Natural-Carabao — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$18.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$260

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 05-15 08:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 100% +$1

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 78k on february 5	2	$1.9K	928	928	+0	open	—	02-05 15:59
bitcoin above 80k on february 5	2	$1.9K	928	928	+0	open	—	02-05 14:02
bitcoin above 84k on february 4	2	$1.9K	926	926	+0	open	—	02-04 15:53
will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on february 3	2	$1.8K	925	925	+0	open	—	02-03 16:01
bitcoin above 86k on february 2	2	$1.8K	923	923	+0	open	—	02-02 16:36
bitcoin above 76k on february 5	1	$927	928	0	+928	open	—	02-05 15:59
bitcoin above 80k on february 4	1	$925	927	0	+927	open	—	02-04 15:54
bitcoin above 82k on february 3	1	$924	925	0	+925	open	—	02-03 16:02
bitcoin above 82k on february 2	1	$922	924	0	+924	open	—	02-02 16:36
Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$210	105	105	+0	Yes	+$0	04-14 16:26
will ethereum dip to 1600 in march 2026	2	$207	104	104	+0	open	—	03-31 15:23
will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on february 1	1	$127	127	0	+127	open	—	02-01 03:37
bitcoin above 88k on january 31	1	$126	127	0	+127	open	—	01-31 07:37
will the price of bitcoin be between 92000 94000 on january 29	1	$122	122	0	+122	open	—	01-29 11:22
bitcoin above 86k on january 30	1	$122	126	0	+126	open	—	01-30 07:31
will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on march 13	1	$108	108	0	+108	open	—	03-13 01:43
ethereum above 1800 on march 9	1	$107	107	0	+107	open	—	03-09 11:13
ethereum above 2200 on march 11	1	$107	107	0	+107	open	—	03-11 14:42
ethereum above 2500 on april 17	1	$106	106	0	+106	open	—	04-17 15:49
will bitcoin dip to 60k march 2 8	1	$106	107	0	+107	open	—	03-08 18:10
Sentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$106	106	0	+106	No	+$0	04-16 18:21
bitcoin above 62k on march 7	1	$106	106	0	+106	open	—	03-07 09:25
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	1	$105	106	0	+106	open	—	04-21 11:31
will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 6	1	$105	106	0	+106	open	—	03-06 12:34
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$105	106	0	+106	No	+$1	04-14 16:26
will ethereum reach 2600 april 6 12	1	$105	105	0	+105	open	—	04-12 14:43
ethereum above 1900 on march 5	1	$105	105	0	+105	open	—	03-05 15:44
will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on april 6	1	$105	105	0	+105	open	—	04-06 04:56
will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 4	1	$105	105	0	+105	open	—	03-04 15:18
bitcoin above 60k on march 3	1	$105	105	0	+105	open	—	03-03 13:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 08:19:20	Will XRP reach $1.70 on May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1c3656…
05-06 10:42:14	Ethereum above 2,350 on May 6, 7AM ET?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x3134a6…
05-06 10:41:54	Ethereum above 2,470 on May 6, 7AM ET?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xbb1293…
04-21 11:31:36	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0x98dea2…
04-17 15:49:40	ethereum above 2500 on april 17	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xd70862…
04-16 18:21:50	Sentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x1157bb…
04-14 16:26:49	Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0xfffbcb…
04-14 16:26:27	Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0xd6d451…
04-14 09:07:57	Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x2b509f…
04-12 14:43:43	will ethereum reach 2600 april 6 12	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xc7db42…
04-06 04:56:15	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on april 6	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x965b32…
04-01 12:42:19	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x64da8a…
03-31 15:24:43	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xc07f72…
03-31 15:23:37	will ethereum dip to 1600 in march 2026	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0xf96c52…
03-31 00:47:39	will ethereum dip to 1600 in march 2026	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x3de833…
03-30 14:13:55	ethereum above 1900 on march 30	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$103	0xc51a86…
03-30 00:42:16	will bitcoin dip to 62k march 23 29	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xf7c63d…
03-29 01:26:26	ethereum above 1700 on march 29	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xff4deb…
03-27 15:19:11	will the price of xrp be between 1pt40 1pt50 on march 27	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x60eceb…
03-26 13:51:53	will solana reach 105 on march 26	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x317964…
03-25 14:56:21	will ethereum reach 2450 on march 25	No	BUY	103	100¢	$102	0x1907be…
03-24 09:44:23	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	102	99¢	$102	0xc97b7c…
03-23 13:50:29	bitcoin above 66k on march 23	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xe9eeec…
03-23 01:12:45	will xrp dip to 1pt2 on march 22	No	BUY	102	100¢	$101	0xa63b5f…
03-22 02:27:23	will ethereum dip to 1950 on march 21	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x2e54d5…
03-19 15:30:27	will solana reach 105 on march 19	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x192ce7…
03-18 11:48:31	bitcoin above 68k on march 18	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0xdce81d…
03-17 07:05:53	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 17	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf48749…
03-15 12:51:19	will xrp dip to 1pt25 on march 15	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0f1b8d…
03-15 12:51:05	will xrp reach 1pt6 on march 15	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x89b4a1…
03-13 01:43:33	will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on march 13	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x814e27…
03-11 14:42:03	ethereum above 2200 on march 11	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xd707cd…
03-09 11:13:19	ethereum above 1800 on march 9	Yes	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x3d96ab…
03-08 18:10:33	will bitcoin dip to 60k march 2 8	No	BUY	107	99¢	$106	0x2dcfe3…
03-07 09:25:15	bitcoin above 62k on march 7	Yes	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xed0148…
03-06 12:34:41	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 6	No	BUY	106	100¢	$105	0x16802d…
03-05 15:44:05	ethereum above 1900 on march 5	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x59ee09…
03-04 15:18:49	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 4	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x25f499…
03-03 13:32:03	bitcoin above 60k on march 3	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x56335d…
03-01 12:01:43	will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on march 1	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x8c9e75…
02-28 14:39:59	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on february 28	No	BUY	105	100¢	$104	0xfc7318…
02-27 13:45:35	ethereum above 1700 on february 27	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x589eab…
02-26 14:30:00	ethereum above 1600 on february 26	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x4bde72…
02-25 13:05:20	ethereum above 2300 on february 25	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x6aec08…
02-23 07:25:18	bitcoin above 58k on february 23	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x8fff16…
02-22 01:59:46	ethereum above 1600 on february 22	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$103	0xb566a4…
02-20 12:07:00	bitcoin above 74k on february 20	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x3492be…
02-19 14:20:36	bitcoin above 60k on february 19	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x010f68…
02-16 16:22:01	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on february 16	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xbf5d61…
02-15 11:01:43	ethereum above 2500 on february 15	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x5bd731…
02-14 13:46:43	ethereum above 2400 on february 14	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x47f8a6…
02-13 13:06:01	bitcoin above 60k on february 13	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x9c9802…
02-12 12:40:25	bitcoin above 60k on february 12	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$102	0x7f0fc5…
02-10 14:01:33	bitcoin above 74k on february 10	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x4efdda…
02-05 15:59:55	bitcoin above 76k on february 5	No	BUY	928	100¢	$927	0x0d0298…
02-05 15:59:03	bitcoin above 78k on february 5	No	SELL	928	100¢	$927	0xac78b7…
02-05 14:02:37	bitcoin above 78k on february 5	No	BUY	928	100¢	$927	0xe16a84…
02-05 14:02:07	bitcoin above 80k on february 5	No	SELL	928	100¢	$927	0xb6b685…
02-05 02:34:07	bitcoin above 80k on february 5	No	BUY	928	100¢	$927	0xc756e7…
02-04 15:54:23	bitcoin above 80k on february 4	No	BUY	927	100¢	$925	0x76ae04…
02-04 15:53:29	bitcoin above 84k on february 4	No	SELL	926	100¢	$925	0x551d92…
02-04 02:06:34	bitcoin above 84k on february 4	No	BUY	926	100¢	$925	0x83d277…
02-03 16:02:10	bitcoin above 82k on february 3	No	BUY	925	100¢	$924	0xf115cf…
02-03 16:01:54	will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on february 3	No	SELL	925	100¢	$924	0x7f285b…
02-03 06:29:56	will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on february 3	No	BUY	925	100¢	$924	0x52a659…
02-02 16:36:30	bitcoin above 82k on february 2	No	BUY	924	100¢	$922	0xf4b675…
02-02 16:36:14	bitcoin above 86k on february 2	No	SELL	923	100¢	$922	0x25a949…
02-02 06:46:48	bitcoin above 86k on february 2	No	BUY	923	100¢	$922	0x3a6d50…
02-01 03:37:06	will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on february 1	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0xc8dddb…
01-31 07:37:40	bitcoin above 88k on january 31	No	BUY	127	100¢	$126	0x435374…
01-30 07:31:24	bitcoin above 86k on january 30	No	BUY	126	97¢	$122	0x432361…
01-29 11:22:44	will the price of bitcoin be between 92000 94000 on january 29	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xd5d8ad…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Shocked-Combine 0x0095…1b6e	46	$16.7K	53	04-21 11:54
Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81	45	$1.05K	315	03-27 04:35
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	44	$6.62K	2,517	04-16 15:46
Crooked-Noir 0x4ee2…46e1	43	$140.3K	7,562	04-14 18:50
Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a	41	$407.0K	15,303	03-30 00:11
(anonymous) 0x3ba9…05c1	40	$16.0K	48	05-06 10:41
(anonymous) 0x9a6e…35b4	40	$1.79K	612	03-27 02:59
Reasonable-Mover 0x0f62…922e	39	$1.16K	40	05-06 10:29