x51491b…
03-01 18:25:09	epl ars che 2026 03 01 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1c4712…
03-01 17:17:09	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x78b2c4…
03-01 17:16:47	epl ful tot 2026 03 01 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4db7fc…
03-01 17:16:45	epl bri not 2026 03 01 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x68f82f…
03-01 17:16:41	epl mun cry 2026 03 01 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x245dc1…
03-01 17:16:39	lal elc esp 2026 03 01 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x03d9b2…
03-01 17:16:37	lal val osa 2026 03 01 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x2b28c5…
03-01 09:43:21	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	53	89¢	$48	0xf1fa05…
03-01 09:43:09	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	53	89¢	$48	0xdc8437…
03-01 09:42:11	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by march 31 117 352	No	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0xf15673…
03-01 09:42:07	ice shooter charged by march 31	No	SELL	5	91¢	$4	0x573c01…
03-01 09:42:03	iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	Yes	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0x6b8171…
02-28 22:52:49	por gui alv 2026 02 28 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x283beb…
02-28 20:27:05	lal ovi mad 2026 02 28 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xa46faf…
02-28 20:08:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xd77595…