Blue-Owl — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$127

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.6%

Resolved

274

Trades

795

lifetime

Volume

$3.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 06-03 06:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 62% $-127

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 410 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	4	$45	59	59	+0	Up	$-4	05-11 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	6	$39	37	37	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 17:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	7	$37	36	36	+0	Down	+$2	05-10 17:06
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$31	52	52	+0	Up	+$3	05-10 17:46
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	4	$29	25	25	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 18:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$29	23	23	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	4	$29	25	25	+0	Down	$-1	05-11 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	4	$26	22	22	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 02:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	4	$26	32	32	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 18:51
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	4	$25	100	0	+100	Down	$-25	05-12 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	5	$25	21	21	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 17:41
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	3	$25	19	19	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 17:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	4	$24	22	22	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 03:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	3	$21	22	11	+11	Down	+$1	05-06 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$21	17	17	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 17:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	3	$21	16	16	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 17:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	2	$20	18	18	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 16:41
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	4	$20	16	16	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 16:41
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	7	$20	22	11	+11	Down	$-0	05-06 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$20	15	15	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 17:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	4	$20	21	11	+11	Down	+$0	05-06 19:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	4	$20	15	15	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	3	$20	15	15	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 17:32
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	4	$20	22	11	+11	Down	$-1	05-06 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	3	$20	26	11	+15	Up	$-7	05-12 03:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	3	$19	20	10	+10	Down	+$1	05-07 02:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$19	35	0	+35	Up	$-19	05-10 17:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	3	$19	20	11	+8	Down	+$3	05-11 14:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	6	$18	21	10	+10	Up	$-1	05-06 16:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$18	57	57	+0	open	—	05-06 16:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 06:28:48	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x0ada07…
05-28 08:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	45	21¢	$10	0x199baf…
05-28 08:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xdfeb87…
05-12 20:48:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xb296f0…
05-12 20:48:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	73	25¢	$18	0x240ddb…
05-12 20:48:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	25¢	$3	0x4ed100…
05-12 20:48:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x4883c7…
05-12 20:40:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x53f167…
05-12 20:37:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x0044dd…
05-12 20:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0x91167e…
05-12 20:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0x657dba…
05-12 20:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x21ed58…
05-12 20:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0xfac7eb…
05-12 20:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xe3b0ad…
05-12 20:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x9f4159…
05-12 20:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x48fd4e…
05-12 20:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x1edb1b…
05-12 20:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x1b2826…
05-12 03:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x667873…
05-12 03:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	SELL	11	58¢	$6	0x85976d…
05-12 03:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0x763558…
05-12 03:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0x511731…
05-12 03:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	61¢	$6	0xe252a2…
05-12 03:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	11	59¢	$6	0x144e30…
05-12 03:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x0db593…
05-12 03:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	11	55¢	$6	0x380f00…
05-12 03:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x99cefb…
05-12 02:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0xec2241…
05-12 02:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x6e0d5c…
05-12 02:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	12	60¢	$7	0xaf0ff5…
05-12 02:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xfc7e1a…
05-12 01:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	17	34¢	$6	0x37d08b…
05-12 01:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0x699d65…
05-12 01:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	9	66¢	$6	0x5eff40…
05-12 01:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x58142e…
05-12 00:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	14	43¢	$6	0x65a1ae…
05-12 00:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	41¢	$6	0xb52232…
05-12 00:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x4ca181…
05-12 00:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	60¢	$6	0x782d13…
05-11 23:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0x8bc7fe…
05-11 23:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xd4d214…
05-11 23:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	15	36¢	$5	0x3b585f…
05-11 23:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0xf5ebd9…
05-11 23:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x7b71bc…
05-11 23:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x042826…
05-11 23:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	11	61¢	$6	0x61a59f…
05-11 23:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x89b418…
05-11 22:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x582510…
05-11 22:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	14	47¢	$6	0xd081df…
05-11 22:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	48¢	$7	0xca2140…
05-11 21:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	14	47¢	$7	0x52d8af…
05-11 21:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	48¢	$7	0x928913…
05-11 21:13:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xbaeb08…
05-11 20:50:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xcff567…
05-11 20:35:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	11	48¢	$5	0xf2920b…
05-11 20:35:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xd78ae6…
05-11 20:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x1274ae…
05-11 20:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x5316a4…
05-11 20:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	11	49¢	$5	0xbe37c5…
05-11 20:11:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	12	58¢	$7	0xe57fda…
05-11 20:10:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	55¢	$6	0x6af8cc…
05-11 20:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	59¢	$6	0x1fd171…
05-11 20:08:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	11	51¢	$6	0xc646f9…
05-11 20:07:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0xc6383d…
05-11 20:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	11	54¢	$6	0x126d5d…
05-11 20:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0xb1b0c8…
05-11 19:57:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	18	34¢	$6	0x71b3e8…
05-11 19:57:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	36¢	$7	0x086a34…
05-11 19:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	12	53¢	$6	0x2c18a9…
05-11 19:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0xf9cca7…
05-11 19:30:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	15	41¢	$6	0x164a5b…
05-11 19:30:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	44¢	$7	0xf4b67c…
05-11 19:21:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	12	63¢	$7	0x38ec93…
05-11 19:21:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	64¢	$7	0x9f0b70…
05-11 19:00:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	16	37¢	$6	0x430337…
05-11 19:00:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	16	48¢	$8	0x810e44…
05-11 18:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	14	49¢	$7	0x48078d…
05-11 18:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0x406db0…
05-11 18:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	18	36¢	$7	0xbe9a67…
05-11 18:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	18	37¢	$7	0xb79b3c…
05-11 18:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	12	71¢	$8	0x2e57ea…
05-11 18:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	64¢	$7	0xf912bd…
05-11 18:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	12	64¢	$7	0x0d7241…
05-11 18:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	64¢	$7	0x543880…
05-11 18:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	14	47¢	$6	0x5ceed3…
05-11 18:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0xd04e65…
05-11 18:32:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	13	64¢	$8	0xfd3dfb…
05-11 18:31:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	13	57¢	$7	0x613191…
05-11 18:31:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	12	63¢	$7	0xb91459…
05-11 18:31:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0xe679cd…
05-11 18:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	12	83¢	$10	0x49357f…
05-11 18:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	54¢	$7	0x368465…
05-11 14:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0xa9df3a…
05-11 14:26:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x57539f…
05-11 14:26:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	11	58¢	$7	0x69cafd…
05-11 14:26:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	59¢	$7	0x6be9c2…
05-11 14:15:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	13	46¢	$6	0x2d51a8…
05-11 14:15:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x89a5c4…
05-11 13:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	45	33¢	$15	0xe40830…
05-11 13:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	45	40¢	$18	0x7bac3a…