Prize-Flare — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

291

Trades

292

lifetime

Volume

$3.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 11-01 04:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 225 days

Categories

Other

94% 100% +$4

Politics

6% 90% -$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump Leave China on May 14?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-14 04:51
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$23	24	+24	No	-$23	05-15 04:51
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-12 17:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-30 06:44
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on April 29?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-29 10:35
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on April 27?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-28 01:24
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 27?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-27 11:49
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-26 09:01
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on April 25?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-25 10:40
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-24 08:54
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 23 2026 27c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 22:39
highest temperature in busan on april 23 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 10:13
highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 00:44
highest temperature in shanghai on april 22 2026 19c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-22 09:25
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-21 23:49
highest temperature in busan on april 21 2026 21c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-21 09:14
highest temperature in houston on april 20 2026 74 75f	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-21 02:50
highest temperature in lucknow on april 20 2026 42c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-20 16:34
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 03:26
highest temperature in busan on april 19 2026 25c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 10:44
highest temperature in denver on april 18 2026 56 57f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 01:37
highest temperature in chongqing on april 18 2026 31c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 11:25
highest temperature in san francisco on april 17 2026 68 69f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 01:35
highest temperature in moscow on april 17 2026 12c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 15:54
highest temperature in wellington on april 17 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 09:40
highest temperature in mexico city on april 16 2026 28c	1	$22	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 01:39
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 16 2026 36c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-16 15:19
highest temperature in wellington on april 16 2026 18c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-16 08:13
highest temperature in nyc on april 15 2026 86 87f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-16 03:58
highest temperature in busan on april 15 2026 22c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-15 10:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 04:53:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C on November 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb3576e…
10-31 09:42:57	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc7934…
10-30 09:38:46	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1d7432…
10-29 17:37:37	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x489488…
10-29 08:21:14	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x55350a…
10-28 05:06:14	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2a46d5…
10-27 08:10:44	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa57960…
10-26 08:56:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x684d45…
10-24 09:52:05	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x76ca62…
10-22 10:04:14	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe87f59…
10-20 04:45:45	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeff0bb…
10-19 08:17:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5f99cc…
10-18 08:42:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x025fd8…
10-17 08:32:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x000101…
10-16 08:45:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5ff7ca…
10-15 08:53:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x59c689…
10-14 08:31:20	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd3e7e8…
10-13 08:11:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5ac46a…
10-12 08:07:45	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa80826…
10-11 07:23:55	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcd1be1…
10-08 08:09:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbb397b…
10-07 13:14:38	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x44e49c…
10-06 07:26:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd3eadd…
10-04 10:14:11	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc918b…
10-03 05:38:14	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa46dd2…
10-02 07:29:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x783daa…
10-01 08:01:50	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f71d0…
09-30 11:59:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8d8804…
09-29 09:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x879e0d…
09-28 09:12:48	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x616669…
09-27 08:26:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9a2325…
09-25 08:16:33	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x33df22…
09-24 08:06:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x561bb7…
09-23 05:22:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7a96d0…
09-22 07:23:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb9d09e…
09-21 08:30:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6385ef…
09-20 05:29:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x76b260…
09-19 07:53:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc86ae5…
09-18 01:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x725349…
09-17 03:50:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x984741…
09-16 07:31:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa19a60…
09-15 08:12:09	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfea231…
09-14 07:46:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfaa4be…
09-13 09:19:03	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7915e9…
09-12 10:13:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6776f3…
09-11 07:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf88d42…
09-10 02:06:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xce7056…
09-09 01:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1a235d…
09-08 01:50:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C or below on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x137cd2…
09-07 08:06:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9b59d7…
09-06 17:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x258feb…
09-06 08:57:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x538116…
09-05 09:43:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x133a66…
09-04 09:13:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8d778f…
09-03 08:12:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb0665a…
09-01 01:39:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe5902c…
08-30 07:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf67c18…
08-29 06:29:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x85d870…
08-28 06:50:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xad4465…
08-27 07:47:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f4080…
08-26 08:11:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x059b23…
08-25 07:15:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x861508…
08-24 09:22:13	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec168c…
08-23 08:17:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd1f18d…
08-22 07:08:22	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xca2934…
08-21 03:45:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x16c7b1…
08-20 08:21:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf5457b…
08-19 08:20:24	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa1d40c…
08-18 04:07:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xedfc75…
08-17 07:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a1521…
08-16 10:52:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x868dcd…
08-15 08:17:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5c828c…
08-14 06:32:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb9682…
08-13 07:20:00	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x690638…
08-12 07:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd88d75…
08-11 00:58:55	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa84565…
08-10 00:40:40	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe2b24d…
08-09 01:11:07	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54f4b1…
08-08 07:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x677361…
08-07 00:34:11	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8265d6…
08-06 00:31:32	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xde81d0…
08-05 07:38:02	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4f3e1c…
08-04 07:04:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 38°C or higher on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbcd94f…
08-03 01:15:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on August 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f7d97…
08-02 01:15:38	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa5796d…
08-01 00:36:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x74269b…
07-31 07:46:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcf4177…
07-30 01:17:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e487b…
07-29 05:59:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd6f037…
07-28 05:09:21	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8b2490…
07-27 07:32:42	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd4205d…
07-26 06:13:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x97f9f6…
07-25 00:45:45	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf8670b…
07-24 08:13:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7099a8…
07-23 09:19:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x04868f…
07-23 02:08:51	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x79a859…
07-22 01:40:28	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d6318…
07-20 23:43:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa4f942…
07-20 02:14:31	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x79c3db…
07-18 22:17:22	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x04a097…