Carefree-Willingness — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$208

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 16:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 47% $-19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets (6)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$24	18	18	+0	open	—	05-05 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	05-05 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	1	$17	0	17	-17	Down	$-0	05-05 00:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$17	30	0	+30	open	—	05-05 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	Down	+$6	05-05 02:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	1	$10	15	0	+15	Down	$-10	05-05 04:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$10	21	0	+21	Up	+$11	05-05 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$10	15	0	+15	Down	+$5	05-05 01:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Up	$-10	05-05 00:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$10	14	0	+14	Up	$-10	05-05 02:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$9	0	15	-15	Up	$-6	05-04 23:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$8	0	9	-9	open	—	05-05 15:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Up	$-5	05-05 03:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$5	0	6	-6	open	—	05-05 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$5	9	0	+9	Down	+$4	05-05 02:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	1	$5	0	6	-6	Down	$-1	05-05 03:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	05-05 13:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-05 13:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	$-5	05-05 03:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	05-05 02:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-05 13:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$2	05-05 04:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	$-2	05-05 03:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-05 03:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-05 14:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 16:19:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$5	0x55f0fe…
05-05 15:49:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	9	83¢	$8	0x08cd84…
05-05 14:34:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x02e925…
05-05 14:12:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0x584ee4…
05-05 14:10:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x567748…
05-05 13:57:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	18	78¢	$14	0x488445…
05-05 13:55:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xe6effc…
05-05 13:45:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xc4fe85…
05-05 13:25:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x00cd13…
05-05 13:15:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf175a0…
05-05 04:20:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xc3fffc…
05-05 04:00:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xd63cc1…
05-05 03:55:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xf9ddfe…
05-05 03:35:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0x42d85c…
05-05 03:30:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x4b808b…
05-05 03:25:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x39ef45…
05-05 03:24:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x05254b…
05-05 03:15:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xf184ac…
05-05 02:50:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x6d7779…
05-05 02:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x9844e5…
05-05 02:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x9f36b3…
05-05 02:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xfda578…
05-05 02:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x554c9a…
05-05 01:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x3a0e6c…
05-05 00:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x596c01…
05-05 00:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x4f5e73…
05-05 00:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x34cc36…
05-04 23:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	15	62¢	$9	0xbbf9fa…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	24	$1.48K	145	05-05 16:19
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	20	$2.48K	70	05-05 16:19
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	6	$921	11	05-05 02:19
Long-Term-Siege 0xc5d5…6caa	6	$858	15	05-05 02:19
Adored-Dory-Producer 0x04a1…3527	4	$669	14	05-05 02:10
Slow-Minute 0xdf0d…9f79	3	$4.15K	4	05-05 03:24