Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.46K

Unrealized P&L

-$64

Hit rate

61.1%

Resolved

175

Trades

1,240

lifetime

Volume

$139.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$113

Open exposure

$1.32K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-22 09:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Politics

90% 54% -$1,759

Other

9% 25% -$1,733

Crypto

1% 36% +$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	-17,020	-$1,020	6¢	$-936	+$84	09-17 17:40
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	+1,434	$372	15¢	$208	-$164	07-25 16:20
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-3,921	-$190	4¢	$-174	+$16	08-28 13:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	27	$16.2K	8,250	8,250	+0	Yes	+$322	03-03 14:22
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$13.1K	6,787	6,787	+0	Yes	+$486	02-28 09:04
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	35	$10.7K	8,400	8,400	+0	Yes	+$2,526	03-01 14:20
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	52	$10.2K	8,479	8,478	+0	No	-$1,091	03-09 10:50
will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	3	$9.6K	10,055	0	+10,055	Yes	+$443	03-01 09:13
israeli parliament dissolved by march 31 932	112	$8.2K	12,883	13,860	-977	No	-$1,583	03-08 11:19
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	6	$7.6K	5,966	5,966	+0	Yes	+$4,259	02-28 06:41
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	9	$7.5K	4,754	4,754	+0	Yes	-$687	03-08 11:18
will another country strike iran by march 7 528	3	$6.7K	7,340	7,340	+0	No	-$6,215	03-07 12:30
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	29	$5.6K	9,174	0	+9,174	Yes	+$3,612	02-28 12:50
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	27	$4.6K	4,532	4,532	+0	open	—	10-11 09:27
will uae strike iran by march 31	8	$4.1K	3,515	3,515	+0	No	-$1,606	03-09 07:22
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	25	$4.1K	2,399	2,399	+0	No	+$251	03-04 13:46
will qatar strike iran by march 31	19	$4.1K	3,808	3,808	+0	No	-$2,793	03-09 07:22
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	12	$4.0K	2,280	2,280	+0	Yes	+$588	03-01 14:20
Iran leadership change by April 30?	21	$3.0K	5,956	0	+5,956	No	-$2,991	03-09 13:35
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	42	$2.6K	5,705	500	+5,205	Yes	+$2,888	02-28 19:02
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	18	$2.4K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	$0	03-01 14:51
will us or israel strike iran on march 6 2026	19	$2.1K	1,100	1,100	+0	Yes	+$2	03-03 15:19
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	6	$1.8K	1,574	1,574	+0	Yes	+$343	02-28 06:43
Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	16	$1.2K	1,380	1,380	+0	open	—	10-22 09:57
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	5	$1.2K	1,920	0	+1,920	open	—	10-19 12:15
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	2	$1.0K	13	17,033	-17,020	open	—	09-17 17:40
naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	24	$1.0K	3,410	0	+3,410	No	-$1,023	03-19 11:22
iran leadership change by march 31	6	$999	2,700	0	+2,700	No	-$999	03-09 10:06
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	4	$863	4,782	0	+4,782	No	-$863	01-27 17:59
Iran leadership change by December 31?	4	$831	2,506	1,072	+1,434	open	—	07-25 16:20
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	12	$787	1,291	0	+1,291	No	-$787	01-14 12:41
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	15	$698	489	1,700	-1,211	No	+$424	01-14 12:13
will israel strike lebanon on january 9 2026	15	$527	442	442	+0	Yes	+$331	01-09 10:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 09:57:44	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	247	26¢	$64	0xd20323…
10-22 09:07:03	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	125	26¢	$32	0x9abfa3…
10-22 09:02:44	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	40	26¢	$10	0x4475f8…
10-20 05:40:42	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0xb50d54…
10-19 20:08:02	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	31	26¢	$8	0x2f3224…
10-19 20:01:08	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	30	26¢	$8	0x6a929f…
10-19 18:16:21	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	430	26¢	$112	0x518570…
10-19 14:15:47	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	80	26¢	$21	0x841d44…
10-19 12:48:20	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	46	26¢	$12	0x818880…
10-19 12:15:14	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	180	68¢	$122	0x984792…
10-16 13:29:07	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	350	30¢	$105	0x3dd918…
10-15 06:53:17	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,164	60¢	$699	0x939930…
10-15 06:53:16	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	420	60¢	$252	0x747da7…
10-13 07:20:56	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	106	53¢	$56	0xefd1ad…
10-13 07:19:46	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	49	52¢	$26	0xbabd54…
10-11 09:27:54	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1,746	59¢	$1,034	0xd8a5bb…
10-05 18:26:53	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	436	61¢	$266	0x07ffab…
10-05 18:12:53	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	640	61¢	$390	0x60887b…
10-05 11:08:58	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xfe3241…
10-05 03:33:25	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x741aae…
10-04 18:33:35	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	134	61¢	$82	0x76dee0…
10-04 18:33:32	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0x83e1ed…
09-29 14:38:36	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1,746	49¢	$857	0xd7d7cc…
09-18 05:38:15	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	740	50¢	$366	0x508d83…
09-18 05:13:22	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	144	50¢	$71	0xb4e654…
09-17 21:56:42	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x9969c8…
09-17 17:41:30	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1,163	50¢	$575	0xca5f8a…
09-17 17:40:51	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	17,033	6¢	$1,022	0x53b7dd…
09-17 14:02:37	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1,427	50¢	$708	0x63216b…
09-17 13:58:42	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,040	50¢	$524	0x86ca6b…
08-28 13:16:12	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,921	5¢	$190	0x2fc066…
07-25 16:20:16	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,299	24¢	$312	0x588f64…
07-25 15:37:09	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	177	24¢	$43	0xc405d1…
07-25 15:18:52	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,030	24¢	$247	0xd42d6f…
07-25 08:37:28	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x866c4b…
07-25 08:33:58	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	26	48¢	$13	0x2f5920…
07-25 08:33:27	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x8773f2…
07-25 08:11:49	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xda8cd5…
07-25 08:11:16	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0xb00609…
07-25 08:04:30	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0xa4809a…
07-25 08:03:52	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0x3fc3fd…
07-25 02:40:03	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0xa89224…
07-25 01:22:30	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x259767…
07-25 01:21:48	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	48	48¢	$23	0x814e86…
07-25 00:09:31	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0x75fc27…
07-24 20:39:55	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x062aef…
07-24 18:23:01	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	38	48¢	$18	0xf5ca15…
07-24 18:19:51	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x94b51e…
07-24 18:19:39	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x9c07a7…
07-24 18:19:27	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xad37ab…
07-24 18:19:15	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	93	48¢	$45	0x0dd2b6…
07-24 18:15:16	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	274	48¢	$133	0x07d1bd…
07-23 18:21:52	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	201	48¢	$97	0xbca418…
07-19 18:48:22	Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	154	32¢	$50	0xf11004…
07-19 18:45:12	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	556	2¢	$10	0x8d2676…
07-19 18:44:58	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	333	6¢	$20	0xa93dc1…
07-19 18:44:40	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	312	16¢	$50	0x8d632b…
07-19 18:41:16	Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	620	32¢	$200	0x862238…
07-18 19:21:06	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5e5405…
07-18 19:19:34	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	669	33¢	$221	0xf94c82…
07-18 19:17:07	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,072	21¢	$230	0xefacae…
06-26 07:38:53	Will Donald Trump be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	BUY	39	4¢	$1	0x60f6bb…
05-15 05:53:01	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	18¢	$2	0x34bc47…
03-19 11:22:31	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	996	30¢	$299	0x5f26cf…
03-19 10:33:15	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	860	30¢	$258	0xc9f4b4…
03-19 10:05:41	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xee450d…
03-19 08:29:45	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0xf7cb7b…
03-19 07:07:43	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xfb40de…
03-19 06:26:37	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0xb81705…
03-19 06:26:37	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x81da6a…
03-19 06:26:37	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x02506f…
03-19 05:13:55	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	29	30¢	$9	0x32f0cd…
03-19 04:48:31	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x177931…
03-18 22:10:55	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0x636c05…
03-18 21:46:37	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x7d40c1…
03-18 20:56:29	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0xb375cb…
03-18 20:01:09	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	115	30¢	$34	0x0eb7ea…
03-18 19:49:13	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x976638…
03-18 19:17:25	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	77	30¢	$23	0xd032ae…
03-18 17:47:51	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	552	30¢	$166	0x25f3d6…
03-18 17:08:05	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0xbd8f2f…
03-18 16:51:31	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x6c024b…
03-18 16:01:13	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	32	30¢	$10	0x8c1d3f…
03-18 15:56:49	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	32	30¢	$10	0x699be1…
03-18 15:36:49	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x79c688…
03-18 15:23:07	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x8990a6…
03-18 14:31:45	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x51aae0…
03-09 13:35:01	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	140	48¢	$67	0x4db0a2…
03-09 13:10:33	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	323	49¢	$158	0x76deed…
03-09 13:05:53	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1a004f…
03-09 13:01:23	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x10abcd…
03-09 12:54:03	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	29	49¢	$14	0xd7e6a1…
03-09 12:52:11	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	668	49¢	$327	0x260a8f…
03-09 12:39:01	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x6115c7…
03-09 12:36:57	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	38	49¢	$19	0x208bef…
03-09 12:36:53	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa27dd8…
03-09 12:29:17	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	39	49¢	$19	0xbb88c2…
03-09 12:28:35	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	60	49¢	$29	0xc5220d…
03-09 12:27:33	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	39	49¢	$19	0xbd64bb…
03-09 12:22:15	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	39	49¢	$19	0xf02467…