Severe-Cold — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.6%

Resolved

Trades

290

lifetime

Volume

$4.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 08-09 19:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Sports

75% 55% +$40

Other

16% — —

Crypto

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Thunder vs. Lakers	18	$437	290	290	+0	Thunder	+$25	05-10 02:02
nflx up or down on april 17 2026	2	$346	185	184	+1	open	—	04-17 20:08
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$335	1,531	1,321	+210	open	—	04-24 03:23
Lakers vs. Thunder	21	$320	517	600	-83	Thunder	+$76	05-08 03:09
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 31.5	7	$280	186	186	+0	No	+$92	05-06 03:30
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	9	$248	225	225	+0	Thunder	+$25	05-08 03:48
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	12	$239	280	280	+0	Timberwolves	+$67	05-05 04:08
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5	4	$218	150	150	+0	Under	+$79	05-06 02:57
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5	4	$188	246	0	+246	Over	$-188	05-07 02:20
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	26	$159	1,285	0	+1,285	open	—	04-27 16:41
btc updown 5m 1786302600	3	$123	78	78	+0	open	—	08-09 19:16
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5	7	$111	145	0	+145	Over	$-111	05-07 02:48
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$109	317	0	+317	open	—	04-14 16:23
76ers vs. Celtics	2	$109	100	100	+0	open	—	05-03 01:03
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$95	2,273	2,273	+0	open	—	04-14 16:18
Magic vs. Pistons	7	$89	100	100	+0	open	—	05-02 01:03
Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline	1	$80	100	0	+100	Thunder	+$20	05-06 00:26
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	18	$72	496	0	+496	open	—	04-26 19:33
76ers vs. Knicks	3	$60	200	200	+0	Knicks	$-56	05-05 01:49
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	3	$59	100	100	+0	open	—	05-04 01:23
Will Google reach $355 in April?	8	$57	58	50	+8	open	—	04-28 22:41
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	1	$57	100	0	+100	open	—	04-28 16:38
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	13	$54	600	600	+0	open	—	04-24 14:32
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5	1	$53	75	0	+75	open	—	05-20 15:45
76ers vs. Celtics	2	$52	50	50	+0	open	—	04-29 01:20
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5	6	$51	95	0	+95	Under	+$44	05-13 00:39
btc updown 5m 1786305300	4	$50	106	0	+106	open	—	08-09 19:57
Will Google reach $375 in April?	5	$50	206	206	+0	open	—	04-29 20:15
Spurs vs. Thunder	4	$47	50	50	+0	open	—	05-19 02:11
1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)	4	$46	88	0	+88	Lakers	+$41	05-05 20:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 19:57:57	btc updown 5m 1786305300	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x64d5ed…
08-09 19:57:36	btc updown 5m 1786305300	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x3318cc…
08-09 19:56:57	btc updown 5m 1786305300	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xc13608…
08-09 19:56:46	btc updown 5m 1786305300	Up	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x6f9c50…
08-09 19:23:25	btc updown 5m 1786303200	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xb00955…
08-09 19:23:03	btc updown 5m 1786303200	Down	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xc85582…
08-09 19:16:10	btc updown 5m 1786302600	Down	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0x55e4f6…
08-09 19:13:03	btc updown 5m 1786302600	Down	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x0168bc…
08-09 19:12:39	btc updown 5m 1786302600	Down	BUY	54	47¢	$25	0xcdf536…
08-09 18:45:49	btc updown 5m 1786301100	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x242ec2…
08-09 18:45:34	btc updown 5m 1786301100	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x528512…
08-09 18:43:00	btc updown 5m 1786300800	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x5fa95b…
08-09 18:41:06	btc updown 5m 1786300800	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xcf7a62…
08-09 18:39:13	btc updown 5m 1786300500	Up	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x7d8395…
08-09 18:23:43	btc updown 5m 1786299600	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xa63a3a…
08-09 18:22:33	btc updown 5m 1786299600	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x701061…
05-20 19:22:35	Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5	Yes	BUY	44	44¢	$20	0x82f153…
05-20 19:13:57	Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5	Yes	BUY	6	44¢	$2	0x71f20d…
05-20 15:46:47	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5	Yes	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0xf22a0d…
05-20 15:45:00	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5	Under	BUY	75	71¢	$53	0x559bdb…
05-19 02:11:39	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	16	43¢	$7	0xdf2053…
05-19 02:11:33	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	30	43¢	$13	0xcbdf09…
05-19 02:11:33	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0x78a6f0…
05-19 01:38:04	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x39f3ee…
05-18 01:06:21	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x38ad1d…
05-13 00:39:14	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5	Under	BUY	38	54¢	$21	0x800b32…
05-13 00:39:14	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5	Under	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0x3004c4…
05-13 00:37:41	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5	Under	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x903bc8…
05-13 00:37:38	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5	Under	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x68989f…
05-13 00:36:38	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5	Under	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x007172…
05-13 00:35:04	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5	Under	BUY	45	54¢	$24	0x6eba5b…
05-12 17:19:08	Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5	No	BUY	40	44¢	$18	0xd9b73c…
05-12 15:47:30	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0x71527b…
05-12 15:40:47	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x079a7e…
05-12 14:27:43	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x4e5e3b…
05-12 06:37:00	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	30	59¢	$17	0x31ce5d…
05-10 02:25:51	Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 212.5	Under	SELL	80	10¢	$8	0x276b52…
05-10 02:02:17	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0x7ee2eb…
05-10 01:57:52	Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 212.5	Under	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xdc106b…
05-10 01:57:37	Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 212.5	Under	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xe10df0…
05-10 01:52:32	Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 212.5	Under	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0x40a4bc…
05-10 01:51:45	Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 212.5	Under	BUY	33	21¢	$7	0x58df09…
05-10 01:44:03	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xb354d0…
05-09 23:24:10	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	SELL	190	77¢	$146	0x15c0ae…
05-08 03:48:17	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Thunder	SELL	25	16¢	$4	0xc053e6…
05-08 03:47:38	Spread: Thunder (-16.5)	Thunder	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xdbf0fc…
05-08 03:39:23	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Thunder	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0a7021…
05-08 03:39:18	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Thunder	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x280437…
05-08 03:39:07	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Thunder	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x023848…
05-08 03:38:32	Spread: Thunder (-16.5)	Thunder	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x5723be…
05-08 03:37:52	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Thunder	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x38d996…
05-08 03:36:37	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Thunder	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xbeefda…
05-08 03:12:42	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Lakers	SELL	75	90¢	$68	0x4994b8…
05-08 03:09:05	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	SELL	250	31¢	$77	0xc7042b…
05-07 15:06:06	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Lakers	SELL	125	52¢	$65	0xd105ad…
05-07 07:26:41	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	SELL	250	13¢	$32	0x349193…
05-07 02:48:26	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5	Under	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0x1029d4…
05-07 02:46:59	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5	Under	BUY	31	75¢	$23	0x86ef1d…
05-07 02:46:34	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5	Under	BUY	7	75¢	$6	0x831e39…
05-07 02:46:27	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5	Under	BUY	21	75¢	$16	0x8691db…
05-07 02:45:44	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5	Under	BUY	21	75¢	$16	0xa6f06e…
05-07 02:36:03	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5	Under	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xf54bb8…
05-07 02:31:51	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5	Under	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xf6f1bd…
05-07 02:31:40	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5	Under	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x051b81…
05-07 02:20:09	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5	Under	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xf56a5d…
05-07 02:20:09	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5	Under	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x66d8d0…
05-07 02:19:55	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5	Under	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0xe207e4…
05-07 02:18:31	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5	Under	BUY	96	77¢	$74	0xcddf8f…
05-07 01:50:41	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x0d116d…
05-07 00:53:30	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0xfaa62c…
05-06 22:00:51	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Lakers	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x820f9b…
05-06 11:45:40	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xf89b03…
05-06 11:36:46	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x4432b9…
05-06 11:36:16	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x54d84f…
05-06 11:33:58	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xdac8f8…
05-06 11:29:16	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xc221ca…
05-06 11:28:58	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	104	12¢	$12	0xa601e5…
05-06 05:34:36	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x83ee28…
05-06 05:34:36	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	113	12¢	$14	0x4e1016…
05-06 05:33:26	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x29c98b…
05-06 05:29:26	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x32efb4…
05-06 05:29:10	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xb04059…
05-06 05:29:10	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x231dad…
05-06 05:26:46	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	28	12¢	$3	0xb6f022…
05-06 05:20:30	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x105cbf…
05-06 05:20:12	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0x0fb008…
05-06 05:15:04	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x498099…
05-06 05:14:18	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x91c7da…
05-06 03:35:18	Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x6ea374…
05-06 03:30:02	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 31.5	No	SELL	186	100¢	$186	0x959c77…
05-06 02:57:48	Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5	Under	SELL	150	99¢	$148	0xd48dcf…
05-06 02:03:38	Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5	Under	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0xdc1c3e…
05-06 00:26:24	Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline	Thunder	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x5390a6…
05-06 00:20:38	Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 107.5	Under	BUY	32	43¢	$14	0x594a62…
05-05 23:24:52	Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 107.5	Under	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x47b01a…
05-05 23:19:20	Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 107.5	Under	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xecc6f0…
05-05 22:37:52	Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x0d04e4…
05-05 21:22:14	Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5	Under	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xc3c0be…
05-05 21:14:04	Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5	Under	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0xb5fe01…
05-05 20:56:04	1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)	Lakers	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xb1933d…