Spotted-Thought — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,167

lifetime

Volume

$11.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 06-09 17:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

76% 96% +$1

Sports

19% 100% +$0

Crypto

5% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 17:38:22	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x973a49…
06-09 14:20:34	kbo ssg lg 2026 06 09	LG Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xace25e…
06-09 00:21:13	col1 atn cjf 2026 06 08 spread home 2pt5	CDPJuniorFC	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe78611…
06-08 23:26:33	cs2 xi clutch 2026 06 08	XI Esport	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x269ff8…
06-08 21:37:06	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x30a4da…
06-08 12:03:40	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x493dd7…
06-07 21:58:13	mlb mil col 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x92a50c…
06-07 21:09:33	mlb cws phi 2026 06 07	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa618b9…
06-07 19:26:43	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07 map handicap away 1pt5	Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa6be8f…
06-07 17:39:00	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x97548d…
06-07 16:59:28	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc59204…
06-07 13:09:45	sc2 hero cure 2026 06 07	herO	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf656fa…
06-06 23:10:01	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06	OpTic Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb52ffc…
06-06 21:14:00	mlb cin stl 2026 06 06 spread home 3pt5	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x24b349…
06-06 16:45:37	lol fec mcn 2026 06 06 game1	Frites Esports Club	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb133ff…
06-06 14:19:22	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game handicap home 1pt5	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xca919e…
06-06 11:32:28	itf jovanov davies 2026 06 06	Allegra Korpanec Davies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf33b2b…
06-06 11:32:27	itf haavist petruze 2026 06 06	Lucie Petruzelova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x42b0f1…
06-05 20:59:31	mlb sf chc 2026 06 05 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdc75c5…
06-05 17:03:39	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 set handicap away 2pt5	Mensik	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6fbf41…
06-05 01:53:27	fda approves arvinas vepdegestrant 06 05 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xabf37a…
06-04 04:48:34	crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	Mali	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf0c216…
06-04 04:48:15	crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	Mali	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3fc94d…
06-03 21:32:37	DR Congo vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc1d8e1…
06-03 16:06:12	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Netherlands	Scotland	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcdb438…
06-03 16:04:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1dc218…
06-03 13:35:12	KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Kia Tigers	Lotte Giants	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2eaa9f…
06-03 07:01:16	T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Saudi Arabia vs United Arab Emirates	United Arab Emirates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaf26ba…
06-02 22:56:10	Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winner	NRG Academy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdf4293…
06-02 19:09:22	Jack Pinnington Jones vs. Aleksandar Vukic: Total Sets O/U 2.5	Over 2.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x496933…
06-02 15:24:40	Foggia: Mayar Sherif vs Carlota Martinez Cirez	Mayar Sherif	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a07b8…
06-02 14:02:01	Will Pepe be included in Portugal's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x62b2f4…
06-01 18:03:02	LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Arctic Pandas - Game 2 Winner	The Ruddy Sack	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2b653b…
06-01 14:41:40	will spy reach 750 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe335c6…
06-01 07:19:26	Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcbc330…
06-01 02:52:46	Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6f8a4c…
05-31 20:11:21	Pallacanestro Brescia vs. Olimpia Milano	Pallacanestro Brescia	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x668770…
05-31 19:09:27	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4a324d…
05-31 18:08:24	Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8588a6…
05-31 16:12:23	Set Handicap: Jodar (-2.5) vs Busta (+2.5)	Busta	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x17ec28…
05-31 14:19:37	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - FRAGgg Playoffs	HOTU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a1250…
05-30 19:28:17	LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS - Game 3 Winner	Fluxo W7M	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5f413b…
05-30 17:58:00	Set Handicap: Tabilo (-2.5) vs Kouame (+2.5)	Kouame	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6eb946…
05-30 14:25:14	PAOK vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xff6b02…
05-30 10:50:27	UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)	Jose Henrique	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xac3e1e…
05-30 10:49:10	UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)	Jose Henrique	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x70fcb8…
05-30 04:48:21	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa41e1f…
05-29 22:27:28	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfe954d…
05-29 22:14:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x227362…
05-29 21:58:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x05a441…
05-29 21:06:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4456f4…
05-29 21:05:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x883e83…
05-29 21:01:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2e591e…
05-29 20:44:14	ITF Wichita: Sahaja Yamalapalli vs Barakat Oyinlomo Quadre	Sahaja Yamalapalli	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc6256f…
05-29 19:02:30	Joao Fonseca vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe45a9d…
05-29 17:27:43	Spread: Gambia (-1.5)	IR Iran	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf0921e…
05-29 14:43:29	Daniel vs. Erhard: Match O/U 21.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1573ae…
05-29 13:57:01	Borges vs. Rublev: Match O/U 36.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc80b6d…
05-29 08:52:22	ITF Tsaghkadzor: Daria Kuznetsova vs Anna Bazderova	Anna Bazderova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x98a315…
05-29 04:05:27	Spread: Club Alianza Atlético (-2.5)	CA Tigre	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x753a1a…
05-28 16:52:17	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1f6a81…
05-28 16:31:26	Valorant: Asterisk vs No Salary Peek (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season	Asterisk	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1972d7…
05-28 16:13:30	Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Wadi Degla SC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2f6b82…
05-28 12:33:02	Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Cerundolo	Sinner	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb6df0c…
05-27 17:22:59	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner	TheMongolz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x350a01…
05-26 19:48:32	Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Tabur	Sinner	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5067e7…
05-26 14:03:26	Set Handicap: Vacherot (-2.5) vs Faurel (+2.5)	Faurel	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6d3c6b…
05-26 13:17:57	Tallon Griekspoor vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc824c4…
05-26 01:15:23	Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4b1bbd…
05-25 19:18:26	Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0eda66…
05-25 08:09:07	T20 Series Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A, Women: Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A	New Zealand A	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x34669f…
05-25 04:48:27	Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x416c36…
05-24 22:57:05	Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcda7ca…
05-24 19:24:10	Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Mattia Bellucci	Quentin Halys	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd8762b…
05-24 18:17:31	Roland Garros ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Jakub Mensik	Jakub Mensik	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x53e302…
05-24 17:22:15	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xaf2412…
05-24 17:22:01	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xca9009…
05-24 17:22:01	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc18416…
05-24 15:57:38	Roland Garros ATP: Tomas Machac vs Zizou Bergs	Tomas Machac	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe0715d…
05-24 15:29:59	AC Sparta Praha vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0cb846…
05-24 08:02:48	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Supah Hot	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x950570…
05-24 01:24:01	Atlético Nacional vs. CD Tolima: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x03e8cb…
05-23 16:16:07	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winner	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe1541e…
05-23 14:22:17	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x10acb6…
05-23 01:24:47	Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa5ae8c…
05-22 17:36:18	Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce	Olympiacos B.C.	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc47241…
05-22 09:44:06	ITF Takasaki: Sohyun Park vs Rina Saigo	Rina Saigo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x21a07f…
05-22 04:09:39	CSyD Macará vs. Club Alianza Atlético: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1ccb91…
05-21 20:07:50	Nexus FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xefe123…
05-21 14:24:57	Internationaux de Strasbourg (Doubles): Joint/Perez vs Eikeri/Gleason	Eikeri/Gleason	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9dadbe…
05-20 21:53:21	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x743e16…
05-20 21:22:35	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe405fe…
05-20 21:17:34	Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x52302f…
05-20 19:13:54	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x47f763…
05-20 11:43:35	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Ugo Blanchet vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xccea52…
05-20 09:47:41	First Blood in Game 1?	T1	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6e9b34…
05-20 04:04:50	Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 170.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd3975b…
05-19 20:50:11	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6e47e3…
05-19 19:27:58	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Emilio Nava vs Yunchaokete Bu	Emilio Nava	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3cb9cb…
05-19 14:13:31	GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Sada Nahimana vs Ajla Tomljanovic	Sada Nahimana	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x51ba53…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 17:22
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-04 04:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-29 22:14
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 07:11
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 21pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-26 02:50
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:25
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 04:00
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 20:31
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:13
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:47
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
wta gjorche korneev 2026 04 08	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-09 14:41
Set Handicap: Noskova (-1.5) vs Oliynykova (+1.5)	1	$10	10	0	+10	Noskova	+$0	05-09 11:57
val qor nrga 2026 03 26	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-27 02:37
Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Tabur	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-26 19:48
Madrid Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Thiago Agustin Tirante	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-22 16:36
Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Medvedev	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-15 21:02
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 15 2026 29c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-15 06:41
Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-25 04:48
will notre dame win the 2026 womens ncaa tournament	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-29 22:08
atp schwaer samuel 2026 04 10 first set winner Schwaerzler vs Samuel	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-10 11:28
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Score	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-16 16:07
cs2 imp11 yaw 2026 03 28 game2	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-28 17:11
Valorant: Asterisk vs No Salary Peek (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season	1	$10	0	10	-10	open	—	05-28 16:31
euroleague baskonia aviv 2026 03 27	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-27 22:45
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-4.5)	1	$10	10	0	+10	Chicago White Sox	+$0	05-10 02:36