Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

62.6%

Resolved

220

Trades

297

lifetime

Volume

$1.41K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$21

14 positions

First seen

2026-06-13

last 10-02 15:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 88% +$52

Other

33% 71% -$28

Politics

7% 76% -$2

Tech

1% 89% $0

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 98 trades/day

Open positions (14) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?	No	+4	$1	90¢	$3	+$2	10-01 21:26
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	+2	$2	98¢	$2	+$0	09-30 18:16
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	+3	$2	76¢	$2	$0	09-30 18:16
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	+4	$1	52¢	$2	+$1	09-30 16:45
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	+6	$1	31¢	$2	+$1	10-02 03:52
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T?	No	+1	$1	96¢	$1	+$0	09-30 18:42
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	+1	$1	98¢	$1	+$0	09-30 18:04
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	+1	$1	99¢	$1	+$0	09-30 18:04
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	+1	$1	100¢	$1	$0	09-30 18:16
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	+1	$1	100¢	$1	$0	09-30 18:04
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T?	No	+1	$1	86¢	$1	+$0	09-30 18:42
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T?	No	+1	$1	95¢	$1	$0	09-30 18:42
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?	No	+1	$1	78¢	$1	$0	09-30 18:42
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	No	+2	$1	5¢	$0	-$1	10-01 21:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	2	$100	53	53	+0	No	$0	06-13 19:54
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	2	$97	123	123	+0	No	-$1	06-13 19:56
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	2	$96	726	726	+0	Yes	-$1	06-13 18:22
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 13?	2	$83	352	352	+0	No	-$14	06-13 17:47
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$54	3,604	3,604	+0	open	—	06-14 13:07
Will China PR win on 2026-10-02?	9	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	09-30 18:40
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	06-13 18:34
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	06-13 18:59
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	06-13 18:39
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-13 16:45 UTC	2	$10	19	0	+19	Up	-$10	06-13 16:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 18:15 UTC	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	06-17 18:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 21:30 UTC	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	06-15 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	06-15 09:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 08:00 UTC	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	06-14 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	1	$9	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	06-13 19:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 16:30 UTC	1	$9	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	06-16 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	1	$9	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	06-16 12:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 17:15 UTC	1	$9	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	06-18 17:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 02:45 UTC	1	$9	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	06-17 02:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 13:00 UTC	1	$9	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	06-14 13:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 22:00 UTC	1	$9	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	06-19 22:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 14:15 UTC	1	$9	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	06-18 14:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 22:45 UTC	1	$9	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	06-17 22:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 01:00 UTC	1	$9	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	06-16 01:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 01:30 UTC	1	$9	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	06-20 01:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 11:45 UTC	1	$9	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	06-17 11:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 20:45 UTC	1	$9	11	0	+11	Up	+$2	06-16 20:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 12:30 UTC	1	$9	11	0	+11	Up	+$2	06-18 12:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 14:00 UTC	1	$9	11	0	+11	Up	+$2	06-17 14:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 15:30 UTC	1	$9	11	0	+11	Up	+$2	06-16 15:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-02 15:08:08	Will Vitality Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x90834b…
10-02 15:07:33	Will Las Vegas Raiders win the 2026 AFC West?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xaa8ef4…
10-02 03:52:48	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xbc23b3…
10-02 01:45:02	Will Waymo operate in 20-23 cities on December 31 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3b957c…
10-01 23:27:48	Will Renan Santos win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5bd5da…
10-01 23:27:47	Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3549f3…
10-01 23:19:41	Will Simone Tebet win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc44778…
10-01 23:19:41	Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	No	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x6e7ce0…
10-01 23:19:00	Seattle Sounders FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Neither team to score first?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x724295…
10-01 23:15:38	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 45% or more?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xebfc34…
10-01 23:15:38	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xea8b0f…
10-01 23:15:38	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 40%-45%?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe01ac0…
10-01 22:26:53	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on October 3?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe8ddd5…
10-01 22:26:53	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 3?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x96c5b1…
10-01 22:21:57	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x00a2cf…
10-01 22:21:17	Will Renan Santos win between 2% and 4% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x6f2708…
10-01 22:21:17	Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x605197…
10-01 21:54:14	Will NattyNatt Win the ADC Race 2026?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc362be…
10-01 21:52:36	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico be between 800,000 and 850,000?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf765e4…
10-01 21:52:36	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico be less than 550,000?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7f9a02…
10-01 21:52:36	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico be between 550,000 and 600,000?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x452ad9…
10-01 21:52:21	Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x414476…
10-01 21:33:35	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x45ee38…
10-01 21:33:32	Will Nolo peak at Category 2?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3dfde6…
10-01 21:26:15	Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd89810…
10-01 21:26:15	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x49a19f…
10-01 06:06:17	Will Republicans win 3 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x3d3f1a…
10-01 02:52:42	Will Pimenta win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x178c80…
10-01 02:28:06	Will Shots: Photo & Video Generator be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x081904…
10-01 02:28:05	Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2e7495…
10-01 02:26:59	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rondônia?	No	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0xba441a…
10-01 02:26:59	Will Escritor Augusto Cury win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rondônia?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8c84e5…
10-01 02:26:59	Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rondônia?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4f9f57…
10-01 02:26:59	Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rondônia?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3a78b3…
10-01 02:20:39	Will Roberto Cidade win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xee937c…
10-01 02:16:42	Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xeaa407…
10-01 02:04:53	Will Seoul have between 150-175mm of precipitation in September?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8ebae4…
09-30 23:10:47	Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xca0885…
09-30 18:48:24	Will Flávio Lúcio win the Governor of Paraíba election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8135e8…
09-30 18:48:24	Will Cícero Lucena win the Governor of Paraíba election?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4ce547…
09-30 18:48:24	Will Romero Rodrigues win the Governor of Paraíba election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x383e43…
09-30 18:47:20	Will Romero Rodrigues win the Governor of Paraíba election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa6e7be…
09-30 18:47:20	Will Cícero Lucena win the Governor of Paraíba election?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x93c1d7…
09-30 18:47:20	Will Flávio Lúcio win the Governor of Paraíba election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x55a27d…
09-30 18:43:06	Will Libya win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group H?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7fb794…
09-30 18:42:21	Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x169b32…
09-30 18:42:18	Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa02d44…
09-30 18:42:18	Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.0T and $2.25T?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4434e7…
09-30 18:42:18	Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x27a66e…
09-30 18:42:17	Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xea5f28…
09-30 18:41:17	Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	No	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x4e8833…
09-30 18:40:14	Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x7d5c4c…
09-30 18:40:14	Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x601db1…
09-30 18:40:11	Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb144cf…
09-30 18:40:11	Will China PR win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xad8078…
09-30 18:39:05	Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x4815c3…
09-30 18:39:05	Will Bia Kicis win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x18de65…
09-30 18:39:05	Will Erika Kokay win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x13800f…
09-30 18:16:05	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x8e3ed8…
09-30 18:16:05	Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x745f56…
09-30 18:16:05	Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x491aa1…
09-30 18:11:15	Will Alexander Riabov win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb36dc8…
09-30 18:11:15	Will Lenka Kovačevičová win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x127176…
09-30 18:08:39	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xc862fa…
09-30 18:08:39	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4033f8…
09-30 18:07:29	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.25 and $2.50 on September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbf8da4…
09-30 18:06:44	Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 11, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xffee89…
09-30 18:06:44	Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xae6a62…
09-30 18:06:44	Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8b2e1a…
09-30 18:06:44	Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x86260c…
09-30 18:06:44	Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x666116…
09-30 18:06:44	Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x645eeb…
09-30 18:06:44	Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x29ec03…
09-30 18:06:44	Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x07c2ae…
09-30 18:04:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd2d1a2…
09-30 18:04:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1b104d…
09-30 18:04:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0643fb…
09-30 18:03:53	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.25 and $2.50 on September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb122c9…
09-30 18:03:53	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6d4fc2…
09-30 18:03:33	Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x338179…
09-30 17:53:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 1?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xaaf66a…
09-30 17:53:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 1?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8a576f…
09-30 17:48:51	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 1?	No	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x2dff2d…
09-30 17:48:50	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 1?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xca0def…
09-30 17:48:50	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 1?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9f4af1…
09-30 17:42:53	Will the Student List win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x0b1931…
09-30 17:39:20	Will the Republican Party win the KY-05 House seat?	No	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x761a9f…
09-30 17:39:05	Will China PR win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0d3c65…
09-30 17:36:50	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	No	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x8bbedf…
09-30 17:36:50	Will China PR win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x310725…
09-30 17:35:33	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 1?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x37c9a8…
09-30 17:34:24	Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc2fa0c…
09-30 17:33:53	Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x8726bd…
09-30 17:33:47	Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x51d15d…
09-30 17:32:54	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	No	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xc589b2…
09-30 17:32:54	Will China PR win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb443fc…
09-30 17:32:54	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	No	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x76565f…
09-30 17:30:56	Will Marília Campos win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xaa3097…
09-30 17:29:14	Will China PR win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xad2837…
09-30 17:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 1?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa6253a…