Realized P&L
-$37
Unrealized P&L
+$16
Hit rate
97.6%
Resolved
37
Trades
189
lifetime
Volume
$3.96K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$1.79K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-30
last 11-12 02:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
60% 97% -$38
Sports
24% — —
Other
16% 83% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +206 $180 89¢ $183 +$3 11-11 09:26
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +166 $148 89¢ $148 $0 11-11 17:23
Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election? No +144 $144 100¢ $144 $0 11-09 15:43
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? No +138 $126 97¢ $135 +$9 11-10 17:08
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +239 $130 54¢ $129 -$1 11-09 16:19
Will Falcons Win the PGL Major Singapore 2026? No +119 $106 90¢ $108 +$2 11-07 04:56
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? No +88 $87 98¢ $87 +$0 11-09 15:51
Will Missouri win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? No +82 $82 99¢ $81 -$1 11-10 20:09
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? No +72 $63 93¢ $67 +$4 11-08 17:07
Will Louisville win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? No +65 $63 97¢ $63 +$0 11-11 00:49
Will Bournemouth win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? No +64 $55 83¢ $54 -$2 11-04 00:40
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? No +52 $52 100¢ $52 +$0 11-09 16:15
elon musk of tweets november 13 november 20 2026 380 399 No +52 $49 97¢ $50 +$1 11-10 08:08
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +50 $44 86¢ $44 $0 11-09 16:21
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +47 $43 92¢ $43 +$0 11-09 15:50
Will Arkansas win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? No +43 $41 97¢ $41 +$1 11-11 01:43
Will Texas win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? No +40 $39 97¢ $39 +$0 11-12 02:25
Will Anderlecht win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? No +36 $36 99¢ $36 $0 10-30 11:17
Will UCLA win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? No +37 $36 94¢ $35 -$1 11-11 00:54
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? No +34 $34 100¢ $34 $0 11-06 01:13
Will the Los Angeles Kings be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? No +32 $32 98¢ $32 $0 11-03 09:14
Will Teddy Riner win the 2027 French presidential election? No +31 $28 98¢ $30 +$3 11-09 16:21
Will MOUZ Win the PGL Major Singapore 2026? No +33 $29 83¢ $27 -$1 11-06 12:22
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +28 $26 94¢ $26 +$0 11-08 23:49
Will Houston win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? No +26 $25 97¢ $25 +$0 11-11 00:50
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +25 $24 96¢ $24 +$0 11-07 23:24
Will FURIA Win the PGL Major Singapore 2026? No +21 $19 92¢ $19 +$1 11-06 17:07
Will Benfica win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? No +19 $16 82¢ $15 -$1 11-04 00:32
elon musk of tweets november 13 november 20 2026 200 219 No +15 $15 92¢ $14 -$1 11-10 07:51
Will Monica Crowley be the next White House Press Secretary? No +9 $9 98¢ $9 +$0 11-08 23:14