Gummy-Curtailment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.3%

Resolved

435

Trades

823

lifetime

Volume

$10.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 10-19 20:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 124 days

Categories

Other

76% 85% -$16

Crypto

18% 85% +$1

Politics

5% 68% $0

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	5	$96	48	48	+0	Yes	$0	07-27 08:25
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on July 28?	4	$69	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-27 21:43
bitcoin above 60k on july 21 2026	2	$68	34	34	+0	Yes	+$0	07-21 05:15
will googl reach 380 by july 20 2026	2	$67	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-24 03:27
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 91°F or below on July 30?	5	$66	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-30 07:34
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 12?	5	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	10-12 05:16
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 27?	4	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-26 22:38
Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-26 15:27
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-29 11:06
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on July 25?	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-25 13:11
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 43°C or higher on July 25?	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-24 11:49
spcx above 160 on july 31 2026	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-31 13:36
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	2	$61	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-27 21:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on July 23?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-23 03:13
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 11?	2	$59	30	30	+0	Yes	+$0	10-11 09:24
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 22?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-22 13:20
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on July 17?	3	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-17 08:08
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 29?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-29 05:43
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-19 12:57
Will the winner of the 2026 Tour De France be from Denmark?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-26 16:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on July 21?	5	$57	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-21 06:02
xrp above 1pt3 on july 26 2026	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-26 04:21
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on July 25?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-24 15:55
iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-30 23:59
Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$55	55	0	+55	No	+$0	02-04 13:25
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 23?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-23 08:51
ethereum above 2100 on july 20 2026	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-20 04:38
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on July 25?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-24 11:50
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 22?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-22 00:11
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-23 18:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 20:14:50	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 20?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x0206d4…
10-18 20:19:39	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x13acf5…
10-16 11:52:30	Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the #1 US song this week?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0xc0514b…
10-13 18:53:40	Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xce7f2f…
10-13 08:40:44	Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5e6b22…
10-12 09:11:59	Will the price of Solana be above $120 on October 12?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$24	0x04e670…
10-12 08:20:40	Will the price of Solana be above $120 on October 12?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0xc0631a…
10-12 05:16:35	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 12?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x759f0c…
10-12 03:18:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8e5638…
10-12 02:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x32742a…
10-12 01:40:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 12?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xec1264…
10-11 20:40:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x174a35…
10-11 19:01:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 12?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x531454…
10-11 09:24:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x5c0b87…
10-11 05:55:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xba3c72…
10-07 21:07:35	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or higher on October 8?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xec72c5…
10-05 10:45:20	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on October 5?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb0943a…
10-02 01:17:56	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on October 3?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x1c0f58…
10-01 21:58:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on October 2?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd19721…
10-01 04:49:36	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C or below on October 1?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xa7df7e…
09-27 18:33:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on September 28?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9370da…
09-23 12:49:52	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C or below on September 24?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd5d5ee…
09-23 05:20:52	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on September 23?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x57b488…
09-22 21:22:16	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x3a111d…
09-22 16:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x75c253…
09-22 15:16:48	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$34	0x5afe07…
09-21 20:52:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 22?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x504a03…
09-18 23:42:31	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 19?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xf679ad…
09-17 23:58:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xbf24a2…
09-17 12:45:36	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x98159b…
09-13 03:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 13?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xa9ab5c…
09-11 02:15:49	Will Trump's approval rating be less than 37.5 on September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4f1858…
09-07 14:04:24	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C or below on September 8?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9a3b57…
09-06 13:19:52	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe84793…
09-06 09:34:13	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xb69d67…
09-05 22:49:27	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 67°F or below on September 6?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0x5c382d…
09-05 08:27:07	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x849977…
09-04 21:40:42	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb093bf…
09-04 15:26:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x545dd9…
09-04 13:19:57	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x121326…
09-04 09:48:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 4?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5b91ad…
09-04 03:31:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 4?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xfcd59e…
09-03 21:13:55	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x41b92f…
09-03 09:18:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 3?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x8555b8…
09-03 03:53:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on September 4?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x45225e…
09-02 19:08:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 3?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb64eb4…
09-02 10:09:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 2?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x591369…
09-02 08:44:25	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 2?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x1060c5…
09-01 06:19:01	Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$33	0x5cf1e3…
09-01 03:27:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 1?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5403e4…
08-31 05:57:19	Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x2816a4…
08-31 04:31:12	Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xfdf9cb…
08-31 02:22:57	Will Chainlink reach $16 in August?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2a8825…
08-31 01:50:12	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0x2d23f2…
08-30 03:56:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 30?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x298385…
08-29 19:45:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or below on August 30?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x37da1c…
08-28 17:26:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 29?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x5fd51e…
08-28 09:48:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x4ac8b8…
08-28 04:26:46	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x9e38ed…
08-27 11:16:45	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on August 27?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x4122ea…
08-27 07:47:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xadb769…
08-27 01:11:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x448eac…
08-26 19:09:42	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on August 27?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7377a9…
08-26 10:29:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on August 27?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xaee6ea…
08-26 09:23:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 26?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x030561…
08-25 10:17:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 25?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x2a5157…
08-25 07:25:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 25?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x1681b5…
08-25 00:19:51	will bitcoin dip to 74k on august 24 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4a915e…
08-24 17:19:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xebb131…
08-24 06:22:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa2f0f8…
08-23 22:16:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x906cd8…
08-23 21:00:25	Will JSDP win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x271c3f…
08-23 20:39:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on August 24?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x09ca65…
08-14 06:56:28	bitcoin above 66k on august 14 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc2976d…
08-13 18:48:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on August 14?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x6c758b…
08-13 16:36:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x4bf288…
08-13 09:28:45	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 13?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x31599f…
08-13 06:22:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on August 13?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x9bedb0…
08-12 21:32:28	Will William Clouston get second place in the Clacton by-election?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x5553c9…
08-12 07:18:42	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on August 13?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x15b464…
08-12 04:34:10	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 12?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$28	0xc975fd…
08-12 00:18:27	ethereum above 1700 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x937836…
08-11 15:22:48	ethereum above 1900 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0bd26e…
08-11 12:30:03	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on August 11?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xfe0574…
08-10 22:46:55	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 40°C on August 11?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x81fd5b…
08-10 19:59:21	bitcoin above 68k on august 11 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x005eb1…
08-10 15:03:58	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xb3eb80…
08-10 11:38:42	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xce6cb5…
08-09 12:30:51	will ethereum dip to 1800 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0xcf93fc…
08-09 10:23:00	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on August 10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x70c135…
08-09 03:43:07	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on August 10?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xaac59c…
08-09 03:12:12	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe8061b…
08-08 19:04:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 9?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x283b5c…
08-08 03:31:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C or higher on August 8?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xfc1c77…
08-08 00:41:48	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe49ea3…
08-08 00:14:27	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0x7bac58…
08-07 18:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 38°C or higher on August 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x25805a…
08-07 12:37:57	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on August 8?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x17b919…
08-07 08:20:07	ethereum above 1700 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2c8f14…
08-06 08:12:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or below on August 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x72b383…