Carefree-Willingness — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.9%

Resolved

1,011

Trades

14,581

lifetime

Volume

$56.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 07-21 00:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 65% $-18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 313 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 4h 1776801600	11	$136	98	96	+2	open	—	04-21 23:40
btc updown 15m 1776779100	9	$127	76	75	+1	open	—	04-21 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	11	$125	101	77	+24	open	—	04-26 19:41
btc updown 15m 1776786300	6	$120	87	84	+3	open	—	04-21 15:58
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	11	$119	91	78	+13	open	—	04-25 16:14
eth updown 15m 1777055400	11	$115	80	68	+12	open	—	04-24 18:39
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	11	$115	94	82	+13	open	—	04-25 15:00
eth updown 15m 1777049100	9	$113	115	97	+18	open	—	04-24 16:57
btc updown 15m 1776783600	9	$109	77	76	+1	open	—	04-21 15:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	10	$106	63	62	+1	open	—	04-26 18:28
btc updown 15m 1776778200	6	$105	61	60	+1	open	—	04-21 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	10	$105	70	68	+1	open	—	04-27 22:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	4	$104	56	56	+0	open	—	05-03 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	10	$103	74	74	+0	open	—	04-28 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	10	$103	73	71	+2	open	—	04-26 20:00
btc updown 15m 1776781800	7	$103	71	69	+1	open	—	04-21 14:41
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	9	$99	91	76	+15	open	—	04-25 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	4	$95	75	62	+13	open	—	04-29 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	5	$92	56	56	+0	open	—	04-29 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	9	$91	70	69	+1	open	—	04-27 05:43
btc updown 15m 1776777300	5	$90	51	50	+1	open	—	04-21 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	6	$88	60	60	+0	open	—	05-01 13:44
eth updown 15m 1777032000	8	$88	61	59	+1	open	—	04-24 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	9	$87	76	62	+14	open	—	04-26 14:44
eth updown 15m 1777041000	8	$86	59	58	+1	open	—	04-24 14:39
eth updown 15m 1777044600	8	$85	54	53	+1	open	—	04-24 15:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	8	$85	54	53	+1	open	—	04-28 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	6	$84	47	46	+0	open	—	04-28 01:30
eth updown 15m 1777050900	8	$84	57	56	+1	open	—	04-24 17:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	8	$84	55	54	+1	open	—	04-26 13:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 03:37:21	btc updown 15m 1784604600	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd6e75d…
07-21 03:19:00	btc updown 5m 1784603700	Up	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0x419754…
07-21 03:15:16	btc updown 5m 1784603700	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x1c768f…
07-21 03:13:19	btc updown 5m 1784603400	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0x8cd995…
07-21 03:10:34	btc updown 5m 1784603400	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x858996…
07-21 02:55:52	btc updown 5m 1784602500	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xd537ec…
07-21 02:55:22	btc updown 5m 1784602500	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xf285de…
07-21 02:52:54	btc updown 5m 1784602200	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xce71bf…
07-21 02:49:28	btc updown 5m 1784601900	Down	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x75d692…
07-21 02:45:33	btc updown 5m 1784601900	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x0ba858…
07-21 02:39:48	btc updown 5m 1784601300	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x203bd9…
07-21 02:35:52	btc updown 5m 1784601300	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xdf85ab…
07-21 02:02:37	btc updown 5m 1784599200	Up	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0x1bb407…
07-21 02:00:15	btc updown 5m 1784599200	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xa88c5a…
07-21 01:58:10	btc updown 5m 1784598900	Up	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x743a5e…
07-21 01:57:15	btc updown 5m 1784598900	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x34b472…
07-21 00:10:19	eth updown 15m 1784592000	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xc21fbe…
07-20 22:08:01	eth updown 15m 1784584800	Down	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xfbb997…
07-20 22:07:19	btc updown 15m 1784584800	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xf95417…
07-20 22:01:46	btc updown 5m 1784584800	Down	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x07396a…
07-20 22:01:15	btc updown 15m 1784584800	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x2f4e84…
07-20 22:01:09	eth updown 15m 1784584800	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xfb21db…
07-20 22:01:04	btc updown 5m 1784584800	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xce9c24…
07-20 21:19:31	btc updown 5m 1784582100	Up	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x137032…
07-20 21:16:51	btc updown 5m 1784582100	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x3727fe…
07-20 20:55:25	eth updown 15m 1784580300	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x68c0c1…
07-20 20:55:10	btc updown 15m 1784580300	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$1	0xd4c0d0…
07-20 20:48:22	btc updown 5m 1784580300	Up	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x3160eb…
07-20 20:46:39	eth updown 15m 1784580300	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf75ffe…
07-20 20:46:36	btc updown 15m 1784580300	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xfcda6c…
07-20 20:46:10	btc updown 5m 1784580300	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x66d823…
07-20 19:48:49	btc updown 5m 1784576700	Up	SELL	3	83¢	$3	0x45a5fa…
07-20 19:45:22	btc updown 5m 1784576700	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x1478bd…
07-20 19:38:37	eth updown 15m 1784575800	Down	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x573653…
07-20 19:38:28	btc updown 15m 1784575800	Down	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x11da5a…
07-20 19:31:39	btc updown 15m 1784575800	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x9bc3a1…
07-20 19:31:33	eth updown 15m 1784575800	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x44ee38…
07-20 19:31:10	btc updown 5m 1784575800	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xed12d1…
07-20 19:30:39	btc updown 5m 1784575800	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xe8594b…
07-20 19:24:24	btc updown 15m 1784574900	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x6137e6…
07-20 19:22:54	eth updown 15m 1784574900	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xca1718…
07-20 19:19:12	eth updown 15m 1784574900	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x458226…
07-20 19:17:06	btc updown 5m 1784574900	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0xb741bb…
07-20 19:15:27	btc updown 5m 1784574900	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x5b40bb…
07-20 19:10:12	eth updown 15m 1784574000	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x9656bb…
07-20 19:05:40	eth updown 15m 1784574000	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xbca520…
07-20 19:00:34	btc updown 5m 1784574000	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xd09a80…
07-20 18:57:19	btc updown 15m 1784573100	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x699013…
07-20 18:56:48	btc updown 15m 1784573100	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x7749ea…
07-20 18:52:40	btc updown 5m 1784573400	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc7e415…
07-20 18:45:25	btc updown 5m 1784573100	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xb8e94b…
07-20 18:40:58	eth updown 15m 1784572200	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf10099…
07-20 18:40:06	btc updown 15m 1784572200	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9ce0e4…
07-20 18:38:37	eth updown 15m 1784572200	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xd5dd6c…
07-20 18:38:13	btc updown 15m 1784572200	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x0816f1…
07-20 18:22:45	btc updown 15m 1784571300	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x2fdc45…
07-20 18:22:31	eth updown 15m 1784571300	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xd31368…
07-20 18:20:54	eth updown 15m 1784571300	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x73c40e…
07-20 18:20:51	btc updown 15m 1784571300	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x182b5e…
07-20 17:50:16	btc updown 15m 1784569500	Up	SELL	3	89¢	$2	0xd2a309…
07-20 17:45:46	btc updown 15m 1784569500	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xb10b8e…
07-20 17:40:28	btc updown 5m 1784569200	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x74d96e…
07-20 17:39:25	eth updown 15m 1784568600	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xf99ec6…
07-20 17:36:48	btc updown 15m 1784568600	Down	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x86d984…
07-20 17:34:48	eth updown 15m 1784568600	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x04461a…
07-20 17:34:45	btc updown 15m 1784568600	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe4b935…
07-20 17:33:36	btc updown 5m 1784568600	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x9548d5…
07-20 17:30:31	btc updown 5m 1784568600	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xbd0fe3…
07-20 17:27:48	btc updown 15m 1784567700	Up	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x2f1758…
07-20 17:22:24	btc updown 15m 1784567700	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9d9e64…
07-20 17:06:34	btc updown 15m 1784566800	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x99cc13…
07-20 17:05:42	btc updown 15m 1784566800	Down	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x9085d3…
07-20 17:01:31	btc updown 15m 1784566800	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x3a26ec…
07-20 16:48:27	btc updown 15m 1784565900	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x67d634…
07-20 16:46:36	btc updown 5m 1784565900	Up	SELL	4	86¢	$3	0x9a7bd9…
07-20 16:45:18	btc updown 5m 1784565900	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x69ef7f…
07-20 16:40:54	btc updown 5m 1784565600	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0x2c4711…
07-20 16:40:13	btc updown 5m 1784565600	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb3e358…
07-20 16:36:40	btc updown 5m 1784565300	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xc967ed…
07-20 16:33:45	btc updown 5m 1784565000	Down	SELL	2	87¢	$1	0xd37749…
07-20 16:33:04	btc updown 5m 1784565000	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe5fd67…
07-20 16:26:00	btc updown 15m 1784564100	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa12f5e…
07-20 16:22:34	btc updown 15m 1784564100	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xee7258…
07-20 16:16:25	btc updown 5m 1784564100	Down	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0xe83b0d…
07-20 16:15:18	btc updown 5m 1784564100	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x6436be…
07-20 16:13:30	btc updown 15m 1784563200	Down	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0x4517e6…
07-20 16:12:16	btc updown 15m 1784563200	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x0ae03b…
07-20 13:31:18	btc updown 5m 1784554200	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x3ec9d3…
07-20 13:01:04	btc updown 5m 1784552400	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x8d3d8d…
07-20 12:51:27	btc updown 5m 1784551800	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x367dd4…
07-20 12:50:31	btc updown 15m 1784551500	Up	SELL	3	91¢	$2	0x30b3dc…
07-20 12:47:13	eth updown 15m 1784551500	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xb9c14f…
07-20 12:45:52	btc updown 15m 1784551500	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xdd6ad1…
07-20 05:32:40	btc updown 5m 1784525400	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x12c175…
07-20 05:18:39	btc updown 5m 1784524500	Up	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0xfbfa74…
07-20 05:15:48	btc updown 5m 1784524500	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x0065cb…
07-20 05:10:31	btc updown 15m 1784523600	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfabff4…
07-20 05:09:45	eth updown 15m 1784523600	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x465c67…
07-20 05:07:46	btc updown 5m 1784523900	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf268eb…
07-20 05:05:49	btc updown 15m 1784523600	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x665b23…