Steep-Appendix — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.60K

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

66.0%

Resolved

982

Trades

1,683

lifetime

Volume

$28.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$13

1 position

First seen

2026-03-22

last 10-27 20:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 39% -$1,435

Politics

2% 17% -$58

Sports

1% 50% -$31

Other

1% 0% -$76

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+37	$10	36¢	$13	+$3	10-27 20:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 02:20 UTC	2	$589	401	393	+7	Up	+$197	03-31 02:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 01:45 UTC	2	$569	1,105	1,093	+12	Down	+$169	03-31 01:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 01:40 UTC	2	$486	412	390	+22	Up	+$308	04-05 01:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 01:50 UTC	4	$485	401	395	+6	Up	+$91	03-31 01:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 02:45 UTC	2	$400	950	0	+950	Down	-$400	03-31 02:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 21:35 UTC	2	$335	241	238	+4	Down	+$139	03-29 21:40
will israel strike 4 countries in march 2026	4	$333	290	290	+0	No	-$67	03-30 12:30
usisrael strike yemen by march 31	4	$325	310	310	+0	No	-$75	03-30 12:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 00:45 UTC	2	$261	200	191	+9	Up	+$125	04-07 00:50
will israel strike 3 countries in march 2026	2	$258	246	246	+0	Yes	+$58	03-28 17:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 01:55 UTC	2	$231	306	267	+39	Down	+$70	03-31 01:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 20:30 UTC	2	$216	121	121	+1	Up	+$24	03-28 20:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 00:10 UTC	2	$203	278	265	+13	Down	+$3	04-07 00:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 02:10 UTC	1	$200	395	0	+395	Up	-$200	03-31 02:11
nba chi mem 2026 03 28	2	$183	140	140	+0	Grizzlies	+$63	03-29 02:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 19:40 UTC	2	$180	137	135	+2	Up	+$89	03-29 19:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 01:00 UTC	3	$178	189	133	+56	Up	+$78	04-10 01:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 22:00 UTC	2	$176	136	130	+6	Up	+$83	04-11 22:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 00:35 UTC	5	$170	200	117	+84	Down	+$32	03-29 00:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 21:00 UTC	5	$168	294	200	+93	Down	+$86	04-09 21:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 21:45 UTC	6	$167	163	156	+7	Down	+$32	04-11 21:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 01:10 UTC	4	$164	180	179	+1	Up	+$35	03-29 01:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 20:55 UTC	2	$163	116	114	+2	Up	+$65	03-29 21:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 23:05 UTC	2	$162	115	113	+2	Up	+$64	03-29 23:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 21:40 UTC	2	$161	128	126	+2	Up	+$63	03-29 21:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 21:05 UTC	2	$159	128	126	+2	Down	+$61	03-29 21:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 19:20 UTC	2	$159	112	110	+2	Down	+$61	03-29 19:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 21:55 UTC	4	$158	110	107	+3	Down	+$21	04-11 21:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 01:20 UTC	6	$154	216	213	+3	Down	-$4	03-29 01:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 19:35 UTC	3	$150	130	127	+2	Down	+$50	03-30 19:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 20:17:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xccb7e8…
07-06 17:49:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 17:45 UTC	Up	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0xf151ca…
07-06 17:45:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0xe0e877…
07-06 17:40:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 17:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x33c15c…
07-06 17:40:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 17:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7505de…
07-06 17:40:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 17:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6f6c55…
07-06 17:40:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 17:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xec5d13…
07-06 17:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xcbc65c…
07-06 17:36:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd0e4cd…
07-06 17:33:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x24c505…
07-06 17:30:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 17:25 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x303aa5…
07-06 17:25:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9cf2cd…
07-05 19:36:16	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x461b6d…
07-05 19:30:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 19:25 UTC	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xfffda0…
07-05 19:25:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 19:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x6b699c…
07-05 19:22:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x3f4e4e…
07-05 19:19:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 19:15 UTC	Down	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0x7f25a6…
07-05 19:15:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa23ea8…
07-05 19:14:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 19:10 UTC	Down	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0xef55f2…
07-05 19:12:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 19:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x40816f…
07-05 19:10:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 19:05 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xecf691…
07-05 19:07:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x3c0e60…
07-05 19:06:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 19:05 UTC	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x8998dd…
07-05 19:05:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 19:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7c444a…
07-05 19:03:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 19:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	84¢	$2	0xc60a99…
07-05 19:00:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x22da03…
05-23 22:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x0a4d57…
05-23 22:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xb2af9f…
05-23 22:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xf74f54…
05-23 22:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	11	77¢	$9	0xfe00ea…
05-23 22:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x5329bc…
05-23 22:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xfe7454…
05-23 22:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	12	75¢	$9	0x66c496…
05-23 22:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xb76e26…
05-23 22:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x093534…
05-23 22:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x9c5d4e…
05-23 22:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x43dc2e…
05-23 21:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x094d4d…
05-23 21:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	21	26¢	$5	0xd7de32…
05-23 21:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0x85566a…
05-23 21:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x3a0ac0…
05-23 21:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	16	77¢	$12	0xaabb4a…
05-23 21:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xf97c92…
05-23 21:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x087817…
05-23 21:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	19	74¢	$14	0x2a5485…
05-23 21:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xfd4f72…
05-23 21:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	40	57¢	$23	0x22b027…
05-23 21:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xa67035…
05-23 21:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xba1ce8…
05-23 21:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x3c75b1…
05-23 21:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xd15489…
05-23 21:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x5be35b…
05-23 21:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x0dcde7…
05-23 21:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x16db64…
05-23 21:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x921572…
05-23 21:12:44	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	151	7¢	$10	0xae75a1…
04-16 00:46:08	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xdffc9e…
04-16 00:30:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x80b987…
04-16 00:25:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x996034…
04-16 00:20:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x87c88a…
04-16 00:19:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0xb65cd8…
04-16 00:17:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x65c484…
04-16 00:09:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 00:05 UTC	Down	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x3b81d4…
04-16 00:06:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xe6c644…
04-16 00:02:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x9e2122…
04-16 00:00:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 23:55 UTC	Up	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xf22fbe…
04-15 23:55:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x079fc5…
04-15 23:50:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 23:50 UTC	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xf0c6e3…
04-15 23:45:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x85f46e…
04-15 23:37:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xc2d89e…
04-15 22:56:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x370523…
04-15 22:56:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 22:45 UTC	Down	SELL	8	92¢	$8	0xcc33c9…
04-15 22:46:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xd1cc94…
04-15 22:39:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x53d707…
04-15 22:39:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 22:30 UTC	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x305b3c…
04-15 22:38:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xf80526…
04-15 22:35:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 22:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x952f9d…
04-15 22:32:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4d4182…
04-15 22:26:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xd41b86…
04-15 22:19:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xe66a4f…
04-15 22:14:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5b4714…
04-15 22:10:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc7b242…
04-15 22:10:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 22:05 UTC	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc76fb7…
04-15 22:05:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x49e0cd…
04-15 22:00:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xad9637…
04-15 09:55:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x8d225d…
04-15 09:53:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 09:50 UTC	Down	SELL	3	56¢	$1	0x0c266a…
04-15 09:50:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x06ca74…
04-15 09:50:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 09:45 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf3469f…
04-15 09:49:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xc115d5…
04-15 09:48:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 09:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0x83791f…
04-15 09:45:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x2950b9…
04-15 09:42:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 09:40 UTC	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x85725f…
04-15 09:40:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x4e5842…
04-12 12:11:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 12:10 UTC	Down	SELL	3	15¢	$1	0x2ed09d…
04-12 12:10:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0xfed980…
04-12 12:09:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 12:05 UTC	Up	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x11a86a…
04-12 12:05:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 12:05 UTC	Up	BUY	52	39¢	$20	0xa732ee…
04-12 12:00:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x6a395d…
04-12 11:59:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 11:55 UTC	Up	SELL	30	28¢	$8	0x0ad836…