Known-Mangle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,283

lifetime

Volume

$2.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 06-11 13:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 88% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1773825300	3	$43	24	24	+0	open	—	03-18 09:29
btc updown 15m 1776780900	3	$41	42	0	+42	open	—	04-21 14:26
btc updown 15m 1776421800	4	$36	22	22	+0	open	—	04-17 10:46
btc updown 15m 1773828000	4	$30	33	12	+21	open	—	03-18 10:14
btc updown 15m 1773846000	4	$30	48	0	+48	open	—	03-18 15:12
btc updown 5m 1773825300	2	$30	35	0	+35	open	—	03-18 09:19
btc updown 5m 1773828000	2	$25	33	0	+33	open	—	03-18 10:04
btc updown 15m 1776409200	2	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	04-17 07:12
bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 12am et	3	$22	30	0	+30	open	—	04-13 04:58
btc updown 4h 1773820800	3	$21	25	13	+11	open	—	03-18 11:40
btc updown 5m 1773824400	2	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	03-18 09:04
btc updown 5m 1773846000	3	$20	27	0	+27	open	—	03-18 15:04
eth updown 15m 1773823500	3	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	03-18 08:59
bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 6am et	3	$20	26	0	+26	open	—	03-20 10:59
btc updown 15m 1776506400	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-18 10:12
btc updown 15m 1776672000	6	$19	12	12	+0	open	—	04-20 08:15
btc updown 15m 1776778200	4	$18	104	7	+97	open	—	04-21 13:44
btc updown 15m 1776254400	5	$17	22	1	+21	open	—	04-15 12:14
btc updown 15m 1776422700	4	$16	19	3	+16	open	—	04-17 10:55
bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 6am et	3	$16	21	21	+0	open	—	04-15 10:58
btc updown 15m 1776262500	3	$16	19	0	+19	open	—	04-15 14:22
btc updown 5m 1773825600	1	$15	23	0	+23	open	—	03-18 09:24
btc updown 5m 1774054800	2	$15	22	0	+22	open	—	03-21 01:04
btc updown 5m 1773845700	2	$15	19	0	+19	open	—	03-18 14:59
btc updown 5m 1773844500	2	$15	24	0	+24	open	—	03-18 14:39
btc updown 5m 1773996900	2	$15	27	0	+27	open	—	03-20 08:59
btc updown 15m 1773845100	2	$15	22	0	+22	open	—	03-18 14:53
btc updown 15m 1776654000	2	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	04-20 03:14
btc updown 15m 1776589200	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	04-19 09:14
btc updown 15m 1776253500	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	04-15 11:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 13:58:49	btc updown 15m 1781185500	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x43cb5d…
06-10 14:13:43	btc updown 15m 1781100000	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x4436d1…
06-08 10:08:36	btc updown 15m 1780912800	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x00b0bc…
06-08 08:37:18	btc updown 15m 1780907400	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x7ba611…
06-08 08:23:00	btc updown 15m 1780906500	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xfb6c88…
06-08 06:58:57	btc updown 15m 1780901100	Up	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0xa301a3…
06-08 06:52:03	btc updown 15m 1780901100	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x38d557…
06-08 06:40:33	btc updown 15m 1780900200	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9d8986…
06-08 06:05:37	btc updown 15m 1780898400	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x7338d8…
06-08 05:50:06	btc updown 15m 1780897500	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x5ee9fe…
06-08 05:22:01	btc updown 15m 1780895700	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x4b5cf9…
06-07 14:53:54	btc updown 15m 1780843500	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xcedbf2…
06-07 14:07:42	btc updown 15m 1780840800	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x7af112…
06-07 09:58:00	btc updown 15m 1780825500	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xa25e58…
06-07 09:11:49	btc updown 15m 1780822800	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2db8a7…
06-07 08:39:49	btc updown 15m 1780821000	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x4b7f8a…
06-07 07:27:31	btc updown 15m 1780816500	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xd2434d…
06-07 07:05:36	btc updown 15m 1780815600	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x4a3711…
06-07 05:35:24	btc updown 15m 1780810200	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x651ed7…
06-07 03:06:27	btc updown 15m 1780801200	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x5fddee…
06-06 15:09:33	btc updown 15m 1780758000	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x583792…
06-06 14:43:16	btc updown 15m 1780756200	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x5e92d1…
06-04 12:53:22	btc updown 15m 1780577100	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xaa9ca5…
06-04 11:41:39	btc updown 15m 1780572600	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0ea8c8…
06-04 11:18:10	btc updown 15m 1780571700	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xce7c16…
06-03 10:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0x85d93d…
06-03 10:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x66efec…
06-03 09:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xd817ff…
06-03 09:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xfff4f6…
06-02 14:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf10407…
06-02 05:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x656b03…
06-02 04:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb55686…
06-01 14:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x30f1bd…
06-01 13:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xcc244b…
05-31 11:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x31a6b0…
05-28 10:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x28b667…
05-28 03:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x93ef7d…
05-27 11:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x3843cc…
05-27 11:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x91eb59…
05-26 11:11:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xfd26bf…
05-24 14:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xbbddb1…
05-24 08:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd00515…
05-24 06:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x48b349…
05-24 06:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x6e3e96…
05-24 01:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xd1be0f…
05-23 15:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x28a405…
05-23 14:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x17b936…
05-22 14:36:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xcb6273…
05-21 14:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x0690ba…
05-21 13:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x2517d6…
05-21 10:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9967e1…
05-21 09:28:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xbf7e01…
05-21 07:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xbff478…
05-21 06:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x400609…
05-19 15:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x76ff6e…
05-19 14:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x9a1899…
05-19 12:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x71f370…
05-19 01:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xa3dceb…
05-19 00:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x7e7b9d…
05-11 09:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xef0588…
05-07 02:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf956f6…
05-05 14:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xdc8078…
05-05 09:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xaf39b6…
05-05 09:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xc4e68f…
05-05 03:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x5f4eaa…
05-05 03:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf3a521…
05-05 02:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x647796…
05-05 01:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x7f516f…
05-04 06:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9f6a3b…
05-04 06:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x6b0f01…
05-04 03:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe54844…
05-03 07:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xef34dd…
05-03 07:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x86f3ac…
05-03 07:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2c530f…
05-03 06:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x370f51…
05-03 06:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8f4655…
05-03 05:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	92	11¢	$10	0x5e9ccc…
05-03 05:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x546711…
05-03 04:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x2e8c2e…
05-03 03:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb2d53e…
05-02 12:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x27f027…
05-02 10:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x1f9f53…
05-02 09:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x8ef1cb…
05-02 09:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xe0c120…
05-02 06:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xa1bc66…
05-01 08:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb1a33b…
05-01 08:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf32f38…
05-01 04:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xe4e40c…
05-01 03:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x8e7084…
05-01 03:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x44a454…
05-01 03:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x886b8d…
05-01 02:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xd981e0…
05-01 02:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x8b7283…
05-01 01:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x3367a3…
04-30 15:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x877955…
04-30 15:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0x8e3867…
04-30 15:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x3ff335…
04-30 14:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x073286…
04-30 14:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xe64eef…
04-30 11:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x6c3a6f…