Realized P&L
+$4
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
81.5%
Resolved
25
Trades
1,018
lifetime
Volume
$4.44K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$26
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-12 01:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Sports
68% 71% +$3
Crypto
13% 100% +$1
Politics
10% 100% +$0
Other
8% 60% +$0
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 95 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No -6 $-5 84¢ $-5 +$0 06-07 01:07
Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +3 $3 96¢ $3 $-0 06-11 00:56
Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 06-11 01:03
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -3 $-2 64¢ $-2 $-0 06-05 14:36
Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 06-11 00:49
Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +2 $2 96¢ $2 $-0 06-11 00:35
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes -3 $-1 55¢ $-2 $-1 06-07 01:04
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -2 $-1 55¢ $-1 $-0 06-07 01:05
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 06-11 02:12
Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 06-11 01:03
Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +1 $1 96¢ $1 $-0 06-11 01:01
Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +1 $1 86¢ $1 $-0 06-11 00:38
Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +1 $1 86¢ $1 $-0 06-11 01:38
Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +1 $1 86¢ $1 $-0 06-11 00:49
Will England advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +1 $1 96¢ $1 $-0 06-11 01:01