Terrific-Frigate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

726

lifetime

Volume

$42.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$59

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-02 15:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

59% 100% +$3

Politics

29% 100% +$28

Sports

7% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	50	$3.7K	3,115	3,115	+0	open	—	04-22 19:44
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	47	$3.3K	2,357	2,357	+0	open	—	04-18 23:12
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	29	$3.1K	4,090	4,090	+0	No	+$28	05-04 20:03
us forces in venezuela again by january 31 2026	33	$2.7K	6,887	6,929	-42	open	—	01-08 06:55
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$2.1K	1,369	1,369	+0	open	—	05-06 18:59
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	2	$1.3K	1,194	1,194	+0	open	—	04-24 20:24
will novak djokovic win the 2026 australian open	4	$1.3K	741	741	+0	open	—	01-26 06:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	17	$1.2K	6,575	6,575	+0	open	—	04-22 13:23
atp alcaraz zverev 2026 01 30	9	$1.2K	828	828	+0	open	—	01-30 09:14
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	12	$1.1K	1,543	1,543	+0	open	—	03-31 11:51
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	5	$988	760	760	+0	open	—	05-05 21:28
Madrid Open, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Zsombor Piros	4	$978	622	617	+5	open	—	04-21 17:31
Madrid Open: Learner Tien vs Adolfo Vallejo	9	$821	1,710	1,710	+0	open	—	04-25 16:27
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 15?	25	$816	770	770	+0	open	—	05-15 12:36
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$762	465	465	+0	open	—	04-21 07:29
atp djokovi sinner 2026 01 30	5	$711	525	285	+240	open	—	01-30 12:59
will google gemini 3 score at least 70 on the frontiermath benchmark	5	$511	2,590	2,590	+0	open	—	01-07 19:15
atp hijikat perrica 2026 01 06	4	$450	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	01-08 06:46
atp tiafoe minaur 2026 01 23	3	$402	220	220	+0	open	—	01-23 11:32
nba tor cha 2026 01 07	1	$350	624	0	+624	open	—	01-07 19:18
atp cerund jong 2026 04 12	2	$334	210	208	+3	open	—	04-12 15:27
nba orl bkn 2026 01 07	1	$329	700	0	+700	open	—	01-07 19:18
atp bublik etcheve 2026 01 23	3	$320	403	0	+403	open	—	01-23 11:36
wta rybakin mertens 2026 01 26	2	$315	171	171	+0	open	—	01-26 08:04
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt4 in december 631	5	$295	179	179	+0	open	—	01-13 13:32
atp nardi cobolli 2026 02 05	7	$294	658	0	+658	open	—	02-05 15:24
nba chi bos 2026 01 05	1	$285	348	0	+348	open	—	01-05 20:27
Will Carlos Alcaraz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	2	$244	782	782	+0	open	—	04-25 19:18
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$235	141	141	+0	open	—	01-09 14:39
atp gea machac 2026 02 04	2	$227	333	0	+333	open	—	02-04 13:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 15:25:47	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0xeb0b4d…
05-28 12:33:09	Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Jannik Sinner	BUY	70	62¢	$43	0xa02b92…
05-26 15:55:13	Roland Garros ATP: Sebastian Ofner vs Luciano Darderi	Luciano Darderi	BUY	60	75¢	$45	0x531fd3…
05-15 12:36:20	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	151	54¢	$81	0x94979d…
05-15 12:02:28	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	412	54¢	$222	0x18b1fc…
05-15 12:02:19	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	40	54¢	$22	0xe611a8…
05-15 12:01:51	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x9f6a0d…
05-15 12:01:20	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x5ae3ec…
05-15 12:01:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0xf084de…
05-15 12:01:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0xc760d0…
05-15 12:01:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x8d3f62…
05-15 12:01:16	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x9e37e2…
05-15 12:01:16	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x5d78bc…
05-15 12:01:14	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x87fe84…
05-15 12:01:14	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x69f6ed…
05-15 12:01:14	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x28b540…
05-15 12:01:13	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0xfd5353…
05-15 12:00:11	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0x0c7ed2…
05-15 12:00:01	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0xf0a9d0…
05-15 12:00:01	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x5ddcc5…
05-15 12:00:01	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x3f6c31…
05-15 11:59:59	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0xffa525…
05-15 11:59:59	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0xe4ba33…
05-15 11:59:59	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0xe25c70…
05-15 11:59:59	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0xa3cf31…
05-15 11:59:59	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x61a611…
05-15 11:59:57	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x1fa69b…
05-15 11:51:51	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	770	52¢	$400	0x89c860…
05-06 18:59:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,369	76¢	$1,039	0x8f18f2…
05-06 13:02:56	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,369	77¢	$1,050	0xcadf31…
05-05 21:28:10	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	425	63¢	$268	0x429870…
05-05 14:31:54	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	127	63¢	$80	0x9588bc…
05-05 14:15:28	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xe2b18b…
05-05 14:07:02	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	203	63¢	$128	0x5d6297…
05-05 13:11:04	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	760	67¢	$509	0x3c992f…
05-04 20:03:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	120	29¢	$35	0x81f330…
05-04 20:00:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	28	29¢	$8	0x849673…
05-04 20:00:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	30	29¢	$9	0x08c9cc…
05-04 19:48:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	97	31¢	$30	0x43a7c7…
05-04 19:48:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	200	31¢	$62	0xfd0a7b…
05-04 19:48:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	13	31¢	$4	0x7e78dd…
05-04 19:48:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	339	31¢	$105	0x178d11…
05-04 19:47:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	53	31¢	$16	0xa809da…
05-04 19:46:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x4cc92b…
05-04 19:45:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	138	31¢	$43	0x71a43e…
05-04 19:45:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	12	31¢	$4	0x364031…
05-04 19:45:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0x444c42…
05-04 19:44:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x354dd6…
05-04 19:44:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	123	31¢	$38	0x0d1a70…
05-04 19:44:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x99aa8c…
05-04 19:44:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	97	31¢	$30	0x336d4c…
05-04 19:43:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	65	31¢	$20	0x18be39…
05-04 19:43:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	350	31¢	$108	0x7c3a92…
05-04 19:41:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,740	30¢	$522	0xaf455c…
05-04 19:30:10	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Pierluigi Basile	Rinky Hijikata	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd8a180…
05-04 19:29:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0xda8741…
05-04 19:29:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	116	68¢	$79	0xaf5db3…
05-04 19:29:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	501	68¢	$341	0xb6946a…
05-04 19:29:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	22	68¢	$15	0x3df9d3…
05-04 19:28:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	98	67¢	$66	0x9d57c9…
05-04 19:28:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x199224…
05-04 19:26:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	750	66¢	$495	0xb22b97…
05-04 19:14:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	1,600	31¢	$496	0x763869…
05-04 19:12:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	148	31¢	$46	0x8bce9a…
05-04 19:12:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,452	31¢	$450	0xb139de…
05-04 17:08:26	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Pierluigi Basile	Rinky Hijikata	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa6bb2c…
04-25 19:19:30	Madrid Open: Alexander Bublik vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	Alexander Bublik	BUY	173	64¢	$111	0x27dac6…
04-25 19:18:52	Will Carlos Alcaraz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	SELL	782	14¢	$111	0x6de4fc…
04-25 18:53:54	Will Carlos Alcaraz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	BUY	782	17¢	$133	0x005516…
04-25 16:27:02	Madrid Open: Learner Tien vs Adolfo Vallejo	Learner Tien	SELL	1,710	8¢	$137	0x0ee520…
04-25 09:11:10	Madrid Open: Learner Tien vs Adolfo Vallejo	Learner Tien	BUY	310	40¢	$124	0xea6d29…
04-25 09:01:22	Madrid Open: Learner Tien vs Adolfo Vallejo	Learner Tien	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4d83eb…
04-25 08:52:38	Madrid Open: Learner Tien vs Adolfo Vallejo	Learner Tien	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x7041bd…
04-25 07:46:52	Madrid Open: Learner Tien vs Adolfo Vallejo	Learner Tien	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc035bd…
04-25 07:16:14	Madrid Open: Learner Tien vs Adolfo Vallejo	Learner Tien	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xd2bde1…
04-25 07:10:52	Madrid Open: Learner Tien vs Adolfo Vallejo	Learner Tien	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xd45c49…
04-25 06:58:30	Madrid Open: Learner Tien vs Adolfo Vallejo	Learner Tien	BUY	1,250	40¢	$500	0xcffb60…
04-25 06:53:12	Madrid Open: Learner Tien vs Adolfo Vallejo	Learner Tien	BUY	133	40¢	$53	0x370a6e…
04-24 20:24:54	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Spurs	SELL	1,194	57¢	$681	0xd7c732…
04-24 16:19:06	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Spurs	BUY	1,194	56¢	$669	0x2817d9…
04-22 19:44:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	832	80¢	$666	0x686c50…
04-22 17:10:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	832	79¢	$657	0x7faa66…
04-22 13:23:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	6,575	10¢	$657	0x35dcc0…
04-22 11:43:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	2,429	9¢	$219	0xf2a014…
04-22 11:40:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	2,716	9¢	$244	0x4cba35…
04-22 11:40:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0xbb8fcb…
04-22 11:39:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0x4b1b84…
04-22 11:35:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x9f4483…
04-22 11:30:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x0a46af…
04-22 11:29:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	163	9¢	$15	0x9cea2d…
04-22 11:28:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xf06ff4…
04-22 11:28:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x932017…
04-22 11:27:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xe8ce42…
04-22 11:26:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	88	9¢	$8	0x20b4dc…
04-22 11:26:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	185	9¢	$17	0x9ed184…
04-22 11:25:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x0a3147…
04-22 11:24:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	220	9¢	$20	0x18aa05…
04-22 11:19:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0xc27c2a…
04-22 11:19:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	642	9¢	$58	0xedef09…
04-21 17:31:56	Madrid Open, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Zsombor Piros	Dino Prizmic	SELL	617	95¢	$586	0xeed47c…