Realized P&L
-$2
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
39.2%
Resolved
18
Trades
15,348
lifetime
Volume
$13.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$9
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 06-09 18:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Crypto
56% 36% $-9
Other
23% 100% +$1
Sports
19% 50% $-0
Politics
2% 100% +$7
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 141 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -2 $-2 99¢ $-2 $-0 06-08 20:13
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes -2 $-2 66¢ $-2 +$0 06-08 20:13
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No -2 $-1 80¢ $-1 $-0 06-08 20:13
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes -2 $-1 76¢ $-1 $-0 06-08 20:13
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 06-08 20:13
Blue wave in 2026? No -4 $-1 25¢ $-1 +$0 06-08 20:13
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes -5 $-1 16¢ $-1 $-0 06-08 20:13
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes -2 $-0 20¢ $-0 +$0 06-08 20:13
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok? Yes -14 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-08 20:13
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? No -1 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-08 20:14