Ancient-Standpoint — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

213

lifetime

Volume

$76.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$358

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-07 23:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

43% 0% $-1

Politics

42% — —

Crypto

14% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	19	$18.8K	10,438	8,438	+2,000	open	—	01-31 04:41
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	23	$17.0K	10,185	7,098	+3,087	open	—	04-30 20:56
Will Trump dance today?	4	$6.1K	3,062	3,062	+0	open	—	04-28 21:57
Ranger FDV above $15M one day after launch?	9	$4.7K	2,423	2,323	+100	open	—	01-11 21:20
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?	10	$4.4K	3,540	911	+2,629	open	—	04-21 22:44
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	2	$4.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	01-02 23:25
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	4	$3.7K	3,566	141	+3,425	open	—	04-19 20:29
Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?	3	$3.0K	3,006	0	+3,006	open	—	04-26 14:39
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	04-07 22:16
Any EU nation's debt downgraded before 2027?	6	$1.9K	1,897	99	+1,798	open	—	04-18 13:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	7	$1.5K	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	05-30 00:23
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	4	$995	500	500	+0	open	—	05-03 15:01
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	1	$995	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	02-03 20:03
will sarah snook all her fault win best actress limited series at the 83rd golden globes	4	$979	500	500	+0	open	—	01-12 02:47
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?	9	$973	1,134	1,400	-266	open	—	01-11 18:20
will one battle after another win best screenplay motion picture at the 83rd golden globes	2	$497	250	250	+0	open	—	01-12 02:28
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	9	$488	460	60	+400	open	—	06-07 19:19
will michelle williams dying for sex win best actress limited series at the 83rd golden globes	3	$487	251	251	+0	open	—	01-12 02:53
will melania say career during ai talk on friday	2	$408	408	0	+408	open	—	01-20 22:25
over 100m committed to the ranger public sale 221 979 762 217 192	7	$297	214	224	-10	open	—	01-10 13:44
James Comey arrested by April 29?	2	$233	118	118	+0	open	—	04-29 18:10
nba gsw min 2026 01 24	5	$209	105	105	+0	open	—	01-26 02:01
gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	2	$197	298	0	+298	open	—	06-04 01:40
will venezuela give the us oil by january 31	5	$185	100	100	+0	open	—	01-10 22:15
trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	2	$176	99	99	+0	open	—	04-07 22:40
will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	1	$148	200	0	+200	open	—	06-07 23:10
nicols maduro seen in public by january 5	4	$146	82	82	+0	open	—	01-03 21:34
cwbb samf etnst 2026 01 30	2	$136	68	68	+0	open	—	02-02 20:51
another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	7	$132	128	128	+0	open	—	04-28 22:49
over 140m committed to the ranger public sale 611 967 715 556 645	2	$121	127	0	+127	open	—	01-10 14:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 23:10:31	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0x9b3e54…
06-07 19:19:42	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	SELL	49	97¢	$48	0x121ab5…
06-07 19:19:09	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x96a020…
06-07 14:33:06	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xf38f84…
06-07 13:07:18	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xef9666…
06-07 12:59:24	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	200	93¢	$187	0x73dee0…
06-07 12:57:42	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0x48fa08…
06-07 12:56:58	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	75	95¢	$71	0x5f9fa5…
06-07 12:56:48	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0xcdc173…
06-04 01:40:07	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	Yes	BUY	188	66¢	$124	0xcb81f4…
06-04 01:19:00	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	Yes	BUY	110	66¢	$73	0x557ee6…
06-03 21:04:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x034631…
05-31 20:39:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xa50f41…
05-30 00:23:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0xd9cee7…
05-30 00:09:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	783	100¢	$781	0x31487d…
05-30 00:09:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0x54db46…
05-30 00:09:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x6a3b87…
05-30 00:08:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x185dad…
05-30 00:08:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0x08a92a…
05-30 00:08:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x0c03bc…
05-09 10:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x4d128a…
05-03 15:01:30	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	No	SELL	500	100¢	$498	0x3e5cf7…
05-03 13:30:18	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	No	BUY	386	99¢	$384	0x4962bd…
05-03 13:25:16	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x664c84…
05-03 13:25:12	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x02d828…
05-03 11:54:04	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x9e8c02…
04-30 20:56:06	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,100	100¢	$3,088	0x3247b6…
04-30 20:05:48	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	285	0¢	$1	0xe46001…
04-30 20:04:08	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	215	0¢	$1	0xbf159e…
04-30 07:34:04	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x92dbd2…
04-29 22:42:58	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0x5f6399…
04-29 19:58:36	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0xde1651…
04-29 19:54:42	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	91¢	$64	0x0b05de…
04-29 18:10:28	James Comey arrested by April 29?	Yes	SELL	118	100¢	$117	0x6bb9c5…
04-29 17:52:34	James Comey arrested by April 29?	Yes	BUY	118	98¢	$116	0x7f4bad…
04-29 02:32:16	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0x830b7a…
04-29 00:11:24	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xdda923…
04-28 22:49:38	another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	Yes	SELL	53	60¢	$32	0x847c4b…
04-28 22:19:22	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,240	99¢	$3,217	0x7255c9…
04-28 22:17:50	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,240	99¢	$3,204	0x0e4b10…
04-28 22:15:16	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,575	99¢	$3,550	0xcb3910…
04-28 22:06:12	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	99¢	$991	0x875a1b…
04-28 22:05:36	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	99¢	$1,982	0xf3bbf8…
04-28 22:02:58	another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x33a2ed…
04-28 22:02:58	another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x15ae93…
04-28 22:00:44	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xa587e2…
04-28 21:57:46	another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	Yes	SELL	75	59¢	$44	0x6a4a7a…
04-28 21:57:16	Will Trump dance today?	Yes	SELL	3,062	100¢	$3,059	0x374826…
04-28 21:56:14	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	450	99¢	$446	0x4b7494…
04-28 21:38:50	another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	Yes	BUY	28	34¢	$10	0xf37df5…
04-28 20:35:30	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8a92c1…
04-28 19:53:08	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x690324…
04-28 19:51:52	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4d5b35…
04-28 19:32:06	another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	Yes	BUY	42	50¢	$21	0xe5de14…
04-28 19:30:30	another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x208715…
04-28 17:30:30	Will Trump dance today?	Yes	BUY	3,000	100¢	$2,997	0x2517b8…
04-26 22:13:38	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0x0c77df…
04-26 22:13:14	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	107	3¢	$3	0xdcce95…
04-26 21:02:28	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	63¢	$4	0xef2766…
04-26 19:31:16	Will Trump dance today?	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xf9d319…
04-26 19:30:20	Will Trump dance today?	Yes	BUY	44	99¢	$43	0x1e3cc5…
04-26 14:39:02	Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?	Yes	BUY	498	100¢	$496	0x536efe…
04-26 14:17:34	Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?	Yes	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,495	0xa3d342…
04-26 14:15:12	Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfeae1d…
04-26 13:27:38	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	54¢	$27	0x7689d0…
04-26 13:24:40	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x1a15d5…
04-26 11:59:26	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	57¢	$57	0xbfe3ca…
04-26 11:20:14	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x5ac8ad…
04-26 11:03:10	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0x58aa14…
04-21 23:57:26	Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Bram Cohen as Satoshi?	Yes	SELL	1,234	0¢	$2	0x6d701e…
04-21 23:34:54	Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Elon Musk as Satoshi?	Yes	SELL	1,234	0¢	$1	0xbdc478…
04-21 23:17:32	Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Craig Wright as Satoshi?	Yes	SELL	1,166	2¢	$27	0x0c67b3…
04-21 23:16:58	Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Craig Wright as Satoshi?	Yes	SELL	68	2¢	$2	0x74a223…
04-21 23:14:02	Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Wei Dai as Satoshi?	Yes	SELL	1,234	0¢	$2	0xbe23bc…
04-21 22:44:24	Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?	No	SELL	901	100¢	$900	0xcb80a2…
04-21 18:02:12	Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?	No	BUY	415	98¢	$408	0x36a943…
04-21 17:59:10	Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?	No	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0x0fd32d…
04-21 17:53:16	Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?	No	BUY	353	98¢	$347	0x3a0404…
04-21 07:43:24	Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x93f233…
04-21 07:43:00	Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?	No	BUY	1,994	98¢	$1,960	0x0d2fd3…
04-21 07:40:40	Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?	No	BUY	642	98¢	$628	0xe0435d…
04-21 07:36:48	Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x424662…
04-21 04:14:04	Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xe84fb8…
04-19 20:29:22	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x944f59…
04-19 17:07:14	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8eb6ea…
04-19 15:06:30	Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xd58c81…
04-19 15:05:04	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x2f5036…
04-19 10:50:18	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	3,566	100¢	$3,562	0x4f2684…
04-18 13:36:08	Any EU nation's debt downgraded before 2027?	Yes	BUY	307	100¢	$306	0x300a9a…
04-18 11:50:28	Any EU nation's debt downgraded before 2027?	Yes	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0x3a84ec…
04-18 11:40:38	Any EU nation's debt downgraded before 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x7a8262…
04-18 11:26:46	Any EU nation's debt downgraded before 2027?	Yes	BUY	625	96¢	$600	0x6f2a00…
04-18 11:14:20	Any EU nation's debt downgraded before 2027?	Yes	BUY	360	95¢	$342	0xfd43d0…
04-18 11:11:18	Any EU nation's debt downgraded before 2027?	Yes	BUY	580	95¢	$551	0xc9512f…
04-12 20:44:25	Military action against Iran ends by April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x6c7910…
04-07 23:04:21	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	SELL	43	10¢	$4	0x7d5556…
04-07 23:03:51	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	SELL	57	11¢	$6	0x922a4a…
04-07 22:40:25	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	Yes	SELL	99	94¢	$94	0x6db964…
04-07 22:35:35	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	Yes	BUY	99	83¢	$83	0xc0f55f…
04-07 22:16:37	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	99¢	$988	0x220664…