Hard-Shoelace — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

58.1%

Resolved

176

Trades

654

lifetime

Volume

$2.53K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-03

last 09-03 21:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 47% -$12

Other

1% 17% -$15

Politics

1% 67% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 137 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder?	Yes		+30	$8	2¢	$1	-$8	09-01 04:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 2100 on march 4	24	$193	576	576	+0	Yes	-$16	03-04 15:59
bitcoin above 72k on march 4	13	$154	150	150	+0	Yes	+$17	03-04 15:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 17:00 UTC	15	$124	137	93	+44	Up	+$8	03-04 17:11
bitcoin above 74k on march 4	7	$75	96	96	+0	No	-$1	03-04 16:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	9	$71	60	60	+0	Down	+$37	09-01 21:03
ethereum up or down march 4 11am et	5	$54	64	33	+30	Down	$0	03-04 16:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	4	$51	75	75	+0	Up	+$18	09-02 18:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	6	$50	50	50	+0	Down	+$26	09-02 17:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 19:30 UTC	8	$47	40	40	+0	Down	+$25	08-31 19:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 21:10 UTC	16	$46	160	90	+70	Down	-$2	08-31 21:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 17:55 UTC	15	$45	60	60	+0	Up	+$3	08-31 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	8	$44	225	91	+133	Down	$0	09-02 18:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 08:00 UTC	7	$39	43	42	+1	Up	+$4	03-14 08:09
ethereum up or down march 13 3pm et	9	$34	36	36	+0	Up	-$2	03-13 19:48
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 21:30 UTC	2	$33	32	32	+0	Down	+$12	03-13 21:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 19:45 UTC	7	$32	50	30	+20	Up	+$4	08-31 19:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 17:20 UTC	6	$29	40	40	+0	Down	+$9	08-31 17:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 22:45 UTC	10	$28	24	24	+0	Up	+$2	03-13 22:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 19:55 UTC	19	$27	50	20	+30	Up	+$27	08-31 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	5	$26	130	30	+100	Up	+$12	09-02 17:24
ethereum above 2000 on march 4	5	$26	25	25	+0	Yes	+$10	03-04 14:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 17:15 UTC	4	$25	48	16	+32	Down	-$5	03-04 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	6	$25	20	20	+0	Down	+$13	09-02 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	6	$24	90	25	+65	Up	+$3	09-01 20:38
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 08:00 UTC	2	$24	25	24	+0	Up	+$2	03-14 08:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	5	$23	46	30	+16	Up	+$0	09-02 05:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$23	76	0	+76	Up	-$23	09-02 18:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 21:30 UTC	3	$23	29	28	+0	Up	-$1	03-13 21:33
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 17:00 UTC	1	$23	28	0	+28	Down	-$23	03-04 17:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 23:30 UTC	5	$22	22	22	+0	Up	+$1	03-13 23:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-03 21:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x1a3add…
09-03 21:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x3ceffe…
09-03 21:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x5927cd…
09-03 21:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x6e2619…
09-02 18:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0x946664…
09-02 18:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	76	30¢	$23	0x3f1afb…
09-02 18:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc01a10…
09-02 18:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x994c6f…
09-02 18:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	45	24¢	$11	0xe25250…
09-02 18:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0xcd1663…
09-02 18:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0xbd19d0…
09-02 18:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	11	24¢	$3	0x3233ea…
09-02 18:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	9	24¢	$2	0x029008…
09-02 18:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0x03fcff…
09-02 18:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	30	56¢	$17	0xdb83cf…
09-02 18:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0x56170c…
09-02 18:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	45	39¢	$17	0x67e405…
09-02 18:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	45	20¢	$9	0x1830cf…
09-02 18:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x782e10…
09-02 18:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x203a48…
09-02 18:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0x57085d…
09-02 18:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xecd264…
09-02 18:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x5445fc…
09-02 18:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0x4cf28b…
09-02 18:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x4b7630…
09-02 17:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x765bf3…
09-02 17:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x986620…
09-02 17:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x321b9c…
09-02 17:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x0798a2…
09-02 17:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xd1f38c…
09-02 17:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	16	8¢	$1	0xb8356c…
09-02 17:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x642833…
09-02 17:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xb33e5d…
09-02 17:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x994ee4…
09-02 17:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$0	0x568fa8…
09-02 17:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x2f7c3b…
09-02 17:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x1c9e3f…
09-02 17:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x16f5a7…
09-02 17:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xc9eda8…
09-02 17:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x42fcf3…
09-02 17:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xdd8339…
09-02 17:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0xfa5af4…
09-02 17:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x7ed68d…
09-02 17:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x4f30d3…
09-02 17:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xc58b4d…
09-02 17:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xa19943…
09-02 17:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x64529a…
09-02 17:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xd65565…
09-02 17:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x8c42b5…
09-02 17:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x3db20c…
09-02 17:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x0b2a2d…
09-02 17:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xa6215a…
09-02 17:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x77e261…
09-02 17:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x094e57…
09-02 17:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x332330…
09-02 17:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x75f692…
09-02 17:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x60fd41…
09-02 17:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xdf7ed5…
09-02 17:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbb02c9…
09-02 17:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x4df05a…
09-02 17:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0xf791bd…
09-02 17:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	8	30¢	$3	0x57de3a…
09-02 17:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0xac2a48…
09-02 17:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x2b74e0…
09-02 17:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	13	90¢	$12	0x9120d2…
09-02 17:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xc78335…
09-02 17:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x57ac76…
09-02 17:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x4ccf00…
09-02 17:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x7854dd…
09-02 17:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0xfad40f…
09-02 17:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0xb855b9…
09-02 17:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0x5a200e…
09-02 17:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x3b3430…
09-02 17:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xa5683e…
09-02 17:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xc5f81d…
09-02 17:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	21	21¢	$4	0xa18638…
09-02 17:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0xbaad22…
09-02 17:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6ea657…
09-02 17:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x367cde…
09-02 17:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x119809…
09-02 17:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0xceaab8…
09-02 17:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xec6845…
09-02 17:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0xa6f073…
09-02 17:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xae58be…
09-02 17:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	0	27¢	$0	0xa48738…
09-02 17:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0x512acf…
09-02 16:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xf5ff56…
09-02 16:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0xc7296a…
09-02 16:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0xa8991e…
09-02 16:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0xb22b9a…
09-02 16:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0xb200e4…
09-02 16:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xb644a9…
09-02 16:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x4fa3ea…
09-02 16:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x1e232a…
09-02 14:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x05d47e…
09-02 14:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x8447b8…
09-02 14:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x6a94be…
09-02 14:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x5bc9e7…
09-02 14:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xd65b0c…
09-02 14:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0x8a9a68…