Circular-Manatee — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

97.0%

Resolved

2,130

Trades

2,196

lifetime

Volume

$21.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-02

last 10-30 16:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 222 days

Categories

Other

79% 98% +$7

Sports

17% 100% +$4

Crypto

3% 97% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes		+6	$6	100¢	$6	+$0	10-30 16:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-30 14:01
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-13 00:55
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-06 21:03
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-29 22:14
wta krueger mcnally 2026 02 23 first set winner Krueger vs McNally	2	$20	10	10	+0	Krueger	+$0	03-18 12:58
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-10 10:42
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	4	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-25 18:11
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$20	10	10	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-24 15:37
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:55
val vit ucam 2026 02 25 game1	2	$20	10	10	+0	Team Vitality	+$0	03-19 12:59
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-30 04:48
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:10
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-24 15:37
atp stricke grenier 2026 02 23	2	$20	10	10	+0	Stricker	+$0	03-19 12:59
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$20	10	10	+0	Mali	+$0	06-03 04:48
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-24 17:11
Set Handicap: Samsonova (-1.5) vs Siegemund (+1.5)	3	$20	10	10	+0	Siegemund	+$0	05-12 08:54
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-31 04:00
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	03-23 13:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 16:48:00	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x65789a…
10-29 15:14:13	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfc1663…
10-27 13:12:08	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8e9ca4…
10-25 09:30:59	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2354db…
10-24 13:22:44	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xdad560…
10-24 13:22:12	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa4258c…
10-23 16:52:32	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc27b9e…
10-23 06:10:06	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x49aed7…
10-20 18:47:44	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7cd692…
10-20 18:39:11	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbc8391…
10-18 03:35:36	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdd6e2a…
10-15 20:32:51	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdb8684…
10-15 19:37:40	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcf32a7…
10-14 20:56:46	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x70b06f…
10-14 11:41:29	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3834c0…
10-13 20:58:58	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe929d9…
10-13 14:15:19	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5fb09a…
10-13 01:33:00	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x458958…
10-12 09:08:25	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf7a8a5…
10-11 20:16:12	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb2f511…
10-11 10:49:53	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x58c5bb…
10-11 10:26:11	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x91795d…
10-11 05:10:50	Kings vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe211fb…
10-10 11:09:48	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x63efd4…
10-10 11:09:34	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6ce1c5…
10-09 12:00:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x32a31c…
10-09 02:09:50	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa12582…
10-08 07:14:28	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Hamad Medjedovic	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8ad10a…
10-07 14:42:14	Villena: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc0e6dc…
10-07 06:29:17	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x05bedc…
10-06 20:46:23	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x31ac9a…
10-06 16:07:35	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7ef0ea…
10-04 23:23:19	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x084caf…
10-04 20:22:59	Rams vs. Eagles	Rams	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x91a90c…
10-04 20:17:38	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3075ed…
10-04 07:45:10	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3cb25d…
10-03 18:38:03	Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Tomas Barrios	Guido Justo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7737ec…
10-03 14:50:26	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf126c3…
10-03 06:09:57	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdf33a3…
10-03 02:52:59	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xca20c8…
10-02 14:15:27	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x922f20…
10-02 14:13:36	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x07f9aa…
10-01 20:46:21	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a646c…
10-01 20:36:05	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x8c59a0…
10-01 12:06:14	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe0e0f5…
10-01 06:03:15	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7d41f4…
09-30 23:55:00	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc905ea…
09-30 12:27:59	atp kuzmano sachko 2026 09 30	Vitaliy Sachko	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xef0779…
09-30 01:55:50	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x914fce…
09-29 20:38:38	Will Slovakia win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xba152f…
09-29 13:59:00	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x087452…
09-29 13:21:26	atp giustin sperle 2026 09 29	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x29a8c3…
09-29 13:16:00	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x51be08…
09-28 20:43:08	atp zink krueger 2026 09 28	Mitchell Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5bee26…
09-28 17:00:08	atp angelin johns 2026 09 28	Lorenzo Angelini	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d040f…
09-28 10:07:57	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0478af…
09-27 20:20:11	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x50dd76…
09-27 14:05:48	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x20d6a0…
09-27 13:31:17	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7e525d…
09-27 12:11:59	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcd1094…
09-26 23:23:53	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6c7089…
09-26 20:16:12	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x66f542…
09-26 20:16:11	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0edc6f…
09-26 20:05:59	Columbia vs. Georgetown	Columbia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa0bb2d…
09-26 12:18:24	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x300bb6…
09-25 22:56:50	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc5a5b3…
09-25 10:14:42	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb2bfaa…
09-24 20:45:12	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x10fc83…
09-24 20:44:21	Will Austria win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x781fbd…
09-23 22:37:47	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaa2d04…
09-23 16:19:06	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x10d366…
09-23 04:45:11	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1ee829…
09-21 18:44:34	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe95c77…
09-21 02:19:43	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcc9335…
09-20 22:25:38	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x94b550…
09-20 21:08:26	Will CD Leganés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa4407b…
09-20 09:13:45	val flfe genggc 2026 09 20 game1	Gen.G GC	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7c9f9f…
09-20 02:59:34	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x265a90…
09-20 01:26:39	Florida State vs. Alabama	Alabama	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa1fec4…
09-20 00:02:51	Southeastern Louisiana vs. Louisiana-Monroe	Southeastern Louisiana	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4ef71f…
09-19 01:39:48	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8b3fde…
09-18 00:54:24	Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbbcc79…
09-17 17:27:46	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd658a8…
09-17 16:02:37	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on September 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc2c849…
09-17 14:00:51	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x22e7d2…
09-17 13:02:48	itf lagarr1 khazim1 2026 09 17	Florent Lagarrigue	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x66309a…
09-17 00:30:45	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf187e5…
09-16 11:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6c8096…
09-16 06:37:39	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe573e7…
09-15 17:49:04	will wti reach 105 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a0357…
09-15 16:15:00	cs2 wraith morrow 2026 09 15	MORROW	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0f8576…
09-15 09:46:24	Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov	Pavel Kotov	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfefb25…
09-14 18:22:49	Will Al-Shamal vs. Al-Ittihad Club end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6731a0…
09-14 14:28:55	Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x71e47b…
09-14 04:36:54	atp peliwo ziegann 2026 09 13	Filip Peliwo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x76f4f8…
09-13 20:31:09	Set 2 Winner: Zverev vs Shelton	Zverev	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xad530a…
09-13 20:07:22	Buccaneers vs. Bengals	Bengals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7c2d34…
09-13 14:59:06	atp zhukov loof 2026 09 13	Thijmen Loof	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7f8b5f…
09-13 14:16:06	Will Royal Antwerp FC win on 2026-09-13?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa06384…
09-13 02:51:25	Iowa State vs. Iowa	Iowa	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x68adf2…