Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$347

Unrealized P&L

-$13

Hit rate

53.7%

Resolved

579

Trades

909

lifetime

Volume

$8.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

4 positions

First seen

2026-08-19

last 11-06 10:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 54% -$361

Other

24% 100% +$14

Tech

2% — —

Politics

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 143 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Democratic 2028 presidential odds dip to 60% by December 31?	Yes	+50	$6	12¢	$6	$0	11-04 13:24
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.6M and 7.7M in October?	Yes	+20	$7	9¢	$2	-$6	11-04 13:30
Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	+20	$2	4¢	$1	-$1	11-04 22:14
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	No	+20	$7	4¢	$1	-$6	11-04 18:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
atp schulen molleke 2026 09 13	5	$734	1,439	0	+1,439	cancelled	-$14	09-13 08:51
dota2 dawnbu nemiga 2026 09 14	3	$680	1,334	0	+1,334	cancelled	-$13	09-14 06:11
cs2 withou lag 2026 09 13	21	$389	441	441	+0	Without a Roof	+$14	09-13 19:43
Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	4	$202	174	143	+31	Up	-$17	10-09 21:02
Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	11	$109	100	80	+20	open	—	11-04 22:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:00 UTC	2	$64	98	0	+98	Up	-$8	10-15 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$52	67	0	+67	Down	-$13	10-15 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	3	$45	58	0	+58	Down	+$0	10-08 18:08
Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	3	$34	25	25	+0	Up	+$15	10-09 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$34	57	0	+57	Down	-$1	10-15 12:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$34	52	0	+52	Up	-$34	10-18 14:06
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $18.25B by November 30?	2	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	11-04 18:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 22:10 UTC	24	$31	85	0	+85	Down	+$4	08-19 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$30	40	0	+40	Down	+$10	10-08 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$29	44	0	+44	Down	-$29	10-08 16:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$29	76	0	+76	Down	-$6	10-07 20:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$29	54	0	+54	Up	-$29	10-08 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$29	59	0	+59	Up	-$29	10-11 15:40
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the January interest rate announcement?	6	$27	40	20	+20	open	—	11-04 09:07
Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	3	$27	23	23	+0	Up	+$8	10-09 20:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:55 UTC	2	$27	44	0	+44	Down	-$7	10-15 05:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$26	40	0	+40	Down	-$9	10-15 12:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:15 UTC	2	$26	35	0	+35	Down	-$7	10-14 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$25	150	0	+150	Down	-$25	10-27 07:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$25	26	0	+26	Up	+$1	10-26 09:39
Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	1	$25	25	0	+25	Up	+$0	10-26 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	1	$25	25	0	+25	Up	+$0	10-26 10:44
Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$25	25	0	+25	Up	+$0	10-26 14:24
Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	1	$25	25	0	+25	Down	+$1	10-26 13:24
Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$25	28	0	+28	Down	-$25	10-26 13:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 10:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xda95e3…
11-06 10:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xd53622…
11-06 10:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	68¢	$0	0x82a869…
11-06 10:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xcb54cc…
11-06 10:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xe78776…
11-06 10:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x467c6b…
11-06 10:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0xc48929…
11-06 10:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xd8e1d8…
11-06 07:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x1396fd…
11-06 07:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0x51e7b7…
11-06 07:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x2b8f3d…
11-06 07:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x68d593…
11-06 07:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xdf5005…
11-06 07:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x507d16…
11-06 07:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0xf72393…
11-06 07:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x8b09d4…
11-06 07:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4cdb83…
11-05 15:43:16	Will Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0xd8634e…
11-05 15:43:16	Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?	Yes	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x840b7a…
11-04 22:14:57	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x0e82ec…
11-04 22:14:40	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xfe2b73…
11-04 22:14:36	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0x502e32…
11-04 22:14:22	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	16	11¢	$2	0xb38ef8…
11-04 22:14:22	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0x7d8bf6…
11-04 18:20:07	Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $18.25B by November 30?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x0a5c37…
11-04 18:18:04	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0xf238bd…
11-04 18:11:21	Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xd81425…
11-04 15:43:43	Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	No	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x1376af…
11-04 15:43:43	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x0f7255…
11-04 15:12:07	Democratic 2028 presidential odds dip to 55% by March 31?	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0xd2d85e…
11-04 15:01:36	Democratic 2028 presidential odds dip to 55% by March 31?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x596318…
11-04 14:51:15	Democratic 2028 presidential odds dip to 55% by March 31?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0xa1c352…
11-04 13:33:49	Democratic 2028 presidential odds dip to 55% by March 31?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x895eaa…
11-04 13:30:36	Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.6M and 7.7M in October?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x85b627…
11-04 13:24:18	Democratic 2028 presidential odds dip to 60% by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0xb06639…
11-04 09:07:58	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the January interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x959ca0…
11-04 09:03:03	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the January interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x648f2e…
11-04 09:02:57	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the January interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x90da35…
11-04 09:02:54	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the January interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xe72765…
11-04 09:02:54	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the January interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xd811bb…
11-04 08:51:15	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the January interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x49d8f8…
11-04 06:51:58	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xb62322…
11-04 06:28:40	Will Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x5c5caf…
11-04 05:51:46	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0xcad2be…
11-04 05:51:46	Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?	Yes	SELL	14	26¢	$4	0x5ff14e…
11-04 05:44:18	Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x22e956…
11-04 02:07:28	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xcb05b5…
11-04 01:59:33	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xfce0fc…
11-04 00:04:00	Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x26398f…
11-03 22:25:03	Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x74f021…
11-03 21:50:09	Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $18.25B by November 30?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x229576…
11-03 21:50:03	Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $182.5B by November 30?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x3b45f0…
10-31 22:40:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x29b336…
10-31 11:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	16	19¢	$3	0x69a0cb…
10-31 11:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	16	18¢	$3	0x9d1680…
10-31 10:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0xdcfee9…
10-31 10:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xcc3d8e…
10-31 10:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x9fb6a3…
10-31 10:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x305210…
10-28 16:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xe5991c…
10-28 11:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf26d2e…
10-28 08:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0x1dd704…
10-27 21:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x246ba3…
10-27 18:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xeacd9e…
10-27 18:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xbf1693…
10-27 18:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xa3d23a…
10-27 18:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x323034…
10-27 17:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x6e8de4…
10-27 07:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	150	17¢	$25	0x9118bb…
10-26 18:19:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0x569430…
10-26 14:24:56	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xb4dbc3…
10-26 13:49:59	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xf33295…
10-26 13:24:20	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x748497…
10-26 11:49:53	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x12ec40…
10-26 10:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x37de3d…
10-26 09:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x7aa455…
10-26 09:09:50	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-26 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	23	98¢	$22	0x812be8…
10-26 07:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x513172…
10-26 06:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xf101c5…
10-26 05:34:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0x9452dd…
10-26 05:29:47	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x39eec2…
10-26 04:19:54	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb78d03…
10-26 04:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x14c705…
10-26 03:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	145	10¢	$15	0xd4abd6…
10-26 02:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x44cced…
10-26 01:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xaec57c…
10-26 00:14:54	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	32	60¢	$20	0x6d1fdf…
10-25 23:59:05	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf5cbdc…
10-25 22:44:30	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0x5066fa…
10-25 22:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8c6e94…
10-25 20:44:15	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1ad83f…
10-25 19:54:05	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xdd0643…
10-25 19:44:05	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x33f242…
10-25 19:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xef13fd…
10-25 19:14:30	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xfebab0…
10-25 18:29:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x7f43e5…
10-25 18:29:17	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x4af44d…
10-25 18:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x96113b…
10-25 17:29:05	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd7606b…
10-25 17:14:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xca9020…