Tough-Plum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-02 11:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 100% +$0

Other

26% — —

Politics

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will avatar fire and ash 3rd weekend box office be greater than 50m	1	$60	60	+60	open	—	01-03 08:58
will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on january 8	1	$60	60	+60	open	—	01-08 13:30
bitcoin above 74k on march 11	1	$59	59	+59	open	—	03-11 12:53
will opinion launch a token on march 4	1	$58	58	+58	open	—	03-04 12:31
will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 23	1	$58	58	+58	open	—	01-23 13:16
elon musk of tweets january 12 january 14 240plus	1	$58	58	+58	open	—	01-13 13:01
bitcoin above 82k on february 4	1	$58	58	+58	open	—	02-04 11:28
highest temperature in chicago on march 23 2026 54forhigher	1	$57	57	+57	open	—	03-23 11:23
will ethereum reach 2800 march 16 22	1	$57	57	+57	open	—	03-21 10:47
bitcoin above 92k on february 1	1	$57	57	+57	open	—	01-31 08:18
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	1	$56	56	+56	open	—	04-25 12:23
will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 23	1	$56	56	+56	open	—	04-22 13:02
Military action against Iran ends on April 3, 2026?	1	$56	56	+56	open	—	04-03 13:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 8?	1	$56	56	+56	Yes	+$0	05-06 13:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?	1	$56	56	+56	open	—	05-19 11:28
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on June 3?	1	$56	56	+56	open	—	06-02 11:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	1	$56	56	+56	No	+$0	05-09 12:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?	1	$56	56	+56	open	—	05-24 10:34
bitcoin above 68k on april 9	1	$55	55	+55	open	—	04-09 13:02
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 27?	1	$55	55	+55	open	—	04-27 13:53
bitcoin above 78k on april 15	1	$55	55	+55	open	—	04-15 13:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?	1	$55	55	+55	open	—	05-25 12:28
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 19	1	$55	55	+55	open	—	04-18 08:54
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on april 2	1	$52	52	+52	open	—	04-02 10:56
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 460 479	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	01-11 07:57
ethereum above 2200 on march 17	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	03-17 13:47
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 165 189	1	$36	36	+36	open	—	03-14 12:51
will the us next strike iran on february 12 2026 et	1	$35	35	+35	open	—	02-12 10:47
will mrbeasts latest video get 60 million or more views on week 1	1	$24	24	+24	open	—	02-13 11:12
solana above 70 on february 12	1	$24	24	+24	open	—	02-12 10:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 11:06:20	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on June 3?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x5e2cab…
05-25 12:28:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x366b70…
05-24 10:34:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x1d4753…
05-19 11:28:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0xa64961…
05-09 12:43:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x9a68a3…
05-06 13:11:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x05a813…
04-27 13:53:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 27?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xff96a5…
04-25 12:23:02	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x3cd864…
04-22 13:02:22	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 23	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x2ac9b7…
04-18 08:54:12	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 19	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x244b7c…
04-15 13:45:34	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xc91fe4…
04-09 13:02:11	bitcoin above 68k on april 9	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x9576ce…
04-09 12:53:29	highest temperature in toronto on april 9 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	478	0¢	$1	0xb1ddf3…
04-03 13:20:35	Military action against Iran ends on April 3, 2026?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0xf04d63…
04-02 11:03:35	highest temperature in toronto on april 3 2026 neg 1corbelow	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xce4356…
04-02 10:57:19	highest temperature in nyc on april 2 2026 62 63f	Yes	BUY	367	0¢	$1	0x7f6672…
04-02 10:56:23	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on april 2	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x344a74…
03-23 11:23:41	highest temperature in chicago on march 23 2026 54forhigher	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x3e2da4…
03-21 10:47:35	will ethereum reach 2800 march 16 22	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0xd8ac79…
03-17 13:47:25	ethereum above 2200 on march 17	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x443776…
03-17 13:38:23	bitcoin above 70k on march 17	No	BUY	400	0¢	$1	0x7b497c…
03-17 13:36:01	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 190 214	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xccdb59…
03-14 12:51:51	elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 165 189	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xcd3e51…
03-14 12:36:49	highest temperature in lucknow on march 14 2026 39c	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0x4068b1…
03-14 12:35:15	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 16	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xfb02ef…
03-11 12:53:25	bitcoin above 74k on march 11	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xe9edea…
03-04 12:32:17	bitcoin above 76k on march 4	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xed1d8e…
03-04 12:31:53	will opinion launch a token on march 4	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0xe87331…
02-13 11:12:53	will mrbeasts latest video get 60 million or more views on week 1	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xb10f2a…
02-12 10:47:03	will the us next strike iran on february 12 2026 et	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xbabe2b…
02-12 10:45:03	solana above 70 on february 12	Yes	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xfa40ce…
02-04 11:28:38	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0xc65548…
01-31 08:46:30	will melania opening weekend box office be between 3m and 3pt5m	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf61b25…
01-31 08:18:28	bitcoin above 92k on february 1	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x90407e…
01-23 13:16:42	will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 23	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x6e94ed…
01-13 13:01:41	elon musk of tweets january 12 january 14 240plus	No	BUY	58	99¢	$58	0x2b29c6…
01-11 07:57:52	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 460 479	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbcff2a…
01-11 07:26:24	will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 11	Yes	BUY	775	0¢	$3	0xcf08b4…
01-11 07:25:38	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 440 459	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x240dc6…
01-08 13:30:50	will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on january 8	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xb370ea…
01-03 08:58:23	will avatar fire and ash 3rd weekend box office be greater than 50m	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x827fec…