Lumpy-Reorganisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.6%

Resolved

Trades

2,065

lifetime

Volume

$103.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 05-24 14:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

95% — —

Crypto

4% 82% $-11

Politics

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 189 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 90 114	47	$10.3K	10,230	10,230	+0	open	—	03-11 14:45
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 360 379	32	$6.3K	5,355	5,355	+0	open	—	03-13 16:10
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 320 339	2	$4.4K	2,229	2,229	+0	open	—	03-13 06:18
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 65 89	2	$4.2K	2,113	2,113	+0	open	—	03-10 17:21
elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 65 89	36	$3.9K	4,013	3,260	+753	open	—	04-06 11:17
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	44	$3.6K	5,876	4,086	+1,790	open	—	04-03 15:19
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 65 89	32	$2.9K	4,020	1,903	+2,117	open	—	03-21 08:37
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	15	$2.9K	2,542	3,041	-498	open	—	04-03 15:47
elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 40 64	37	$2.7K	4,992	5,226	-234	open	—	04-06 09:10
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 380 399	44	$2.5K	5,673	1,389	+4,284	open	—	03-13 15:53
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	34	$2.5K	1,871	1,871	+0	open	—	03-20 16:00
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 360 379	7	$2.5K	3,089	1,589	+1,500	open	—	03-10 15:59
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 280 299	8	$2.4K	1,256	1,256	+0	open	—	03-20 00:12
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 300 319	9	$2.0K	2,192	0	+2,192	open	—	03-12 09:55
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 340 359	11	$2.0K	7,224	2,224	+5,000	open	—	03-13 14:24
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 40 64	4	$1.8K	939	939	+0	open	—	03-18 08:03
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 260 279	24	$1.6K	1,894	1,988	-94	open	—	04-10 15:04
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 0 39	7	$1.6K	883	883	+0	open	—	03-17 12:14
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	21	$1.6K	692	2,167	-1,475	open	—	04-10 12:25
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 40 64	2	$1.5K	774	774	+0	open	—	03-10 13:17
elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 0 39	5	$1.5K	1,548	1,103	+446	open	—	04-05 11:40
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 90 114	19	$1.5K	3,154	1,737	+1,417	open	—	04-04 15:17
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 300 319	2	$1.4K	741	741	+0	open	—	03-10 07:21
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 0 39	16	$1.3K	661	661	+0	open	—	03-09 21:39
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 380 399	2	$1.3K	664	664	+0	open	—	03-10 14:38
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 115 139	23	$1.1K	20,395	199	+20,196	open	—	04-04 15:40
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	8	$1.0K	1,957	1,469	+487	open	—	03-10 15:59
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 260 279	2	$969	519	519	+0	open	—	03-19 08:43
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 40 64	12	$939	934	934	+0	open	—	03-15 18:48
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 240 259	13	$930	492	492	+0	open	—	03-19 07:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 14:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x285090…
05-23 21:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd20779…
05-23 18:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb248d7…
05-21 17:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5e6b7a…
05-21 17:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3e6e55…
05-21 10:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x859205…
05-20 15:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2b89e8…
05-20 14:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0dc771…
05-20 13:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x15fe92…
05-19 06:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x1ee20c…
05-19 06:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xb799b8…
05-19 05:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x338fb6…
05-19 05:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xf466be…
05-19 05:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0x4f1487…
05-19 05:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x72aeff…
05-19 05:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x40d875…
05-19 03:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xeedb36…
05-19 03:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x0c16bb…
05-19 01:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xced28f…
05-19 01:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xcf769d…
05-19 01:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x047219…
05-19 01:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x92b9ac…
05-19 01:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xef98b4…
05-19 01:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x0756e6…
05-19 01:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x6d844d…
05-19 01:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x8edb18…
05-19 00:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6fc01d…
05-19 00:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x290548…
05-19 00:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x1ed864…
05-19 00:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xb6e149…
05-18 23:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xaa06c4…
05-18 23:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x84d0d1…
05-18 21:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xfd3a50…
05-18 21:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0x3432f8…
05-18 21:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x1ecb88…
05-18 21:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xdb5b12…
05-18 20:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x5f341d…
05-18 20:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xb43557…
05-18 20:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x5a1cfc…
05-18 20:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0x1a2a51…
05-18 20:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x1baae9…
05-18 20:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0x5c12a6…
05-18 19:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x9afd3e…
05-18 19:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0xe6a009…
05-18 19:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xd1bc7f…
05-18 19:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0xb0d26b…
05-18 18:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0xd2a676…
05-18 16:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xbe8ce9…
05-18 16:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x387a00…
05-18 16:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x599744…
05-18 16:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xf987e1…
05-18 16:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0xfdbaca…
05-18 16:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x83e17a…
05-18 16:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5388ff…
05-18 16:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xe39b0d…
05-18 16:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc4852b…
05-18 15:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$4	0x8886ef…
05-18 15:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$4	0xf33595…
05-18 15:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x9198ac…
05-18 15:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x5172c1…
05-18 15:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0x44c204…
05-18 15:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0xc78d29…
05-18 15:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0xa1ec4f…
05-18 15:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0xfbeb72…
05-18 15:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x1b5700…
05-18 15:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$3	0x68e218…
05-18 15:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x74fe87…
05-18 15:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x1c16c7…
05-18 14:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x0f5942…
05-18 14:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xc601f1…
05-18 14:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x0b57a8…
05-18 14:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x08e6fe…
05-18 14:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x32fc65…
05-18 14:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xb2d31b…
05-18 14:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xd7abd6…
05-18 14:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$2	0xa40b1e…
05-18 14:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x976eea…
05-18 14:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	91¢	$3	0xc1eef6…
05-18 14:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xc77eda…
05-18 14:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xb27256…
05-18 14:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x55d6d9…
05-18 14:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xa0e632…
05-18 14:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x0ee58a…
05-18 14:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x235f4f…
05-18 13:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xe182f6…
05-18 13:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x1ec6b2…
05-18 13:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xbbae72…
05-18 13:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xf3c642…
05-18 13:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x096a1b…
05-18 13:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$2	0x55203a…
05-18 13:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x42f4e3…
05-18 13:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$2	0x221ffd…
05-18 11:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0xc752b7…
05-18 11:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x91c511…
05-18 11:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xc325c6…
05-18 09:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	81¢	$3	0x6e97ed…
05-18 08:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x7ec19c…
05-18 08:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$2	0xa61c2c…
05-18 06:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x6b483e…
05-18 06:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x8a702c…