Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18.5K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.2%

Resolved

559

Trades

1,961

lifetime

Volume

$741.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$378

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-04 15:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Other

51% 97% +$3,434

Sports

33% 75% +$28,456

Politics

14% 81% -$12,400

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$4

Crypto

0% 33% -$947

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	7	$31.0K	13,918	17,194	-3,276	No	+$1	01-03 17:04
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	46	$24.8K	27,745	0	+27,745	No	+$2,929	01-28 00:31
Over $2M committed to the Bitway public sale?	8	$20.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	No	+$25	01-26 09:28
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	68	$17.4K	14,000	10,662	+3,338	Yes	-$5,410	02-02 23:18
nfl hou pit 2026 01 12	10	$11.2K	7,100	7,500	-400	Texans	+$1,388	01-13 04:42
nba cha okc 2026 01 05	3	$10.8K	12,000	0	+12,000	Hornets	-$10,760	01-06 00:06
us strikes yemen by december 31	11	$9.2K	7,190	2,000	+5,190	Yes	+$15	01-02 23:34
si hit 80 high jan 2026 988 594 987	10	$8.9K	8,945	0	+8,945	Yes	+$64	01-06 22:43
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?	3	$8.6K	8,684	0	+8,684	No	+$87	01-13 04:43
nba uta sas 2026 01 19	20	$8.2K	8,357	0	+8,357	Spurs	+$187	01-20 00:25
maduro in us custody by january 31	2	$8.0K	8,055	0	+8,055	Yes	+$8	01-05 21:59
nba okc gsw 2026 01 02	1	$6.8K	8,000	0	+8,000	Thunder	+$1,200	01-03 02:58
nfl ne den 2026 01 25	25	$6.7K	9,718	0	+9,718	Patriots	+$3,000	01-25 15:35
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	10	$6.7K	4,000	4,000	+0	No	-$596	01-03 17:41
nfl car tb 2026 01 04	17	$6.6K	10,854	5,580	+5,274	Buccaneers	+$366	01-04 00:09
will the us next strike iran on january 22 2026 et 837	2	$6.4K	6,000	397	+5,603	No	+$24	01-24 17:25
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by January 31, 2026?	16	$6.3K	3,980	2,735	+1,245	No	+$187	01-21 21:20
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	25	$6.1K	8,098	0	+8,098	Yes	-$6,122	01-07 17:08
nba okc phx 2026 01 04	7	$6.0K	7,066	0	+7,066	Suns	-$5,963	01-05 02:50
nfl la sea 2026 01 25	38	$5.8K	10,000	0	+10,000	Seahawks	+$4,200	01-22 17:00
nfl hou ne 2026 01 18	2	$5.6K	9,000	0	+9,000	Patriots	+$3,370	01-18 03:52
will kevin stefanski be fired by february 28	2	$5.5K	5,457	0	+5,457	Yes	+$5	01-05 15:52
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	61	$5.4K	8,338	0	+8,338	Yes	-$5,446	01-08 00:53
rueuchamp bat edi 2026 01 16 edi	4	$5.2K	5,245	0	+5,245	No	+$7	01-17 00:53
nfl sf phi 2026 01 11	5	$5.1K	9,000	4,000	+5,000	49ers	+$4,400	01-12 00:37
nba cle cha 2026 01 21	10	$5.0K	7,651	0	+7,651	Cavaliers	+$2,609	01-22 01:03
nfl sf sea 2026 01 17	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	Seahawks	+$5	01-18 03:42
trump invokes war powers against venezuela by january 31 134 583	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	+$5	01-06 17:19
trump invokes war powers against venezuela by january 9 737	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	+$5	01-06 17:19
lol lr gx 2026 01 24	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	GIANTX	+$10	01-24 17:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-04 15:01:11	Colts vs. Commanders	Commanders	BUY	2,353	17¢	$400	0xa2fa88…
10-04 14:50:31	Colts vs. Commanders	Commanders	BUY	738	30¢	$221	0x01ddd2…
10-04 14:50:25	Colts vs. Commanders	Commanders	BUY	269	30¢	$81	0xb36366…
03-01 02:29:19	lol sen ly 2026 02 28 game4 kill over 23pt5	Over	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0x20823f…
03-01 02:29:13	lol sen ly 2026 02 28 game4 kill over 22pt5	Over	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7ef86a…
03-01 02:29:09	lol sen ly 2026 02 28 game4 kill over 22pt5	Over	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0xa05949…
03-01 02:28:59	lol sen ly 2026 02 28 game4 kill over 18pt5	Over	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xee7862…
03-01 02:28:53	lol sen ly 2026 02 28 game4 kill over 18pt5	Over	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0x4e0123…
03-01 02:28:45	lol sen ly 2026 02 28 game4 kill over 17pt5	Over	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x30bee3…
02-04 05:09:56	will israel strike gaza on february 4 2026	Yes	BUY	284	98¢	$279	0xd49767…
02-04 05:08:46	will israel strike gaza on february 4 2026	Yes	BUY	139	93¢	$129	0x9ab3d8…
02-04 05:08:46	will israel strike gaza on february 4 2026	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x4569d3…
02-04 05:08:36	will israel strike gaza on february 4 2026	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xbfb1d5…
02-04 05:08:36	will israel strike gaza on february 4 2026	Yes	BUY	58	32¢	$19	0x134590…
02-04 05:08:12	will israel strike gaza on february 4 2026	Yes	BUY	224	77¢	$172	0x7a22c7…
02-03 17:45:58	will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota by december 31	No	BUY	369	26¢	$95	0x8b6e74…
02-03 13:53:42	will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	2,500	32¢	$792	0xaad527…
02-03 11:58:18	nba den det 2026 02 03	Nuggets	BUY	5,000	37¢	$1,850	0x83b994…
02-03 09:29:56	nba uta ind 2026 02 03	Pacers	BUY	5,000	61¢	$3,050	0x5639e9…
02-02 23:18:58	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	824	98¢	$808	0x922311…
02-02 23:18:58	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2,176	98¢	$2,132	0x50d3c1…
02-02 22:26:24	sc2 showti heroma 2026 02 01 game2	ShoWTimE	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0x37b09d…
02-02 22:18:48	will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 343 693 775 861 153	Yes	BUY	2,000	3¢	$62	0x80b8e7…
02-02 22:16:00	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2,000	98¢	$1,960	0x24736f…
02-01 11:51:26	val jl wip 2026 01 31 game2	WIP Esports	BUY	2,610	100¢	$2,607	0x3d5fec…
02-01 11:51:10	val jl wip 2026 01 31 game1	Joblife	BUY	1,282	100¢	$1,281	0x4a51c2…
02-01 11:40:40	sc2 clem elazer 2026 01 31 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0x5743a3…
02-01 11:37:32	sc2 heroma harste 2026 01 31 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0x8b22ed…
02-01 11:23:24	wta werner pigossi 2026 01 31 first set winner Werner vs Pigossi	Pigossi	BUY	2,258	100¢	$2,256	0x081f08…
02-01 11:20:50	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	4,914	98¢	$4,825	0x976d7d…
02-01 11:20:40	wta werner pigossi 2026 01 31 match total 22pt5	Over	BUY	2,258	100¢	$2,256	0xa10e8d…
02-01 11:12:48	mex jua caz 2026 01 30 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	1,826	100¢	$1,824	0x181e86…
02-01 11:11:08	sc2 fjant krysti 2026 01 31 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0x9c4f64…
02-01 11:10:56	sc2 fjant krysti 2026 01 31 game2	Krystianer	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0x9ff25e…
02-01 11:10:50	sc2 fjant krysti 2026 01 31 game1	Krystianer	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0x7f4944…
02-01 11:10:48	sc2 fjant krysti 2026 01 31	Krystianer	BUY	36	99¢	$35	0x9c0ac7…
02-01 11:04:54	sc2 elazer fjant 2026 01 31 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0x9ed941…
02-01 11:01:44	sc2 clem harste 2026 01 31 map handicap away 1pt5	Clem	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x960250…
02-01 11:01:40	sc2 clem harste 2026 01 31 game2	Clem	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x718537…
02-01 10:54:30	sc2 clem harste 2026 01 31 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0x62e2e9…
02-01 10:50:02	sc2 clem fjant 2026 01 31 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0x2b11dc…
02-01 10:47:46	sc2 heroma elazer 2026 01 31 map handicap away 1pt5	Elazer	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0xf32772…
02-01 10:47:36	sc2 heroma elazer 2026 01 31 game2	Elazer	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0xd6f24d…
02-01 10:42:44	sc2 harste krysti 2026 01 31 game2	Krystianer	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0xd712f2…
02-01 10:40:06	sc2 harste krysti 2026 01 31 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x41300a…
02-01 10:37:48	sc2 reynor showti 2026 01 31	ShoWTimE	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x40ff40…
02-01 10:37:20	sc2 harste elazer 2026 01 31	Elazer	BUY	48	99¢	$48	0x6c9d8f…
02-01 10:34:30	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	361	99¢	$356	0x0ea4b7…
02-01 10:34:28	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	400	99¢	$394	0xfe8484…
02-01 10:34:28	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	593	99¢	$584	0x906cbc…
02-01 10:34:28	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	430	99¢	$424	0x25d6af…
02-01 10:34:28	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,049	99¢	$1,035	0x15b163…
02-01 10:34:28	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	167	99¢	$165	0x06cb41…
02-01 10:34:26	sc2 harste krysti 2026 01 31 map handicap home 1pt5	Harstem	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0x234d6d…
02-01 10:28:28	sc2 heroma fjant 2026 01 31 map handicap away 1pt5	Fjant	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0xb6c030…
02-01 10:28:16	sc2 heroma fjant 2026 01 31 game2	Fjant	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0x8ac663…
02-01 10:24:26	sc2 clem krysti 2026 01 31 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0x16e4f4…
02-01 10:21:42	sc2 harste elazer 2026 01 31 map handicap home 1pt5	Harstem	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0xd9bfb3…
02-01 10:20:00	sc2 harste elazer 2026 01 31 game2	Elazer	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd5a40c…
02-01 10:19:00	sc2 harste elazer 2026 01 31	Elazer	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x8f8db0…
02-01 09:35:46	will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xfaf22e…
02-01 09:34:58	Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by December 31?	Yes	BUY	202	100¢	$201	0x2702ab…
02-01 09:33:36	will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	158	32¢	$50	0xaf5bd4…
02-01 09:30:54	will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	832	32¢	$263	0x2661df…
02-01 09:16:06	sc2 harste elazer 2026 01 31	Elazer	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x34f17a…
02-01 09:09:56	sc2 harste elazer 2026 01 31 game2	Elazer	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0xb0e761…
02-01 09:09:36	sc2 harste elazer 2026 01 31	Elazer	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0x33b249…
02-01 08:58:58	sc2 reynor showti 2026 01 31 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0x3635ff…
02-01 08:58:46	sc2 reynor showti 2026 01 31 map handicap away 1pt5	ShoWTimE	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0x01f97f…
02-01 08:58:28	sc2 reynor showti 2026 01 31 game2	ShoWTimE	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x32dcaf…
02-01 08:58:26	sc2 reynor showti 2026 01 31 game1	ShoWTimE	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x153c5e…
02-01 08:54:10	sc2 reynor showti 2026 01 31	ShoWTimE	BUY	738	100¢	$737	0x674475…
02-01 08:42:22	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0x7a43f0…
02-01 08:28:02	will valve will add cache to the map pool by end of january 519	No	BUY	1,161	100¢	$1,159	0x409d66…
02-01 08:20:24	cs2 market cap reaches 6 billion again by january 31 2026	No	BUY	178	100¢	$178	0xa8a0da…
02-01 08:15:18	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x85758e…
02-01 08:15:18	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x733d57…
02-01 08:15:18	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x4f7fd0…
02-01 08:14:48	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x4f6887…
02-01 08:14:36	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x8b3bc8…
02-01 08:14:26	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0xdf98cd…
02-01 05:15:14	will google gemini 3 score at least 40 on the frontiermath benchmark	No	BUY	3,600	100¢	$3,596	0xc34efd…
02-01 04:52:10	odds of khamenei out by february over 50 in january 172	No	BUY	491	100¢	$490	0xf6cab4…
02-01 04:49:08	ufc ale14 die4 2026 01 31 totals 0pt5	Over	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x05ab4b…
02-01 04:36:42	ufc ale14 die4 2026 01 31 totals 0pt5	Over	BUY	502	100¢	$501	0xd976c7…
02-01 03:40:46	sc2 reynor showti 2026 01 31	ShoWTimE	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x4df305…
02-01 03:32:24	ufc raf mau4 2026 01 31 go the distance	No	BUY	230	100¢	$230	0x417fbc…
01-31 10:46:38	ufc dan6 ben8 2026 01 31	Saint Denis	BUY	6,000	75¢	$4,500	0x658289…
01-31 10:43:46	val nova wol 2026 01 31 map handicap away 1pt5	Wolves Esports	BUY	57	97¢	$55	0xf90a00…
01-31 10:43:26	val nova wol 2026 01 31 game2	Wolves Esports	BUY	830	100¢	$829	0xd7c4bb…
01-31 10:43:14	val nova wol 2026 01 31 game1	Nova Esports	BUY	797	100¢	$796	0x09c409…
01-31 02:56:08	will trump say mistake during fed chair announcement	No	BUY	149	99¢	$148	0xc1dfd8…
01-31 01:39:46	nba lac den 2026 01 30	Nuggets	BUY	1,000	44¢	$440	0x54d245…
01-30 23:40:40	nba lac den 2026 01 30	Nuggets	BUY	6,000	46¢	$2,760	0x429703…
01-30 20:13:42	will trump say christopher or waller during fed chair announcement	No	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0x054675…
01-30 19:49:04	will trump say very respected during fed chair announcement	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x00946b…
01-30 19:46:16	will trump say very respected during fed chair announcement	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x402607…
01-30 19:46:06	will trump say economy during fed chair announcement	No	BUY	84	98¢	$82	0x6e5f50…
01-30 19:33:52	will trump say governor during fed chair announcement	No	BUY	246	99¢	$244	0xf942a0…
01-30 19:33:36	will trump say economy during fed chair announcement	No	BUY	165	98¢	$161	0x0cfb54…