Carefree-Willingness — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.9%

Resolved

1,011

Trades

11,127

lifetime

Volume

$51.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 06-30 17:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 65% $-18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 313 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 4h 1776801600	11	$136	98	96	+2	open	—	04-21 23:40
btc updown 15m 1776779100	9	$127	76	75	+1	open	—	04-21 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	11	$125	101	77	+24	open	—	04-26 19:41
btc updown 15m 1776786300	6	$120	87	84	+3	open	—	04-21 15:58
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	11	$119	91	78	+13	open	—	04-25 16:14
eth updown 15m 1777055400	11	$115	80	68	+12	open	—	04-24 18:39
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	11	$115	94	82	+13	open	—	04-25 15:00
eth updown 15m 1777049100	9	$113	115	97	+18	open	—	04-24 16:57
btc updown 15m 1776783600	9	$109	77	76	+1	open	—	04-21 15:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	10	$106	63	62	+1	open	—	04-26 18:28
btc updown 15m 1776778200	6	$105	61	60	+1	open	—	04-21 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	10	$105	70	68	+1	open	—	04-27 22:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	4	$104	56	56	+0	open	—	05-03 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	10	$103	74	74	+0	open	—	04-28 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	10	$103	73	71	+2	open	—	04-26 20:00
btc updown 15m 1776781800	7	$103	71	69	+1	open	—	04-21 14:41
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	9	$99	91	76	+15	open	—	04-25 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	4	$95	75	62	+13	open	—	04-29 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	5	$92	56	56	+0	open	—	04-29 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	9	$91	70	69	+1	open	—	04-27 05:43
btc updown 15m 1776777300	5	$90	51	50	+1	open	—	04-21 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	6	$88	60	60	+0	open	—	05-01 13:44
eth updown 15m 1777032000	8	$88	61	59	+1	open	—	04-24 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	9	$87	76	62	+14	open	—	04-26 14:44
eth updown 15m 1777041000	8	$86	59	58	+1	open	—	04-24 14:39
eth updown 15m 1777044600	8	$85	54	53	+1	open	—	04-24 15:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	8	$85	54	53	+1	open	—	04-28 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	6	$84	47	46	+0	open	—	04-28 01:30
eth updown 15m 1777050900	8	$84	57	56	+1	open	—	04-24 17:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	8	$84	55	54	+1	open	—	04-26 13:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 17:13:16	eth updown 15m 1782838800	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xf07b00…
06-30 17:12:49	btc updown 15m 1782838800	Down	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0x089183…
06-30 17:00:37	btc updown 5m 1782838800	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xfa1917…
06-30 17:00:32	eth updown 15m 1782838800	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe90731…
06-30 17:00:28	btc updown 15m 1782838800	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb742d8…
06-30 16:58:16	btc updown 5m 1782838500	Down	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x39494a…
06-30 16:55:31	btc updown 5m 1782838500	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x1caaec…
06-30 16:52:22	btc updown 15m 1782837900	Up	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x499f1e…
06-30 16:50:19	eth updown 15m 1782837900	Up	SELL	3	82¢	$3	0x25600d…
06-30 16:47:56	btc updown 5m 1782837900	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xec6962…
06-30 16:45:37	btc updown 5m 1782837900	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xc29ada…
06-30 16:45:28	eth updown 15m 1782837900	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x8619de…
06-30 16:45:17	btc updown 15m 1782837900	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x0dab5c…
06-30 16:43:10	btc updown 15m 1782837000	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x4b2e1a…
06-30 16:39:20	btc updown 15m 1782837000	Up	SELL	4	91¢	$3	0x5761b4…
06-30 16:38:59	eth updown 15m 1782837000	Up	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0xb67fc4…
06-30 16:32:01	btc updown 5m 1782837000	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x01d00c…
06-30 16:31:56	eth updown 15m 1782837000	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xae2d95…
06-30 16:31:52	btc updown 15m 1782837000	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x13ed99…
06-30 16:17:19	btc updown 15m 1782836100	Up	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xeb2e3e…
06-30 16:15:46	btc updown 15m 1782836100	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4f6faf…
06-30 15:43:17	btc updown 15m 1782833400	Up	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0xd36303…
06-30 15:35:31	btc updown 5m 1782833700	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc0e8fe…
06-30 15:34:28	eth updown 15m 1782833400	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xd7348d…
06-30 15:34:23	btc updown 15m 1782833400	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x44cd11…
06-30 14:18:02	btc updown 15m 1782828900	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x5e41a0…
06-30 14:16:52	btc updown 15m 1782828900	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x0f0321…
06-30 14:13:23	eth updown 15m 1782828000	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x45020f…
06-30 14:11:32	eth updown 15m 1782828000	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x6d93b0…
06-30 14:06:35	btc updown 15m 1782828000	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x6db9c3…
06-30 14:05:43	btc updown 15m 1782828000	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x196172…
06-30 14:03:07	eth updown 15m 1782828000	Up	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x89ed03…
06-30 14:02:56	btc updown 15m 1782828000	Up	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x03f983…
06-30 14:02:32	btc updown 5m 1782828000	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xb05974…
06-30 14:01:40	btc updown 15m 1782828000	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x647b9b…
06-30 14:01:07	btc updown 5m 1782828000	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x0ef7f8…
06-30 14:00:55	eth updown 15m 1782828000	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6e8412…
06-30 13:58:49	btc updown 15m 1782827100	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x39222d…
06-30 13:56:01	btc updown 15m 1782827100	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x4a100c…
06-30 13:49:43	btc updown 15m 1782827100	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0xe78850…
06-30 13:47:38	btc updown 15m 1782827100	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x581fab…
06-30 13:44:47	btc updown 15m 1782826200	Up	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x654572…
06-30 13:30:37	eth updown 15m 1782826200	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x86cef1…
06-30 13:30:25	btc updown 15m 1782826200	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x4a66ba…
06-30 13:29:14	btc updown 15m 1782825300	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x325108…
06-30 13:26:58	eth updown 15m 1782825300	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x5d853f…
06-30 13:25:10	eth updown 15m 1782825300	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x727b77…
06-30 13:23:43	btc updown 15m 1782825300	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x7d9e50…
06-30 13:21:49	eth updown 15m 1782825300	Up	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0x77a728…
06-30 13:21:17	btc updown 15m 1782825300	Up	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0xfa2dd3…
06-30 13:17:56	btc updown 5m 1782825300	Up	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x37e2cc…
06-30 13:15:32	eth updown 15m 1782825300	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xbf9a59…
06-30 13:15:23	btc updown 5m 1782825300	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xb87b75…
06-30 13:15:14	btc updown 15m 1782825300	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x09bb3b…
06-30 13:06:44	btc updown 15m 1782824400	Up	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x8e6359…
06-30 13:05:58	eth updown 15m 1782824400	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x9699c2…
06-30 13:02:01	eth updown 15m 1782824400	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x226875…
06-30 13:01:49	btc updown 5m 1782824400	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x15cbfa…
06-30 13:01:37	btc updown 15m 1782824400	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x99478a…
06-30 05:39:40	btc updown 15m 1782797400	Up	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0xa98192…
06-30 05:37:22	eth updown 15m 1782797400	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x505d23…
06-30 05:31:25	btc updown 5m 1782797400	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc00cd0…
06-30 05:30:37	eth updown 15m 1782797400	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x60ff8d…
06-30 05:30:32	btc updown 15m 1782797400	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x3f6791…
06-30 05:24:46	btc updown 15m 1782796500	Up	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0xe617d1…
06-30 05:15:35	btc updown 5m 1782796500	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x8ff658…
06-30 05:15:25	eth updown 15m 1782796500	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xe9deda…
06-30 05:15:20	btc updown 15m 1782796500	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xf54228…
06-30 05:06:22	eth updown 15m 1782795600	Up	SELL	4	87¢	$3	0x0ce83c…
06-30 05:02:49	btc updown 5m 1782795600	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8711cb…
06-30 05:00:32	eth updown 15m 1782795600	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x3fb573…
06-30 05:00:26	btc updown 15m 1782795600	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x560de3…
06-30 04:45:23	eth updown 15m 1782794700	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x4fee2a…
06-30 04:45:16	btc updown 15m 1782794700	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x1baa21…
06-30 04:44:11	btc updown 15m 1782793800	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x771fbf…
06-30 04:42:46	btc updown 15m 1782793800	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd546cc…
06-30 04:33:22	eth updown 15m 1782793800	Up	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0x5b9bac…
06-30 04:32:43	btc updown 15m 1782793800	Up	SELL	4	87¢	$3	0x8f5320…
06-30 04:31:11	btc updown 5m 1782793800	Up	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0xa2df4c…
06-30 04:30:29	btc updown 5m 1782793800	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x4d7c6e…
06-30 04:30:25	eth updown 15m 1782793800	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa2badd…
06-30 04:30:20	btc updown 15m 1782793800	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x2fb492…
06-30 04:27:14	btc updown 5m 1782793500	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x830426…
06-30 04:25:29	btc updown 5m 1782793500	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x09dcbb…
06-30 03:59:32	btc updown 5m 1782791700	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x13d53e…
06-30 03:56:34	btc updown 5m 1782791700	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x5a1d0c…
06-30 03:45:14	btc updown 15m 1782791100	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xa42ae9…
06-30 03:40:41	btc updown 5m 1782790800	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xfea802…
06-30 03:37:34	btc updown 5m 1782790500	Up	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x7a1e2a…
06-30 03:36:13	btc updown 5m 1782790500	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x21ac7a…
06-30 03:30:17	eth updown 15m 1782790200	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xe9980f…
06-30 03:30:11	btc updown 15m 1782790200	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x10f2d7…
06-30 03:26:43	btc updown 5m 1782789900	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xd9e5a4…
06-30 03:25:17	btc updown 5m 1782789900	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x48c53c…
06-30 03:18:56	btc updown 15m 1782789300	Up	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0x8e68a2…
06-30 03:18:49	eth updown 15m 1782789300	Up	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0x6701d6…
06-30 03:17:17	btc updown 5m 1782789300	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x1048b4…
06-30 03:15:38	btc updown 5m 1782789300	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x07f08f…
06-30 03:15:34	eth updown 15m 1782789300	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x9cd6ab…
06-30 03:15:28	btc updown 15m 1782789300	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x76f7fb…