Ugly-Watchmaker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.1%

Resolved

324

Trades

1,419

lifetime

Volume

$5.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 05-13 03:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 48% $-22

Other

9% 53% +$5

Sports

1% 0% $-2

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 211 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1775653800	6	$122	80	80	+0	open	—	04-08 13:15
sidemen charity match 2026 winner	25	$93	82	82	+0	open	—	04-18 16:21
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$69	60	60	+0	Up	$-3	05-06 13:40
btc updown 5m 1775999100	2	$67	44	43	+2	open	—	04-12 13:10
btc updown 5m 1776858300	3	$61	71	34	+37	open	—	04-22 11:45
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	3	$54	76	35	+41	Down	$-23	05-09 14:25
btc updown 5m 1776835800	3	$53	94	0	+94	open	—	04-22 05:30
BNB Up or Down - May 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	3	$53	69	36	+33	Up	$-24	05-09 11:15
btc updown 5m 1774776300	19	$51	49	45	+4	open	—	03-29 09:29
btc updown 15m 1774698300	5	$50	42	41	+1	open	—	03-28 11:46
btc updown 5m 1776708600	2	$50	34	33	+1	open	—	04-20 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	3	$44	64	31	+33	open	—	04-27 05:27
btc updown 15m 1775067300	3	$39	24	24	+1	open	—	04-01 18:31
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	1	$38	68	0	+68	Down	$-38	05-12 01:34
hype updown 5m 1776966000	15	$35	35	35	+0	open	—	04-23 17:44
btc updown 5m 1776087600	2	$34	23	22	+1	open	—	04-13 13:45
btc updown 5m 1776883800	2	$34	33	32	+1	open	—	04-22 18:51
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$33	38	35	+3	open	—	04-30 12:50
btc updown 5m 1776174300	2	$33	22	21	+1	open	—	04-14 13:50
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	4	$31	60	0	+60	Up	+$30	05-06 16:33
hype updown 5m 1776962400	15	$30	48	25	+23	open	—	04-23 16:44
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$29	29	29	+0	Up	$-2	05-07 18:09
hype updown 5m 1776965700	13	$28	40	22	+18	open	—	04-23 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	3	$26	26	13	+13	Down	+$4	05-09 12:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	3	$26	31	15	+16	Down	+$7	05-09 12:05
hype updown 5m 1776965100	11	$26	30	25	+5	open	—	04-23 17:29
BNB Up or Down - May 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	3	$24	30	17	+13	Down	+$2	05-09 21:20
hype updown 5m 1776960900	11	$23	35	16	+19	open	—	04-23 16:19
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	3	$22	39	17	+22	Down	+$9	05-09 14:00
hype updown 5m 1776960600	9	$22	24	15	+9	open	—	04-23 16:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 03:29:51	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x83a6be…
05-13 03:29:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x001303…
05-13 03:24:59	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x09452a…
05-13 03:24:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xec2984…
05-13 03:14:54	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xe7f05b…
05-13 03:14:52	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x620ff3…
05-13 03:11:59	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x71aed2…
05-13 03:11:59	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x3fabb8…
05-13 02:04:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xb027a5…
05-13 01:14:52	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	58¢	$7	0xe63495…
05-13 01:14:51	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0x23e944…
05-13 01:09:53	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x6d1cee…
05-13 01:09:51	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0xfcd3f9…
05-13 01:09:51	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x0ee513…
05-13 01:04:50	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	54¢	$7	0x486e91…
05-13 00:59:51	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xf8aae4…
05-13 00:24:53	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x498e44…
05-13 00:24:51	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0xfe184f…
05-13 00:19:50	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x17bc42…
05-13 00:09:50	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	53¢	$7	0x4e90ae…
05-13 00:04:51	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xad01bb…
05-12 23:59:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	26	55¢	$14	0xdbcee9…
05-12 23:54:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0x825ba0…
05-12 23:49:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xf46a2e…
05-12 23:44:52	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0xc2b231…
05-12 23:39:51	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x50e4b4…
05-12 20:29:51	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xc2fa1b…
05-12 20:04:52	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xcf9cd5…
05-12 16:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x76a9cf…
05-12 13:59:52	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x755909…
05-12 13:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x6d5a7c…
05-12 13:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x78be09…
05-12 13:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x4ab062…
05-12 13:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xa727a8…
05-12 13:34:58	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x9c9bf0…
05-12 13:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xf022f5…
05-12 12:34:51	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xb2bc31…
05-12 11:44:51	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xeba049…
05-12 11:19:59	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x67de83…
05-12 11:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0xcba701…
05-12 11:14:52	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x47b66f…
05-12 11:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x20c2dc…
05-12 11:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x910455…
05-12 08:14:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0xcfad20…
05-12 08:09:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xcd4ef6…
05-12 06:44:51	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0x0a571e…
05-12 06:34:51	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xcd1e4d…
05-12 02:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xe3bc8e…
05-12 02:39:53	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x764a28…
05-12 02:39:51	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xb255d2…
05-12 02:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x75cea8…
05-12 02:29:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x55cb4f…
05-12 02:29:51	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x29debc…
05-12 01:39:53	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x4c3ab1…
05-12 01:39:51	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x3b1e58…
05-12 01:34:52	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	68	55¢	$38	0x58959f…
05-12 01:34:52	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x32dd25…
05-12 01:30:10	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	14	24¢	$3	0xabf94d…
05-12 01:29:53	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x304c59…
05-12 01:29:51	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	33	52¢	$17	0x73b596…
05-12 01:24:52	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xedb9c4…
05-12 01:24:52	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x5e7549…
05-12 01:19:51	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xe7e4b1…
05-12 00:39:51	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	54¢	$8	0x7f73e5…
05-12 00:34:50	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x43f74f…
05-11 23:44:53	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xf61031…
05-11 23:44:51	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x0fe08d…
05-11 23:39:52	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xd1dd4e…
05-11 23:09:51	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0x634ffc…
05-11 23:04:52	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x141206…
05-11 23:00:03	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	63¢	$8	0x65ee36…
05-11 22:59:51	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x689837…
05-11 22:54:58	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x2392d5…
05-11 22:54:51	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x5f94da…
05-11 16:14:50	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x2f53da…
05-11 16:14:38	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x1adcca…
05-11 16:04:52	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0xccbb00…
05-11 13:49:51	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x3afd9e…
05-11 13:44:52	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x0f9da7…
05-11 13:39:52	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x46b4fc…
05-11 13:34:51	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x6dc0fb…
05-11 12:59:53	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	31	56¢	$17	0xdd16e1…
05-11 12:59:53	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	32	53¢	$17	0x7f11f0…
05-11 12:59:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0xe5744f…
05-11 12:54:54	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x35d56c…
05-11 12:54:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xf393fc…
05-11 12:54:52	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x3d89e6…
05-11 12:49:53	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0xd807d6…
05-11 12:49:51	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xbc6c67…
05-11 12:24:58	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x340172…
05-11 12:24:37	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x6f15b7…
05-11 12:19:52	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xa66fb5…
05-11 12:14:51	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	54¢	$8	0xc1fc68…
05-11 12:09:52	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xdfbe26…
05-11 12:04:37	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xe759e2…
05-11 11:59:52	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x00fd75…
05-11 11:34:52	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	31	55¢	$17	0x625106…
05-11 11:29:51	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xe3121c…
05-11 11:24:52	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0xd0c752…
05-11 01:44:51	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x3d5794…