Carefree-Willingness — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.9%

Resolved

1,011

Trades

16,752

lifetime

Volume

$60.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 08-10 03:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 65% $-18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 282 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 4h 1776801600	11	$136	98	96	+2	open	—	04-21 23:40
btc updown 15m 1776779100	9	$127	76	75	+1	open	—	04-21 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	11	$125	101	77	+24	open	—	04-26 19:41
btc updown 15m 1776786300	6	$120	87	84	+3	open	—	04-21 15:58
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	11	$119	91	78	+13	open	—	04-25 16:14
eth updown 15m 1777055400	11	$115	80	68	+12	open	—	04-24 18:39
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	11	$115	94	82	+13	open	—	04-25 15:00
eth updown 15m 1777049100	9	$113	115	97	+18	open	—	04-24 16:57
btc updown 15m 1776783600	9	$109	77	76	+1	open	—	04-21 15:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	10	$106	63	62	+1	open	—	04-26 18:28
btc updown 15m 1776778200	6	$105	61	60	+1	open	—	04-21 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	10	$105	70	68	+1	open	—	04-27 22:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	4	$104	56	56	+0	open	—	05-03 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	10	$103	74	74	+0	open	—	04-28 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	10	$103	73	71	+2	open	—	04-26 20:00
btc updown 15m 1776781800	7	$103	71	69	+1	open	—	04-21 14:41
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	9	$99	91	76	+15	open	—	04-25 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	4	$95	75	62	+13	open	—	04-29 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	5	$92	56	56	+0	open	—	04-29 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	9	$91	70	69	+1	open	—	04-27 05:43
btc updown 15m 1776777300	5	$90	51	50	+1	open	—	04-21 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	6	$88	60	60	+0	open	—	05-01 13:44
eth updown 15m 1777032000	8	$88	61	59	+1	open	—	04-24 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	9	$87	76	62	+14	open	—	04-26 14:44
eth updown 15m 1777041000	8	$86	59	58	+1	open	—	04-24 14:39
eth updown 15m 1777044600	8	$85	54	53	+1	open	—	04-24 15:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	8	$85	54	53	+1	open	—	04-28 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	6	$84	47	46	+0	open	—	04-28 01:30
eth updown 15m 1777050900	8	$84	57	56	+1	open	—	04-24 17:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	8	$84	55	54	+1	open	—	04-26 13:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 03:58:10	btc updown 5m 1786334100	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x364d55…
08-10 03:57:54	btc updown 5m 1786334100	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xc1c094…
08-10 03:31:49	btc updown 5m 1786332600	Down	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x6cd35e…
08-10 03:30:34	btc updown 5m 1786332600	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xd25fb2…
08-10 03:12:06	btc updown 5m 1786331400	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xea4d18…
08-10 03:11:10	btc updown 5m 1786331400	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x99ccef…
08-10 03:06:25	btc updown 5m 1786331100	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x29e5da…
08-10 02:53:28	eth updown 15m 1786329900	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x1cec56…
08-10 02:46:52	btc updown 5m 1786329900	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xedf9d4…
08-10 02:46:40	btc updown 15m 1786329900	Down	SELL	1	73¢	$0	0x110fd3…
08-10 02:45:58	btc updown 5m 1786329900	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf1904a…
08-10 02:45:42	btc updown 15m 1786329900	Down	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x0ec9e5…
08-10 02:45:37	eth updown 15m 1786329900	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x1f96ab…
08-10 02:45:33	btc updown 15m 1786329900	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xc45b12…
08-10 02:40:10	eth updown 15m 1786329000	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x958181…
08-10 02:40:00	btc updown 15m 1786329000	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$1	0xd243c1…
08-10 02:32:27	btc updown 5m 1786329000	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$1	0xd80c8b…
08-10 02:31:01	btc updown 15m 1786329000	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa092bb…
08-10 02:30:52	eth updown 15m 1786329000	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x73dc97…
08-10 02:30:33	btc updown 5m 1786329000	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x56f5e9…
08-10 02:25:30	btc updown 5m 1786328700	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x448303…
08-10 02:18:24	eth updown 15m 1786328100	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x20452e…
08-10 02:17:03	eth updown 15m 1786328100	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xfe642c…
08-10 02:16:45	btc updown 5m 1786328100	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xc90228…
08-10 02:16:12	btc updown 5m 1786328100	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x6e75c2…
08-10 02:09:06	btc updown 5m 1786327500	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x567fcc…
08-10 02:08:48	eth updown 15m 1786327200	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x176557…
08-10 02:08:03	btc updown 5m 1786327500	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xe76cec…
08-10 02:07:18	btc updown 15m 1786327200	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2e1996…
08-10 02:04:01	btc updown 5m 1786327200	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x9cb5b4…
08-10 02:01:27	eth updown 15m 1786327200	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xc61de4…
08-10 02:01:21	btc updown 15m 1786327200	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xac2559…
08-10 02:01:09	btc updown 5m 1786327200	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x79326e…
08-10 01:54:45	btc updown 5m 1786326600	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf23e92…
08-10 01:51:13	btc updown 5m 1786326600	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x5db1cc…
08-10 01:49:16	eth updown 15m 1786326300	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4db90b…
08-10 01:48:19	eth updown 15m 1786326300	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf27ebb…
08-10 01:47:19	btc updown 5m 1786326300	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x0825b4…
08-10 01:46:01	btc updown 5m 1786326300	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xcfc3ba…
08-10 01:43:00	eth updown 15m 1786325400	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x71dde1…
08-10 01:40:58	eth updown 15m 1786325400	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5d23f3…
08-10 01:37:07	btc updown 15m 1786325400	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x07cde2…
08-10 01:32:04	btc updown 5m 1786325400	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x0b51e6…
08-10 01:30:34	btc updown 5m 1786325400	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xce4e66…
08-10 01:30:24	btc updown 15m 1786325400	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x4cabd5…
08-10 01:27:57	btc updown 5m 1786325100	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x68dd19…
08-10 01:26:30	btc updown 5m 1786325100	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x2fb2a5…
08-10 01:24:28	eth updown 15m 1786324500	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xedc52f…
08-10 01:18:13	btc updown 5m 1786324500	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x934484…
08-10 01:16:13	eth updown 15m 1786324500	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x79a440…
08-10 01:16:00	btc updown 5m 1786324500	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xa22cc1…
08-10 01:10:31	btc updown 15m 1786323600	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xa52550…
08-10 01:02:51	btc updown 5m 1786323600	Up	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x296d75…
08-10 01:02:24	btc updown 15m 1786323600	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x24b25b…
08-10 01:01:10	btc updown 5m 1786323600	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x932760…
08-10 00:51:01	btc updown 15m 1786322700	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x495d4e…
08-10 00:49:21	btc updown 15m 1786322700	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9cfbf6…
08-10 00:48:00	btc updown 5m 1786322700	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x533904…
08-10 00:46:19	btc updown 5m 1786322700	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xc2a3bc…
08-10 00:43:37	btc updown 5m 1786322400	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$1	0xcb9c62…
08-10 00:42:18	btc updown 5m 1786322400	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x745484…
08-10 00:35:30	btc updown 5m 1786322100	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x5159b4…
08-10 00:27:09	btc updown 5m 1786321500	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$1	0xf6e1c7…
08-10 00:25:40	btc updown 5m 1786321500	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xef5dda…
08-10 00:23:12	btc updown 15m 1786320900	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x4c6203…
08-10 00:22:00	eth updown 15m 1786320900	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x8220ae…
08-10 00:19:42	btc updown 15m 1786320900	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x7e8bac…
08-10 00:19:37	eth updown 15m 1786320900	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x7cf3cd…
08-10 00:19:30	btc updown 5m 1786320900	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x2cbd12…
08-10 00:19:01	btc updown 5m 1786320900	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xb482f2…
08-10 00:03:43	btc updown 5m 1786320000	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x28852e…
08-09 22:27:40	eth updown 15m 1786313700	Up	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0x7ba5b5…
08-09 22:27:33	btc updown 5m 1786314300	Up	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0x01f182…
08-09 22:25:43	btc updown 5m 1786314300	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe3ebca…
08-09 22:23:36	btc updown 15m 1786313700	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x922c67…
08-09 22:20:27	btc updown 15m 1786313700	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x7e3bb0…
08-09 22:17:21	eth updown 15m 1786313700	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x91639a…
08-09 22:08:43	btc updown 5m 1786313100	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x57d2a1…
08-09 22:08:30	eth updown 15m 1786312800	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$1	0xa0dc00…
08-09 22:07:12	btc updown 5m 1786313100	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x742708…
08-09 22:01:28	btc updown 5m 1786312800	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2fa7ed…
08-09 22:00:55	eth updown 15m 1786312800	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x00b6fc…
08-09 22:00:22	btc updown 5m 1786312800	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x2a2acc…
08-09 21:58:34	btc updown 15m 1786311900	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa8bbe3…
08-09 21:51:31	btc updown 15m 1786311900	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x5c473f…
08-09 21:49:55	eth updown 15m 1786311900	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x87101b…
08-09 21:48:40	btc updown 5m 1786311900	Down	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x8c15e8…
08-09 21:46:57	eth updown 15m 1786311900	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe2bbf7…
08-09 21:45:51	btc updown 5m 1786311900	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xc08649…
08-09 21:44:36	btc updown 5m 1786311600	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb73f74…
08-09 21:40:15	btc updown 5m 1786311600	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xff8b1b…
08-09 21:33:19	eth updown 15m 1786311000	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x1ea421…
08-09 21:28:34	btc updown 15m 1786310100	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$1	0x20d49b…
08-09 21:25:37	eth updown 15m 1786310100	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x4adef5…
08-09 21:24:46	btc updown 15m 1786310100	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x016793…
08-09 21:24:21	eth updown 15m 1786310100	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x780190…
08-09 21:16:48	btc updown 5m 1786310100	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xb507e5…
08-09 20:49:13	btc updown 5m 1786308300	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$2	0x477301…
08-09 20:46:03	btc updown 5m 1786308300	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x314852…
08-09 20:44:21	eth updown 15m 1786307400	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xfe101f…