Majestic-Idiom — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

51.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$271

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-29

last 05-07 10:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 43% -$24

Politics

31% 0% $0

Other

3% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-07).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes		+10	$6	72¢	$7	+$2	05-06 15:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	5	$64	71	61	+10	open	—	05-06 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	3	$32	30	30	+0	Down	+$20	04-30 06:14
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	3	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 14:41
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	2	$20	19	19	+0	No	$0	04-30 06:56
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 30?	1	$10	19	0	+19	Up	-$10	04-30 06:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$10	18	0	+18	Down	-$10	05-06 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$10	14	0	+14	Up	+$4	05-06 13:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	3	$8	14	6	+8	Up	+$0	05-06 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$8	600	0	+600	Up	-$8	05-07 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	3	$8	43	0	+43	Down	-$8	05-07 10:48
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 1?	3	$7	11	11	+0	No	-$1	04-30 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$6	9	0	+9	Up	+$3	05-06 15:41
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	Down	-$5	05-06 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	1	$4	8	0	+8	Up	+$4	05-06 16:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	1	$3	15	0	+15	Down	-$3	05-06 14:51
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$3	300	0	+300	Down	-$3	05-06 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	1	$3	23	0	+23	Down	-$3	05-06 13:07
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$3	17	0	+17	Down	-$3	04-29 09:27
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	1	$3	8	0	+8	Up	-$3	05-06 14:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$3	8	0	+8	Up	+$5	05-06 14:42
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Up	+$2	05-06 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	Down	+$1	04-30 03:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	Down	+$1	05-06 14:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	1	$2	8	0	+8	Up	-$2	05-06 15:47
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$2	200	0	+200	Down	-$2	04-29 06:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	1	$2	50	0	+50	Up	-$2	05-07 10:37
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	1	$2	6	0	+6	Up	+$4	04-29 06:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	-$2	04-29 06:17
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	1	$2	14	0	+14	Down	-$2	04-29 06:41
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Down	-$2	04-29 13:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 10:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xd7e751…
05-07 10:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x3447bd…
05-07 10:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x29d42e…
05-07 10:37:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xd02a7f…
05-07 08:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x782bfc…
05-07 06:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0xa79cf9…
05-07 06:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x5a279b…
05-07 06:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x128353…
05-06 16:08:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xdc87d4…
05-06 16:07:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0x6ec042…
05-06 16:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xc57288…
05-06 16:04:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x0298c5…
05-06 15:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x5b6ed1…
05-06 15:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x8ae978…
05-06 15:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x85f156…
05-06 15:00:04	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf15b83…
05-06 14:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x9f5b77…
05-06 14:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xf4edef…
05-06 14:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x40a120…
05-06 14:43:21	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x29e797…
05-06 14:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x3af45d…
05-06 14:41:31	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xf29ec5…
05-06 14:41:15	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x1f6e2d…
05-06 14:35:04	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xec698a…
05-06 14:34:22	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x426cd1…
05-06 13:19:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xb81af2…
05-06 13:13:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x30b3bf…
05-06 13:13:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x5f8c9c…
05-06 13:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x2443ad…
05-06 13:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xc1dbf0…
05-06 13:09:52	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x469f85…
05-06 13:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xcdf6fa…
04-30 06:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 30?	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x15f4cd…
04-30 06:56:40	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	19	52¢	$10	0xcd4467…
04-30 06:44:20	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x5304ae…
04-30 06:40:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 1?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xeea39a…
04-30 06:36:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 1?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xe480d5…
04-30 06:22:16	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x9a2d3f…
04-30 06:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	30	87¢	$26	0x977ba1…
04-30 06:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x11bb63…
04-30 06:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x903599…
04-30 03:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x0cffc7…
04-30 03:43:34	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xc9e84b…
04-30 03:22:54	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	41	48¢	$20	0x947b10…
04-30 03:22:02	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x137d54…
04-29 13:47:18	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x9d83b8…
04-29 13:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0460db…
04-29 13:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x047f64…
04-29 13:40:42	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x5eba56…
04-29 09:27:08	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xf81f21…
04-29 07:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xfec365…
04-29 07:17:56	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x12546e…
04-29 07:09:34	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x085537…
04-29 06:41:54	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xa528f2…
04-29 06:39:48	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x03d6ce…
04-29 06:31:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 1?	Yes	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x75cbb5…
04-29 06:18:58	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xa27ec8…
04-29 06:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x99c8d2…
04-29 06:09:44	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x85b76c…
04-29 05:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x08d9fd…