Waterlogged-Editing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$847

Unrealized P&L

+$750

Hit rate

57.5%

Resolved

Trades

400

lifetime

Volume

$14.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-10

last 10-27 21:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Politics

56% 100% +$101

Crypto

33% 43% -$748

Other

10% 43% -$200

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+0	-$750	36¢	$0	+$750	10-27 21:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	20	$7.7K	12,499	12,499	+0	open	—	10-27 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	11	$625	1,370	0	+1,370	Down	-$625	05-30 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	16	$526	400	400	+0	Up	+$102	05-12 22:52
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	8	$429	1,178	0	+1,178	No	-$429	05-12 17:27
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	13	$406	701	70	+631	Yes	+$295	05-19 23:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	17	$349	301	301	+0	Down	+$149	05-23 01:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	15	$306	600	0	+600	Up	+$294	05-10 20:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	1	$300	577	0	+577	Down	-$300	05-30 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	10	$282	809	273	+536	Up	+$22	05-23 01:19
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	5	$270	166	166	+0	Yes	+$37	05-19 02:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$200	476	0	+476	Up	+$276	05-28 21:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	8	$198	200	140	+60	Down	+$58	05-12 22:58
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	7	$186	1,510	641	+869	Yes	-$34	05-12 14:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	18	$185	1,730	0	+1,730	Down	-$185	05-12 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	12	$180	179	179	+0	Up	+$37	05-11 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	7	$175	638	0	+638	Down	-$175	05-30 03:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	40	$169	500	375	+125	Down	+$144	05-12 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	11	$169	472	0	+472	Down	-$169	05-12 23:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	3	$155	506	0	+506	Up	-$155	05-10 20:29
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	5	$144	173	173	+0	No	+$43	05-14 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	8	$137	150	150	+0	Down	+$21	05-11 17:45
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	3	$120	1,191	1,191	+0	No	+$20	05-13 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	7	$103	128	100	+28	Down	+$17	05-11 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	8	$94	690	690	+0	Down	-$30	05-10 20:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	4	$93	118	116	+2	Up	+$15	05-12 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	31	$89	866	0	+866	Up	-$89	05-12 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	43	$77	1,100	0	+1,100	Down	-$77	05-23 01:14
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?	2	$70	80	50	+30	Yes	+$38	05-11 08:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	4	$62	119	60	+59	Down	+$7	05-11 17:02
Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	4	$60	221	0	+221	No	-$60	05-13 17:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 21:14:33	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	8,418	34¢	$2,862	0xef127c…
10-27 21:14:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,000	34¢	$340	0x5a0fde…
10-27 21:14:15	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	15	34¢	$5	0x384023…
10-27 21:13:51	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	43	34¢	$14	0xf25379…
10-27 21:13:39	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	163	34¢	$55	0x4d6607…
10-27 21:13:30	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x9dcab3…
10-27 21:13:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0xc5b2a4…
10-27 21:13:21	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	33	34¢	$11	0x59102c…
10-27 21:13:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	59	34¢	$20	0x3ca7fe…
10-27 21:12:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2,750	34¢	$935	0xba1833…
10-27 21:12:51	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x6458e6…
10-19 13:53:18	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2,947	28¢	$825	0x1dd47b…
10-19 13:52:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0xd08c0c…
10-19 13:49:42	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	19	28¢	$5	0xc9d27c…
10-19 13:49:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0x1cd050…
10-19 13:48:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x9ebc1f…
10-19 13:43:30	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x81b6d1…
10-19 13:40:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xc021ca…
10-19 13:35:56	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4,501	28¢	$1,260	0x29648c…
10-19 13:35:00	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4,957	28¢	$1,388	0xc74c2a…
05-30 04:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x982979…
05-30 04:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x6c40cb…
05-30 04:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xdfa589…
05-30 04:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xbd47fa…
05-30 04:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x8efec9…
05-30 04:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	372	27¢	$100	0x188d3d…
05-30 04:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xa2274f…
05-30 04:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	183	55¢	$100	0x918885…
05-30 04:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x7447ca…
05-30 04:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	181	55¢	$100	0x618809…
05-30 04:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xf7f9c4…
05-30 04:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	577	52¢	$300	0x76544f…
05-30 03:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	121	21¢	$25	0xebde2c…
05-30 03:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0xa2e459…
05-30 03:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x29c704…
05-30 03:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0xa51509…
05-30 03:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x7c44ba…
05-30 03:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x195997…
05-30 03:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x17e02b…
05-28 21:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7352d3…
05-28 21:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0xefcfc3…
05-28 21:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	232	43¢	$100	0xa33fc4…
05-23 01:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	53	99¢	$53	0xfdddc4…
05-23 01:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc58d9d…
05-23 01:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	76	99¢	$75	0xc4778a…
05-23 01:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xbd7d21…
05-23 01:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xbcff9b…
05-23 01:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xb9d30b…
05-23 01:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x1cd92a…
05-23 01:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0xe4b683…
05-23 01:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xdb7cad…
05-23 01:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	19	66¢	$12	0xc59766…
05-23 01:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	55	66¢	$36	0xaede2d…
05-23 01:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	14	66¢	$9	0x8f9bd5…
05-23 01:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x6d3dd2…
05-23 01:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x378a05…
05-23 01:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	40	66¢	$26	0x101f0d…
05-23 01:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x06c109…
05-23 01:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	301	33¢	$100	0x137af6…
05-23 01:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	536	6¢	$30	0xa0fe65…
05-23 01:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	68	72¢	$49	0x87fdf2…
05-23 01:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0xa741ea…
05-23 01:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	79	50¢	$39	0x9f4fb7…
05-23 01:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	31	50¢	$16	0x98a732…
05-23 01:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x61aeb6…
05-23 01:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0x3ff1e7…
05-23 01:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	31	50¢	$16	0x6bb494…
05-23 01:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0x3ee5ef…
05-23 01:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	273	37¢	$100	0x9a81ba…
05-23 01:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x1aece6…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0xf96ce6…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0xf938db…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xf09504…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0xd58727…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0xd52cfb…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xcb4642…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0xc0ee7d…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0xbda1b8…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0xb50dce…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xad34b3…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xa63876…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x9ad8ef…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x96962c…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x8feb9b…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x8be82a…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x88c255…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x7c8f73…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x7ad06f…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x741570…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x570b58…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x4d39a3…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x4b242b…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0x446680…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x421c47…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x3f36a2…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x25db48…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x256f7f…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x21e195…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x1f92c0…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x0f68cc…