Alert-Hybridisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,460

lifetime

Volume

$5.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 05-23 20:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 48% $-6

Other

2% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 184 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 10 1am et	6	$120	229	229	+0	open	—	03-10 05:59
btc updown 15m 1773930600	3	$106	62	52	+10	open	—	03-19 14:45
bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 8am et	2	$103	53	53	+0	open	—	03-20 12:56
bitcoin up or down march 12 12am et	2	$102	52	52	+0	open	—	03-12 04:59
bitcoin up or down march 11 4am et	6	$99	78	78	+0	open	—	03-11 08:58
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	2	$81	41	41	+0	open	—	05-02 15:45
XRP Up or Down - April 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$63	34	34	+0	open	—	04-28 14:27
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	2	$61	32	32	+0	open	—	05-03 08:16
btc updown 15m 1776867300	2	$60	40	40	+0	open	—	04-22 14:30
btc updown 5m 1773215400	2	$55	30	30	+0	open	—	03-11 07:55
lol dk ns 2026 04 02	6	$50	42	41	+1	open	—	04-02 09:23
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	2	$45	25	25	+0	open	—	05-04 03:46
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 11PM ET	2	$44	24	24	+0	open	—	05-04 04:00
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	2	$43	23	23	+0	Up	+$3	05-05 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$42	22	22	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 00:59
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	2	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	05-03 07:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	2	$41	22	22	+0	open	—	05-02 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	05-03 08:30
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	05-04 02:44
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	2	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	05-03 03:00
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	05-03 01:15
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	2	$35	31	31	+0	open	—	03-31 03:42
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	2	$34	23	23	+0	open	—	05-04 09:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	2	$34	19	19	+0	open	—	05-04 08:00
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	2	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	05-04 01:57
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	2	$32	17	17	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 10:45
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	05-03 04:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	2	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	05-03 06:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	2	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	05-04 04:16
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	2	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	05-03 06:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 20:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x021dda…
05-22 16:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x3f1f9e…
05-22 16:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x35ec39…
05-21 11:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xd950c6…
05-21 11:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x1010ec…
05-21 11:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x6ddc9a…
05-21 10:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x187738…
05-21 08:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x466b9b…
05-21 08:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xe6da43…
05-21 00:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x566626…
05-21 00:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xe5a992…
05-20 13:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xed9341…
05-20 13:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x171a15…
05-20 13:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xbcbdce…
05-20 12:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0ccf25…
05-20 12:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x4d9c7e…
05-08 23:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x4a651a…
05-08 14:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa2b2d3…
05-08 14:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x20c003…
05-08 14:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x160627…
05-08 11:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xd79ffa…
05-08 09:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x33b8f6…
05-08 04:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x94e793…
05-08 04:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x4442bb…
05-08 04:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xeedefa…
05-08 04:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x8b2416…
05-08 04:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x5b7f5f…
05-07 16:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xf74b80…
05-07 13:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x2110e4…
05-07 12:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x2a3e82…
05-07 12:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x6b5d68…
05-07 12:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0x4e563f…
05-07 12:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x282ef4…
05-07 12:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x6896f7…
05-07 12:02:29	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x812647…
05-07 06:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xde7090…
05-07 06:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x908e59…
05-07 05:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0xd6f1ae…
05-07 05:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x7ce758…
05-07 03:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x092c39…
05-07 01:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x9da13c…
05-07 01:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	12	21¢	$3	0x126bca…
05-07 01:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x19e905…
05-05 10:45:14	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x18fe10…
05-05 10:36:04	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x40ba24…
05-05 09:54:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xad37ee…
05-05 09:54:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	48¢	$7	0x66f624…
05-05 09:26:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x939178…
05-05 09:25:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb11028…
05-05 09:23:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x8f68ee…
05-05 08:42:10	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xcb5353…
05-05 08:22:32	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xb7e57a…
05-05 08:00:08	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x361315…
05-05 07:55:16	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xb4ebb8…
05-05 07:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x0bf9a4…
05-05 07:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xe4303b…
05-05 07:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xb0273f…
05-05 07:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xff3752…
05-05 07:00:52	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xe20ca9…
05-05 06:04:44	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x5ff6f1…
05-05 06:04:40	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0xea3c9b…
05-05 06:04:24	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x037a81…
05-05 05:54:30	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x5813d3…
05-05 04:10:50	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x5a3a5c…
05-05 03:29:26	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x5ea643…
05-05 03:25:34	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x7a29cd…
05-05 02:09:36	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xfe6617…
05-05 01:49:16	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x994d25…
05-05 01:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x0f43bd…
05-05 00:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x6cda00…
05-05 00:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x67128a…
05-04 17:59:40	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x9be15d…
05-04 17:50:14	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x646675…
05-04 17:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x64c9f3…
05-04 17:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x09b475…
05-04 17:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xb94bb4…
05-04 17:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xb2de08…
05-04 09:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0xd77a91…
05-04 09:44:34	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xc1f124…
05-04 09:31:12	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	49¢	$11	0x079351…
05-04 09:27:42	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x1cc451…
05-04 09:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xf773f6…
05-04 09:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x252f03…
05-04 09:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x5337fb…
05-04 08:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x6358c4…
05-04 08:44:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x05875f…
05-04 08:23:36	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xdfc008…
05-04 08:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x58704a…
05-04 08:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xa3a564…
05-04 08:00:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x441b9c…
05-04 07:58:30	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x3a52ec…
05-04 07:52:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0x7232cf…
05-04 07:36:42	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xe9a692…
05-04 07:30:40	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x6f7ab2…
05-04 07:26:18	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x855915…
05-04 07:08:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x63e6f6…
05-04 06:23:44	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x345d2e…
05-04 04:55:34	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x2cd0fe…
05-04 04:42:44	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x3038d8…
05-04 04:16:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x729dbe…