Circular-Manatee — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,575

lifetime

Volume

$15.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 07-20 16:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

78% 96% +$1

Sports

18% 100% +$0

Crypto

3% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-29 22:14
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-03 04:48
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 07:10
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-25 02:00
val vit ucam 2026 02 25 game1	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-19 12:59
atp stricke grenier 2026 02 23	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-19 12:59
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	4	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-25 18:11
Set Handicap: Samsonova (-1.5) vs Siegemund (+1.5)	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-12 08:54
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:11
wta krueger mcnally 2026 02 23 first set winner Krueger vs McNally	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-18 12:58
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	07-14 15:35
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 04:00
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 20:31
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-23 13:58
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:53
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:30
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-25 16:26
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-29 02:15
lol gx fnc 2026 03 28 game handicap away 1pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-28 17:21
Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers	1	$10	10	0	+10	Texas Rangers	+$0	05-10 20:59
fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-25 00:00
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 8 2026 15corhigher	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-08 11:25
arg bar cas 2026 04 02 total 2pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-02 19:35
cwbb colmb byu 2026 04 01	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-02 01:57
swe dju hal 2026 07 13 btts	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	07-13 20:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 04:01:04	wnba min sea 2026 07 20 total 174pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7ef603…
07-21 04:00:36	wnba min sea 2026 07 20 total 173pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd11def…
07-21 02:07:37	mlb wsh col 2026 07 20 f5 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x64d6fc…
07-20 16:10:09	atp gadamau meza 2026 07 20 completed match	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8db24b…
07-20 14:13:21	npb han yok 2026 07 20	Yokohama BayStars	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3bcbc8…
07-20 11:56:48	atp neumaye hanfman 2026 07 20 first set winner Neumayer vs Hanfmann	Hanfmann	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x147399…
07-20 08:13:19	npb ori nip 2026 07 20	Orix Buffaloes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x36f7b1…
07-20 00:44:49	nbasl tor den 2026 07 19	Denver Nuggets	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6e7c39…
07-19 22:51:15	mlb sf sea 2026 07 19 spread away 1pt5	Seattle Mariners	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x378bfe…
07-19 22:12:30	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9bcbb6…
07-19 19:23:42	world cup fastest goal record broken 20260609182449163	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc7a7cc…
07-19 18:37:34	mlb cws tor 2026 07 19	Chicago White Sox	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x13adb8…
07-19 17:29:01	f1 belgian grand prix driver podium verstappen 2026 07 19	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbd6951…
07-19 16:20:33	swe hif deg 2026 07 19 spread home 1pt5	Hammarby IF	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1d38d6…
07-19 14:26:46	crict20lpl jaf dam 2026 07 19	Jaffna Kings	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x695572…
07-19 14:22:46	lol t1 gen 2026 07 19	Gen.G	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdea75e…
07-19 14:03:09	cs2 ent2 hon1 2026 07 19	Entropy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1089e1…
07-19 12:43:57	cs2 kos ltu 2026 07 19	Lithuania	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6eda21…
07-19 02:49:55	nwsl roy pri 2026 07 18 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa365c8…
07-19 01:42:27	nwsl chi ang 2026 07 18 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x67e35a…
07-19 00:47:06	ufc alb10 tom15 2026 07 18 go the distance	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x626ebc…
07-19 00:26:16	bra2 acg ath 2026 07 20 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x73ed05…
07-19 00:26:06	bra2 acg ath 2026 07 20 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2daa41…
07-19 00:23:16	bra2 acg ath 2026 07 20 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7cdb55…
07-19 00:15:37	mlb tb bos 2026 07 18	Boston Red Sox	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x454151…
07-19 00:04:46	ufc aus7 jos55 2026 07 18	Jose Miguel Delgado	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdd0dfd…
07-18 23:18:15	bra2 acg ath 2026 07 20 btts	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe30e22…
07-18 23:18:15	bra2 acg ath 2026 07 20 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7e65cc…
07-18 23:07:16	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 corners second half total 4pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfd6dec…
07-18 23:02:04	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x238715…
07-18 19:03:04	nor vik san 2026 07 18 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x59c8f3…
07-18 17:15:45	chi sgr jin 2026 07 18 spread away 2pt5	Shanghai Shenhua FC	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9cef49…
07-18 11:46:43	atp collign cerund 2026 07 18 set handicap home 1pt5	Cerundolo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xac212e…
07-18 11:34:46	itf dudeney bains 2026 07 18	Alicia Dudeney	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x97a64f…
07-18 09:45:37	atp collign cerund 2026 07 18 first set winner Collignon vs Cerundolo	Cerundolo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x59d2e8…
07-18 03:07:49	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaaa600…
07-18 02:45:25	bra2 lon bot 2026 07 20 spread away 1pt5	Londrina EC	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41937a…
07-18 02:30:36	bra2 lon bot 2026 07 20 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf3a474…
07-17 22:15:09	atp dzumhur molcan 2026 07 17 set handicap away 1pt5	Dzumhur	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x30ade9…
07-17 10:56:18	itf malova kalyaki 2026 07 17	Maria Kalyakina	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x482516…
07-17 08:06:28	itf webb ya 2026 07 17	Ya Yi Yang	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdd4ee1…
07-17 02:41:33	cs2 thunde mf 2026 07 16	THUNDER dOWNUNDER	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x60457b…
07-16 19:53:55	col din1 mon 2026 07 16 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd8fd2a…
07-16 18:01:08	col pai heg 2026 07 16 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x58aa3d…
07-16 14:12:14	atp rublev pellegr 2026 07 15 set 2 winner Rublev vs Pellegrino	Pellegrino	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9ed07c…
07-16 05:09:02	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x747a00…
07-16 01:36:32	cs2 alkaa chama 2026 07 15 map handicap away 1pt5	BORRACHEIROS	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x40aece…
07-15 17:46:05	atp draxl trotter 2026 07 14	Liam Draxl	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x64572d…
07-15 16:39:01	cs2 wc1 m8 2026 07 15 game1	Gentle Mates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x949401…
07-15 16:22:53	col mal vll 2026 07 15 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8cf230…
07-15 15:45:05	atp travagl navone 2026 07 15 set handicap away 1pt5	Travaglia	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe44e99…
07-15 14:00:13	nik up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6e726b…
07-15 11:38:44	itf daniels ghirard 2026 07 15	Ellie Daniels	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9a8b6b…
07-15 10:56:37	itf wagne cirotte 2026 07 15	Astrid Cirotte	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6256ce…
07-15 10:15:32	itf radojic bilozer 2026 07 16	Nikita Bilozertsev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x92707a…
07-14 21:55:17	Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x344391…
07-14 21:06:23	will william saliba score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x031e54…
07-14 20:22:43	cs2 hon1 meg1 2026 07 14 game2	Honvéd	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x45df68…
07-14 19:29:01	wta sakella tona 2026 07 14	Miriana Tona	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc4d9bf…
07-14 18:47:04	cs2 hon1 meg1 2026 07 14 game1	Honvéd	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x084f1c…
07-14 15:59:35	wta krejcik tomova 2026 07 13 set 2 winner Krejcikova vs Tomova	Krejcikova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x505c9c…
07-14 15:35:20	wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	Weronika Falkowska	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5d51c7…
07-14 15:33:01	atp muller shevche 2026 07 13 first set total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x859170…
07-14 15:29:38	wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	Weronika Falkowska	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb4d342…
07-14 13:05:34	cs2 innerc don 2026 07 14 game2	Inner Circle Academy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x53f593…
07-14 13:05:04	cs2 innerc don 2026 07 14	Inner Circle Academy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x738aff…
07-14 12:42:32	itf wyk koeni 2026 07 14	Luc Koenig	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6e5c33…
07-14 09:51:29	atp nagal cretu 2026 07 13	Sumit Nagal	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x424f02…
07-13 20:46:31	swe dju hal 2026 07 13 btts	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x63c6f5…
07-13 18:54:31	over 6m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325643	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3e68e8…
07-13 14:48:28	will abnb dip to 144 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x77389b…
07-13 09:28:07	atp sonego schwaer 2026 07 13 first set winner Sonego vs Schwaerzler	Sonego	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8aca06…
07-12 19:06:28	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12 set handicap home 2pt5	Zverev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9f3112…
07-12 15:37:02	itf estevez zarate 2026 07 12	Carlos Maria Zarate	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa76dad…
07-12 03:56:28	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 holloway win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x98c183…
07-12 03:55:58	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 win by submission	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x44e983…
07-12 03:52:22	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2e7c57…
07-12 03:51:50	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x378bde…
07-12 01:54:35	ufc kin ter1 2026 07 11 totals 1pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2cd316…
07-12 00:35:38	will england reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149753	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6b37c6…
07-11 23:59:07	nbasl sas nyk 2026 07 11	San Antonio Spurs	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd9101d…
07-11 23:30:38	ufc kai2 luk12 2026 07 11	Luke Riley	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x05cf74…
07-11 23:08:22	ufc wan2 tra 2026 07 11	Wang Cong	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x38635d…
07-11 13:31:49	npb fuk toh 2026 07 11	Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfd5fcb…
07-11 12:48:55	cs2 bmb enjoy 2026 07 11	BASEMENT BOYS	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdd8202…
07-11 08:41:16	cs2 the9 tyloo 2026 07 10	TYLOO	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x33b148…
07-11 04:01:47	mlb ari lad 2026 07 10 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x54d975…
07-10 21:16:17	will spain reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149737	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3e191f…
07-10 12:14:19	ow fal zsg 2026 07 10	ZANSIDE GAMING	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbd7ac1…
07-09 22:31:37	uel haj zil 2026 07 09 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xae952b…
07-09 19:20:38	cs2 lph theboy 2026 07 09 game1	LPH Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x568705…
07-09 18:25:41	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x206715…
07-09 12:04:41	itf guttau rossi 2026 07 09	Leonardo Rossi	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0c00d1…
07-09 11:58:40	itf trevis riera 2026 07 09	Julia Riera	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbebe02…
07-09 00:19:11	will graham platner drop out by july 8	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa9a65d…
07-08 17:04:49	val ff3 cgn 2026 07 08 game2	Fire Flux Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3e4a09…
07-08 15:35:44	cs2 vita innerc2 2026 07 08	Inner Circle Prospect	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdd6d97…
07-08 03:02:55	val ts 2game 2026 07 07 game1	2GAME Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf472a5…
07-08 02:32:58	mlb bos cws 2026 07 07 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xca5940…
07-08 02:25:38	mlb phi cin 2026 07 07 spread away 3pt5	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa9f564…