Political-Insurance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.8%

Resolved

Trades

740

lifetime

Volume

$862

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 06-08 16:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 73% $-0

Politics

2% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 5am et	7	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	04-20 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1AM ET	4	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	04-26 05:40
bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 6am et	6	$10	8	7	+0	open	—	04-20 10:58
bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 1am et	6	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	04-22 05:21
bitcoin up or down february 14 8am et	6	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	02-14 13:28
bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 8am et	4	$8	9	9	+0	open	—	04-24 12:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9AM ET	6	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 13:38
bitcoin up or down february 14 8pm et	6	$8	8	8	+0	open	—	02-15 01:55
bitcoin up or down february 16 12am et	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	02-16 06:11
bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 2am et	8	$8	12	12	+0	open	—	06-08 06:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10PM ET	2	$7	5	4	+0	open	—	04-26 03:00
bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 7am et	5	$7	16	15	+1	open	—	04-24 11:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10AM ET	5	$7	8	4	+4	Up	+$1	05-08 14:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5AM ET	4	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	04-27 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7PM ET	4	$7	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7AM ET	4	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-01 11:21
bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 12pm et	6	$6	7	7	+0	open	—	06-08 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7AM ET	6	$6	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 11:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2AM ET	4	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 06:55
bitcoin up or down february 21 2am et	4	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-21 07:51
bitcoin up or down february 16 1am et	6	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	02-16 07:00
bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 2am et	6	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-22 06:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6AM ET	4	$6	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 10:45
bitcoin up or down february 11 10pm et	6	$6	7	7	+0	open	—	02-12 03:56
bitcoin up or down february 12 6am et	6	$6	7	7	+0	open	—	02-12 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5AM ET	6	$6	4	4	+0	Down	$-0	05-10 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6AM ET	4	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-03 10:49
bitcoin up or down february 22 1am et	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-22 06:57
bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 7am et	3	$5	4	3	+1	open	—	04-20 11:34
bitcoin up or down february 13 6am et	2	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	02-13 11:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 16:43:18	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 12pm et	Down	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xeeed16…
06-08 16:40:40	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x2a1823…
06-08 16:39:36	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 12pm et	Up	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xbee811…
06-08 16:36:01	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe13d7a…
06-08 16:31:52	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 12pm et	Down	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x27328a…
06-08 16:29:46	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x731cf3…
06-08 12:19:57	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 8am et	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x99a475…
06-08 12:13:19	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x51d1d2…
06-08 10:31:51	will trump say hippo or hippopotamus in june	Yes	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0x4ed611…
06-08 10:31:03	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 6am et	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x2d7df6…
06-08 10:15:01	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xb89fa8…
06-08 08:46:51	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x279b98…
06-08 08:42:36	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x30a26b…
06-08 07:40:54	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 3am et	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x836e9d…
06-08 07:21:48	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x88149c…
06-08 06:43:27	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 2am et	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x774245…
06-08 06:39:36	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x285282…
06-08 06:29:46	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 2am et	Down	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x571719…
06-08 06:20:13	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x83501a…
06-08 06:18:24	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 2am et	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x44e586…
06-08 06:17:16	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x7384d4…
06-08 06:16:04	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 2am et	Down	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x945fba…
06-08 06:14:22	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x80e290…
06-08 05:55:19	will trump say hippo or hippopotamus in june	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xbef22e…
06-08 05:36:04	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 1am et	Down	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x13f958…
06-08 05:14:57	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xbecd07…
05-27 10:56:56	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0x6b1ded…
05-27 10:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x59be0f…
05-27 10:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x746b32…
05-26 05:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xccc79a…
05-26 05:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x0d344d…
05-26 05:15:57	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x0e104f…
05-26 05:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xaf9f19…
05-26 05:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x045f10…
05-21 23:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xfe60f5…
05-21 23:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x9f9f9d…
05-21 01:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9PM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x694c4b…
05-21 01:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd988ed…
05-20 23:03:35	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0xab3350…
05-20 15:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x238ff1…
05-20 15:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x7b2730…
05-20 15:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x35acc7…
05-20 15:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x327f69…
05-20 15:25:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x404f32…
05-20 14:28:19	Trump kiss by May 31?	No	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x0775ad…
05-20 12:43:05	Trump kiss by May 31?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc17d00…
05-20 12:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0xb3e933…
05-20 12:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x39ed45…
05-20 11:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xedb357…
05-20 11:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xe0649e…
05-19 14:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xd4706c…
05-19 14:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x58075d…
05-19 13:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x52ad38…
05-19 13:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xfed401…
05-19 13:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x2dc175…
05-19 13:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xd536b8…
05-19 11:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x068359…
05-19 10:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xb4f74d…
05-19 10:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xfff050…
05-19 06:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x052ce2…
05-19 06:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xb4bafe…
05-19 06:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xe27e3d…
05-19 06:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6a34c1…
05-19 05:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1AM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xee1ff4…
05-19 05:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x7c55db…
05-18 15:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xa4fc75…
05-18 15:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd552ed…
05-18 15:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xf4949e…
05-18 15:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe9a6d6…
05-18 09:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	3	16¢	$0	0x85adae…
05-18 09:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x384899…
05-18 09:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7f9c56…
05-18 08:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x61cb65…
05-17 12:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0xb47fe6…
05-17 12:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x02867d…
05-17 12:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0xce42ee…
05-17 12:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x626bef…
05-17 08:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x442243…
05-17 08:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x28832c…
05-17 05:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1AM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x9c5eaa…
05-17 05:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x72f8c8…
05-16 06:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0x5f0b3f…
05-16 06:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x8a0ec1…
05-13 07:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x589fce…
05-13 07:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3bb42e…
05-13 01:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9PM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xd052e7…
05-13 01:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xb18d74…
05-12 15:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x08518e…
05-12 15:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x53fa07…
05-11 01:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9PM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xdb3501…
05-11 01:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xfe3169…
05-10 12:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc93936…
05-10 12:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x3996a5…
05-10 12:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xc8453d…
05-10 11:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	3	16¢	$1	0x52eee8…
05-10 11:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x425480…
05-10 11:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0x17cae3…
05-10 11:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x2ef170…
05-10 10:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xdf5d0c…
05-10 10:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x452862…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Impossible-Thorn 0xdc3f…f038	216	$1.24K	1,123	06-08 16:24
(anonymous) 0x6507…2d2c	187	$2.67K	1,050	06-08 16:27
Costly-Catamaran 0xbb28…aba9	186	$520	213	06-08 15:01
(anonymous) 0x4924…fac2	182	$67.7K	19,616	06-08 16:46
(anonymous) 0xdc66…0533	176	$491.6K	88,756	06-08 16:59
Bossy-Shock 0x4d1c…a912	161	$6.94K	653	06-08 16:00
Damaged-Reason 0x0bba…e11c	155	$2.37K	263	06-08 16:00
Sweet-Convection 0xc0ff…136b	154	$3.40K	745	05-21 22:55