Ancient-Standpoint — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

279

lifetime

Volume

$78.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$280

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-08 21:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

43% 0% $-1

Politics

42% — —

Crypto

15% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	19	$18.8K	10,438	8,438	+2,000	open	—	01-31 04:41
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	23	$17.0K	10,185	7,098	+3,087	open	—	04-30 20:56
Will Trump dance today?	4	$6.1K	3,062	3,062	+0	open	—	04-28 21:57
Ranger FDV above $15M one day after launch?	9	$4.7K	2,423	2,323	+100	open	—	01-11 21:20
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?	10	$4.4K	3,540	911	+2,629	open	—	04-21 22:44
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	2	$4.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	01-02 23:25
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	4	$3.7K	3,566	141	+3,425	open	—	04-19 20:29
Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?	3	$3.0K	3,006	0	+3,006	open	—	04-26 14:39
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	04-07 22:16
Any EU nation's debt downgraded before 2027?	6	$1.9K	1,897	99	+1,798	open	—	04-18 13:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	7	$1.5K	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	05-30 00:23
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	4	$995	500	500	+0	open	—	05-03 15:01
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	1	$995	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	02-03 20:03
will sarah snook all her fault win best actress limited series at the 83rd golden globes	4	$979	500	500	+0	open	—	01-12 02:47
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?	9	$973	1,134	1,400	-266	open	—	01-11 18:20
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	2	$504	505	0	+505	open	—	06-18 00:03
will one battle after another win best screenplay motion picture at the 83rd golden globes	2	$497	250	250	+0	open	—	01-12 02:28
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	9	$488	460	60	+400	open	—	06-07 19:19
will michelle williams dying for sex win best actress limited series at the 83rd golden globes	3	$487	251	251	+0	open	—	01-12 02:53
btc updown 5m 1786223700	23	$413	215	215	+0	open	—	08-08 21:19
will melania say career during ai talk on friday	2	$408	408	0	+408	open	—	01-20 22:25
over 100m committed to the ranger public sale 221 979 762 217 192	7	$297	214	224	-10	open	—	01-10 13:44
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	13	$280	298	298	+0	open	—	06-19 17:32
James Comey arrested by April 29?	2	$233	118	118	+0	open	—	04-29 18:10
nba gsw min 2026 01 24	5	$209	105	105	+0	open	—	01-26 02:01
gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	2	$197	298	0	+298	open	—	06-04 01:40
will venezuela give the us oil by january 31	5	$185	100	100	+0	open	—	01-10 22:15
trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	2	$176	99	99	+0	open	—	04-07 22:40
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	2	$156	100	100	+0	open	—	07-31 20:00
will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	1	$148	200	0	+200	open	—	06-07 23:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 21:29:37	btc updown 5m 1786224300	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xcf478d…
08-08 21:28:01	btc updown 5m 1786224300	Down	SELL	33	70¢	$23	0xddd138…
08-08 21:27:30	btc updown 5m 1786224300	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xdbb2ab…
08-08 21:27:30	btc updown 5m 1786224300	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xc9ec3d…
08-08 21:27:30	btc updown 5m 1786224300	Down	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0xa70598…
08-08 21:27:30	btc updown 5m 1786224300	Down	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x846265…
08-08 21:27:30	btc updown 5m 1786224300	Down	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x6e98c0…
08-08 21:27:30	btc updown 5m 1786224300	Down	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x629ff5…
08-08 21:19:33	btc updown 5m 1786223700	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd6bab5…
08-08 21:19:33	btc updown 5m 1786223700	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xd502d3…
08-08 21:19:33	btc updown 5m 1786223700	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x51b675…
08-08 21:19:33	btc updown 5m 1786223700	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3e8336…
08-08 21:19:33	btc updown 5m 1786223700	Down	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0x2b0b54…
08-08 21:19:33	btc updown 5m 1786223700	Down	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x27119e…
08-08 21:19:31	btc updown 5m 1786223700	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb8bbe9…
08-08 21:19:31	btc updown 5m 1786223700	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb7d374…
08-08 21:19:30	btc updown 5m 1786223700	Down	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0xebfb89…
08-08 21:19:30	btc updown 5m 1786223700	Down	SELL	27	98¢	$27	0xc42bcc…
08-08 21:19:30	btc updown 5m 1786223700	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x222d6f…
08-08 21:19:30	btc updown 5m 1786223700	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x20748d…
08-08 21:19:28	btc updown 5m 1786223700	Down	SELL	51	98¢	$49	0x708eaa…
08-08 21:19:28	btc updown 5m 1786223700	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0bdb06…
08-08 21:19:27	btc updown 5m 1786223700	Down	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xe8cc70…
08-08 21:19:27	btc updown 5m 1786223700	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x7ca361…
08-08 21:19:27	btc updown 5m 1786223700	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x227143…
08-08 21:19:27	btc updown 5m 1786223700	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x08f8b4…
08-08 21:18:43	btc updown 5m 1786223700	Down	BUY	56	95¢	$53	0xf82e8b…
08-08 21:18:43	btc updown 5m 1786223700	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xdfa269…
08-08 21:18:43	btc updown 5m 1786223700	Down	BUY	47	95¢	$45	0x2ece8c…
08-08 21:18:43	btc updown 5m 1786223700	Down	BUY	81	95¢	$77	0x0effe8…
08-08 21:15:58	btc updown 5m 1786223700	Down	BUY	26	88¢	$23	0x8ff66a…
08-08 21:04:37	btc updown 5m 1786222800	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe832f9…
08-08 20:50:37	btc updown 5m 1786222200	Up	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x31d7ce…
08-08 20:50:34	btc updown 5m 1786222200	Up	BUY	23	59¢	$14	0xf5e416…
08-08 20:50:34	btc updown 5m 1786222200	Up	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0xf0056c…
08-08 20:44:31	btc updown 5m 1786221600	Up	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0xf02552…
08-08 20:44:31	btc updown 5m 1786221600	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xeede0f…
08-08 20:44:31	btc updown 5m 1786221600	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xb64719…
08-08 20:44:31	btc updown 5m 1786221600	Up	SELL	18	96¢	$18	0x98673a…
08-08 20:43:33	btc updown 5m 1786221600	Up	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x1db4f1…
08-08 20:32:58	btc updown 5m 1786221000	Up	SELL	55	98¢	$53	0xe20699…
08-08 20:31:55	btc updown 5m 1786221000	Up	BUY	49	90¢	$44	0x3bf253…
08-08 20:31:30	btc updown 5m 1786221000	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x040f0c…
08-03 20:40:59	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0x744f75…
07-31 20:30:11	mlb nyy chc 2026 07 31	Chicago Cubs	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xfefd5e…
07-31 20:00:26	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x968293…
07-31 19:29:09	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0xd458aa…
07-17 00:22:17	will trump say fraud or fraudulent during speech to the nation 20260714024751793	Yes	BUY	130	65¢	$84	0x337cf9…
07-14 19:33:02	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x3dd7ca…
06-19 17:32:52	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	280	65¢	$182	0x0ad5a8…
06-19 17:24:50	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0xdd0f32…
06-19 17:24:50	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0xce00bd…
06-19 17:24:50	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0x69ea5e…
06-19 17:24:50	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0x282aa9…
06-19 17:24:49	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0xf019ed…
06-19 17:24:47	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0xdf61e6…
06-19 17:24:47	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0x9cae82…
06-19 17:24:46	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0xae0d86…
06-19 17:24:44	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0x36d488…
06-19 17:24:16	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xb6338d…
06-19 17:22:20	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0x24f327…
06-18 19:59:17	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	298	29¢	$86	0x913bee…
06-18 00:50:44	Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x56b61d…
06-18 00:40:58	Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?	No	BUY	156	2¢	$3	0xe270e4…
06-18 00:03:11	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x67ad03…
06-07 23:10:31	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0x9b3e54…
06-07 19:19:42	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	SELL	49	97¢	$48	0x121ab5…
06-07 19:19:09	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x96a020…
06-07 14:33:06	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xf38f84…
06-07 13:07:18	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xef9666…
06-07 12:59:24	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	200	93¢	$187	0x73dee0…
06-07 12:57:42	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0x48fa08…
06-07 12:56:58	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	75	95¢	$71	0x5f9fa5…
06-07 12:56:48	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0xcdc173…
06-04 01:40:07	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	Yes	BUY	188	66¢	$124	0xcb81f4…
06-04 01:19:00	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	Yes	BUY	110	66¢	$73	0x557ee6…
06-03 21:04:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x034631…
05-31 20:39:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xa50f41…
05-30 00:23:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0xd9cee7…
05-30 00:09:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	783	100¢	$781	0x31487d…
05-30 00:09:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0x54db46…
05-30 00:09:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x6a3b87…
05-30 00:08:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x185dad…
05-30 00:08:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0x08a92a…
05-30 00:08:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x0c03bc…
05-09 10:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x4d128a…
05-03 15:01:30	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	No	SELL	500	100¢	$498	0x3e5cf7…
05-03 13:30:18	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	No	BUY	386	99¢	$384	0x4962bd…
05-03 13:25:16	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x664c84…
05-03 13:25:12	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x02d828…
05-03 11:54:04	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x9e8c02…
04-30 20:56:06	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,100	100¢	$3,088	0x3247b6…
04-30 20:05:48	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	285	0¢	$1	0xe46001…
04-30 20:04:08	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	215	0¢	$1	0xbf159e…
04-30 07:34:04	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x92dbd2…
04-29 22:42:58	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0x5f6399…
04-29 19:58:36	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0xde1651…
04-29 19:54:42	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	91¢	$64	0x0b05de…
04-29 18:10:28	James Comey arrested by April 29?	Yes	SELL	118	100¢	$117	0x6bb9c5…
04-29 17:52:34	James Comey arrested by April 29?	Yes	BUY	118	98¢	$116	0x7f4bad…