Spotted-Thought — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.1%

Resolved

1,915

Trades

1,975

lifetime

Volume

$19.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 10-27 13:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 208 days

Categories

Other

78% 98% -$5

Sports

17% 100% +$3

Crypto

3% 97% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
Valorant: Asterisk vs No Salary Peek (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	Asterisk	+$0	05-28 16:31
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-06 21:03
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-29 22:14
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 21pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	04-26 02:50
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	3	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 17:22
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$20	10	10	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:37
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:31
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:11
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:37
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	2	$20	10	10	+0	Mali	+$0	06-04 04:48
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-01 01:25
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-31 04:00
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	04-01 01:47
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-24 17:13
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-15 20:31
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	03-24 20:12
Rams vs. Eagles	1	$10	10	0	+10	Rams	+$0	10-04 20:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:12:03	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x05290c…
10-25 09:30:57	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf9ea9c…
10-24 13:22:09	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8929b1…
10-23 16:52:30	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe34ff2…
10-23 06:10:03	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x626de2…
10-20 18:47:44	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x96d90a…
10-20 18:39:11	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbc8391…
10-18 03:35:36	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe8dab4…
10-15 20:32:35	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x48188b…
10-15 19:37:41	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0cf80f…
10-14 20:56:45	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbed927…
10-14 11:41:26	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4bcf83…
10-13 20:58:57	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd7540c…
10-13 15:56:01	wta pohanko wan 2026 10 13	Mia Pohankova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7a82f6…
10-13 14:15:23	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xae7952…
10-13 01:33:00	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb42fd0…
10-12 16:35:44	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0adf6f…
10-12 09:05:07	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x25dcc0…
10-11 20:16:13	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdd2c24…
10-11 10:49:53	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x748e66…
10-11 10:26:14	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x86124b…
10-10 11:08:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf31a8f…
10-09 02:09:57	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8b6672…
10-07 14:42:14	Villena: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe96d69…
10-07 10:16:24	Samsun: Elena Pridankina vs Anna Blinkova	Anna Blinkova	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x23b607…
10-07 06:30:54	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x800d29…
10-07 05:49:08	W15 Maanshan: Anna Yang vs Darja Suvirdjonkova	Anna Yang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb3bba1…
10-06 20:46:23	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x06ab4e…
10-06 16:07:30	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0d6c97…
10-04 23:23:16	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3b2619…
10-04 20:22:59	Rams vs. Eagles	Rams	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x91a90c…
10-04 20:17:38	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x707ef3…
10-04 07:45:11	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd0d0de…
10-03 14:50:32	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf0af18…
10-03 06:09:57	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0fdba6…
10-03 02:52:59	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd0d383…
10-02 14:15:27	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0cc31c…
10-02 14:13:36	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcb3b51…
10-01 20:46:20	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x76f269…
10-01 20:36:03	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x1be209…
10-01 16:11:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e3a8b…
10-01 12:07:32	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x855e66…
10-01 11:43:51	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe245db…
10-01 06:03:17	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x323ec5…
10-01 05:13:27	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x769b59…
10-01 04:48:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x35e341…
09-30 23:54:53	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6c0cb7…
09-30 01:58:17	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x309169…
09-29 20:38:39	Will Slovakia win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd060ea…
09-29 13:59:02	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa74568…
09-29 13:18:54	atp giustin sperle 2026 09 29	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x95e31b…
09-29 13:16:00	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x07fab4…
09-27 20:13:29	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2800cc…
09-27 14:05:48	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x62ef00…
09-27 13:31:17	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe364e8…
09-27 12:29:15	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x263fb0…
09-26 23:23:51	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb18297…
09-26 20:12:54	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x95d52a…
09-26 19:57:08	Columbia vs. Georgetown	Columbia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x298499…
09-26 19:48:45	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x63b7f3…
09-26 12:18:23	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd39d50…
09-25 22:56:39	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe1139e…
09-25 10:12:38	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x848cce…
09-24 20:45:09	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x26eac4…
09-24 09:38:47	Singapore Open: Xinyu Wang vs Joanna Garland	Xinyu Wang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x685012…
09-23 22:37:46	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4c2cf5…
09-23 16:19:00	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8250bf…
09-23 04:45:08	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x24adb8…
09-21 18:44:37	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa8d4b3…
09-21 02:19:43	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaa0e0e…
09-20 22:25:43	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd912cc…
09-20 21:48:07	Will Panaitolikos Agrinio win on 2026-09-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbb26b6…
09-20 21:08:23	Will CD Leganés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf2b3c4…
09-20 16:19:24	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 22°C or below on September 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe47213…
09-20 02:59:39	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5970ab…
09-20 02:45:48	Houston Christian vs. Incarnate Word	Incarnate Word	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd3fd11…
09-20 01:26:37	Florida State vs. Alabama	Alabama	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x99c15b…
09-19 20:39:11	NC State vs. Vanderbilt	Vanderbilt	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9ef6c3…
09-19 15:39:36	lol kor usa 2026 09 19	South Korea	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7d34f6…
09-19 01:39:48	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xde6b24…
09-17 17:27:46	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xde1852…
09-17 14:00:57	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd30263…
09-17 00:30:52	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1d0738…
09-16 21:19:13	Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfd2491…
09-16 21:17:37	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf4f370…
09-16 06:37:39	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1a89ee…
09-16 02:35:51	Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-09-15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x269771…
09-16 01:32:15	Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Evan Zhu	Michael Zheng	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb0542d…
09-16 01:20:06	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x15249f…
09-16 00:09:54	Set 1 Winner: Diane Parry vs Peyton Stearns	Peyton Stearns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd3d711…
09-15 17:47:06	will wti reach 105 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x44fc1e…
09-15 12:58:36	Valencia: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Eva Vedder	Jennifer Ruggeri	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x201a47…
09-15 09:42:01	Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov	Pavel Kotov	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x23e8f1…
09-14 14:28:54	Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6f0236…
09-13 22:59:31	Texas Rangers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Texas Rangers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb5d457…
09-13 20:07:22	Buccaneers vs. Bengals	Bengals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x62fc14…
09-13 14:56:15	atp zhukov loof 2026 09 13	Thijmen Loof	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x671d73…
09-13 14:16:06	Will Royal Antwerp FC win on 2026-09-13?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaddbd4…
09-13 02:51:25	Iowa State vs. Iowa	Iowa	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xef00b1…
09-12 12:55:36	European T20 Premier League: Belfast Wolves vs Rotterdam Dockers	Rotterdam Dockers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x03034e…