Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$209

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.5%

Resolved

382

Trades

4,571

lifetime

Volume

$12.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 05-03 03:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Politics

60% 58% +$58

Crypto

22% 38% -$227

Other

18% 50% -$39

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	197	$965	507	507	+0	No	+$3	03-19 17:26
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	230	$851	661	657	+4	Yes	+$5	03-10 14:46
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	165	$777	468	468	+0	No	-$3	03-29 04:03
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	146	$741	407	364	+43	No	+$2	03-04 16:06
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	336	$527	561	556	+5	No	-$18	03-29 04:12
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	79	$454	237	234	+3	Yes	+$0	03-02 01:04
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	93	$424	353	307	+45	Yes	-$14	02-28 08:44
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	60	$297	225	225	+0	No	-$5	03-29 04:11
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	128	$282	211	211	+1	Yes	-$2	03-24 20:21
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	52	$278	154	154	+0	No	-$4	02-21 23:19
will the us invade iran by march 31	109	$218	127	127	+0	No	-$1	03-27 05:03
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	100	$184	172	172	+0	Yes	-$3	03-26 20:17
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	130	$178	181	181	+0	Yes	+$4	03-29 04:02
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	51	$136	102	101	+1	No	+$4	03-25 12:40
will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by march 31	8	$136	70	70	+0	No	+$1	03-13 10:36
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	100	$119	434	434	+0	No	-$6	03-29 04:10
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	13	$118	67	67	+0	No	+$2	02-21 23:18
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	59	$116	64	64	+0	No	$0	03-29 04:07
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	37	$107	54	54	+0	No	+$0	03-21 22:51
will trump visit china by march 31	34	$106	57	57	+0	No	+$1	03-29 04:02
cs2 lgc aur1 2026 03 13 game1	3	$102	73	32	+42	Aurora Gaming	+$3	03-13 12:53
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	69	$101	103	102	+0	No	-$2	03-18 11:00
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	63	$89	85	85	+0	Yes	+$1	03-29 04:10
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	4	$88	49	49	+0	Yes	-$3	03-02 09:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1AM ET	43	$86	205	0	+205	Down	-$27	05-02 05:52
will iran strike israel on march 10	21	$84	59	59	+1	Yes	-$1	03-14 04:22
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	11	$82	43	43	+0	No	+$1	03-18 15:48
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	36	$82	66	66	+0	No	-$6	03-26 20:32
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	36	$82	44	44	+0	No	+$2	03-12 00:27
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	9	$81	94	80	+14	Yes	+$9	02-27 11:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-03 03:53:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xf2eb9c…
05-03 03:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xfe70be…
05-03 03:53:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x5b4ba6…
05-03 03:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xd87744…
05-03 03:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xf56b5f…
05-03 03:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x7e2b0c…
05-03 03:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xa1092e…
05-03 03:24:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x318a6a…
05-03 03:24:26	XRP Up or Down - May 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xc991a9…
05-03 03:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x266790…
05-03 03:24:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xad810c…
05-03 03:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x206c01…
05-03 03:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xed7bee…
05-03 03:23:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xfee9b0…
05-03 03:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xab0c56…
05-03 03:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x26c6da…
05-03 03:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x75587b…
05-03 03:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x1d90a0…
05-03 03:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xd8ea9d…
05-03 03:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x3d04c4…
05-03 02:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x936086…
05-03 02:56:10	XRP Up or Down - May 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x3c168b…
05-03 02:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xbbba99…
05-03 02:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x69f74d…
05-03 02:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x3325a5…
05-03 02:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x9e8fd4…
05-03 02:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x6bbed1…
05-03 02:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x37bdbb…
05-03 02:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x7e3174…
05-03 02:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xaf82d1…
05-03 02:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0xea6914…
05-03 02:15:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xea7a02…
05-03 02:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xf833c6…
05-03 02:15:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x4c7b4b…
05-03 02:15:24	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x497c12…
05-03 01:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x846ee0…
05-03 01:20:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x6a95cc…
05-03 01:20:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x9319e8…
05-03 01:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xaa3a55…
05-03 01:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xf8e7e7…
05-03 01:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xe89fcd…
05-03 01:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x8000a9…
05-03 01:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x1cf2fe…
05-03 01:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x2905d7…
05-03 01:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xada4ea…
05-03 01:10:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xa712aa…
05-03 01:09:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0xa6d65b…
05-03 01:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x956687…
05-03 01:08:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xa5c81c…
05-03 01:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x9f7055…
05-03 01:01:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x70fa57…
05-03 01:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x6f7efc…
05-03 01:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2611af…
05-03 01:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x9100c1…
05-03 01:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x48e4eb…
05-03 01:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x9014e1…
05-03 01:00:30	XRP Up or Down - May 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x629fa7…
05-03 01:00:28	XRP Up or Down - May 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xb14bd9…
05-03 00:59:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x9058a5…
05-03 00:59:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x38ab7b…
05-03 00:59:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x36481e…
05-03 00:58:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x2042dc…
05-03 00:58:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xf2eb8f…
05-03 00:57:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xeedfcf…
05-03 00:57:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xa262a9…
05-03 00:56:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xbe9d2c…
05-03 00:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x43dbbe…
05-03 00:56:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x27d7b7…
05-03 00:55:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x52c7e3…
05-03 00:55:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xdca6c9…
05-03 00:54:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xe55433…
05-03 00:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xd18da8…
05-03 00:53:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x569f58…
05-03 00:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x16c684…
05-03 00:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x4bc67b…
05-03 00:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x3f8b91…
05-03 00:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x5d063a…
05-03 00:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x6100b7…
05-03 00:35:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x76c26a…
05-03 00:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x6b478b…
05-03 00:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x7e59e3…
05-03 00:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x2f9fd9…
05-03 00:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x504daa…
05-03 00:34:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x1db781…
05-03 00:33:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x511920…
05-03 00:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x639594…
05-03 00:32:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xd451a2…
05-03 00:32:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x72ba6b…
05-03 00:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa6842a…
05-03 00:32:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x0d0dd3…
05-03 00:32:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x934fe7…
05-03 00:32:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xd9475c…
05-03 00:31:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xe5d980…
05-03 00:31:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x23ffad…
05-03 00:31:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x8aaa85…
05-03 00:31:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x27e0cb…
05-03 00:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xedc738…
05-03 00:31:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x679fcf…
05-03 00:31:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x625f70…
05-03 00:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x11f391…