Carefree-Willingness — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.9%

Resolved

1,011

Trades

11,127

lifetime

Volume

$51.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 06-30 17:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 65% $-18

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 313 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 4h 1776801600	11	$136	98	96	+2	open	—	04-21 23:40
btc updown 15m 1776779100	9	$127	76	75	+1	open	—	04-21 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	11	$125	101	77	+24	open	—	04-26 19:41
btc updown 15m 1776786300	6	$120	87	84	+3	open	—	04-21 15:58
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	11	$119	91	78	+13	open	—	04-25 16:14
eth updown 15m 1777055400	11	$115	80	68	+12	open	—	04-24 18:39
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	11	$115	94	82	+13	open	—	04-25 15:00
eth updown 15m 1777049100	9	$113	115	97	+18	open	—	04-24 16:57
btc updown 15m 1776783600	9	$109	77	76	+1	open	—	04-21 15:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	10	$106	63	62	+1	open	—	04-26 18:28
btc updown 15m 1776778200	6	$105	61	60	+1	open	—	04-21 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	10	$105	70	68	+1	open	—	04-27 22:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	4	$104	56	56	+0	open	—	05-03 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	10	$103	74	74	+0	open	—	04-28 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	10	$103	73	71	+2	open	—	04-26 20:00
btc updown 15m 1776781800	7	$103	71	69	+1	open	—	04-21 14:41
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	9	$99	91	76	+15	open	—	04-25 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	4	$95	75	62	+13	open	—	04-29 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	5	$92	56	56	+0	open	—	04-29 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	9	$91	70	69	+1	open	—	04-27 05:43
btc updown 15m 1776777300	5	$90	51	50	+1	open	—	04-21 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	6	$88	60	60	+0	open	—	05-01 13:44
eth updown 15m 1777032000	8	$88	61	59	+1	open	—	04-24 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	9	$87	76	62	+14	open	—	04-26 14:44
eth updown 15m 1777041000	8	$86	59	58	+1	open	—	04-24 14:39
eth updown 15m 1777044600	8	$85	54	53	+1	open	—	04-24 15:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	8	$85	54	53	+1	open	—	04-28 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	6	$84	47	46	+0	open	—	04-28 01:30
eth updown 15m 1777050900	8	$84	57	56	+1	open	—	04-24 17:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	8	$84	55	54	+1	open	—	04-26 13:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 00:52:16	btc updown 15m 1782866700	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xcdceab…
07-01 00:52:04	eth updown 15m 1782866700	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0x8a21c5…
07-01 00:49:10	btc updown 5m 1782866700	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x7079ec…
07-01 00:46:25	eth updown 15m 1782866700	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3dfdc2…
07-01 00:46:07	btc updown 5m 1782866700	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xc3d2e4…
07-01 00:45:52	btc updown 15m 1782866700	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xda4ebf…
07-01 00:38:49	eth updown 15m 1782865800	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x000e48…
07-01 00:38:34	btc updown 15m 1782865800	Up	SELL	4	92¢	$3	0xb183bc…
07-01 00:36:10	eth updown 15m 1782865800	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xc26ac7…
07-01 00:34:23	eth updown 15m 1782865800	Up	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0xeb3897…
07-01 00:31:16	btc updown 5m 1782865800	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x81b726…
07-01 00:30:37	btc updown 5m 1782865800	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x4d0a06…
07-01 00:30:26	eth updown 15m 1782865800	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x8e56e4…
07-01 00:30:16	btc updown 15m 1782865800	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xb1b8bf…
07-01 00:15:49	btc updown 15m 1782864900	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x33339a…
07-01 00:15:40	btc updown 5m 1782864900	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4f7623…
07-01 00:15:32	eth updown 15m 1782864900	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xafe087…
07-01 00:14:38	btc updown 15m 1782864000	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x960418…
07-01 00:13:56	btc updown 15m 1782864000	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x76dbdb…
07-01 00:09:38	btc updown 5m 1782864300	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$2	0x26d31e…
07-01 00:05:58	btc updown 5m 1782864300	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xbd529e…
07-01 00:05:20	eth updown 15m 1782864000	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x4aa05f…
07-01 00:05:13	btc updown 15m 1782864000	Up	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0xa6a36f…
07-01 00:03:37	btc updown 15m 1782864000	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x06f37e…
07-01 00:00:38	eth updown 15m 1782864000	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x7281b6…
07-01 00:00:32	btc updown 15m 1782864000	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xb022bf…
06-30 23:40:26	btc updown 5m 1782862800	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf91e5f…
06-30 23:39:11	btc updown 15m 1782862200	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x546be0…
06-30 23:32:01	btc updown 15m 1782862200	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x10be3d…
06-30 23:25:52	eth updown 15m 1782861300	Up	SELL	4	86¢	$3	0xe2d388…
06-30 23:25:43	btc updown 15m 1782861300	Up	SELL	4	67¢	$2	0x3c8eee…
06-30 23:16:49	btc updown 5m 1782861300	Up	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0xb79c40…
06-30 23:15:35	btc updown 15m 1782861300	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x9efef1…
06-30 23:15:28	eth updown 15m 1782861300	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x0dc519…
06-30 23:15:20	btc updown 5m 1782861300	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x54974d…
06-30 23:14:50	btc updown 15m 1782860400	Up	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0xd12d66…
06-30 23:09:43	eth updown 15m 1782860400	Up	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0xb92113…
06-30 23:08:08	eth updown 15m 1782860400	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x0a0803…
06-30 23:08:02	btc updown 15m 1782860400	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x8008b7…
06-30 22:50:47	eth updown 15m 1782859500	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xee80bf…
06-30 22:50:40	btc updown 15m 1782859500	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xf4db3a…
06-30 22:24:22	btc updown 15m 1782857700	Down	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0xe16e34…
06-30 22:22:23	eth updown 15m 1782857700	Down	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x2901da…
06-30 22:17:01	btc updown 15m 1782857700	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x9c71e0…
06-30 22:16:49	eth updown 15m 1782857700	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x0afb1c…
06-30 22:00:46	eth updown 15m 1782855900	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x155a5d…
06-30 21:59:29	btc updown 5m 1782856500	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf03554…
06-30 21:59:23	eth updown 15m 1782855900	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x872d09…
06-30 21:58:23	eth updown 15m 1782855900	Up	SELL	4	94¢	$3	0xbaa747…
06-30 21:56:37	btc updown 15m 1782855900	Up	SELL	4	86¢	$3	0xd9352d…
06-30 21:53:26	btc updown 5m 1782856200	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xdbdb08…
06-30 21:50:13	btc updown 5m 1782856200	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xdc35f7…
06-30 21:45:38	btc updown 5m 1782855900	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x8a7e78…
06-30 21:45:31	eth updown 15m 1782855900	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x02c480…
06-30 21:45:22	btc updown 15m 1782855900	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x46b4c3…
06-30 21:39:14	btc updown 15m 1782855000	Up	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x2cb779…
06-30 21:34:28	btc updown 5m 1782855000	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x7d7bfa…
06-30 21:31:32	btc updown 5m 1782855000	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xcdb183…
06-30 21:31:28	btc updown 15m 1782855000	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xf8b87b…
06-30 21:31:22	eth updown 15m 1782855000	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xa5abde…
06-30 21:29:32	btc updown 15m 1782854100	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xea5877…
06-30 21:18:52	btc updown 5m 1782854100	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x3f42b7…
06-30 21:17:38	btc updown 5m 1782854100	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x13da5f…
06-30 21:15:40	btc updown 15m 1782854100	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc153ec…
06-30 21:15:35	eth updown 15m 1782854100	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x45b4a6…
06-30 20:55:02	btc updown 15m 1782852300	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xef7616…
06-30 20:51:52	btc updown 15m 1782852300	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xdc49eb…
06-30 20:48:25	btc updown 15m 1782852300	Up	SELL	3	81¢	$3	0x0de7c2…
06-30 20:48:04	eth updown 15m 1782852300	Up	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x72fc31…
06-30 20:47:34	btc updown 5m 1782852300	Up	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xbf50de…
06-30 20:46:38	btc updown 5m 1782852300	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xdfea2c…
06-30 20:46:34	btc updown 15m 1782852300	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x48e5a3…
06-30 20:46:32	eth updown 15m 1782852300	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xde76db…
06-30 17:13:16	eth updown 15m 1782838800	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xf07b00…
06-30 17:12:49	btc updown 15m 1782838800	Down	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0x089183…
06-30 17:00:37	btc updown 5m 1782838800	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xfa1917…
06-30 17:00:32	eth updown 15m 1782838800	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe90731…
06-30 17:00:28	btc updown 15m 1782838800	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb742d8…
06-30 16:58:16	btc updown 5m 1782838500	Down	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x39494a…
06-30 16:55:31	btc updown 5m 1782838500	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x1caaec…
06-30 16:52:22	btc updown 15m 1782837900	Up	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x499f1e…
06-30 16:50:19	eth updown 15m 1782837900	Up	SELL	3	82¢	$3	0x25600d…
06-30 16:47:56	btc updown 5m 1782837900	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xec6962…
06-30 16:45:37	btc updown 5m 1782837900	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xc29ada…
06-30 16:45:28	eth updown 15m 1782837900	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x8619de…
06-30 16:45:17	btc updown 15m 1782837900	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x0dab5c…
06-30 16:43:10	btc updown 15m 1782837000	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x4b2e1a…
06-30 16:39:20	btc updown 15m 1782837000	Up	SELL	4	91¢	$3	0x5761b4…
06-30 16:38:59	eth updown 15m 1782837000	Up	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0xb67fc4…
06-30 16:32:01	btc updown 5m 1782837000	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x01d00c…
06-30 16:31:56	eth updown 15m 1782837000	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xae2d95…
06-30 16:31:52	btc updown 15m 1782837000	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x13ed99…
06-30 16:17:19	btc updown 15m 1782836100	Up	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xeb2e3e…
06-30 16:15:46	btc updown 15m 1782836100	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4f6faf…
06-30 15:43:17	btc updown 15m 1782833400	Up	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0xd36303…
06-30 15:35:31	btc updown 5m 1782833700	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc0e8fe…
06-30 15:34:28	eth updown 15m 1782833400	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xd7348d…
06-30 15:34:23	btc updown 15m 1782833400	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x44cd11…
06-30 14:18:02	btc updown 15m 1782828900	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x5e41a0…
06-30 14:16:52	btc updown 15m 1782828900	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x0f0321…