Waterlogged-Editing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.2%

Resolved

Trades

362

lifetime

Volume

$6.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-30 04:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 48% $-9

Other

24% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 155 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	11	$625	1,370	0	+1,370	open	—	05-30 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	16	$526	400	400	+0	Up	+$102	05-12 22:52
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	8	$429	1,178	0	+1,178	open	—	05-12 17:27
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	13	$406	701	70	+631	open	—	05-19 23:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	17	$349	301	301	+0	open	—	05-23 01:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	15	$306	600	0	+600	Up	+$294	05-10 20:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	1	$300	577	0	+577	open	—	05-30 04:00
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	5	$270	166	166	+0	open	—	05-19 02:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$200	476	0	+476	open	—	05-28 21:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	8	$198	200	140	+60	Down	+$58	05-12 22:58
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	7	$186	1,510	641	+869	open	—	05-12 14:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	18	$185	1,730	0	+1,730	Down	$-185	05-12 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	12	$180	179	179	+0	Up	+$37	05-11 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	7	$175	638	0	+638	open	—	05-30 03:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	40	$169	500	375	+125	Down	+$144	05-12 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	11	$169	472	0	+472	Down	$-169	05-12 23:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	3	$155	506	0	+506	Up	$-155	05-10 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	8	$137	150	150	+0	Down	+$21	05-11 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	7	$103	128	100	+28	Down	+$17	05-11 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	8	$94	690	690	+0	Down	$-30	05-10 20:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	4	$93	118	116	+2	Up	+$15	05-12 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	31	$89	866	0	+866	Up	$-89	05-12 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	2	$79	536	68	+468	open	—	05-23 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	42	$72	600	0	+600	open	—	05-23 01:12
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?	2	$70	80	50	+30	open	—	05-11 08:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	4	$62	119	60	+59	Down	+$7	05-11 17:02
Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	4	$60	221	0	+221	open	—	05-13 17:04
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	3	$60	248	0	+248	open	—	05-12 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	3	$59	45	45	+0	Down	+$19	05-11 17:06
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	7	$58	14	114	-100	open	—	05-12 14:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 04:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x982979…
05-30 04:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x6c40cb…
05-30 04:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xdfa589…
05-30 04:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xbd47fa…
05-30 04:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x8efec9…
05-30 04:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	372	27¢	$100	0x188d3d…
05-30 04:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xa2274f…
05-30 04:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	183	55¢	$100	0x918885…
05-30 04:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x7447ca…
05-30 04:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	181	55¢	$100	0x618809…
05-30 04:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xf7f9c4…
05-30 04:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	577	52¢	$300	0x76544f…
05-30 03:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	121	21¢	$25	0xebde2c…
05-30 03:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0xa2e459…
05-30 03:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x29c704…
05-30 03:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0xa51509…
05-30 03:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x7c44ba…
05-30 03:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x195997…
05-30 03:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x17e02b…
05-28 21:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7352d3…
05-28 21:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0xefcfc3…
05-28 21:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	232	43¢	$100	0xa33fc4…
05-23 01:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	53	99¢	$53	0xfdddc4…
05-23 01:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc58d9d…
05-23 01:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	76	99¢	$75	0xc4778a…
05-23 01:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xbd7d21…
05-23 01:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xbcff9b…
05-23 01:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xb9d30b…
05-23 01:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x1cd92a…
05-23 01:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0xe4b683…
05-23 01:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xdb7cad…
05-23 01:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	19	66¢	$12	0xc59766…
05-23 01:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	55	66¢	$36	0xaede2d…
05-23 01:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	14	66¢	$9	0x8f9bd5…
05-23 01:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x6d3dd2…
05-23 01:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x378a05…
05-23 01:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	40	66¢	$26	0x101f0d…
05-23 01:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x06c109…
05-23 01:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	301	33¢	$100	0x137af6…
05-23 01:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	536	6¢	$30	0xa0fe65…
05-23 01:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	68	72¢	$49	0x87fdf2…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0xf96ce6…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0xf938db…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xf09504…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0xd58727…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0xd52cfb…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xcb4642…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0xc0ee7d…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0xbda1b8…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0xb50dce…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xad34b3…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xa63876…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x9ad8ef…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x96962c…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x8feb9b…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x8be82a…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x88c255…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x7c8f73…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x7ad06f…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x741570…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x570b58…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x4d39a3…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x4b242b…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0x446680…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x421c47…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x3f36a2…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x25db48…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x256f7f…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x21e195…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x1f92c0…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x0f68cc…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x0699c0…
05-23 01:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x02cc22…
05-23 01:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xd994a7…
05-23 01:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	54	8¢	$4	0xc38e32…
05-23 01:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xc38233…
05-23 01:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xa9df61…
05-23 01:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x9d04f4…
05-23 01:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x79b5e5…
05-23 01:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x50249b…
05-23 01:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x32b369…
05-23 01:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	261	8¢	$21	0x06697b…
05-23 01:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x2115ea…
05-23 01:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x92b669…
05-23 01:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xa8ce72…
05-23 01:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x57fb1f…
05-19 23:06:31	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0xb771e8…
05-19 22:57:37	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	57	65¢	$37	0x65cc46…
05-19 22:55:45	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0xb5d025…
05-19 21:53:15	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x6f22cd…
05-19 21:49:18	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	7	65¢	$4	0x96efb6…
05-19 21:46:39	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xc4cd39…
05-19 02:32:35	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	166	92¢	$153	0x1174f0…
05-17 05:47:28	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0xd8b2e5…
05-15 14:16:20	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	70	50¢	$35	0xaf0980…
05-15 08:52:00	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	251	57¢	$144	0xb7ddfa…
05-15 08:51:55	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xce0468…
05-13 17:04:50	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	70	27¢	$19	0x1bd1a3…
05-13 16:31:03	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x6a28a3…
05-13 16:10:16	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	25	27¢	$7	0x3379f2…