Heartfelt-Grouse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.3%

Resolved

Trades

823

lifetime

Volume

$4.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 05-10 16:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 62% $-22

Other

16% 100% +$2

Politics

8% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1775611800	5	$189	110	100	+10	open	—	04-08 01:45
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	4	$163	100	100	+0	open	—	03-20 15:15
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 7	6	$149	80	80	+0	open	—	04-07 15:29
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 8	4	$96	75	75	+0	open	—	04-08 00:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9AM ET	2	$96	59	59	+0	Up	+$22	05-10 14:02
btc updown 5m 1775614200	2	$94	110	0	+110	open	—	04-08 02:14
will dtmf bad bunny be the 1 song on spotify this week 645	4	$93	100	100	+0	open	—	03-08 05:00
will choosin texas ella langley be the 1 song on us spotify this week 724	5	$83	51	51	+0	open	—	03-23 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7PM ET	2	$75	40	40	+0	Down	+$5	05-10 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8AM ET	2	$73	38	38	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 13:00
will plc win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	2	$70	40	40	+0	open	—	03-31 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4AM ET	2	$69	36	36	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10AM ET	2	$68	35	35	+0	Down	+$2	05-09 15:24
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	6	$66	40	40	+0	open	—	03-31 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1AM ET	2	$63	32	32	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 06:41
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on april 6	6	$61	35	35	+0	open	—	04-06 09:10
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 5	5	$61	35	35	+0	open	—	04-04 15:24
btc updown 5m 1775614800	2	$57	65	0	+65	open	—	04-08 02:24
will iran strike israel on march 4	4	$55	72	72	+0	open	—	03-07 04:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11AM ET	2	$53	27	27	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 15:56
btc updown 15m 1775609100	4	$52	58	0	+58	open	—	04-08 00:53
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 12	3	$51	31	30	+1	open	—	04-12 15:18
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 6	3	$50	30	30	+0	open	—	04-06 07:24
btc updown 15m 1776163500	1	$46	49	0	+49	open	—	04-14 10:56
btc updown 15m 1776162600	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	04-14 10:40
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 30	3	$46	25	25	+0	open	—	03-30 15:55
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 30	4	$45	24	24	+0	open	—	03-30 12:25
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	2	$44	50	50	+0	open	—	03-27 00:39
btc updown 15m 1776161700	1	$44	46	0	+46	open	—	04-14 10:28
btc updown 15m 1776160800	1	$44	44	0	+44	open	—	04-14 10:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 16:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	86¢	$34	0x3c34cf…
05-10 16:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x01312e…
05-10 15:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xadcbee…
05-10 15:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0xed44b9…
05-10 15:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf4e18b…
05-10 15:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	90¢	$3	0x0acb6c…
05-10 15:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xa61a44…
05-10 15:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x2b91f3…
05-10 15:11:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x96ea93…
05-10 15:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x08b097…
05-10 15:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xeb296f…
05-10 15:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x455e1b…
05-10 14:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xd611c5…
05-10 14:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x523051…
05-10 14:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x316ae8…
05-10 13:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	59	62¢	$37	0x684d27…
05-10 13:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x10b2d0…
05-10 12:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	38	94¢	$36	0x8b6735…
05-10 11:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xbde850…
05-10 11:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8f5bde…
05-10 10:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xb6cede…
05-10 09:36:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xb24cb4…
05-10 09:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	36	100¢	$35	0x059814…
05-10 08:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	36	94¢	$33	0xdc00a8…
05-10 08:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0x15f560…
05-10 08:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1f16d9…
05-10 06:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x8dcd5b…
05-10 06:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1AM ET	Down	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xf6d9a6…
05-10 05:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0xa12107…
05-10 03:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc1da2a…
05-10 03:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xd41d51…
05-10 02:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xbd786a…
05-10 01:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9PM ET	Up	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xefedca…
05-10 01:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xbde551…
05-10 01:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8PM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6647f2…
05-10 00:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x8a2481…
05-10 00:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x4fbc83…
05-10 00:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7PM ET	Down	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xe1a190…
05-09 23:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0xf9a839…
05-09 15:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xd9b10e…
05-09 14:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	35	93¢	$33	0x7ac2d4…
05-09 13:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x5e541d…
05-09 13:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0xe4df5f…
05-09 11:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	31	76¢	$23	0xb9e7f4…
05-09 11:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x83cd77…
05-09 09:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x496824…
05-09 04:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x8420cf…
04-30 02:10:46	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	393	4¢	$16	0x234ee9…
04-30 01:10:32	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	217	4¢	$9	0xb7ae08…
04-22 00:16:40	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x701c98…
04-14 10:56:11	btc updown 15m 1776163500	Up	BUY	49	95¢	$46	0x597a97…
04-14 10:40:23	btc updown 15m 1776162600	Down	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0x1cae71…
04-14 10:28:27	btc updown 15m 1776161700	Up	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0x57d984…
04-14 10:14:33	btc updown 15m 1776160800	Up	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x8156a8…
04-14 09:59:49	btc updown 15m 1776159900	Down	BUY	44	88¢	$39	0xdb33ad…
04-14 09:41:05	btc updown 15m 1776159000	Down	BUY	39	83¢	$33	0xb9ae0b…
04-14 09:25:23	btc updown 15m 1776158100	Down	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x4f5035…
04-14 09:22:03	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 14	No	SELL	38	27¢	$10	0xfb9709…
04-14 09:14:39	btc updown 15m 1776157200	Up	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0x46ed35…
04-14 08:57:11	btc updown 15m 1776156300	Up	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0x79a46a…
04-14 08:42:43	btc updown 15m 1776155400	Up	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x091e96…
04-14 08:14:59	btc updown 15m 1776153600	Down	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0xd491e5…
04-14 07:35:07	btc updown 15m 1776151800	Down	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x86a778…
04-14 07:25:59	btc updown 15m 1776150900	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xf58d9f…
04-14 07:11:07	btc updown 15m 1776150000	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xcfe9ac…
04-14 06:42:49	btc updown 15m 1776148200	Up	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0x536f19…
04-14 05:56:21	btc updown 15m 1776145500	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x41bd0a…
04-14 05:42:13	btc updown 15m 1776144600	Down	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0x010b86…
04-14 05:05:57	btc updown 15m 1776142800	Down	BUY	13	84¢	$11	0x8a8d33…
04-14 04:59:51	btc updown 15m 1776141900	Down	BUY	55	50¢	$28	0x2969a4…
04-14 03:58:41	btc updown 15m 1776138300	Down	BUY	39	97¢	$38	0xec173c…
04-14 02:43:47	btc updown 15m 1776133800	Up	BUY	38	78¢	$30	0xc1b0ae…
04-14 02:28:35	btc updown 15m 1776132900	Down	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x5f4ad4…
04-14 01:54:31	btc updown 15m 1776131100	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x28ebc7…
04-13 23:35:03	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 14	No	BUY	18	48¢	$9	0xca32e5…
04-13 19:31:37	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 14	No	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xe29f06…
04-13 19:31:37	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 14	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x5593f8…
04-13 16:29:27	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 14	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xa5495b…
04-13 16:26:23	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 13	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x894c2b…
04-13 16:26:21	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 13	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9e0e99…
04-13 14:10:21	btc updown 15m 1776088800	Down	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x1b8166…
04-13 13:52:37	btc updown 15m 1776087900	Up	BUY	31	93¢	$28	0xe36e68…
04-13 13:51:53	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 13	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0xa54cd9…
04-13 10:43:05	btc updown 15m 1776076200	Up	BUY	25	83¢	$21	0xfbd330…
04-13 10:13:13	btc updown 15m 1776074400	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x1c7b7f…
04-13 09:58:53	btc updown 15m 1776073500	Up	BUY	26	53¢	$14	0x48a0b0…
04-13 08:27:41	btc updown 15m 1776068100	Up	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0x432f39…
04-13 08:11:57	btc updown 15m 1776067200	Down	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xd52371…
04-12 16:56:11	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 13	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xe0aa1d…
04-12 15:57:57	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 13	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xc77f4b…
04-12 15:57:31	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 13	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x71dfaa…
04-12 15:53:03	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 13	Yes	SELL	43	22¢	$9	0x388cbb…
04-12 15:51:03	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 13	Yes	BUY	45	24¢	$11	0xcb1ff7…
04-12 15:18:15	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 12	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xffcb2f…
04-12 07:26:17	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 12	No	BUY	24	68¢	$16	0x081d38…
04-12 07:26:05	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 12	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x24236e…
04-12 07:21:47	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 12	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xbcd365…
04-12 07:21:29	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 12	No	SELL	14	35¢	$5	0xe3dd3e…
04-11 18:35:51	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 12	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xf5a0af…
04-11 18:35:51	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 12	No	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0xde2f10…