Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$206

Unrealized P&L

+$14

Hit rate

49.6%

Resolved

Trades

293

lifetime

Volume

$11.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

$133

1 position

First seen

2026-02-10

last 06-30 13:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Other

78% 68% -$206

Crypto

22% — —

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-30).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No		+137	$118	97¢	$133	+$14	06-30 13:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	33	$2.6K	1,537	1,400	+137	open	—	06-30 13:47
msft up or down on february 10 2026	31	$1.5K	1,161	965	+197	Down	-$145	02-10 20:53
msft up or down on february 12 2026	22	$972	865	823	+42	Down	-$78	02-12 19:47
msft up or down on february 26 2026	16	$856	700	699	+1	Up	-$14	02-26 20:00
spx up or down on march 19 2026	15	$819	521	520	+1	Down	+$24	03-19 19:00
msft up or down on march 3 2026	12	$644	460	459	+1	Up	+$7	03-03 20:00
msft up or down on april 9 2026	10	$524	281	281	+0	Down	+$5	04-09 19:00
msft up or down on march 4 2026	17	$505	300	300	+0	Up	+$9	03-04 20:00
msft up or down on march 9 2026	8	$480	397	296	+101	Up	-$17	03-09 19:59
msft up or down on march 11 2026	27	$385	297	200	+97	Down	+$8	03-11 19:00
msft up or down on february 24 2026	6	$312	265	265	+0	Up	+$6	02-24 20:00
msft up or down on march 12 2026	26	$281	235	235	+0	Down	-$4	03-12 19:00
msft up or down on april 8 2026	4	$231	155	155	+0	Up	-$49	04-08 19:00
msft up or down on march 23 2026	12	$228	229	129	+101	Up	+$9	03-23 17:43
msft up or down on february 27 2026	4	$227	121	120	+1	Down	+$1	02-27 20:00
msft up or down on march 2 2026	4	$218	200	103	+97	Up	+$30	03-02 15:09
msft up or down on april 10 2026	7	$154	100	99	+1	Down	+$27	04-10 19:02
msft up or down on march 5 2026	2	$152	100	100	+0	Up	+$6	03-05 14:47
msft up or down on march 10 2026	4	$150	174	6	+168	Down	+$28	03-10 18:13
msft up or down on march 6 2026	12	$147	143	143	+0	Down	-$1	03-06 20:00
msft up or down on march 19 2026	2	$126	100	100	+0	Down	+$6	03-19 14:56
msft up or down on march 30 2026	2	$103	100	100	+0	Up	-$57	03-30 18:56
msft up or down on march 17 2026	8	$85	74	73	+1	Down	-$16	03-17 17:02
msft up or down on february 23 2026	2	$73	79	0	+79	Down	+$6	02-23 15:02
msft up or down on february 11 2026	1	$16	17	0	+17	Down	+$1	02-11 15:15
msft up or down on march 25 2026	2	$5	4	3	+1	Down	+$1	03-25 19:00
msft up or down on february 25 2026	2	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	02-25 20:00
msft up or down on march 20 2026	1	$3	4	0	+4	Down	+$1	03-20 13:41
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	02-10 12:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 13:47:35	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x461990…
06-28 13:26:26	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x580417…
06-27 23:58:37	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0x78ddfc…
06-26 23:40:04	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	75	89¢	$67	0xc0e664…
06-26 09:35:31	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x3a1130…
06-24 01:10:20	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x34b756…
06-20 20:44:59	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	200	88¢	$176	0x8ee4a1…
06-20 03:08:13	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	70	89¢	$63	0xc027dd…
06-15 17:52:01	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	200	86¢	$172	0xb07bad…
06-14 15:33:25	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0xe1fbf2…
05-28 12:52:55	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	200	91¢	$182	0xd17937…
05-23 17:35:53	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	70	91¢	$64	0x5ca5ab…
05-22 13:08:30	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0xf56e70…
05-22 13:06:36	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	33	91¢	$30	0xe0fd19…
05-22 10:31:54	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	24	91¢	$22	0x29921c…
05-22 06:56:51	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	45	91¢	$41	0xf46841…
05-22 04:37:16	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	12	91¢	$11	0x13608a…
05-22 04:30:16	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$4	0x7401bf…
05-20 16:35:05	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x3d44b6…
05-20 16:34:58	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x8feb78…
05-20 04:45:24	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	200	91¢	$182	0x27d454…
05-20 02:51:35	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0xef4339…
05-12 11:32:12	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0xfe762c…
05-09 16:06:49	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	86	91¢	$78	0xa9921f…
05-09 16:06:43	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	51	91¢	$47	0x314f4b…
05-09 02:01:41	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	111	91¢	$101	0x749692…
05-04 08:59:42	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x4b529e…
05-04 05:18:42	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	76	88¢	$67	0xec6c68…
05-03 16:48:00	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$9	0xd18abe…
05-02 04:37:22	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	160	89¢	$142	0x69825c…
05-02 02:44:00	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	40	89¢	$36	0x86d3b3…
05-02 02:36:40	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x8135fb…
04-10 19:02:25	msft up or down on april 10 2026	Down	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xae0b53…
04-10 19:01:49	msft up or down on april 10 2026	Down	SELL	26	91¢	$24	0x5be12c…
04-10 19:01:43	msft up or down on april 10 2026	Down	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xc8c9da…
04-10 19:01:15	msft up or down on april 10 2026	Down	SELL	26	91¢	$24	0x57d0b4…
04-10 19:00:41	msft up or down on april 10 2026	Down	SELL	25	91¢	$23	0x951477…
04-10 18:00:59	msft up or down on april 10 2026	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x54a4af…
04-10 16:19:33	msft up or down on april 10 2026	Down	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x9e9dcf…
04-09 19:00:17	msft up or down on april 9 2026	Down	SELL	84	99¢	$83	0x19e823…
04-09 17:57:27	msft up or down on april 9 2026	Down	SELL	96	87¢	$84	0x460d08…
04-09 17:56:05	msft up or down on april 9 2026	Down	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x8fa606…
04-09 15:59:43	msft up or down on april 9 2026	Down	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xe99ed9…
04-09 14:31:31	msft up or down on april 9 2026	Down	BUY	69	95¢	$66	0x8bf053…
04-09 14:30:27	msft up or down on april 9 2026	Down	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x6cf981…
04-09 14:23:01	msft up or down on april 9 2026	Down	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x6d14f8…
04-09 14:16:23	msft up or down on april 9 2026	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x50002d…
04-09 13:52:23	msft up or down on april 9 2026	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x563670…
04-09 13:52:19	msft up or down on april 9 2026	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd135c8…
04-08 19:00:19	msft up or down on april 8 2026	Up	SELL	67	52¢	$35	0xb83578…
04-08 18:53:01	msft up or down on april 8 2026	Up	SELL	88	64¢	$56	0x935a2a…
04-08 18:19:13	msft up or down on april 8 2026	Up	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x64a4eb…
04-08 12:23:49	msft up or down on april 8 2026	Up	BUY	55	96¢	$53	0x79b0ab…
03-30 18:56:21	msft up or down on march 30 2026	Up	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0x8e756d…
03-30 18:50:35	msft up or down on march 30 2026	Up	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xe101ea…
03-25 19:00:19	msft up or down on march 25 2026	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x9185cd…
03-25 15:30:01	msft up or down on march 25 2026	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$2	0xe82de8…
03-23 17:43:49	msft up or down on march 23 2026	Up	BUY	90	73¢	$66	0xb84e36…
03-23 17:43:47	msft up or down on march 23 2026	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x104ac9…
03-23 17:21:25	msft up or down on march 23 2026	Up	SELL	95	46¢	$43	0x68edc5…
03-23 17:12:53	msft up or down on march 23 2026	Up	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0xd5893c…
03-23 16:04:33	msft up or down on march 23 2026	Up	SELL	32	74¢	$24	0xe9e048…
03-23 16:03:37	msft up or down on march 23 2026	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xe2b28f…
03-23 15:55:23	msft up or down on march 23 2026	Up	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x43ee46…
03-23 15:53:13	msft up or down on march 23 2026	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x33736a…
03-23 15:52:31	msft up or down on march 23 2026	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x20f08c…
03-23 15:37:15	msft up or down on march 23 2026	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xdff01a…
03-23 14:32:53	msft up or down on march 23 2026	Up	BUY	7	82¢	$5	0x816acd…
03-23 13:38:11	msft up or down on march 23 2026	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x8b1397…
03-20 13:41:47	msft up or down on march 20 2026	Down	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xd2a74f…
03-19 19:00:13	spx up or down on march 19 2026	Down	SELL	83	96¢	$80	0xc1bb16…
03-19 16:00:21	spx up or down on march 19 2026	Down	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0x470548…
03-19 15:57:43	spx up or down on march 19 2026	Down	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0xf2fee6…
03-19 15:57:15	spx up or down on march 19 2026	Down	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0x542f2b…
03-19 15:56:57	spx up or down on march 19 2026	Down	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x8c9334…
03-19 14:56:59	msft up or down on march 19 2026	Down	SELL	100	66¢	$66	0xad8967…
03-19 13:54:39	spx up or down on march 19 2026	Down	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0xf815a8…
03-19 13:54:31	spx up or down on march 19 2026	Down	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0xc1f413…
03-19 13:54:31	spx up or down on march 19 2026	Down	SELL	9	69¢	$6	0x5b6e5a…
03-19 13:53:41	spx up or down on march 19 2026	Down	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0x0209dd…
03-19 13:52:21	spx up or down on march 19 2026	Down	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0xdca3fe…
03-19 13:46:07	spx up or down on march 19 2026	Down	SELL	21	75¢	$15	0x796f87…
03-19 13:43:37	spx up or down on march 19 2026	Down	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x3f1706…
03-19 13:41:43	spx up or down on march 19 2026	Down	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0xac6b99…
03-19 13:41:23	msft up or down on march 19 2026	Down	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xebef12…
03-19 13:40:25	spx up or down on march 19 2026	Down	SELL	100	75¢	$75	0x528162…
03-19 13:37:13	spx up or down on march 19 2026	Down	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x72d0fb…
03-17 17:02:31	msft up or down on march 17 2026	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x1289b8…
03-17 15:39:17	msft up or down on march 17 2026	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xcde989…
03-17 14:14:41	msft up or down on march 17 2026	Up	SELL	68	47¢	$32	0xb0d1fb…
03-17 14:06:11	msft up or down on march 17 2026	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xd0c8e6…
03-17 14:06:11	msft up or down on march 17 2026	Up	BUY	27	64¢	$17	0x863bfc…
03-17 14:05:59	msft up or down on march 17 2026	Up	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0xf65135…
03-17 13:56:27	msft up or down on march 17 2026	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x3f4984…
03-17 13:54:57	msft up or down on march 17 2026	Up	BUY	21	78¢	$16	0xbf87a1…
03-12 19:00:31	msft up or down on march 12 2026	Down	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xf2e1a7…
03-12 19:00:31	msft up or down on march 12 2026	Down	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xcbe0fb…
03-12 19:00:31	msft up or down on march 12 2026	Down	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x89e593…
03-12 19:00:31	msft up or down on march 12 2026	Down	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x7e7af9…
03-12 19:00:31	msft up or down on march 12 2026	Down	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x71a46e…