Firsthand-Testing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.0%

Resolved

1,050

Trades

8,863

lifetime

Volume

$28.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 07-31 07:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 67% +$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	30	$93	122	+122	Down	+$8	05-05 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	22	$76	101	+101	Up	+$5	05-05 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	28	$75	121	+121	Down	+$10	05-05 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	28	$75	110	+110	Down	+$5	05-05 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	22	$73	101	+101	Down	+$8	05-06 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	29	$73	111	+111	Down	+$8	05-06 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	23	$72	105	+105	Down	+$8	05-05 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	21	$71	96	+96	Down	+$5	05-05 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	23	$70	101	+101	Up	$-5	05-05 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	19	$68	89	+89	open	—	05-04 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	30	$67	122	+122	Down	$-17	05-05 06:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	25	$63	106	+106	open	—	05-04 08:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	25	$63	106	+106	Up	$-3	05-05 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	27	$63	116	+116	Down	+$2	05-05 04:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	28	$63	101	+101	open	—	05-04 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	21	$63	90	+90	Up	+$7	05-06 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	17	$62	82	+82	Up	+$8	05-06 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	27	$62	90	+90	open	—	05-04 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	22	$62	96	+96	Down	+$4	05-05 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	27	$62	101	+101	open	—	05-04 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	16	$61	71	+71	Up	+$5	05-05 00:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	19	$60	86	+86	Up	+$6	05-06 07:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	21	$58	86	+86	open	—	05-04 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	16	$57	76	+76	Up	+$3	05-07 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	14	$57	77	+77	open	—	05-18 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	16	$57	84	+84	open	—	05-18 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	23	$56	95	+95	Up	$-31	05-05 05:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	13	$56	77	+77	open	—	05-18 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	21	$56	96	+96	Down	$-20	05-05 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	17	$56	81	+81	Up	+$5	05-05 01:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 07:05:03	btc updown 5m 1785481500	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x7d1131…
07-31 07:02:59	btc updown 5m 1785481200	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x3e6226…
07-31 07:00:11	btc updown 5m 1785481200	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xe80db3…
07-31 06:57:44	btc updown 5m 1785480900	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x5432b8…
07-31 06:55:05	btc updown 5m 1785480900	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xdd9b3c…
07-31 06:53:30	btc updown 5m 1785480600	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xc18174…
07-31 06:53:00	btc updown 5m 1785480600	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x395f94…
07-31 06:51:17	btc updown 5m 1785480600	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x480a87…
07-31 06:50:05	btc updown 5m 1785480600	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xc3b1b4…
07-31 06:40:14	btc updown 5m 1785480000	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x760bee…
07-31 06:35:03	btc updown 5m 1785479700	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x02225a…
07-31 06:32:38	btc updown 5m 1785479400	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x3db141…
07-31 06:30:03	btc updown 5m 1785479400	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x8ef417…
07-31 06:28:21	btc updown 5m 1785479100	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x4a562a…
07-31 06:25:03	btc updown 5m 1785479100	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x7b43d9…
07-31 06:24:47	btc updown 5m 1785478800	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xd39efc…
07-31 06:20:05	btc updown 5m 1785478800	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x11d21f…
07-31 06:18:36	btc updown 5m 1785478500	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xece9a6…
07-31 06:17:57	btc updown 5m 1785478500	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xde5539…
07-31 06:17:44	btc updown 5m 1785478500	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x76aebc…
07-31 06:16:35	btc updown 5m 1785478500	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x62f1ec…
07-31 06:16:20	btc updown 5m 1785478500	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x87faea…
07-31 06:15:05	btc updown 5m 1785478500	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x90e82b…
07-31 06:13:02	btc updown 5m 1785478200	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xfc58fc…
07-31 06:10:05	btc updown 5m 1785478200	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x7e6b37…
07-31 06:06:09	btc updown 5m 1785477900	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xdb4bf7…
07-31 06:06:09	btc updown 5m 1785477900	Down	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x6f6e66…
07-31 06:05:05	btc updown 5m 1785477900	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x80287e…
07-31 06:01:08	btc updown 5m 1785477600	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x3d9989…
07-31 06:00:03	btc updown 5m 1785477600	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x8fe481…
07-31 05:57:53	btc updown 5m 1785477300	Down	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xd0507e…
07-31 05:57:53	btc updown 5m 1785477300	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x986654…
07-31 05:55:05	btc updown 5m 1785477300	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xd7fad0…
07-31 05:51:47	btc updown 5m 1785477000	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x0c3b5a…
07-31 05:50:05	btc updown 5m 1785477000	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x809381…
07-31 05:46:32	btc updown 5m 1785476700	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x936c7f…
07-31 05:45:05	btc updown 5m 1785476700	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0ad13b…
07-31 05:42:23	btc updown 5m 1785476400	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x1d02d2…
07-31 05:42:15	btc updown 5m 1785476400	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x8d2cf9…
07-31 05:40:05	btc updown 5m 1785476400	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xe53ad9…
07-31 05:38:32	btc updown 5m 1785476100	Down	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x48217d…
07-31 05:36:59	btc updown 5m 1785476100	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xfe8cb2…
07-31 05:36:48	btc updown 5m 1785476100	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xa28266…
07-31 05:35:03	btc updown 5m 1785476100	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xc6483a…
07-31 05:32:12	btc updown 5m 1785475800	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x12fb41…
07-31 05:30:05	btc updown 5m 1785475800	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x539808…
07-31 05:26:12	btc updown 5m 1785475500	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xbe3b60…
07-31 05:25:05	btc updown 5m 1785475500	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x90a504…
07-31 05:22:53	btc updown 5m 1785475200	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xeff701…
07-31 05:20:05	btc updown 5m 1785475200	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xf7901d…
07-31 05:19:11	btc updown 5m 1785474900	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xa3ba59…
07-31 05:17:20	btc updown 5m 1785474900	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc2a574…
07-31 05:15:33	btc updown 5m 1785474900	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x78d071…
07-31 05:15:06	btc updown 5m 1785474900	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xa435ae…
07-31 05:10:05	btc updown 5m 1785474600	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xaee691…
07-31 05:06:18	btc updown 5m 1785474300	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xba135a…
07-31 05:05:05	btc updown 5m 1785474300	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x030ce7…
07-31 05:00:38	btc updown 5m 1785474000	Down	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0xcd9b3d…
07-31 05:00:38	btc updown 5m 1785474000	Down	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0x59557c…
07-31 05:00:03	btc updown 5m 1785474000	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x6c21df…
07-31 04:58:05	btc updown 5m 1785473700	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xd326e9…
07-31 04:55:05	btc updown 5m 1785473700	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x08d5b9…
07-31 04:53:51	btc updown 5m 1785473400	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x337eb8…
07-31 04:50:03	btc updown 5m 1785473400	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x12ec7e…
07-31 04:49:03	btc updown 5m 1785473100	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x959ff1…
07-31 04:45:05	btc updown 5m 1785473100	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1f9129…
07-31 04:40:20	btc updown 5m 1785472800	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xb5b0d8…
07-31 04:40:05	btc updown 5m 1785472800	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6c8145…
07-31 04:37:35	btc updown 5m 1785472500	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x6de2a7…
07-31 04:35:05	btc updown 5m 1785472500	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x43e2f3…
07-31 04:32:00	btc updown 5m 1785472200	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xb9ba86…
07-31 04:30:03	btc updown 5m 1785472200	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa48fae…
07-31 04:07:17	btc updown 5m 1785470700	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xc1aa93…
07-31 04:05:05	btc updown 5m 1785470700	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x6e9b5b…
07-29 12:56:36	btc updown 5m 1785329700	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x611ad0…
07-29 12:55:05	btc updown 5m 1785329700	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xbacc2d…
07-29 12:45:03	btc updown 5m 1785329100	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x3755c1…
07-29 12:43:29	btc updown 5m 1785328800	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x70dfd7…
07-29 12:43:15	btc updown 5m 1785328800	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd0a2c7…
07-29 12:30:08	btc updown 5m 1785328200	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x66e275…
07-29 12:30:05	btc updown 5m 1785328200	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb6aba9…
07-29 12:17:03	btc updown 5m 1785327300	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xd50b44…
07-29 12:16:20	btc updown 5m 1785327300	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd8ef95…
07-29 09:25:06	btc updown 5m 1785317100	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xdf49e9…
07-29 09:25:03	btc updown 5m 1785317100	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x9bd6c8…
07-29 08:58:02	btc updown 5m 1785315300	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x8a77d4…
07-29 08:58:02	btc updown 5m 1785315300	Down	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x446b04…
07-29 08:56:57	btc updown 5m 1785315300	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x3b6661…
07-29 08:56:03	btc updown 5m 1785315300	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x4639f5…
07-29 08:45:39	btc updown 5m 1785314700	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x6affe1…
07-29 08:45:05	btc updown 5m 1785314700	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xe1d52d…
07-29 08:31:03	btc updown 5m 1785313800	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x4d3a69…
07-29 08:30:08	btc updown 5m 1785313800	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xd5c619…
05-20 01:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x142d24…
05-20 01:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x46eb2f…
05-20 01:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xeb10e4…
05-20 01:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x3a657e…
05-20 01:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf09ed3…
05-20 01:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x5e1677…
05-20 01:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xd9b3a6…