Academic-Handsaw — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-20 18:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Crypto

46% 100% +$3

Other

45% 100% +$3

Politics

7% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-20).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	2	$55	55	0	+55	No	+$0	05-06 09:10
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	2	$44	22	22	+0	No	+$0	04-16 17:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	1	$40	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	05-18 06:07
Will Chris Carr win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	05-18 20:26
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	04-28 21:46
ethereum above 2000 on april 22	1	$31	31	0	+31	Yes	+$0	04-21 19:20
Will Cameron Smith win the 2026 PGA Championship?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-17 16:46
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-01 10:08
bitcoin above 68k on july 7 2026	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	07-06 19:06
will ethereum reach 4400 in february 2026	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	02-07 22:16
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 18?	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	05-18 22:52
ethereum above 2100 on april 21	1	$29	29	0	+29	Yes	+$0	04-21 00:28
will bitcoin dip to 65k in january 2026	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	01-16 06:40
will openais valuation hit high 1pt0t by june 30	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	06-29 16:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 22?	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	05-20 18:41
ethereum above 2200 on april 18	1	$28	28	0	+28	Yes	+$0	04-18 00:30
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	1	$28	28	0	+28	Yes	+$0	05-19 15:45
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	05-23 00:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 26?	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	04-25 06:29
bitcoin above 72k on june 24 2026	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	06-22 20:16
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 PGA Championship?	2	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	05-17 02:56
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 8	1	$27	27	0	+27	Yes	+$0	07-01 14:16
bitcoin above 54k on july 5 2026	1	$26	26	0	+26	Yes	+$0	07-03 07:57
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 260 279	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	04-23 23:56
will we continue the change democratic bulgaria ppdb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	04-17 06:21
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	1	$24	25	0	+25	No	+$0	06-30 08:57
si hit 25 low jan 2026 271 644 727	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	01-09 13:28
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 300 319	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	04-22 23:45
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	05-02 20:55
Will Moldova be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	05-15 15:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 18:50:46	bitcoin above 62k on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xa54a45…
07-20 00:10:40	ethereum above 2000 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x891fda…
07-15 09:10:01	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x56f089…
07-12 05:48:08	bitcoin above 62k on july 12 2026	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x36d80b…
07-11 09:20:20	bitcoin above 60k on july 12 2026	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xe91eaa…
07-10 10:56:16	will bitcoin dip to 54k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf5ca6c…
07-06 19:06:14	bitcoin above 68k on july 7 2026	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x33c7f4…
07-06 00:05:22	bitcoin above 60k on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x219286…
07-04 21:45:10	bitcoin above 66k on july 5 2026	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x4daaa8…
07-04 02:16:20	will bitcoin dip to 56k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xd5e073…
07-03 07:57:14	bitcoin above 54k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x48ec1d…
07-02 22:59:55	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x768207…
07-02 07:20:35	bitcoin above 54k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1e1ac8…
07-01 14:16:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 8	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xa52a2d…
06-30 08:57:31	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0xf20956…
06-29 16:30:01	will openais valuation hit high 1pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xe36f03…
06-24 09:45:38	ethereum above 1800 on june 25 2026	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xdbcc55…
06-23 16:56:28	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 23	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xad4fde…
06-22 20:16:20	bitcoin above 72k on june 24 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x9324b0…
06-22 12:02:59	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9713f8…
06-21 20:42:58	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0xf6225f…
06-08 18:51:28	Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x37f812…
06-03 15:50:27	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x18553f…
05-30 15:21:09	Will Julie Stauch win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6c0341…
05-29 07:00:24	Will National Dialogue Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x40e10e…
05-29 02:58:05	Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x3af7bb…
05-28 08:10:51	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x4f27fd…
05-27 08:08:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xad84db…
05-26 18:57:38	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x0183a1…
05-26 07:30:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x43c166…
05-25 21:11:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 26?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x98dfaa…
05-25 09:48:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xe28390…
05-23 00:55:54	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x625cd5…
05-22 05:13:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa79732…
05-20 18:41:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x99206d…
05-19 23:16:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb1fbec…
05-19 22:47:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0x34047c…
05-19 15:45:59	Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x9edc76…
05-18 22:52:56	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x03768b…
05-18 20:26:41	Will Chris Carr win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x3b1f38…
05-18 11:51:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x7eecd0…
05-18 06:07:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x1f0cb3…
05-17 16:46:14	Will Cameron Smith win the 2026 PGA Championship?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x66a38d…
05-17 02:56:25	Will Sam Burns win the 2026 PGA Championship?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x74e99c…
05-17 00:07:25	Will Sam Burns win the 2026 PGA Championship?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe2cc1e…
05-16 04:58:52	Will Ryan Fox win the 2026 PGA Championship?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf22088…
05-15 15:35:16	Will Moldova be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x048bad…
05-14 21:16:07	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf152bf…
05-14 08:15:02	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x76bd51…
05-14 00:35:54	Will Sweden be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xfc5e95…
05-12 10:50:29	Will Cerebras not IPO before July 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xd63e33…
05-12 04:24:58	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf13770…
05-12 04:01:06	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0xa473a3…
05-11 07:54:59	Will annual inflation increase by 4.0% in April?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x2e4a00…
05-10 12:11:53	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x6fae1c…
05-09 16:08:18	Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf4ac76…
05-09 06:31:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xda9cba…
05-09 01:21:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xbb76df…
05-08 20:39:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xf0f100…
05-06 09:10:22	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x5e6d5a…
05-05 22:01:24	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x4feac2…
05-05 09:03:26	Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa054c0…
05-03 15:42:46	Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 4?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8289d6…
05-03 13:48:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x02517c…
05-02 20:55:50	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x26acdc…
05-02 08:22:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf39c46…
05-02 03:26:10	Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x42824f…
05-02 01:09:02	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x69f740…
05-01 20:57:56	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x370811…
05-01 10:08:20	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc27f97…
04-28 21:46:46	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x8e3d3b…
04-27 12:12:12	Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x4a64ef…
04-25 19:49:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xe702fb…
04-25 07:11:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x436b21…
04-25 06:29:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x6e4610…
04-24 06:18:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x1539cb…
04-23 23:56:08	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 260 279	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x2445bb…
04-22 23:45:22	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 300 319	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x24e25c…
04-22 12:07:26	highest temperature in hong kong on april 22 2026 29c	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x9f6ee4…
04-21 19:20:10	ethereum above 2000 on april 22	Yes	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0xbf38ac…
04-21 00:28:04	ethereum above 2100 on april 21	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x322139…
04-20 08:55:10	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 320 339	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x2fef41…
04-19 12:35:14	xrp above 1pt5 on april 19	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x37ac34…
04-19 02:35:52	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 19	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe144d0…
04-18 10:32:42	will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x5c7904…
04-18 00:30:46	ethereum above 2200 on april 18	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xf24858…
04-17 06:21:06	will we continue the change democratic bulgaria ppdb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x553be9…
04-16 17:51:18	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x79ea2c…
03-12 23:25:35	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xcca3c0…
02-18 22:38:34	will sentimental value win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x6a656c…
02-12 17:19:19	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xf41250…
02-07 22:16:57	will ethereum reach 4400 in february 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x670f73…
02-04 17:32:51	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xfc0e65…
01-25 11:25:54	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x0461a9…
01-19 19:25:56	will solana dip to 90 in january 2026	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xb4691e…
01-16 06:40:36	will bitcoin dip to 65k in january 2026	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x3721ea…
01-09 13:28:18	si hit 25 low jan 2026 271 644 727	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x571d56…
01-06 16:23:25	will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be greater than 520m by january 31	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x904f80…