Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$114

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

68.7%

Resolved

1,125

Trades

4,600

lifetime

Volume

$79.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 10-10 00:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 50% +$47

Politics

5% 54% +$13

Other

2% 44% +$105

Tech

0% 0% -$63

Sports

0% 56% +$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+21	$3	14¢	$3	+$0	10-09 23:23
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?	Yes		+13	$1	3¢	$0	-$1	07-24 00:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 21:45 UTC	12	$850	708	644	+64	Up	+$30	07-27 21:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 01:05 UTC	11	$848	755	755	+0	Up	+$98	08-04 01:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 00:40 UTC	16	$751	663	663	+0	Up	+$46	08-04 00:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 00:05 UTC	5	$671	879	379	+500	Down	+$61	07-28 00:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 23:00 UTC	21	$653	432	432	+0	Down	+$47	08-03 23:04
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	39	$642	625	625	+0	Yes	-$38	04-05 06:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 04:40 UTC	8	$615	474	447	+27	Down	+$49	08-06 04:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 03:20 UTC	11	$613	577	557	+20	Down	+$65	07-28 03:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 23:40 UTC	13	$582	719	475	+245	Up	-$142	08-03 23:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 22:50 UTC	7	$578	370	320	+50	Down	+$0	07-27 22:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 01:20 UTC	12	$558	409	409	+0	Down	+$142	08-04 01:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 22:05 UTC	9	$520	451	309	+141	Up	+$51	07-27 22:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 23:45 UTC	12	$518	565	287	+279	Down	-$146	08-03 23:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 23:20 UTC	6	$499	476	391	+86	Up	+$47	07-24 23:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 04:45 UTC	9	$499	373	355	+18	Down	+$13	08-06 04:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 03:45 UTC	7	$497	352	290	+62	Down	+$9	07-28 03:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 23:25 UTC	9	$467	638	371	+268	Down	+$55	07-29 23:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 01:35 UTC	14	$458	499	412	+87	Up	-$68	08-04 01:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 11:05 UTC	12	$435	341	341	+0	Down	+$45	07-28 11:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 01:10 UTC	15	$423	424	369	+55	Up	+$4	08-04 01:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 23:20 UTC	9	$419	358	302	+55	Down	+$89	07-27 23:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 23:15 UTC	3	$419	222	222	+0	Up	+$19	07-29 23:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 01:25 UTC	10	$415	332	310	+23	Up	-$75	08-04 01:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 23:15 UTC	7	$401	548	0	+548	Up	-$58	07-27 23:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 23:55 UTC	6	$391	214	214	+0	Up	+$31	08-04 00:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 22:55 UTC	10	$387	246	236	+10	Down	+$57	08-03 22:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 22:30 UTC	10	$386	541	407	+133	Down	+$18	07-27 22:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 00:25 UTC	12	$376	522	159	+364	Up	-$182	08-04 00:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 00:20 UTC	7	$375	267	267	+0	Up	+$39	08-04 00:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 03:50 UTC	7	$370	387	214	+173	Up	-$114	07-28 03:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 00:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xb409e9…
10-10 00:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	38	78¢	$30	0x80f81b…
10-10 00:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0xfbb31d…
10-10 00:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	29	45¢	$13	0xb9d46e…
10-10 00:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xf7271a…
10-10 00:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	104	96¢	$100	0x3dd45f…
10-10 00:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x32e6dc…
10-10 00:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0xa0fc6d…
10-10 00:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0xf9750a…
10-10 00:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0x9d0938…
10-10 00:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x79e170…
10-10 00:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x223e5b…
10-10 00:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0x8ff18e…
10-10 00:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x87cd79…
10-10 00:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	84	99¢	$84	0xd7d3ad…
10-10 00:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0xa3886c…
10-10 00:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	49	82¢	$40	0xe9c3d2…
10-10 00:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xc4d03a…
10-10 00:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x087cf0…
10-10 00:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	28	10¢	$3	0x0c23dc…
10-09 23:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0xbadb81…
10-09 23:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	48	98¢	$47	0x7a2379…
10-09 23:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x13b822…
10-09 23:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xfa021c…
10-09 23:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0x4c31d1…
10-09 23:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x0f9c1f…
10-09 23:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	37	28¢	$10	0x525651…
10-09 23:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xf48132…
10-09 23:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x15f3db…
10-09 23:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xb7e22b…
10-09 23:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0x3a13b7…
10-09 23:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x6dc128…
10-09 23:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xd3a71c…
10-09 23:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	58	50¢	$29	0xef0e7e…
10-09 23:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x927a19…
10-09 23:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x131a09…
10-09 23:23:13	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xf17db5…
10-09 23:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x7a2547…
10-09 23:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9002e9…
10-09 23:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xfebaf7…
10-09 23:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x786e1b…
08-15 17:35:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x001ec2…
08-15 17:35:37	Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	3¢	$1	0xbb531b…
08-15 17:35:34	Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on August 31?	No	SELL	29	1¢	$0	0xddc816…
08-15 17:28:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x8abc93…
08-15 17:26:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x28546d…
08-15 17:22:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x946f09…
08-15 17:22:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe4f2d1…
08-15 17:20:28	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	48	53¢	$25	0xcf5eb5…
08-15 17:17:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x892770…
08-15 17:15:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xdf716b…
08-15 17:15:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x2c39d4…
08-15 17:13:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 17:10 UTC	Up	SELL	23	61¢	$14	0xf2fc0b…
08-15 17:11:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 17:10 UTC	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xc57ac6…
08-15 17:10:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd52e5b…
08-15 17:09:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 17:05 UTC	Down	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x3723a0…
08-15 17:09:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 17:05 UTC	Down	SELL	14	50¢	$7	0xeb391b…
08-15 17:08:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x668cab…
08-15 17:05:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xee577e…
08-15 17:04:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 17:00 UTC	Down	SELL	10	25¢	$3	0xe9c3e8…
08-15 17:03:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 17:00 UTC	Down	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x5f3488…
08-15 17:00:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xd2b227…
08-15 16:59:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xd8a83a…
08-15 16:58:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 16:55 UTC	Down	SELL	12	34¢	$4	0xf59c90…
08-15 16:58:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xc6f76f…
08-15 16:56:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x0cca19…
08-15 16:54:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 16:50 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x13eb44…
08-08 02:30:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x423f67…
08-08 02:30:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x934137…
08-08 02:30:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x51fce2…
08-08 02:28:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1a5fe8…
08-08 02:27:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe38cfa…
08-08 02:25:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x2f7b5c…
08-08 02:25:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 02:20 UTC	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x67e9e5…
08-08 02:23:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa501ce…
08-08 02:23:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xfa91b3…
08-08 02:16:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x6ff640…
08-08 02:14:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x0afd9c…
08-08 02:14:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 02:10 UTC	Down	SELL	17	27¢	$5	0x8402dd…
08-08 02:14:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 02:10 UTC	Down	SELL	17	48¢	$8	0x336894…
08-08 02:14:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x818344…
08-08 02:12:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x3ec6be…
08-08 02:11:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 02:10 UTC	Down	SELL	27	66¢	$18	0x2585cd…
08-08 02:10:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0xaf85fb…
08-08 02:09:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x9c8f01…
08-08 02:05:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0x3f98ab…
08-08 02:04:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x68df78…
08-08 02:04:12	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	30	51¢	$15	0x9dce5e…
08-08 01:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	96¢	$6	0xf76732…
08-08 01:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x19b3af…
08-08 01:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xf0de21…
08-08 01:57:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x8c026e…
08-08 01:55:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x902e4f…
08-08 01:55:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 01:55 UTC	Up	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0xb7578c…
08-08 01:55:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xcd6de3…
08-08 01:53:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0xaa37c8…
08-08 01:53:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x93856c…
08-08 01:53:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x6b4ea7…
08-08 01:53:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x5f791e…
08-08 01:50:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe5831c…