Realized P&L
-$0
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
797
lifetime
Volume
$2.23K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$24
6 positions
First seen
2026-10-19
last 10-27 05:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
59% 0% $0
Tech
28% — —
Crypto
7% — —
Other
5% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 234 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +42 $9 22¢ $9 +$0 10-26 22:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $6 16¢ $7 +$1 10-25 22:11
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +21 $2 15¢ $3 +$1 10-26 23:56
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? Yes +11 $6 24¢ $3 -$4 10-26 21:11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +32 $7 6¢ $2 -$4 10-27 05:05
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +0 -$10 9¢ $0 +$10 10-25 16:25