Favorable-Sanctuary-Waterfall — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$32

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.2%

Resolved

233

Trades

350

lifetime

Volume

$1.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-09 12:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% $-32

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 268 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	2	$38	24	24	+0	Up	+$10	05-09 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	2	$32	21	20	+1	Up	+$8	05-09 02:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$27	19	19	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 05:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$18	14	14	+0	Up	$-2	05-08 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	2	$17	11	11	+0	Up	+$4	05-08 09:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	2	$17	10	10	+0	Up	+$3	05-08 09:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	2	$15	9	9	+0	Up	+$3	05-09 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$15	24	24	+0	Down	$-6	05-09 08:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Down	+$6	05-08 12:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$14	10	9	+1	Up	+$5	05-08 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$14	9	8	+1	Up	+$3	05-08 10:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$13	19	0	+19	Up	+$6	05-08 00:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Down	+$3	05-09 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	2	$11	8	7	+1	Up	+$3	05-09 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	3	$11	12	7	+5	Up	+$3	05-08 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Up	+$3	05-08 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$11	24	24	+0	Down	+$2	05-08 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	1	$10	15	0	+15	Down	+$4	05-09 03:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$2	05-08 16:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$10	11	11	+0	Down	$-1	05-08 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	Down	+$3	05-08 12:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	Down	+$3	05-08 09:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	2	$9	12	11	+1	Up	$-1	05-08 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$9	7	7	+0	Up	+$5	05-09 11:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 12:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	Down	+$3	05-08 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	Up	+$3	05-08 12:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$8	8	7	+1	Down	+$1	05-08 16:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 07:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 05:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 12:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x9e2577…
05-09 11:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xb3ca7a…
05-09 11:51:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x402f89…
05-09 11:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xdcb06b…
05-09 11:17:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5fef41…
05-09 11:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x8ad61d…
05-09 10:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x170c11…
05-09 10:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x74ffa2…
05-09 10:00:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x49b060…
05-09 09:56:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x466cd7…
05-09 09:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xd8224e…
05-09 09:20:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x20fc5b…
05-09 09:16:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$3	0x5ffcf8…
05-09 08:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	24	17¢	$4	0x7f2458…
05-09 08:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	24	44¢	$11	0xaa1bae…
05-09 08:01:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x3749e5…
05-09 07:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xfb7f27…
05-09 07:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0bd803…
05-09 07:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xff525c…
05-09 07:41:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xffc434…
05-09 07:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0x37a009…
05-09 07:26:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x9b1ae2…
05-09 07:25:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x349239…
05-09 07:21:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x3e6f60…
05-09 07:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2baccb…
05-09 07:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xc699e3…
05-09 07:15:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xbe4939…
05-09 07:11:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0xa9718d…
05-09 07:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x307c7f…
05-09 06:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xbb233e…
05-09 06:11:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	60¢	$8	0x583ed6…
05-09 06:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x26c0fe…
05-09 05:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0x2fd844…
05-09 05:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xfe1cca…
05-09 05:56:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x553d84…
05-09 05:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x131a95…
05-09 05:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xcf59b4…
05-09 05:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x077915…
05-09 05:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x06ad31…
05-09 05:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0xd5c987…
05-09 05:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x289d26…
05-09 05:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd375cc…
05-09 05:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xb1cc6b…
05-09 05:16:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x0cfd9c…
05-09 05:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xd5bfcf…
05-09 05:10:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1bdd69…
05-09 05:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	9	35¢	$3	0x67c9dc…
05-09 05:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf68b15…
05-09 05:07:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x36b236…
05-09 05:04:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	68¢	$3	0x0327c2…
05-09 05:04:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xd4c5b5…
05-09 04:57:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$3	0x8222c8…
05-09 04:47:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x321d62…
05-09 04:45:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xed49d7…
05-09 04:41:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xe1e438…
05-09 04:31:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x333e5e…
05-09 04:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb36d74…
05-09 04:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x493b06…
05-09 04:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xe720a5…
05-09 03:57:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0xd9f1c4…
05-09 03:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x39bb56…
05-09 03:55:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x153769…
05-09 03:52:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xf66eea…
05-09 03:46:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x24db1e…
05-09 03:45:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x96f7cf…
05-09 03:41:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xc91903…
05-09 03:24:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x406f1a…
05-09 03:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0xe98621…
05-09 03:24:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xbafe6e…
05-09 03:16:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x293832…
05-09 03:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6c476e…
05-09 03:10:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xe4438e…
05-09 03:06:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	24	58¢	$14	0xd6341b…
05-09 03:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	71¢	$10	0xe65c2b…
05-09 02:56:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x4f1d30…
05-09 02:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x040642…
05-09 02:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	21	59¢	$12	0x89833d…
05-09 02:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x802758…
05-08 21:44:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x695a3d…
05-08 21:44:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x282334…
05-08 21:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x7ba0ba…
05-08 21:26:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xd0164f…
05-08 21:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$4	0x328d87…
05-08 21:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x8860ce…
05-08 21:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x50449f…
05-08 21:12:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x49568a…
05-08 21:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x158a70…
05-08 20:55:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x4d1398…
05-08 20:51:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x3e9ef2…
05-08 20:41:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xd56081…
05-08 20:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xce1f95…
05-08 20:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd611ba…
05-08 20:21:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xc2d82b…
05-08 20:10:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9f21b6…
05-08 20:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	11	39¢	$4	0x5db431…
05-08 20:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x0c1d62…
05-08 20:06:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xe32071…
05-08 20:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x50ed2a…
05-08 19:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0xbfb37a…
05-08 19:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x37196d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	233	$199.0K	8,811	05-09 12:20
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	233	$45.6K	14,593	05-09 12:19
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	233	$42.1K	13,361	05-09 12:19
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	233	$37.6K	7,028	05-09 12:19
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	233	$29.5K	14,451	05-09 12:20
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	232	$17.2K	3,772	05-09 12:16
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	231	$34.1K	6,259	05-09 12:19
Left-Baboon 0x9656…e340	231	$5.53K	2,890	05-09 12:20