Frozen-Cycle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.8%

Resolved

2,533

Trades

2,585

lifetime

Volume

$31.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-20

last 09-12 04:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 115 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 90% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	8	$38	40	+40	Down	+$2	05-21 21:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 13:30 UTC	1	$20	21	+21	Up	+$1	07-30 13:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 05:45 UTC	1	$20	24	+24	Up	+$4	07-08 05:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 11:45 UTC	1	$20	31	+31	Up	+$11	07-25 11:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	1	$20	25	+25	Up	+$5	07-18 05:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 19:45 UTC	1	$20	25	+25	Down	+$5	08-07 19:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 06:45 UTC	1	$20	21	+21	Down	+$1	08-09 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	1	$20	25	+25	Up	+$5	09-05 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	1	$20	24	+24	Down	+$4	09-08 11:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 14:00 UTC	1	$20	27	+27	Up	+$7	08-11 14:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 23:00 UTC	1	$20	25	+25	Up	+$5	07-23 23:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 06:00 UTC	1	$20	31	+31	Down	-$20	08-16 06:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 02:15 UTC	1	$20	23	+23	Down	+$3	08-05 02:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 21:00 UTC	1	$20	25	+25	Up	+$5	08-06 21:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-18 11:15 UTC	1	$20	25	+25	Up	-$20	07-18 11:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-14 15:45 UTC	1	$20	25	+25	Down	+$5	07-14 15:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-11 05:45 UTC	1	$20	25	+25	Down	+$5	07-11 05:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	1	$20	21	+21	Up	+$1	09-08 15:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 18:00 UTC	1	$20	25	+25	Up	+$5	08-01 18:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 07:45 UTC	1	$20	25	+25	Up	+$5	07-16 07:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 23:00 UTC	1	$20	25	+25	Down	+$5	07-24 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	1	$20	23	+23	Down	+$3	09-05 11:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 04:30 UTC	1	$20	25	+25	Up	+$5	07-30 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	1	$20	100	+100	Down	-$20	07-16 09:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 12:00 UTC	1	$20	22	+22	Down	+$2	08-03 12:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-11 13:45 UTC	1	$20	22	+22	Down	+$2	07-11 13:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 18:45 UTC	1	$20	22	+22	Down	+$2	08-20 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	1	$20	22	+22	Up	+$2	07-22 01:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	1	$20	22	+22	Down	+$2	09-06 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	1	$20	22	+22	Down	+$2	07-29 06:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-12 04:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x2dabeb…
09-12 03:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x3dc4ea…
09-12 02:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x172474…
09-12 02:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xbca693…
09-12 01:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x0b0eb7…
09-12 00:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xfdfd96…
09-11 23:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xa2b8df…
09-11 21:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x22e9be…
09-11 21:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x8d3ae0…
09-11 20:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xd2e880…
09-11 19:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4c425a…
09-11 19:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x573a04…
09-11 15:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4b5e78…
09-11 14:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x655f88…
09-11 12:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xd3fe33…
09-11 10:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x454e6d…
09-11 07:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3bf3e1…
09-11 03:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x8ec5c6…
09-11 03:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7e9a14…
09-11 03:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x458318…
09-11 03:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x5ba5a4…
09-11 02:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xb56064…
09-11 02:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x7a406b…
09-11 01:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x86cf82…
09-11 01:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xce6abe…
09-11 00:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x910c00…
09-10 23:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x1982f5…
09-10 21:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xb91957…
09-10 21:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x64a517…
09-10 21:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xce6bd1…
09-10 17:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xd25e64…
09-10 17:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xab6d12…
09-10 16:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xef6626…
09-10 16:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc9cee8…
09-10 15:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x886494…
09-10 14:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf69d3e…
09-10 13:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x6623e5…
09-08 16:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x8dc41b…
09-08 15:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x89a237…
09-08 12:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x00bf4e…
09-08 11:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x0f2902…
09-08 11:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xfa4b67…
09-08 09:29:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-08 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xc485c4…
09-08 06:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x0cb5ad…
09-08 05:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xe587db…
09-08 04:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x99e5b0…
09-08 04:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x177996…
09-08 01:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xca1aaa…
09-08 00:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x277525…
09-07 22:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x6fa3bf…
09-07 21:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xcf4a55…
09-07 17:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x70342b…
09-07 14:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x6d4c2c…
09-07 12:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x3a25e0…
09-07 11:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xe0a29a…
09-07 11:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xa9c0cb…
09-07 08:58:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-07 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xa468ee…
09-07 08:28:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-07 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x80ba33…
09-07 07:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x292bb0…
09-07 06:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x7b252a…
09-07 05:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x791d57…
09-07 05:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xe64c84…
09-07 03:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x6b399a…
09-07 00:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x405bd0…
09-07 00:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x1b0284…
09-06 21:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x118ce8…
09-06 19:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x78ca88…
09-06 18:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xed67d3…
09-06 17:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x7aaa3d…
09-06 15:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x965d77…
09-06 15:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xc08e08…
09-06 14:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x3b4550…
09-06 13:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x1674ab…
09-06 04:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x6a9520…
09-06 02:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x8ce97d…
09-06 00:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x8d27b3…
09-05 23:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x8d1562…
09-05 23:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x4f51d6…
09-05 21:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x192480…
09-05 20:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xf7c252…
09-05 20:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0xe36cd3…
09-05 18:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x9a9be4…
09-05 14:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x51e615…
09-05 13:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x4b710b…
09-05 12:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x0d0fcb…
09-05 11:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xdaf1b1…
09-05 10:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x5e9223…
09-05 08:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xcb5b53…
09-05 07:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xe98f59…
09-05 06:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xa049c7…
09-05 06:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x3c6b5a…
09-05 04:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x77bdfb…
09-05 01:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xd9850f…
09-05 00:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x767848…
09-04 23:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x38d8fe…
09-04 22:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xcd29f8…
09-04 22:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xe4aed3…
09-04 20:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xb6ca14…
09-04 20:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xa1c9fd…
09-04 17:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x47a077…