Surprised-Kid — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$35

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.2%

Resolved

Trades

116

lifetime

Volume

$572

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-06 12:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 62% $-35

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	5	$31	40	40	+0	Down	+$3	05-05 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	3	$29	63	63	+0	Down	$-1	05-05 13:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	6	$26	22	22	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$23	20	20	+0	Up	+$3	05-05 14:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	4	$23	17	17	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 14:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	4	$21	19	19	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 09:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	4	$20	12	12	+0	Up	$-0	05-05 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$18	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 17:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	3	$18	77	0	+77	Down	$-18	05-05 14:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$18	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 17:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$17	10	10	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 17:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8AM ET	5	$15	24	24	+0	Down	$-3	05-06 12:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$14	15	15	+0	Down	+$4	05-05 14:17
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	3	$12	57	24	+33	Up	$-2	05-05 22:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$12	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 16:06
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$12	22	22	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 14:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$12	31	0	+31	Up	$-12	05-05 14:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 20:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 19:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 06:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 17:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 06:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 06:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 17:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	2	$10	11	11	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 13:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 18:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 18:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 12:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xc56913…
05-06 12:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xf8db08…
05-06 12:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	24	25¢	$6	0x75becc…
05-06 12:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0xcef3a0…
05-06 12:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x78c00c…
05-06 12:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x18d48b…
05-06 11:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x9632e3…
05-06 11:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x8a5ed2…
05-06 11:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xd8d00b…
05-06 11:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x17e3d8…
05-06 11:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x1d6419…
05-06 10:16:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x2e2e38…
05-06 10:16:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x851166…
05-06 10:16:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xdd4d5c…
05-06 09:59:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	70¢	$5	0x8c4ad3…
05-06 09:58:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x112bf5…
05-06 09:57:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	11	55¢	$6	0x27f357…
05-06 09:57:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x64481a…
05-06 07:23:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x28ed0a…
05-06 07:22:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x95705e…
05-06 07:19:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x0dbc62…
05-06 07:18:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x4d4f72…
05-06 07:11:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xe1b56e…
05-06 07:08:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x6fa7fb…
05-06 07:07:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x072a1b…
05-06 07:04:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0xf27a98…
05-06 07:03:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x9e717f…
05-06 07:01:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0xb204f0…
05-06 07:00:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xc90d44…
05-06 07:00:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	11	55¢	$6	0x32f1e8…
05-06 06:59:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x9678bb…
05-06 06:50:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x7ce0b9…
05-06 06:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x58247b…
05-06 06:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x18c3f3…
05-06 06:44:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0xb8b674…
05-06 06:43:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xa55456…
05-06 06:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xecddb8…
05-06 06:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x15f884…
05-06 06:35:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x400617…
05-06 06:34:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x3f0b28…
05-05 22:02:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xfdfd05…
05-05 22:01:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	24	23¢	$5	0x53d5de…
05-05 22:00:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x1dc2ef…
05-05 20:13:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xaa2d7a…
05-05 20:12:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xcbb488…
05-05 19:09:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	76¢	$4	0xb9354d…
05-05 19:08:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xf416d2…
05-05 19:05:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xc9e092…
05-05 19:03:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x998029…
05-05 18:58:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	59¢	$3	0xdbd712…
05-05 18:57:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x2f01df…
05-05 18:52:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xaa6e74…
05-05 18:50:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x728a64…
05-05 18:43:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x668008…
05-05 18:42:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x175a0a…
05-05 18:37:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xf3634c…
05-05 18:08:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xe3b1b3…
05-05 18:08:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x900694…
05-05 18:04:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x7ed76d…
05-05 18:02:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x0ac10d…
05-05 18:02:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0xe08b33…
05-05 18:01:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x69cf78…
05-05 18:00:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xbe2a02…
05-05 17:58:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x4d672f…
05-05 17:44:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x2a61f6…
05-05 17:42:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x332535…
05-05 17:37:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0xe270a8…
05-05 17:36:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xffb572…
05-05 17:31:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xab531e…
05-05 17:31:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xf02c0a…
05-05 17:28:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x1be754…
05-05 17:28:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xd33e7f…
05-05 17:24:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x31fd5a…
05-05 17:23:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x91a4b0…
05-05 17:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x95e979…
05-05 17:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x36a387…
05-05 17:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xae5bb2…
05-05 17:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0x10295f…
05-05 16:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0xe54fcc…
05-05 16:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x108491…
05-05 16:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0d255e…
05-05 16:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd898a9…
05-05 16:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xe0f200…
05-05 16:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0xf33771…
05-05 16:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x1de570…
05-05 16:16:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xe6de85…
05-05 16:15:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xf9aee3…
05-05 16:07:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x8ba64b…
05-05 16:07:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xe0a2c8…
05-05 16:06:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	12	56¢	$7	0xe53021…
05-05 16:02:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x107795…
05-05 14:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x00fcd8…
05-05 14:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x2f9d05…
05-05 14:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	11	57¢	$6	0x3109d1…
05-05 14:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x19bf87…
05-05 14:26:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x3687fe…
05-05 14:25:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xea627c…
05-05 14:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0xa32f98…
05-05 14:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x5d6050…
05-05 14:17:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	15	59¢	$9	0x3c8742…