Self-Reliant-Recovery — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

99.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$18.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$312

Open exposure

$11

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 11-07 11:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 63% -$5

Other

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No		-6	-$6	98¢	$-6	$0	11-07 11:04
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No		-5	-$5	99¢	$-5	$0	11-07 11:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on march 5	1	$1.1K	1,146	0	+1,146	No	+$3	03-05 03:36
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 4	1	$1.1K	1,143	0	+1,143	No	+$3	03-04 03:11
will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 3	1	$1.1K	1,140	0	+1,140	No	+$3	03-03 02:31
will the price of bitcoin be between 56000 58000 on march 2	1	$1.1K	1,136	0	+1,136	No	+$2	03-02 03:02
will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 1	1	$1.1K	1,134	0	+1,134	No	+$3	03-01 03:34
will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on february 28	1	$1.1K	1,131	0	+1,131	No	+$3	02-28 02:48
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on february 27	1	$1.1K	1,127	0	+1,127	No	+$5	02-27 03:00
ethereum above 1600 on february 25	1	$1.1K	1,119	0	+1,119	Yes	+$3	02-25 02:26
ethereum above 1600 on february 24	1	$1.1K	1,116	0	+1,116	Yes	+$3	02-24 05:59
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on february 23	1	$1.1K	1,112	0	+1,112	No	+$3	02-23 04:31
will the price of xrp be less than 1pt10 on february 22	1	$1.1K	1,109	0	+1,109	No	+$3	02-22 03:17
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on february 21	1	$1.1K	1,107	0	+1,107	No	+$3	02-21 02:21
will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on february 20	1	$1.1K	1,104	0	+1,104	No	+$3	02-20 02:56
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 19	1	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	No	+$4	02-19 02:25
ethereum above 1700 on february 18	1	$1.1K	1,096	0	+1,096	Yes	+$4	02-18 04:44
will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on february 16	1	$1.1K	1,084	0	+1,084	No	+$7	02-16 07:19
Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	05-26 12:14
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 19?	1	$13	13	0	+13	Yes	+$0	05-19 06:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 13?	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	05-12 09:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 5?	1	$13	13	0	+13	Yes	+$0	05-04 02:22
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 4	1	$12	1,084	0	+1,084	No	-$12	02-04 01:36
bitcoin above 68k on july 8 2026	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	07-07 10:48
amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	06-12 04:01
bill clinton in jail by december 31	2	$11	6	5	+1	No	+$0	01-27 02:43
bitcoin above 60k on august 21 2026	1	$11	11	0	+11	Yes	+$0	08-20 03:27
bitcoin above 60k on july 31 2026	1	$11	11	0	+11	Yes	+$0	07-30 03:11
bitcoin above 60k on july 13 2026	1	$11	11	0	+11	Yes	+$0	07-13 08:25
bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	1	$11	11	0	+11	Yes	+$0	08-11 05:15
bitcoin above 54k on july 2 2026	1	$11	11	0	+11	Yes	+$0	07-01 08:37
bitcoin above 60k on august 7 2026	1	$11	11	0	+11	Yes	+$0	08-06 03:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 11:05:25	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x28b483…
11-07 11:04:57	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x69ec0e…
09-09 03:25:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 10?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x90e9fd…
08-20 03:27:28	bitcoin above 60k on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4cdc2f…
08-11 05:15:24	bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x437abd…
08-06 03:40:05	bitcoin above 60k on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf23d2c…
07-30 03:11:48	bitcoin above 60k on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x80aa7a…
07-24 07:43:19	bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa3b5ac…
07-13 08:25:40	bitcoin above 60k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xce13d1…
07-07 10:48:07	bitcoin above 68k on july 8 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xca3e3f…
07-01 08:37:44	bitcoin above 54k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x617f35…
06-25 05:33:56	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5192f4…
06-20 07:50:13	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc91ea2…
06-12 04:01:22	amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8490a4…
05-26 12:14:22	Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x31fb7a…
05-19 06:25:03	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xd1db23…
05-12 09:11:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x3fcfb5…
05-04 02:22:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x0db1d5…
04-17 02:13:40	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x8d818d…
03-28 02:31:47	will the price of ethereum be less than 1700 on march 28	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0x0528ff…
03-28 02:31:13	will the price of ethereum be less than 1700 on march 28	Yes	BUY	1,107	0¢	$2	0x3fe031…
03-25 05:07:23	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 25	Yes	BUY	1,142	0¢	$2	0xd6bd9f…
03-23 03:08:23	will the price of ethereum be less than 1800 on march 23	Yes	BUY	1,121	0¢	$2	0xf47476…
03-21 04:00:19	will the price of solana be between 60 70 on march 21	Yes	BUY	1,118	0¢	$2	0x9e64a4…
03-19 06:49:47	will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on march 19	Yes	BUY	1,077	0¢	$2	0x56ff71…
03-18 01:56:05	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 18	Yes	BUY	1,094	0¢	$2	0x24c285…
03-16 08:06:37	xrp above 1pt9 on march 16	Yes	BUY	1,094	0¢	$2	0x2382f6…
03-14 04:22:31	ethereum above 2300 on march 14	Yes	BUY	1,106	0¢	$3	0x3e8742…
03-13 01:55:35	ethereum above 2400 on march 13	Yes	BUY	1,072	0¢	$3	0x8c1a3f…
03-08 04:23:27	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 8	Yes	BUY	1,096	0¢	$3	0x327703…
03-05 03:36:09	will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on march 5	No	BUY	1,146	100¢	$1,143	0xf3512d…
03-04 03:11:29	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 4	No	BUY	1,143	100¢	$1,139	0x5cf0f8…
03-03 02:31:43	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 3	No	BUY	1,140	100¢	$1,136	0x411b5c…
03-02 03:02:43	will the price of bitcoin be between 56000 58000 on march 2	No	BUY	1,136	100¢	$1,134	0x13db59…
03-01 03:34:05	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 1	No	BUY	1,134	100¢	$1,130	0xca1cb1…
02-28 02:48:27	will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on february 28	No	BUY	1,131	100¢	$1,127	0x19279a…
02-27 03:00:28	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on february 27	No	BUY	1,127	100¢	$1,123	0xc058b3…
02-25 02:26:44	ethereum above 1600 on february 25	Yes	BUY	1,119	100¢	$1,116	0x030b1a…
02-24 05:59:38	ethereum above 1600 on february 24	Yes	BUY	1,116	100¢	$1,112	0x41c0d2…
02-23 04:31:12	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on february 23	No	BUY	1,112	100¢	$1,109	0x1d8bf0…
02-22 03:17:38	will the price of xrp be less than 1pt10 on february 22	No	BUY	1,109	100¢	$1,106	0x2d573e…
02-21 02:21:34	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on february 21	No	BUY	1,107	100¢	$1,104	0x1a10ee…
02-20 02:56:12	will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on february 20	No	BUY	1,104	100¢	$1,100	0x7a306e…
02-19 02:25:06	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 19	No	BUY	1,100	100¢	$1,095	0xd233d1…
02-18 04:44:12	ethereum above 1700 on february 18	Yes	BUY	1,096	100¢	$1,091	0x72ab68…
02-16 07:19:07	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on february 16	No	BUY	1,084	99¢	$1,077	0x0b9483…
02-14 11:08:13	will the price of solana be between 60 70 on february 14	Yes	BUY	1,138	0¢	$5	0xecf742…
02-10 02:17:47	xrp above 1pt9 on february 10	Yes	BUY	1,116	1¢	$7	0x9f464e…
02-08 02:15:47	will the price of solana be between 110 120 on february 8	Yes	BUY	1,100	1¢	$9	0x930efe…
02-06 03:10:29	will the price of xrp be between 1pt90 2pt00 on february 6	Yes	BUY	1,086	1¢	$7	0xcf63cc…
02-04 01:36:00	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 4	Yes	BUY	1,084	1¢	$12	0xbf7cad…
02-02 09:20:54	will msft close above 480 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3ef809…
01-31 06:07:22	us recognizes machado as leader of venezuela by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xafd687…
01-30 07:27:26	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x46a528…
01-29 05:25:38	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x798896…
01-27 03:00:39	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 27	Yes	BUY	1,062	0¢	$1	0x5cb5e7…
01-27 02:43:13	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x33ae7c…
01-26 08:08:51	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x49a2fa…