Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$56

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

47.8%

Resolved

101

Trades

403

lifetime

Volume

$628

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-09-06

last 09-19 15:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 42% -$44

Other

5% 0% -$13

Sports

4% 50% +$0

Politics

3% 0% $0

Tech

3% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 247 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes		+6	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	09-07 00:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	6	$35	45	45	+0	Up	+$5	09-06 19:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	7	$25	119	18	+101	Down	-$1	09-11 03:04
Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	13	$24	23	23	+0	Up	+$2	09-07 12:38
Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	8	$19	21	21	+0	Down	+$7	09-07 03:49
Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	11	$18	15	12	+3	Up	+$0	09-07 03:18
Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	13	$18	37	12	+25	Down	-$4	09-07 00:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	12	$16	25	18	+6	Up	-$3	09-07 00:08
Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	8	$15	14	14	+0	Up	+$3	09-06 22:59
Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	7	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	09-07 00:43
Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	7	$12	10	10	+0	Down	+$2	09-07 00:52
Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	6	$12	13	10	+2	Up	+$2	09-07 12:43
Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	5	$11	19	1	+18	Up	-$4	09-11 02:48
Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	9	$11	83	3	+80	Down	-$5	09-06 23:08
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	2	$11	36	36	+0	No	+$1	09-06 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	7	$10	1,008	4	+1,004	Down	-$2	09-11 03:09
Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	7	$10	17	17	+0	Down	$0	09-07 02:57
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	09-07 01:22
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	09-07 09:33
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	2	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	09-07 09:34
Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	7	$10	11	4	+7	Down	-$2	09-07 03:41
Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	6	$10	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	09-07 12:53
Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	7	$9	12	10	+2	Up	-$1	09-06 23:12
Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	8	$9	15	6	+9	Down	+$1	09-07 04:28
Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	6	$9	11	5	+6	Up	-$1	09-11 02:58
Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	6	$9	9	4	+4	Up	-$1	09-07 01:58
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	2	$9	100	100	+0	open	—	09-07 01:22
Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	8	$9	10	6	+4	Down	+$1	09-11 02:43
Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	6	$8	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	09-06 21:57
Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	7	$8	14	5	+9	Down	-$4	09-11 02:51
Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	6	$8	12	4	+8	Up	-$2	09-07 04:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-19 15:01:47	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x9d0998…
09-19 15:01:23	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 15:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0xd893c0…
09-19 15:00:56	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x82663e…
09-19 15:00:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x921f24…
09-11 11:00:52	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x029f23…
09-11 11:00:24	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xbcdcc4…
09-11 10:58:15	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x1314a2…
09-11 10:57:48	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$2	0xc79c25…
09-11 10:57:42	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x22caf1…
09-11 10:56:27	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x0a49ab…
09-11 03:13:15	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 10?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd83a3d…
09-11 03:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0x1204ff…
09-11 03:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x28774a…
09-11 03:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xb5719e…
09-11 03:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xff67d8…
09-11 03:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xbd91c0…
09-11 03:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x68626c…
09-11 03:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd60894…
09-11 03:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2bdbda…
09-11 03:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x76bfa6…
09-11 03:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb517ac…
09-11 03:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe20d8a…
09-11 03:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x1f3019…
09-11 03:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	7	78¢	$5	0x2adc62…
09-11 03:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x75e308…
09-11 03:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	11	64¢	$7	0x46e97a…
09-11 03:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x2563a4…
09-11 03:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x6f5d33…
09-11 03:00:39	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0x57ca7d…
09-11 03:00:28	will bitcoin reach 85k in september 2026	Yes	SELL	2	26¢	$0	0x33794b…
09-11 03:00:27	Will FC Dallas vs. Austin FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0xf068a1…
09-11 03:00:24	Will CR Brasil win on 2026-09-15?	Yes	SELL	1	46¢	$1	0xc29fbc…
09-11 03:00:22	Will CR Brasil vs. SC Recife end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0xbc1b66…
09-11 02:58:27	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x1dbec6…
09-11 02:56:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xb7ffce…
09-11 02:55:31	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x3b4c2c…
09-11 02:55:19	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6b3fb8…
09-11 02:55:18	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb74647…
09-11 02:55:10	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xad8e58…
09-11 02:51:54	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc11fe1…
09-11 02:51:48	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x96d1a1…
09-11 02:51:46	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xcf420a…
09-11 02:51:40	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xaf4dc1…
09-11 02:50:43	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x7989a1…
09-11 02:50:21	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x345b85…
09-11 02:50:18	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x592aac…
09-11 02:48:55	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3a4778…
09-11 02:48:24	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xd463e4…
09-11 02:48:09	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xbcc079…
09-11 02:47:51	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xd8147c…
09-11 02:47:49	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x8baedd…
09-11 02:43:51	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6ab4b7…
09-11 02:43:46	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x28c85f…
09-11 02:43:45	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3aea8e…
09-11 02:42:52	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x8f89ba…
09-11 02:42:13	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x928dec…
09-11 02:41:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x6f37fc…
09-11 02:40:58	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x019be7…
09-11 02:40:51	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5d889e…
09-11 02:36:19	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x8f0deb…
09-11 02:35:18	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1b8b08…
09-11 02:34:00	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x71ab36…
09-11 02:32:07	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xaa1304…
09-11 02:31:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8f029f…
09-11 02:31:12	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x24f6d5…
09-11 02:28:45	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x00c028…
09-11 02:28:15	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x9f7628…
09-11 02:26:54	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3ec08f…
09-11 02:26:52	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x00f552…
09-11 02:26:18	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x261250…
09-11 02:26:10	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x77630b…
09-11 02:25:58	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xa44ec9…
09-07 12:53:18	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$4	0x482e39…
09-07 12:53:01	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x2fb881…
09-07 12:51:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc96f47…
09-07 12:50:21	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb75a1b…
09-07 12:50:13	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x5dcfae…
09-07 12:50:12	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb7e587…
09-07 12:46:18	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x6058c8…
09-07 12:45:46	Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x39fe40…
09-07 12:43:19	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x76fd5a…
09-07 12:42:46	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	64¢	$7	0xecfbab…
09-07 12:41:58	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xdd77d6…
09-07 12:41:51	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x258852…
09-07 12:40:42	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x688cd0…
09-07 12:40:24	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x6d4964…
09-07 12:38:52	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	9	59¢	$5	0xe84d9a…
09-07 12:37:22	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xce30ef…
09-07 12:36:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	14	58¢	$8	0x85bd36…
09-07 12:35:46	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x8c6a65…
09-07 12:35:45	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5a9105…
09-07 12:35:43	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd7f6c4…
09-07 12:35:42	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3960e8…
09-07 12:35:25	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe41dc8…
09-07 12:35:22	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc746cd…
09-07 12:35:21	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2e49b0…
09-07 12:35:19	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x88ebeb…
09-07 12:35:18	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x0deb4b…
09-07 12:35:16	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x3f0a8d…
09-07 12:33:12	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xad900c…