Realized P&L
-$25
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
54.6%
Resolved
315
Trades
1,337
lifetime
Volume
$1.53K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$19
8 positions
First seen
2026-03-21
last 10-27 11:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 74 days
Categories
Other
60% 15% +$37
Politics
27% 5% -$122
Sports
9% 50% +$113
Tech
3% 0% -$50
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Crypto
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 149 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes +142 $8 6¢ $9 +$0 10-09 12:42
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +5 $4 84¢ $4 +$0 07-17 11:01
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 Yes +100 $1 2¢ $2 +$1 10-07 09:40
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? Yes +7 $2 26¢ $2 $0 10-10 14:25
Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31? Yes +25 $1 4¢ $1 $0 10-15 14:23
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes +20 $1 4¢ $1 $0 10-05 15:03
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? Yes +100 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-09 12:28
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? Yes +25 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 09-19 07:06