Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$404

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$25

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 06-20 00:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

85% 100% +$1

Politics

8% — —

Sports

3% — —

Crypto

3% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026	No		+30	$23	82¢	$25	+$1	06-11 00:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$130	1,440	0	+1,440	open	—	01-07 16:10
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	06-07 14:01
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	06-07 14:04
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	06-07 14:04
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$25	27	0	+27	open	—	02-16 04:46
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026	1	$23	30	0	+30	open	—	06-11 00:39
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$21	22	0	+22	Yes	+$1	03-08 02:51
bad bunny video becomes most viewed sb halftime on youtube in 1st month	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	02-16 04:45
will the bank of korea make no change to the base rate after the january meeting	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	01-07 15:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	05-03 23:45
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?	1	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	06-07 14:03
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	03-08 02:52
Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 5M ETH before 2027?	1	$9	10	0	+10	Yes	+$1	01-15 13:29
ufc der wal2 2026 01 24	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	01-07 17:00
ufc mic4 dre 2026 03 07	1	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	03-08 02:50
ufc rei1 cai2 2026 03 07	1	$3	9	0	+9	open	—	03-08 02:47
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	2	$3	10	0	+10	open	—	02-16 12:22
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$2	0	70	-70	open	—	01-07 16:31
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	1	$2	120	0	+120	open	—	06-07 15:27
russia x ukraine ceasefire by june 30 2026 631	4	$1	60	0	+60	open	—	06-20 00:32
Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	14	$1	430	0	+430	open	—	01-24 14:39
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?	1	$1	1,244	0	+1,244	open	—	01-07 16:01
will bitcoin reach 115k in january 2026	1	$1	56	0	+56	open	—	01-07 15:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 00:32:47	russia x ukraine ceasefire by june 30 2026 631	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x695550…
06-19 18:48:20	russia x ukraine ceasefire by june 30 2026 631	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x9926bc…
06-11 00:39:43	Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026	No	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0x30411b…
06-07 16:03:06	russia x ukraine ceasefire by june 30 2026 631	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc2b1aa…
06-07 16:03:06	russia x ukraine ceasefire by june 30 2026 631	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x62baaa…
06-07 15:27:45	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	2¢	$2	0x2f73f7…
06-07 14:04:24	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x10bfb0…
06-07 14:04:07	Will Trump be impeached by June 30?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xb969ed…
06-07 14:03:55	Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x0db28f…
06-07 14:01:34	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xb38857…
05-03 23:45:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0xce3c5a…
03-08 02:52:33	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xcb05e7…
03-08 02:51:17	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	22	94¢	$21	0xa2c94e…
03-08 02:50:01	ufc mic4 dre 2026 03 07	Michael Johnson	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xcf7966…
03-08 02:47:31	ufc rei1 cai2 2026 03 07	Reinier de Ridder	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xd0299b…
02-16 12:22:35	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0x29bea5…
02-16 08:44:53	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x986d77…
02-16 04:46:41	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xd85077…
02-16 04:45:47	bad bunny video becomes most viewed sb halftime on youtube in 1st month	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x201ff0…
01-24 14:39:32	Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x7cc801…
01-23 07:11:26	Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xc5c71b…
01-15 13:43:36	Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	388	0¢	$1	0xac972d…
01-15 13:29:56	Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 5M ETH before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x2636d8…
01-15 05:53:16	Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x1eff81…
01-15 05:06:16	Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x521a3d…
01-13 07:04:45	Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xaead06…
01-10 10:01:14	Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x1ee8cf…
01-10 04:27:12	Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x02c147…
01-09 14:22:52	Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xee827f…
01-09 02:10:18	Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x4d8980…
01-08 17:05:16	Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xccaace…
01-08 07:25:17	Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x4d20e3…
01-08 06:36:59	Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xcd90aa…
01-07 19:05:25	Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xc6fcec…
01-07 17:00:09	ufc der wal2 2026 01 24	Cortes-Acosta	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x5fa540…
01-07 16:31:21	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	70	3¢	$2	0x8e964f…
01-07 16:10:15	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1,440	9¢	$130	0x8f3feb…
01-07 16:01:11	Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,244	0¢	$1	0x1b5af7…
01-07 15:58:39	will bitcoin reach 115k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x5f4c73…
01-07 15:57:29	will the bank of korea make no change to the base rate after the january meeting	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x7aa2df…