Misguided-Founding — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$324

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.1%

Resolved

2,981

Trades

3,239

lifetime

Volume

$4.73K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-20

last 09-25 11:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 98 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 56% -$266

Other

7% 47% -$40

Sports

3% 42% -$16

Politics

1% 40% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 153 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 13:45 UTC	2	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	04-08 13:48
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 10:55 UTC	2	$9	7	6	+0	Up	+$3	04-10 11:01
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 10:45 UTC	2	$9	7	6	+0	Up	+$3	04-10 10:48
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 13:45 UTC	2	$9	6	6	+0	Up	+$3	04-10 13:51
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 13:20 UTC	2	$9	6	6	+0	Up	+$3	04-10 13:25
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 14:05 UTC	2	$9	6	6	+0	Down	+$2	04-10 14:09
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 18:10 UTC	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	04-09 18:16
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 14:00 UTC	2	$8	7	6	+0	Up	+$2	04-10 14:04
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 11:00 UTC	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	04-10 11:03
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 22:50 UTC	2	$8	5	4	+0	Down	+$1	04-09 22:55
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 11:05 UTC	2	$8	7	6	+0	Up	+$2	04-10 11:08
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 14:50 UTC	2	$7	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	04-10 14:53
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 10:40 UTC	2	$7	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	04-10 10:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 14:20 UTC	2	$7	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	04-10 14:24
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 14:20 UTC	2	$7	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	04-10 14:24
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 11:00 UTC	2	$7	7	6	+0	Up	+$2	04-10 11:02
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 14:20 UTC	2	$7	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	04-10 14:24
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 18:20 UTC	2	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	04-09 18:21
wta akli tomova 2026 03 29	2	$7	5	5	+0	Viktoriya Tomova	+$2	03-29 16:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 14:20 UTC	2	$7	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	04-10 14:24
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 10:45 UTC	2	$7	7	6	+0	Down	+$1	04-10 10:47
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 15:10 UTC	2	$7	5	5	+0	Up	+$3	04-04 15:15
atp ivashka kjaer 2026 03 29	2	$7	4	4	+0	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	+$2	03-29 14:47
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 11:05 UTC	2	$6	7	6	+0	Up	+$1	04-10 11:07
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 21:30 UTC	3	$6	6	6	+0	Up	+$5	04-04 21:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 12:55 UTC	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	04-07 12:57
nhl fla nyr 2026 03 29 total 6pt5	2	$6	4	4	+0	Under	+$1	03-29 17:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 23:55 UTC	2	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	04-07 23:57
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 15:40 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	04-07 15:43
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 22:40 UTC	2	$5	6	5	+0	Down	+$1	04-07 22:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-25 11:17:39	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 11:15 UTC	Up	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0x7a77e2…
09-25 11:17:03	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 11:15 UTC	Up	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x6b21a4…
09-25 11:16:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 11:15 UTC	Up	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0xd08257…
09-25 11:16:44	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 11:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x9526d9…
09-25 11:16:39	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xeeeed0…
09-25 11:16:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x28a424…
09-25 11:16:05	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xf199cb…
09-25 11:15:45	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x5c7fe0…
09-25 11:12:06	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 11:10 UTC	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x55a5ed…
09-25 11:12:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 11:10 UTC	Down	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x15e074…
09-25 11:11:42	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x1655f1…
09-25 11:11:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xb0cb7a…
09-24 16:24:20	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 16:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x25a2f3…
09-24 13:29:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 13:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x6efe43…
09-24 12:54:21	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xd82d2f…
09-24 12:19:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x8853f9…
09-24 12:14:18	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 12:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x8014ba…
09-24 10:45:48	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x5d639f…
09-24 09:45:56	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xe96ce7…
09-24 08:51:59	BNB Up or Down - September 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x44de93…
09-24 08:51:42	XRP Up or Down - September 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xf54969…
09-24 08:51:32	Solana Up or Down - September 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xd111d2…
09-24 08:51:23	Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xd5b176…
09-24 08:34:30	Solana Up or Down - September 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0xd7472c…
09-24 08:34:30	Solana Up or Down - September 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0xc33266…
09-24 08:34:30	Solana Up or Down - September 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x47374a…
09-24 03:29:50	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x5bfbf6…
09-24 03:29:49	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x53884a…
09-23 23:14:13	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x82760c…
09-23 20:44:20	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf25656…
09-23 18:09:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x404a7c…
09-23 15:50:49	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xfb894c…
09-23 15:26:13	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xe93c74…
09-23 14:46:05	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x4d243a…
09-23 14:45:52	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x663f7c…
09-23 14:41:31	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x1d16b5…
09-23 14:41:04	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x1f8c4a…
09-23 14:40:55	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x00443f…
09-23 14:26:40	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x9a478a…
09-23 14:21:03	BNB Up or Down - September 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x518238…
09-23 14:15:49	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xc05d72…
09-23 13:41:14	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x4ccf4e…
09-23 13:36:37	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x50e36e…
09-23 13:26:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x993228…
09-23 13:26:10	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x16fde7…
09-23 11:41:19	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x99c535…
09-23 11:31:05	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xd8b59b…
09-23 08:56:46	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xf6552c…
09-23 08:56:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x63720b…
09-23 08:40:50	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xfd40dd…
09-23 08:36:13	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xd392d5…
09-23 05:46:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x06b3df…
09-23 05:36:02	BNB Up or Down - September 23, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x4b613b…
09-23 05:35:52	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x2202ca…
09-23 05:31:10	BNB Up or Down - September 23, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xbfa286…
09-23 05:26:25	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x10e1ed…
09-23 05:26:17	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xa4abe1…
09-23 05:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xd463c2…
09-23 05:06:10	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x5be20b…
09-23 04:26:11	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x45e472…
09-23 04:26:10	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xf23701…
09-23 02:16:25	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 22, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x2cc395…
09-23 02:06:20	BNB Up or Down - September 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x3f9cc0…
09-23 02:05:52	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xae12ff…
09-23 01:51:14	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x6880ea…
09-23 01:36:25	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xcb0cc7…
09-22 23:50:52	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xa38dc1…
09-22 23:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x238d15…
09-22 23:35:53	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xc4ed97…
09-22 22:26:11	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x27a23a…
09-22 20:51:24	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x064493…
09-22 20:21:30	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x6a4b12…
09-22 19:44:12	Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x1acf43…
09-22 17:30:49	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x0164a6…
09-22 17:26:12	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xac3aae…
09-22 17:06:13	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xa93a79…
09-22 16:56:25	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xbde345…
09-22 16:46:15	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0xf9f4e1…
09-22 16:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x286fd6…
09-22 16:30:43	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x07ae6e…
09-22 16:25:49	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x4787aa…
09-22 16:21:28	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x9ec1a4…
09-22 14:51:10	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x402115…
09-22 14:45:51	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xdc3526…
09-22 14:11:16	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xccc6de…
09-22 13:54:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x52f1ae…
09-22 13:24:28	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x28f1a4…
09-22 13:09:25	Solana Up or Down - September 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xb9d483…
09-22 11:11:24	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x205e16…
09-22 11:10:52	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x841326…
09-22 10:51:13	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 22, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xe1f35a…
09-22 08:46:37	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x8c4186…
09-22 08:01:16	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x6676b5…
09-22 04:46:22	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x20373c…
09-22 04:36:19	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x90b122…
09-22 02:56:12	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0xb39f7c…
09-22 02:29:27	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xf331b9…
09-22 01:41:31	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x6311e3…
09-21 23:51:22	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 23:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xeeab1e…
09-21 22:49:15	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xee8d22…