Traumatic-Fiberglass — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15.6K

Unrealized P&L

+$36

Hit rate

23.5%

Resolved

139

Trades

1,366

lifetime

Volume

$103.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$76

Open exposure

$31

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-25 23:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Politics

89% 43% -$14,960

Other

7% 45% +$199

Sports

4% 40% -$856

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 175 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?	Yes		-921	-$67	3¢	$-31	+$36	09-01 16:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	111	$27.8K	31,503	34,788	-3,285	No	-$9,991	10-25 23:43
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	50	$16.0K	18,233	23,149	-4,916	Yes	-$1,604	10-06 10:45
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	17	$5.5K	3,300	3,300	+0	open	—	10-21 21:54
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	62	$5.3K	6,653	6,653	+0	No	-$31	10-24 23:04
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	57	$4.8K	10,617	4,217	+6,400	No	-$2,146	10-25 21:58
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	20	$4.8K	7,770	2,017	+5,754	Yes	+$2,805	10-04 21:42
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	24	$2.5K	4,127	2,468	+1,660	Yes	+$1,177	10-04 23:41
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	18	$2.4K	2,682	2,682	+0	No	-$751	10-04 22:16
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	91	$2.2K	11,471	0	+11,471	No	-$2,214	10-25 20:55
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	14	$2.2K	1,658	1,658	+0	No	+$120	03-31 22:08
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	14	$2.0K	2,385	2,368	+17	Yes	-$335	10-05 00:00
will the bank of brazil decrease the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	20	$1.4K	975	574	+402	Yes	+$90	03-18 21:18
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	5	$1.3K	2,401	500	+1,901	No	-$543	10-04 23:42
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	110	$1.3K	37,564	40,764	-3,200	No	+$163	07-23 12:29
Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	13	$1.1K	700	700	+0	Yes	+$84	10-04 11:54
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 42% and 45% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	7	$965	1,395	1,256	+139	No	-$35	10-04 19:59
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?	52	$950	3,672	0	+3,672	No	-$950	10-25 21:03
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	18	$890	1,163	1,163	+0	No	-$204	10-04 21:00
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$854	500	500	+0	No	-$25	06-08 16:32
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	16	$799	1,200	1,200	+0	No	+$179	09-14 05:23
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	8	$726	1,000	350	+650	Yes	+$340	03-05 19:19
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	5	$713	1,003	200	+803	Yes	-$653	03-08 21:07
Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	9	$650	437	437	+0	Yes	+$50	10-04 02:17
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	27	$621	5,300	5,560	-260	No	-$233	06-13 05:20
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	14	$594	1,350	1,350	+0	No	-$486	10-04 21:37
Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	11	$585	1,774	1,860	-86	Yes	-$124	10-06 10:49
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$555	1,630	247	+1,383	No	-$463	07-14 00:37
Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?	2	$552	800	800	+0	Yes	+$40	10-04 15:45
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?	5	$528	800	800	+0	No	+$16	10-04 04:38
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?	5	$498	1,324	300	+1,024	No	-$186	10-04 21:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 23:44:29	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?	Yes	BUY	498	83¢	$415	0xe453a1…
10-25 23:43:47	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	16,865	2¢	$386	0x30d68f…
10-25 22:04:41	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	281	59¢	$165	0x30929e…
10-25 21:58:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	319	15¢	$48	0x98857d…
10-25 21:58:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x60652b…
10-25 21:58:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0x184708…
10-25 21:58:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	141	15¢	$21	0x034534…
10-25 21:57:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	21	15¢	$3	0x789c66…
10-25 21:57:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0x091781…
10-25 21:56:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	90	15¢	$14	0xdb184f…
10-25 21:56:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0xd78e33…
10-25 21:56:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0x978402…
10-25 21:56:41	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0xc696d1…
10-25 21:56:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x163b07…
10-25 21:56:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	130	15¢	$20	0x2ece23…
10-25 21:56:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	18	15¢	$3	0x0b1f89…
10-25 21:56:03	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0xedc1c5…
10-25 21:03:18	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$13	0x466452…
10-25 20:55:30	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	1,398	3¢	$42	0x23640a…
10-25 20:50:02	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	500	64¢	$320	0x6210c3…
10-25 20:49:15	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	2,000	7¢	$140	0x7c59a3…
10-25 20:48:11	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	196	10¢	$20	0xafcf9e…
10-25 20:47:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	155	11¢	$17	0x61f9d6…
10-25 20:47:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	1,000	14¢	$140	0x41d96f…
10-25 20:46:36	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	160	11¢	$18	0x465944…
10-25 20:46:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x575fad…
10-25 20:46:02	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x67ff4f…
10-25 20:45:45	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	75	11¢	$8	0x373a2a…
10-25 20:44:54	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	883	11¢	$97	0xa77957…
10-25 20:41:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	700	66¢	$465	0x1ff7be…
10-25 20:40:33	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	600	17¢	$102	0x7033fb…
10-25 20:39:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?	Yes	BUY	450	26¢	$117	0xdd4266…
10-25 20:38:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0xabc976…
10-25 20:34:12	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	397	17¢	$68	0xb17a28…
10-25 20:34:11	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	109	12¢	$13	0xa170e2…
10-25 20:33:20	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	17	17¢	$3	0xf92d49…
10-25 20:33:20	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	172	17¢	$29	0xd53d6f…
10-25 20:30:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x6106d1…
10-25 20:30:06	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?	Yes	BUY	17	25¢	$4	0x99dc7d…
10-25 20:30:05	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?	Yes	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x8cf2c1…
10-25 20:29:20	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	382	11¢	$42	0x847345…
10-25 20:27:15	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	700	69¢	$483	0x1f2b88…
10-25 20:24:00	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	217	72¢	$156	0xc23dcd…
10-25 20:24:00	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	213	72¢	$152	0x967e49…
10-25 19:45:47	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	8,000	77¢	$6,144	0xdbbda1…
10-25 19:21:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,188	78¢	$922	0x5ac1e4…
10-25 19:01:47	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	94	78¢	$73	0x95845a…
10-25 19:01:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	113	78¢	$87	0x7fc93b…
10-25 19:01:41	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	521	78¢	$404	0x374528…
10-25 19:01:33	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	22	78¢	$17	0xb0cba8…
10-25 19:01:33	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	63	78¢	$49	0x8dd49d…
10-25 17:14:50	Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x2327b8…
10-25 17:08:57	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	138	28¢	$39	0x5527f8…
10-25 17:06:11	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3,663	82¢	$3,000	0xcd5324…
10-25 08:09:03	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	318	29¢	$92	0xe8afca…
10-25 08:09:03	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	81	29¢	$23	0xae77f9…
10-25 08:09:03	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	546	29¢	$158	0x3f39dc…
10-25 08:09:03	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	847	29¢	$246	0x397062…
10-25 08:09:02	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	454	29¢	$132	0xa5cb9e…
10-25 08:09:02	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	153	29¢	$44	0x83f821…
10-25 08:09:02	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	213	29¢	$62	0x1c1016…
10-25 08:09:02	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	314	29¢	$91	0x08a7aa…
10-25 08:09:02	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	75	29¢	$22	0x06c53a…
10-25 06:32:54	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%?	Yes	BUY	43	55¢	$24	0x2d47b4…
10-25 06:25:05	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%?	Yes	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xeec89f…
10-25 05:20:59	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%?	Yes	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0x8442d6…
10-25 01:59:39	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	174	31¢	$54	0xe21b0f…
10-25 01:59:39	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	132	31¢	$41	0x733ea0…
10-25 01:59:39	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	169	31¢	$52	0x1377b6…
10-25 01:50:11	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	200	31¢	$62	0x3f6d15…
10-25 01:50:06	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xb49ca8…
10-25 01:48:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	8	31¢	$3	0x5d0fdf…
10-25 01:48:35	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xac047a…
10-25 01:48:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x1e7861…
10-25 01:48:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x588d3d…
10-25 01:48:18	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xc5cb13…
10-25 01:48:08	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x4f43f2…
10-25 01:48:02	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x1c4e99…
10-25 01:47:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x951f7e…
10-25 01:47:51	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x574a76…
10-25 01:47:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x1ebc14…
10-25 01:46:41	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	80	31¢	$25	0xce1d7e…
10-25 01:45:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x921245…
10-25 01:45:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x9607da…
10-25 01:45:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	18	31¢	$6	0x0760b7…
10-25 01:42:06	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	31	31¢	$10	0xdc5bd0…
10-25 01:42:06	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	31	31¢	$10	0x7da42d…
10-25 01:41:45	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	35	31¢	$11	0x83cd9c…
10-25 01:41:41	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	35	31¢	$11	0xcab151…
10-25 01:41:35	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x25af74…
10-25 01:41:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	27	31¢	$8	0x2fc2d7…
10-25 01:41:20	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0x8b7fde…
10-25 01:41:12	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0xc3ba1a…
10-25 01:41:06	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0x6c8eef…
10-25 01:40:59	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0x3ebc72…
10-25 01:40:54	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0xa9522b…
10-25 01:40:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0xdbc265…
10-25 01:40:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0x4aca8e…
10-25 01:40:35	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0xb5268e…
10-25 01:40:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0xa04140…