Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.5%

Resolved

105

Trades

325

lifetime

Volume

$6.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-10-23

last 10-29 05:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 71% -$21

Politics

8% 100% +$5

Other

2% 100% +$1

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 198 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	4	$340	224	224	+0	Up	+$58	10-28 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	8	$314	243	243	+0	Down	+$34	10-28 05:59
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	2	$232	117	117	+0	Yes	+$1	10-28 18:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$214	115	115	+0	Up	+$14	10-28 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	3	$191	254	49	+205	Up	-$93	10-28 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	5	$173	135	95	+40	Down	-$17	10-28 05:40
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	5	$171	95	95	+0	open	—	10-28 22:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	5	$169	1,131	131	+1,000	Down	-$1	10-27 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	7	$164	124	124	+0	Down	+$4	10-27 02:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	6	$143	123	123	+0	Down	+$13	10-27 02:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$143	74	74	+0	Down	+$3	10-28 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	8	$140	153	153	+0	Down	-$12	10-28 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$138	128	128	+0	Up	+$10	10-27 23:36
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	2	$136	71	71	+0	Yes	+$4	10-24 23:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	4	$136	74	74	+0	Up	+$0	10-28 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	4	$130	95	95	+0	Down	+$8	10-27 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	4	$127	91	91	+0	Down	+$12	10-27 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	5	$115	89	77	+12	Up	+$5	10-27 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	3	$115	103	103	+0	Down	+$21	10-27 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	6	$114	89	89	+0	Down	-$10	10-27 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	2	$112	109	109	+0	Up	+$18	10-27 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	4	$107	66	66	+0	Down	+$7	10-27 02:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	2	$107	55	55	+0	Down	+$3	10-28 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	3	$107	108	44	+64	Up	-$21	10-27 23:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	3	$103	181	81	+100	Up	+$33	10-28 05:24
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	3	$101	56	56	+0	Yes	+$1	10-27 18:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	6	$99	94	94	+0	Down	-$11	10-27 21:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	7	$94	91	91	+0	Up	-$6	10-27 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	5	$92	83	49	+33	Down	-$8	10-27 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	4	$91	92	92	+0	Down	+$11	10-27 02:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 05:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6,180	1¢	$62	0xa692c9…
10-28 23:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	23	58¢	$13	0xf27499…
10-28 23:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0xf2b633…
10-28 23:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	55	99¢	$55	0x52e753…
10-28 23:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	55	94¢	$52	0x8b6c7c…
10-28 22:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x4d5824…
10-28 22:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x5cf656…
10-28 22:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0x389881…
10-28 22:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	55	60¢	$33	0x6a29d8…
10-28 22:52:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	35	96¢	$33	0x768376…
10-28 21:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x0c8797…
10-28 21:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	54	68¢	$37	0x5439b0…
10-28 21:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	49	99¢	$49	0xcc4257…
10-28 21:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	49	75¢	$37	0x6ae4ac…
10-28 21:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	205	51¢	$105	0x1ac234…
10-28 21:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x8e6263…
10-28 21:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	53	84¢	$44	0x3828ec…
10-28 21:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	53	76¢	$40	0x6e3462…
10-28 21:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	172	90¢	$155	0x4e2867…
10-28 21:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	172	59¢	$101	0xe23abd…
10-28 21:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0xf4470c…
10-28 18:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	53	85¢	$45	0x62c032…
10-28 18:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x38e177…
10-28 18:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	48	70¢	$34	0x382d6b…
10-28 18:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	48	60¢	$29	0x99a394…
10-28 18:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	115	99¢	$114	0x48bfba…
10-28 18:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x8ccd27…
10-28 18:41:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	SELL	117	99¢	$116	0x1f25a6…
10-28 08:32:49	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	35	96¢	$33	0x8d99ed…
10-28 08:19:10	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	117	98¢	$116	0xec9ef8…
10-28 08:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	14	97¢	$13	0xd3c68b…
10-28 08:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x653e41…
10-28 08:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xde29b2…
10-28 08:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x48e2f5…
10-28 07:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd2a381…
10-28 07:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	16	84¢	$14	0x3dd7b8…
10-28 07:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xaf6a0b…
10-28 07:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	18	74¢	$13	0x0fbe43…
10-28 07:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xb997a0…
10-28 07:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc027b7…
10-28 07:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	74	99¢	$73	0xcde996…
10-28 07:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	74	95¢	$70	0x4420b4…
10-28 07:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	25	72¢	$18	0x46a7b7…
10-28 07:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xea058a…
10-28 07:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x6a7106…
10-28 07:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0xa40929…
10-28 07:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x86e37f…
10-28 07:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xfcdf64…
10-28 07:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	37	49¢	$18	0xa7eede…
10-28 07:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x66f6c0…
10-28 07:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x6b3cff…
10-28 07:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x598201…
10-28 06:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	66	99¢	$65	0x5f6bc2…
10-28 06:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0x729344…
10-28 06:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0x1c2804…
10-28 06:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xbccefe…
10-28 06:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	16	16¢	$3	0x609b2d…
10-28 06:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x125ca9…
10-28 06:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	37	66¢	$24	0xb59498…
10-28 06:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x3a7786…
10-28 05:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	85	99¢	$84	0x93c0b8…
10-28 05:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	19	6¢	$1	0x714e57…
10-28 05:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	85	65¢	$55	0x3dac1d…
10-28 05:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	32	66¢	$21	0x989e4c…
10-28 05:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xeea381…
10-28 05:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x3a6b73…
10-28 05:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	108	63¢	$68	0x0baba1…
10-28 05:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	108	51¢	$55	0xe336ad…
10-28 05:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	22	58¢	$13	0xcb4e08…
10-28 05:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xbe2ab3…
10-28 05:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0x960636…
10-28 05:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	60	92¢	$55	0x0236f6…
10-28 05:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	36	53¢	$19	0xe8f9d2…
10-28 05:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xa5b718…
10-28 05:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x52b439…
10-28 05:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	77	45¢	$34	0x5af814…
10-28 05:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x2ac12d…
10-28 05:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0x899807…
10-28 05:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	46	61¢	$28	0x3cbb52…
10-28 05:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	46	52¢	$24	0x87d802…
10-28 05:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x6eae50…
10-28 05:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xa47e26…
10-28 05:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	81	84¢	$68	0x14ef2c…
10-28 05:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	81	37¢	$30	0x36965c…
10-28 05:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	62	15¢	$9	0xe537e1…
10-28 05:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0xcef67e…
10-28 05:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x25101c…
10-28 05:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x64eddf…
10-28 04:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	82¢	$8	0x5fb618…
10-28 04:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xfd669b…
10-28 04:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0xb534f9…
10-28 04:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd87bac…
10-28 04:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xcb2154…
10-28 04:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x844ce3…
10-28 04:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xec6094…
10-28 04:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x973901…
10-28 04:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x877dd7…
10-28 04:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x7de612…
10-28 04:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	SELL	38	78¢	$30	0xf7632a…
10-28 04:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xf6970e…