Thoughtful-Stem — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$706

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 08-08 02:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 100% +$1

Other

2% 100% +$0

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-08).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 3500 on january 9	1	$77	77	+77	No	+$0	01-09 07:58
will bitcoin reach 102k january 12 18	1	$75	75	+75	No	+$0	01-18 01:18
bitcoin above 84k on january 14	1	$65	65	+65	Yes	+$0	01-13 00:30
ethereum above 3400 on january 25	1	$44	44	+44	No	+$0	01-24 01:09
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 96000 on january 28	1	$42	42	+42	No	+$0	01-28 02:06
bitcoin above 86k on february 9	1	$35	35	+35	No	+$0	02-08 00:27
bitcoin above 98k on january 30	1	$35	35	+35	No	+$0	01-29 01:08
ethereum above 3400 on february 3	1	$33	33	+33	No	+$0	02-02 01:55
ethereum above 3300 on february 4	1	$26	26	+26	No	+$0	02-03 08:04
bitcoin above 98k on january 24	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	01-23 02:21
ethereum above 2500 on march 1	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	02-27 22:52
ethereum above 1600 on february 14	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	02-13 23:13
ethereum above 2500 on february 28	1	$21	21	+21	No	+$0	02-26 23:13
bitcoin above 56k on march 6	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	03-04 23:46
ethereum above 2600 on february 14	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	02-12 23:37
bitcoin above 74k on february 19	1	$18	18	+18	No	+$0	02-18 23:03
bitcoin above 58k on february 20	1	$16	16	+16	Yes	+$0	02-19 22:58
ethereum above 2600 on january 15	1	$15	15	+15	Yes	+$0	01-13 23:42
bitcoin above 86k on february 10	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	02-09 00:02
bitcoin above 62k on march 12	1	$11	11	+11	Yes	+$0	03-11 23:56
bitcoin above 62k on march 6	1	$10	10	+10	Yes	+$0	03-06 00:46
ethereum above 1800 on april 2	1	$10	10	+10	Yes	+$0	04-02 00:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 10?	1	$7	7	+7	Yes	+$0	05-09 00:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10?	1	$6	6	+6	Yes	+$0	06-10 00:40
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$6	6	+6	No	+$0	05-16 01:05
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$6	6	+6	No	+$0	05-16 01:04
ethereum above 3600 on january 19	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	01-19 01:31
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 25	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	03-24 02:35
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays	1	$5	5	+5	Tampa Bay Rays	+$0	05-16 01:04
bitcoin above 56k on august 9 2026	1	$4	4	+4	Yes	+$0	08-08 02:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 02:06:57	bitcoin above 56k on august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xbc5e60…
06-10 00:40:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4c0407…
05-16 01:05:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x48e176…
05-16 01:05:14	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x794580…
05-16 01:04:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x58cdc4…
05-16 01:04:38	Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3a2654…
05-09 00:37:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xddade6…
04-02 00:45:39	ethereum above 1800 on april 2	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0804c1…
03-24 02:35:25	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 25	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xddd65b…
03-11 23:56:39	bitcoin above 62k on march 12	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x100b4b…
03-06 00:46:37	bitcoin above 62k on march 6	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1c7fc8…
03-04 23:46:59	bitcoin above 56k on march 6	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0271d9…
02-27 22:52:07	ethereum above 2500 on march 1	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xcfd5ec…
02-26 23:13:44	ethereum above 2500 on february 28	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xbdce05…
02-19 22:58:02	bitcoin above 58k on february 20	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x250da0…
02-18 23:03:26	bitcoin above 74k on february 19	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x934a91…
02-13 23:13:57	ethereum above 1600 on february 14	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x2e9da2…
02-12 23:37:43	ethereum above 2600 on february 14	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7848ae…
02-09 00:02:47	bitcoin above 86k on february 10	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x15b5f5…
02-08 00:27:17	bitcoin above 86k on february 9	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x46dd68…
02-03 08:04:24	ethereum above 3300 on february 4	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x3142b7…
02-02 01:55:06	ethereum above 3400 on february 3	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x09d7f7…
01-29 01:08:30	bitcoin above 98k on january 30	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xf664d7…
01-28 02:06:03	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 96000 on january 28	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x9f44f6…
01-24 01:09:42	ethereum above 3400 on january 25	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x375947…
01-23 02:21:18	bitcoin above 98k on january 24	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xed0127…
01-19 01:31:14	ethereum above 3600 on january 19	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9bea83…
01-18 01:18:26	will bitcoin reach 102k january 12 18	No	BUY	75	99¢	$75	0x753841…
01-13 23:42:34	ethereum above 2600 on january 15	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x81f355…
01-13 00:30:25	bitcoin above 84k on january 14	Yes	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x5cb392…
01-09 07:58:46	ethereum above 3500 on january 9	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x609e86…