Spotted-Thought — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,258

lifetime

Volume

$12.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 06-30 10:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

75% 96% +$1

Sports

19% 100% +$0

Crypto

5% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 10:12:47	cs2 don for10 2026 06 30 game2	Donstu Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x35be3c…
06-30 04:26:02	mlb sf ari 2026 06 29	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd8aef1…
06-30 04:16:13	will morocco reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120744	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8570be…
06-29 23:57:28	mlb pit phi 2026 06 29 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7effd0…
06-29 22:43:19	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 goals jamal musiala gte1	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a398b…
06-29 13:52:43	will nvda reach 196 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5bb38f…
06-28 21:18:22	mlb hou det 2026 06 28 spread away 1pt5	Houston Astros	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8e1451…
06-28 17:02:08	cs2 6666 ast 2026 06 28	ASTRAL	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x182c41…
06-28 14:02:25	cs2 mana1 subtop 2026 06 28 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x64d0ba…
06-28 05:39:26	will iran reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120760	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x203262…
06-28 04:05:46	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 spread away 5pt5	Jordan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x33565f…
06-28 03:22:25	mlb atl sf 2026 06 27 spread home 1pt5	San Francisco Giants	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf59067…
06-28 03:00:53	Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1b7ee5…
06-27 18:05:50	ufc naz mat36 2026 06 27 totals 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7d79c3…
06-27 14:58:49	codmw tex g2m 2026 06 27	OpTic Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5077c0…
06-27 02:30:01	Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbcda90…
06-27 02:11:10	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 goals alex baena gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb6f02d…
06-27 01:32:26	mlb phi nym 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	New York Mets	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x53d671…
06-26 16:06:55	codmw riyf tor 2026 06 26	Toronto KOI	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x030352…
06-26 11:54:02	wta maria ostapen 2026 06 26	Tatjana Maria	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x036ede…
06-26 00:55:49	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x58310f…
06-25 22:51:34	Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcc626c…
06-25 22:21:08	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 assists florian wirtz gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaf3808…
06-25 02:00:28	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x920e51…
06-25 01:49:31	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf0159a…
06-25 00:04:47	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf68bf0…
06-25 00:04:46	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5fe6e3…
06-24 23:24:10	cs2 bca og1 2026 06 24 map handicap home 1pt5	Betclic Apogee Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x625293…
06-24 21:03:43	fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x107ce4…
06-24 12:34:50	kbo kia kiw 2026 06 24	Kia Tigers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x928cda…
06-23 20:00:56	arcium fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd98bf3…
06-23 19:46:35	val fks1 mir 2026 06 23 game1	MIR	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdd0a47…
06-23 18:25:07	wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	Hayu Kinoshita	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdd7184…
06-23 12:38:41	kbo sam lg 2026 06 23	LG Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2b3628…
06-21 18:35:56	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 assists lamine yamal gte2	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb485b7…
06-21 18:13:08	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 first half team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdd5de8…
06-21 13:05:16	cs2 echo k271 2026 06 21	K27	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41eb76…
06-21 04:54:50	mlb bal lad 2026 06 20 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x77f35e…
06-21 02:03:04	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a8ba2…
06-21 01:58:17	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x73d58f…
06-20 23:39:56	ufc mel7 bia1 2026 06 20 totals 1pt5	Under	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbbdc90…
06-20 23:39:43	ufc mel7 bia1 2026 06 20 totals 1pt5	Under	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xac8873…
06-20 22:09:04	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1f11f7…
06-20 20:06:32	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 20 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x03532f…
06-20 15:39:58	cs2 aur1 furia 2026 06 20 game1 round total 21pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3905ef…
06-20 05:14:16	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xff6ec7…
06-20 02:33:19	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 2pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb1a1b2…
06-20 01:49:02	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbe4995…
06-19 15:45:31	val edg1 pr1 2026 06 19 game2	Paper Rex	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7a85bd…
06-18 22:59:28	val yfp nrga 2026 06 18 game1	YFP Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x660b2d…
06-17 22:05:19	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 goals harry kane gte3	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x89d12d…
06-17 19:26:19	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xce31a8…
06-17 19:25:28	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals cristiano ronaldo gte3	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x275963…
06-17 19:20:37	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 corners total 10pt5	Under	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xec20ce…
06-17 19:17:56	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8d0cae…
06-17 19:04:13	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x13bc17…
06-17 18:09:10	mlb mia phi 2026 06 17 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfd72c5…
06-17 17:29:58	atp feldbau gulin 2026 06 17	Kilian Feldbausch	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x25b0c3…
06-17 16:10:19	bitcoin above 72k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x575358…
06-17 16:07:44	bitcoin above 70k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2c9fde…
06-17 16:06:52	bitcoin above 68k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc32870…
06-17 04:05:35	mlb tb lad 2026 06 16 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbf68ba…
06-17 00:03:11	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8c59a0…
06-16 13:45:50	nik up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x614357…
06-16 12:37:40	Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x110156…
06-16 02:29:42	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3e4217…
06-15 18:27:52	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x13e985…
06-15 12:41:37	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0abb18…
06-15 01:32:12	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x499b66…
06-14 19:57:39	cs2 g2 lgc 2026 06 14	G2	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa26c5a…
06-14 19:23:15	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	Germany	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x553bb6…
06-14 19:02:24	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd48d77…
06-14 06:25:18	fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 corners team home 3pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfc48d5…
06-14 03:39:43	will landry shamet score 40 points in any game of the 2026 nba finals 20260603023200582	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf7a830…
06-13 11:58:12	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc24100…
06-13 01:55:00	mlb phi mil 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf797e6…
06-12 21:03:04	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb753e7…
06-12 20:37:12	spacex ipo closing share price updown on first day 20260607181533420	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xccac37…
06-12 20:26:48	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd91b84…
06-12 20:19:03	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5c7c3a…
06-12 20:17:10	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa3e615…
06-12 20:05:37	cs2 noirve saab 2026 06 12	Noir Verse	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x75a777…
06-12 13:30:04	bkvtb zen lok 2026 06 12	Lokomotiv Kuban	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf0ec27…
06-11 22:13:39	wti closes above 86 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x084ca0…
06-11 21:15:18	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4c3750…
06-11 16:53:28	lol g2nord gal 2026 06 11 game1	G2 NORD	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe22b75…
06-11 03:52:12	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 points og anunoby 16pt5	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x866a4e…
06-10 20:16:55	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 10	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd55940…
06-10 20:05:12	mlb bos tb 2026 06 10	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x33fafc…
06-10 18:20:06	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 10 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0787c9…
06-10 08:27:04	mlbb dewa geek 2026 06 10	Geek Fam ID	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc6c4d7…
06-09 17:38:22	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x973a49…
06-09 14:20:34	kbo ssg lg 2026 06 09	LG Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xace25e…
06-09 00:21:13	col1 atn cjf 2026 06 08 spread home 2pt5	CDPJuniorFC	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe78611…
06-08 23:26:33	cs2 xi clutch 2026 06 08	XI Esport	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x269ff8…
06-08 21:37:06	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x30a4da…
06-08 12:03:40	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x493dd7…
06-07 21:58:13	mlb mil col 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x92a50c…
06-07 21:09:33	mlb cws phi 2026 06 07	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa618b9…
06-07 19:26:43	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07 map handicap away 1pt5	Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa6be8f…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-04 04:48
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-25 02:00
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 21pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-26 02:50
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-29 22:14
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 17:22
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 07:11
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:25
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 04:00
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 20:31
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:13
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:47
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
val qor nrga 2026 03 26	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-27 02:37
cs2 leo2 brute 2026 04 07 game2	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-07 18:04
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 18:12
Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime Goalscorer	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-10 18:30
highest temperature in beijing on march 29 2026 23c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-29 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-18 18:01
Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Tabur	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-26 19:48
Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-25 04:48
will notre dame win the 2026 womens ncaa tournament	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-29 22:08
euroleague baskonia aviv 2026 03 27	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-27 22:45
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-20 05:14
cs2 imp11 yaw 2026 03 28 game2	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-28 17:11
Fluent FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-25 20:05
Valorant: Asterisk vs No Salary Peek (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season	1	$10	0	10	-10	open	—	05-28 16:31