Ornery-Decryption — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

69.7%

Resolved

1,131

Trades

1,682

lifetime

Volume

$3.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 10-26 20:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 130 days

Categories

Other

61% 39% +$37

Crypto

31% 54% -$30

Sports

5% 57% +$8

Politics

3% 48% -$2

Tech

0% 40% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+4	$3	68¢	$3	$0	10-26 20:38
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+4	$2	72¢	$3	+$0	06-26 04:14
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+4	$0	54¢	$2	+$2	06-26 04:14
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	+6	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	05-01 14:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$41	21	21	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 14:51
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$25	15	15	+0	Yes	+$5	05-02 14:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	05-16 07:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$20	11	11	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 21:09
Will Hannover 96 vs. 1. FC Nürnberg end in a draw?	2	$16	14	14	+0	Yes	+$12	05-17 16:28
Exact Score: Newcastle United FC 0 - 1 Aston Villa FC?	2	$15	13	13	+0	Yes	+$11	10-17 18:30
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	5	$15	25	17	+7	No	+$5	05-26 20:01
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	2	$14	11	11	+0	Yes	+$8	05-30 18:44
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$14	13	13	+0	Yes	+$12	05-16 23:02
Exact Score: Al Nassr Saudi Club 2 - 1 Al Taawoun Saudi Club?	2	$12	11	11	+0	Yes	+$8	08-28 20:01
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-02?	2	$12	7	7	+0	Yes	+$2	05-02 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-12 04:40
Exact Score: RC Celta de Vigo 1 - 1 Málaga CF?	2	$12	11	11	+0	Yes	+$9	09-13 13:58
Exact Score: VfB Stuttgart 3 - 1 1. FC Köln?	2	$12	13	13	+0	No	+$8	09-04 20:19
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-04?	2	$12	10	10	+0	Yes	+$8	05-04 18:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6PM ET	9	$12	41	24	+17	Down	$0	05-01 22:58
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Elena Rybakina	3	$12	13	6	+7	Elina Svitolina	$0	05-13 20:24
Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 0 - 1 Leeds United FC?	2	$11	10	10	+0	Yes	+$8	08-22 16:03
Exact Score: Ipswich Town FC 2 - 1 Sunderland AFC?	2	$11	10	10	+0	Yes	+$8	08-22 16:03
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Qinwen Zheng vs Jelena Ostapenko	2	$11	7	6	+0	Jelena Ostapenko	+$2	05-09 15:54
Exact Score: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2 - 3 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund?	2	$11	11	11	+0	Yes	+$7	09-05 15:22
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Max Schoenhaus vs Luca Van Assche	2	$11	6	6	+0	Max Schoenhaus	+$1	05-16 10:47
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?	2	$11	9	9	+0	Yes	+$7	05-16 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 22:15
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 3 - 0 SC Paderborn 07?	2	$11	9	9	+0	Yes	+$7	09-12 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-19 16:25
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals	2	$10	5	5	+0	Washington Nationals	+$0	05-16 22:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-04 17:35
Exact Score: Villarreal CF 3 - 1 SSC Napoli?	2	$10	8	8	+0	Yes	+$7	10-13 20:53
Exact Score: AFC Bournemouth 1 - 1 Everton FC?	2	$10	8	8	+0	Yes	+$7	08-29 15:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 20:38:59	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x1bf932…
10-19 19:48:50	Will Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf5d9d7…
10-19 19:46:59	Exact Score: Al Hilal Saudi Club 0 - 1 Al Hazem SC?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xc4f606…
10-19 19:43:54	Exact Score: Al Shabab Saudi Club 2 - 2 Al Faisaly Saudi Club?	Yes	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x737337…
10-19 19:09:00	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x978594…
10-19 19:08:17	Exact Score: Al Shabab Saudi Club 2 - 2 Al Faisaly Saudi Club?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe67315…
10-17 18:30:50	Exact Score: Newcastle United FC 0 - 1 Aston Villa FC?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x8a9eb5…
10-17 17:32:53	Exact Score: Newcastle United FC 0 - 1 Aston Villa FC?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xf2a019…
10-17 16:23:48	Exact Score: RC Strasbourg Alsace 1 - 0 Paris Saint-Germain FC?	Yes	BUY	16	13¢	$2	0xbb50a2…
10-17 16:02:18	Exact Score: Villarreal CF 1 - 0 Elche CF?	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x215ea9…
10-17 15:42:29	Exact Score: Fulham FC 1 - 1 Hull City AFC?	Yes	BUY	17	9¢	$2	0x8ac097…
10-17 15:37:38	Exact Score: Brentford FC 2 - 1 Liverpool FC?	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x5b8db0…
10-17 15:25:15	Exact Score: Manchester City FC 2 - 1 Ipswich Town FC?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc050c3…
10-13 21:00:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x9f2d28…
10-13 20:59:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:55 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc24502…
10-13 20:55:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x1afa36…
10-13 20:53:31	Exact Score: Villarreal CF 3 - 1 SSC Napoli?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xc5f423…
10-13 20:38:04	Exact Score: Villarreal CF 2 - 2 SSC Napoli?	Yes	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0xb71e9a…
10-13 20:34:40	Exact Score: RB Leipzig 0 - 1 PSV?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$2	0x4e73a7…
10-13 20:32:43	Exact Score: Villarreal CF 3 - 1 SSC Napoli?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$2	0x578e1b…
10-10 16:09:55	Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xa43a77…
10-10 15:58:00	Exact Score: Deportivo Alavés 2 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xda2588…
10-10 15:34:12	Exact Score: Ipswich Town FC 0 - 2 Fulham FC?	Yes	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0xd0ea27…
10-10 15:16:22	Exact Score: FC Augsburg 3 - 2 FC Bayern München?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe609f5…
10-10 15:13:10	Exact Score: FC Augsburg 2 - 3 FC Bayern München?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x4bb56d…
10-09 20:57:22	Exact Score: SC Braga 2 - 2 Sporting CP?	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$2	0xb4c57b…
10-09 20:40:56	Exact Score: West Ham United FC 1 - 2 Queens Park Rangers FC?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x5f023a…
10-09 19:45:59	Exact Score: PSV 2 - 1 SC Heerenveen?	Yes	BUY	12	13¢	$1	0x59d763…
10-09 19:42:10	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xfa4c3d…
09-26 20:24:44	Will Croatia win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	SELL	3	81¢	$3	0xbdbd80…
09-26 20:06:21	Exact Score: Albania 3 - 0 Belarus?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x953425…
09-26 20:02:35	Will Croatia win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$2	0xcdb7b8…
09-25 20:34:47	Will France win on 2026-09-25?	Yes	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x94cb2b…
09-25 20:34:29	Exact Score: Sweden 2 - 1 Romania?	Yes	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0xb67598…
09-25 20:34:05	Exact Score: Italy 0 - 2 Belgium?	Yes	SELL	10	74¢	$8	0x879ed0…
09-25 20:06:26	Exact Score: Italy 1 - 1 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb6cfda…
09-25 20:04:06	Exact Score: Italy 0 - 2 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$2	0x4855d6…
09-25 20:00:14	Exact Score: Sweden 2 - 1 Romania?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xa3fa44…
09-25 19:58:17	Will France win on 2026-09-25?	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x29230c…
09-25 15:40:12	Exact Score: India 1 - 2 Panama?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xdb1c83…
09-13 20:49:13	Exact Score: FC Famalicão 0 - 2 Sporting CP?	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$2	0x04f371…
09-13 18:16:52	Exact Score: Getafe CF 1 - 2 RC Deportivo A Coruña?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x924762…
09-13 18:16:21	Exact Score: Getafe CF 2 - 1 RC Deportivo A Coruña?	Yes	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0x93ea7a…
09-13 18:02:13	Exact Score: Getafe CF 2 - 0 RC Deportivo A Coruña?	Yes	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0xc0d18c…
09-13 17:28:03	Exact Score: SSC Napoli 1 - 1 Bologna FC 1909?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x1bde87…
09-13 14:56:18	Exact Score: Lille OSC 2 - 0 ES Troyes AC?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc1ae43…
09-13 14:34:55	Exact Score: Lille OSC 2 - 0 ES Troyes AC?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xdc860f…
09-13 14:30:27	Will Lille OSC vs. ES Troyes AC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	14¢	$1	0x68d6f6…
09-13 14:12:13	Exact Score: SC Heerenveen 0 - 0 Telstar 1963?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x526bf4…
09-13 14:05:03	Exact Score: SC Heerenveen 0 - 1 Telstar 1963?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x60434f…
09-13 13:58:22	Exact Score: RC Celta de Vigo 1 - 1 Málaga CF?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x17513d…
09-13 13:25:06	Exact Score: RC Celta de Vigo 1 - 1 Málaga CF?	Yes	BUY	11	14¢	$1	0xf89ede…
09-13 13:03:31	Exact Score: VfL Osnabrück 1 - 2 Hertha BSC?	Yes	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0xf204c1…
09-13 12:58:06	Exact Score: Sheffield United FC 0 - 1 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xa10b7c…
09-13 12:40:34	Exact Score: Sheffield United FC 1 - 0 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xc971fa…
09-13 12:40:15	Exact Score: Sheffield United FC 0 - 1 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC?	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0x5b975f…
09-13 11:41:25	Exact Score: SBV Excelsior 0 - 2 FC Utrecht?	Yes	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0x1a24c8…
09-13 11:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x36e921…
09-12 20:58:45	Exact Score: GV CD San José 0 - 3 CA Nacional Potosí?	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x83f760…
09-12 20:48:04	Exact Score: GV CD San José 0 - 3 CA Nacional Potosí?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x19efe6…
09-12 20:40:13	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xc2a629…
09-12 20:29:25	Exact Score: FC Lorient 2 - 3 Toulouse FC?	Yes	BUY	11	13¢	$2	0xfdf9a6…
09-12 20:20:22	Exact Score: Atalanta BC 1 - 2 Cagliari Calcio?	Yes	SELL	14	51¢	$7	0x6384e5…
09-12 20:19:39	Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0x610705…
09-12 20:15:15	Exact Score: Paris FC 0 - 0 Olympique Lyonnais?	No	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xe6b795…
09-12 20:14:07	Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x41f76e…
09-12 20:13:48	Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x651ce8…
09-12 20:04:03	Exact Score: FC Lorient 3 - 1 Toulouse FC?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xc0b342…
09-12 20:00:43	Exact Score: Atalanta BC 1 - 1 Cagliari Calcio?	Yes	BUY	4	35¢	$2	0x5629d1…
09-12 19:59:39	Exact Score: Atalanta BC 1 - 2 Cagliari Calcio?	Yes	BUY	14	11¢	$2	0xefea02…
09-12 16:30:51	Exact Score: NK Osijek 3 - 2 GNK Dinamo Zagreb?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x8e32c7…
09-12 16:07:58	Exact Score: FC Twente 2 - 1 ADO Den Haag?	Yes	BUY	14	11¢	$2	0x8a4fec…
09-12 15:27:24	Exact Score: Chelsea FC 2 - 3 Hull City AFC?	Yes	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0x005357…
09-12 15:24:13	Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 3 - 0 SC Paderborn 07?	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xacbf68…
09-12 15:12:25	Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 3 - 0 SC Paderborn 07?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x42a5d6…
09-12 14:44:48	Exact Score: Genoa CFC 2 - 1 Frosinone Calcio?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xd206b3…
09-12 13:26:49	Exact Score: Real Racing Club 3 - 1 Deportivo Alavés?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xcabbbe…
09-12 13:04:55	Exact Score: West Bromwich Albion FC 1 - 2 Queens Park Rangers FC?	Yes	BUY	11	14¢	$1	0x5cae66…
09-12 13:01:12	Exact Score: West Bromwich Albion FC 2 - 1 Queens Park Rangers FC?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$1	0x7dedfc…
09-12 12:57:22	Exact Score: Notts County FC 1 - 1 Bradford City AFC?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7ebe2c…
09-12 12:56:04	Exact Score: Notts County FC 0 - 2 Bradford City AFC?	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0x145940…
09-07 19:00:57	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-09-07?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xfd950d…
09-07 18:11:30	Exact Score: Cagliari Calcio 2 - 0 US Lecce?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x5092a4…
09-07 16:18:39	Exact Score: FC Voluntari 1 - 1 FC Argeș Pitești?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x15124c…
09-06 18:14:37	Exact Score: Kocaelispor 2 - 0 Samsunspor?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xae32ae…
09-06 18:13:06	Exact Score: Bologna FC 1909 2 - 2 US Sassuolo Calcio?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x1d2a75…
09-06 17:37:54	Exact Score: Bologna FC 1909 2 - 2 US Sassuolo Calcio?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x1eb23e…
09-05 20:47:40	Exact Score: Villarreal CF 2 - 2 RC Deportivo A Coruña?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf3ea55…
09-05 20:00:04	Exact Score: AFC Ajax 1 - 3 PSV?	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x03af20…
09-05 19:29:33	Exact Score: AFC Ajax 1 - 3 PSV?	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$1	0x6def04…
09-05 17:52:10	Exact Score: SK Brann 0 - 3 Lillestrøm SK?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x6888ed…
09-05 17:23:45	Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 1 - 3 SSC Napoli?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xddb9da…
09-05 16:46:28	Exact Score: Racing Club de Lens 1 - 1 FC Lorient?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xf508ff…
09-05 15:26:13	Exact Score: Burnley FC 1 - 1 Bristol City FC?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xcad533…
09-05 15:22:18	Exact Score: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2 - 3 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund?	Yes	SELL	11	80¢	$9	0x61bf4a…
09-05 15:00:36	Exact Score: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2 - 3 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x50b7d3…
09-05 14:55:33	Exact Score: ACF Fiorentina 1 - 2 Torino FC?	Yes	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0x358335…
09-05 14:42:30	Exact Score: ACF Fiorentina 2 - 1 Torino FC?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$1	0xd968cf…
09-05 14:40:01	Exact Score: ACF Fiorentina 1 - 2 Torino FC?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$1	0xe40690…
09-05 09:53:22	Will Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x0092d6…